Mock Draft Central’s ADP (Average Draft Position) is created by getting the ADP from the last 14 days worth of drafts. Here is a look at some players that are getting drafted too low, in my opinion, from Mock Draft Central’s most recent rankings.
Johnny Giavotella (Rank: 406, ADP 317, Drafted 4.5%)
Johnny looks to be in the running for a prime batting order position, second, in the Royals above average lineup. Last season Melky Cabrera had a top 40 fantasy year from this spot. Johnny will get a long look to see if he is the answer at 2B for the Royals or do the Royals need to find someone else to fill that position. Look for him to be a nice sleeper.
Anthony Rizzo (Rank:360, ADP 256, Drafted 2.9%)
He is the future 1B for the Cubs. While he is not at all close to being in the top echelon of 1B in the league, he will make a nice bench player or fill in for the Util spot. There is no reason for him to be drafted in less than 3% of the leagues.
Jose Altuve (Rank: 356, ADP 254 Drafted 7.0%)
While Jose is not a top 2B in the league, he will be getting plenty of playing time and hitting towards the top of the Astros lineup. While this is not an ideal position, it is a starting job for a decent player. He currently projects to have near a 0.290 AVG, nearly 10 HRs and 20 SBs. If he isn’t going to be an everyday player on a fantasy team, he will be a great Plug-n-Play guy.
Brent Morel (Rank 352, ADP 250, Drafted 19.2%)
3B is one of the more shallow positions in fantasy baseball. Morel has some value in that he is a starting 3B and has the potential to put up double digit HRs. If an owner misses out on one of the big 3B in the first part of the draft and is bottom feeding, Morel is definitely a player to take a chance on.
Zack Cozart (Rank: 349, ADP 246 Drafted 71.9%)
Zack had a nice season going in 2011 until he ended up on the DL. Drew Stubbs and him will be battling for a spot at the top of the Reds lineup. Even if he doesn’t get the spot, a SS that can hit 0.300 will be valuable in any league.
The first 3 players I examined rarely got drafted (each <10% of the time), but Zack is getting drafted in over 2/3rds of the leagues. It seems some owners know of his possible value and are snatching him up late. The earliest someone has drafted him is with the 177th pick. In a 12 team league, the pick works out to be in the 14th round. If an owner has their eyes on him and are gambling on him falling, don’t gamble much past the 13th round.
Salvador Perez (Rank 343, ADP 243, 79.6%)
Sal is grouped in the draft ranking with other catchers like John Buck and A.J. Pierzynski. He is a young, 22 years old, developing catcher that has a great chance to breakout. Perez, like Cozart, is on people’s draft sheets. They are just waiting until late in the draft to pick him up. To draft him, you may have to draft him earlier than the last couple of rounds.
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won three FSWA Awards including on for his MASH series. In his first two seasons in Tout Wars, he's won the H2H league and mixed auction league. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.