ADP Crowdsourcing: Jay Bruce

Since you guys really seemed to have liked the ADP Crowdsourcing idea, we’re going to march forward and do a couple every week. Today, I’m going to tackle Jay Bruce, and the results for both Morrow and Bruce will be up tomorrow for your viewing pleasure.

Jay Bruce has always been an interesting case, at least for me. When he showed up on the scene in 2008, he showcased great power for a 21-year old, hitting over 20 dingers in just over 400 ABs. While his strikeout rate wasn’t good at the time, it wasn’t awful for a young power hitter getting his first taste of big league action. He also showed a good line drive rate, and his walk rate wasn’t terrible, either.

In an injury shortened 2009, Bruce left many of us in awe as he hit more homers in fewer plate appearances. And while his batting average was bad, it wasn’t due as much to strikeouts, as he improved his contact skills immensely. Thanks to all of these factors, as well as his young age, he had quite a bit of hype surrounding him coming into 2010 drafts.

His 2010 was disappointing on some levels, as his home run rate actually dropped and his strikeout rate rose. Yet, he still hit 25 homers and hit .281, as well as keeping his contact rates steady. There are still a lot of good signs that he’ll have a very bright future, including the fact that he’ll still only be 24 when next season begins.

I have no clue how owners are valuing him coming into 2011, so I need your help. Have the masses grown tired of waiting for Bruce’s breakout, or are they willing to give him one more shot? Below is a link to the voting form, and please read the wording carefully. This is not where you would draft him, but where you think he’ll be drafted in most leagues. For the voting, we’re assuming a 12-team standard league, using 5×5 scoring.

To submit your answer, click here.





Zach is the creator and co-author of RotoGraphs' Roto Riteup series, and RotoGraphs' second-longest tenured writer. You can follow him on twitter.

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Chris
13 years ago

You all will laugh at this comment, but a year from now, you’ll look back at and say “Wow, Chris was right.”

Jay Bruce will be a legitimate MVP candidate in 2011.

Pretty Toney
13 years ago
Reply to  Zach Sanders

I said Round 9–assuming a 12-team non-keeper mixed league. Chris seems a bit too confident regarding Brucey Bruce; Jay is still young and his statistics indicate that he still has quite a bit of maturing to do as a hitter. The tools are there and he COULD put everything together in 2011, but I think that most people are going to be too scared of the low average to take him in the 7th round or earlier. If I was in a keeper league, I’d easily rank Bruce in the top 40 overall, though.

Pretty Toney
13 years ago
Reply to  Zach Sanders

You are right, I forgot how hot he was down the stretch, I might bump up my vote up to Round 7 then.