ADP Battle Royale: Second Base
Over the last few years the industry has begun to focus on NFBC leagues more and more. It is not because it is the most popular format in spite of its growth. It is because, on average, it has more competitive leagues due to the cost involved. This allows for a better average draft position. While ADP is not the end all be all, it can give us some insight into the market and if you have competing markets, it is good to compare them and see what information can be exploited. In this series of articles, I will look at the places where NFBC ADP is higher than the four other major platforms in an attempt to point out potential deals for those of you not playing on NFBC.
NFBC Versus ESPN
Trea Turner (NFBC ADP: 1.4, ESPN ADP: 13.2)- Wait, what? Turner is the consensus top pick in fantasy this year on NFBC, but in ESPN, he isn’t a first rounder in a 12-team league. In NFBC, I have hated picking in the back of the draft, but this would make it my preferred spot in an ESPN league.
Whit Merrifield (32.11, 73.9)- Merrifield gets pushed up in NFBC because of his ability to steal bases, but in ESPN, he goes way too low. He is a huge asset in the two most scarce offensive categories and multi-positional eligible.
Javy Baez (63.52, 167.5)- This is shocking. I am not the biggest Baez fan, but going 100 picks later on a site is just absurd value. Anytime I can get a potential 30/20 player this late, I am going to jump all over it.
Jazz Chisholm (72.62, 229.5)- To be honest, I don’t understand the shortstop prices (more of these tomorrow), but Jazz is coming off of an 18/23 season in just 124 games and could be a monster. Maybe this is a reflection of the size of most ESPN leagues, but it is shocking to look at nonetheless.
Tommy Edman (81.35, 138.8)- Edman is another player that gets pushed up in NFBC because of his speed potential, so with other speedy options getting pushed down on ESPN, it is not so surprising to see a 50+ pick discount on him. That being said, he again offers a ton of help in the scarcest category while offering multi positional flexibility.
Luis Urias (153.54, 206.8)- I am going to show some bias here, but I love Urias. He is triple eligible with growing power and a good hit tool. I don’t understand why those at ESPN are fading him, but I would guess because he doesn’t have a carrying tool necessarily, but his flexibility is so important.
Ryan McMahon (166.49, 239.2)- McMahon is another multi-positional player with nice power that is being underrated on ESPN. I don;t know if we ever see another level, but I think it is a pretty safe profile in Coors.
Brendan Rodgers (172.02, 234.1)- I am not a fan of Rodgers at his NFBC price because I don’t think he has a special profile or the ability to stay on the field. I would fade him on both platforms to be honest in spite of the discount.
Chris Taylor (139.15, 193.8)- Taylor is always disrespected in fantasy, but NFBC has started to respect him a ton for his all around contributions with multi-positional flexibility. Not surprising that ESPn is overlooking this, but I think the true value is probably somewhere in the middle of the two.
NFBC Versus Yahoo
Luis Urias (NFBC ADP: 153.54, 249.8)- See Above.
Kolten Wong (175.13, 249.6)- I think Wong is underrated a little on NFBC considering he had a 14/12 season with a plus average in just 112 games, so give me an almost 75 pick discount and I would be jumping for joy. If he can stay healthy this season, we could be looking at a cheap 15/20 season.
Brendan Rodgers (172.02, 217.3)- See Above.
Tommy Edman (81.35, 122.9)- See Above.
NFBC Versus CBS
Abraham Toro (NFBC ADP: 251.05, CBS ADP: 390)- I like Toro a lot but he is becoming overpriced on NFBC after the retirement of Seager, but on CBS he is extremely cheap. There is a nice plate approach with power and what should be a full time role. This is one of the better buys at the position.
Enrique Hernandez (221.58, 239.2)- I don’t think that Hernandez is that special, especially at his NFBC ADP, but with how late he is going in CBS, he offers a nice cheap runs source without being a drain on your power.
Andres Gimenez (236.38, 317)- Gimenez has been forgotten about on CBS after struggling in his first go in Cleveland. I am skeptical of a complete bounceback, but at CBS he is definitely worth the gamble.
Luis Arraez (297.8, 363.33)- Arraez is likely overlooked because in the shallower formats at ESPN, powerless guys don’t have as much value, but he is a nice average booster that could be in line for a regular role in Minnesota.
Josh Rojas (225.73, 286)- I still believe that Rojas has another level in him, but apparently at CBS, I would be on an island. I do think we are paying for that upside too much at NFBC, but at CBS he is a much more palatable price.
Ryan McMahon (166.49, 223.25)- See Above.
Ty France (146.2, 201.83)- See the piece in this series on First Basemen.
NFBC Versus Fantrax
Andres Gimienez (NFBC ADP: 236.38, Fantrax ADP: 331.08)- See Above.
Jonathan Schoop– (205.7, 247.91)- See the piece in this series on First Basemen.
NFBC | Player | Team | Position(s) | ESPN | Yahoo | CBS | Fantrax |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1.4 | Trea Turner | LAD | 2B, SS | 13.2 | 2.5 | 5.17 | 3.37 |
18.64 | Ozzie Albies | ATL | 2B | 31 | 23.5 | 21.5 | 21.71 |
32.11 | Whit Merrifield | KC | 2B, OF | 73.9 | 38 | 45.5 | 42.99 |
42.43 | Marcus Semien | TEX | 2B, SS | 38.8 | 33.5 | 54.67 | 32.63 |
63.52 | Javier Baez | DET | 2B, SS | 167.5 | 63.3 | 80.67 | 83.35 |
72.62 | Jazz Chisholm Jr. | MIA | 2B, SS | 229.5 | 87.3 | 103.17 | 97.96 |
80 | Jose Altuve | HOU | 2B | 38.1 | 59.9 | 56.83 | 62.69 |
80.96 | Brandon Lowe | TB | 2B | 116.6 | 78.6 | 60.67 | 63.49 |
81.35 | Tommy Edman | STL | 2B, OF | 138.8 | 122.9 | 128.67 | 106.33 |
83.35 | Jorge Polanco | MIN | 2B, SS | 84.3 | 100.4 | 102.67 | 90.91 |
88.2 | Ketel Marte | ARZ | 2B, OF | 56.7 | 91.8 | 67.5 | 86.21 |
90.25 | Jonathan India | CIN | 2B | 118.9 | 84.7 | 131.33 | 88.53 |
117.7 | DJ LeMahieu | NYY | 1B, 2B, 3B | 76 | 93.2 | 137.5 | 125.81 |
123.93 | Jake Cronenworth | SD | 1B, 2B, SS | 83.9 | 126.1 | 145.33 | 123.63 |
139.15 | Chris Taylor | LAD | 2B, SS, OF | 193.8 | 130.3 | 178.17 | 151.08 |
147.83 | Ty France | SEA | 1B, 2B | 146.2 | 171.3 | 201.83 | 172.18 |
153.54 | Luis Urias | MLW | 2B, 3B, SS | 206.8 | 249.8 | 197.17 | 182.96 |
166.49 | Ryan McMahon | COL | 2B, 3B | 239.2 | 163.3 | 223.25 | 183.76 |
172.02 | Brendan Rodgers | COL | 2B, SS | 234.1 | 217.3 | 185.83 | 168.28 |
174.87 | Max Muncy | LAD | 1B, 2B | 58.3 | 109.4 | 102.33 | 111.19 |
175.13 | Kolten Wong | MLW | 2B | 184 | 249.6 | 197.33 | 208.73 |
191.24 | Jean Segura | PHI | 2B | 175.2 | 204.9 | 221.75 | 231.89 |
199.11 | Eduardo Escobar | NYM | 2B, 3B | 231.2 | 209.5 | 238 | 227.48 |
205.7 | Jonathan Schoop | DET | 1B, 2B | 200.9 | 234.3 | 253.5 | 247.91 |
221.58 | Enrique Hernandez | BOS | 2B, OF | 156 | 239.2 | 307.75 | 221.75 |
225.73 | Josh Rojas | ARZ | 2B, SS, OF | 215.6 | 251.5 | 286 | 245.72 |
229.83 | Gavin Lux | LAD | 2B, SS | 258.3 | 251 | 222.8 | 216.36 |
236.38 | Andres Gimenez | CLE | 2B, SS | 259.8 | 238.4 | 317 | 311.08 |
251.05 | Abraham Toro | SEA | 2B, 3B | 259.2 | 243.1 | 390 | 261.99 |
264.62 | Garrett Hampson | COL | 2B, OF | 259.8 | 251.9 | 314.25 | 303.43 |
290.99 | Nick Madrigal | CHC | 2B | 230.1 | 236.7 | 256.17 | 268.27 |
297.8 | Luis Arraez | MIN | 2B, 3B, OF | 176.4 | 235.5 | 363.33 | 333.21 |
322.69 | Adam Frazier | SEA | 2B | 240 | 238.6 | 351.67 | 312.58 |
325.42 | Cesar Hernandez | WAS | 2B | 259.5 | 243.8 | 370.33 | 314.74 |
326.26 | Jeff McNeil | NYM | 2B, OF | 240.1 | 243.5 | 256.2 | 293.2 |
326.93 | David Fletcher | LAA | 2B, SS | 217.5 | 238.2 | 315 | 319.66 |
352.48 | Ha-Seong Kim | SD | 2B, 3B, SS | 259.6 | — | 378.33 | 378.9 |
367.18 | Nick Solak | TEX | 2B | 259.7 | — | 364.67 | 349.32 |
373.3 | Wilmer Flores | SF | 1B, 2B, 3B | 258.2 | 248.4 | 384.5 | 386.13 |
374.18 | Nico Hoerner | CHC | 2B | — | 236.3 | 419.67 | 351.76 |
375.87 | Josh Harrison | OAK | 2B, 3B, OF | — | 237.8 | — | 434.55 |
378.21 | Tony Kemp | OAK | 2B, OF | 260 | — | — | 395.29 |
400.98 | Edmundo Sosa | STL | 2B, SS | 259.8 | — | — | 440.65 |
416.32 | Ramon Urias | BAL | 2B, SS | — | — | — | 1227.7 |
430.04 | Rougned Odor | BAL | 2B, 3B | 259.5 | — | — | 438.55 |
431.89 | Dylan Moore | SEA | 2B, OF | 259.4 | 225.6 | 260.5 | 382.59 |
444.65 | Luis Garcia | WAS | 2B | — | — | — | 413.07 |
463.76 | Nolan Gorman | STL | 2B | 259.8 | — | 258.67 | 401.86 |
467.3 | Tommy La Stella | SF | 2B | — | — | 499 | 461.38 |
474.42 | Leury Garcia | CWS | 2B, OF | 259.7 | 235.3 | — | 471.42 |
479.08 | Robinson Cano | NYM | 2B | 259.8 | — | 489.67 | 436.87 |
504.17 | Willi Castro | DET | 2B, SS | 260 | — | 404.5 | 493.19 |
525.07 | Andy Ibanez | TEX | 2B | 260 | — | — | 497.22 |
525.46 | Jace Peterson | MLW | 1B, 2B, OF | 259.8 | — | — | 552.04 |
532.38 | Michael Chavis | PIT | 2B | 259.9 | — | — | 523.22 |
576.43 | Matt Duffy | CHC | 2B, 3B | — | — | — | 618.88 |
576.62 | Jon Berti | MIA | 2B, 3B | 260 | — | — | 564.2 |
595.12 | Zach McKinstry | LAD | 2B, OF | 260 | — | — | 617.63 |
620.89 | Mike Brosseau | MLW | 2B, 3B | 260 | — | — | 633.66 |
631.45 | Mauricio Dubon | SF | 2B, SS, OF | 259.8 | — | — | 615.06 |
648.71 | Josh VanMeter | ARZ | 2B, 3B | — | — | 482 | 719.91 |
649.33 | Christian Arroyo | BOS | 2B | 260 | — | — | 565.36 |
692.18 | David Bote | CHC | 2B, 3B | 259.9 | — | — | 589.2 |
694.74 | Jed Lowrie | OAK | 2B | — | — | — | 585.62 |
699.2 | Donovan Solano | SF | 2B | 259.9 | — | — | 705.97 |
726.04 | Isaac Paredes | DET | 2B | 259.9 | — | — | 546.96 |
727.36 | Harold Castro | DET | 2B, SS | 259.9 | — | — | 706.45 |
727.73 | Hoy Park | PIT | 2B | 259.9 | — | — | — |
730.71 | Diego Castillo | PIT | 2B | — | — | — | 604.29 |
732.29 | Hanser Alberto | KC | 2B, 3B | 260 | — | — | 955.77 |
736.49 | Richie Palacios | CLE | 2B | — | — | — | 407.51 |
739.77 | Tucupita Marcano | PIT | 2B | — | — | — | — |
740.07 | Sergio Alcantara | CHC | 2B, SS | 260 | — | — | 852.37 |
742.38 | Michael Busch | LAD | 2B | 260 | — | 315.5 | 774.72 |
745.32 | Rodolfo Castro | PIT | 2B | 260 | — | — | 878.82 |
746.05 | Jahmai Jones | BAL | 2B | 260 | — | — | 926.38 |
746.42 | Michael Stefanic | FA | 2B | — | — | — | 982.1 |
747.46 | Nick Gonzales | PIT | 2B | 259.9 | — | 158 | — |
747.75 | Owen Miller | CLE | 2B | 259.9 | — | — | 989.1 |
748.06 | Isan Diaz | MIA | 2B, 3B | 259.9 | — | — | 801.16 |
748.35 | Jose Peraza | NYM | 2B | 259.9 | — | — | 927.58 |
748.36 | Andrew Young | ARZ | 2B | 260 | — | — | 906.83 |
748.92 | Marwin Gonzalez | HOU | 2B | 259.9 | — | — | 936.1 |
749.11 | Xavier Edwards | TB | 2B | 259.9 | — | — | — |
749.89 | Nick Maton | PHI | 2B, SS | 260 | — | — | 973.2 |
750.23 | Pat Valaika | BAL | 2B | 260 | — | — | 21.71 |
750.65 | Danny Mendick | CWS | 2B, SS | 260 | — | — | 1062.15 |
750.74 | Otto Lopez | TOR | 2B | 260 | — | — | 1027.9 |
750.86 | Yairo Munoz | BOS | 2B | — | — | — | — |
Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.
Really weird to not see Brujan on the list. He’s almost certain to be dealt, and is likely a league average hitter with 40 SB potential.
Brujan is outfield eligible only on most sites, so he will come up on that list.