A Collection of Five Category Hitters
When drafting hitters for a traditional five category league, my standard strategy is to target players who contribute in many categories – preferably all five. Today, in deference to my jet lag, we’re mostly going to dispense with analysis and break out some lists of players who fall into different buckets of production. All of the values below come from Steamer’s 2014 projections. Steamer and projection systems in general aren’t the best at predicting runs and RBI, so keep that in mind.
Creme de la Creme
| Name | PA | HR | R | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Mike Trout | 684 | 27 | 119 | 83 | 33 | 12 | 0.308 | 0.405 | 0.534 |
| Carlos Gonzalez | 579 | 28 | 87 | 91 | 19 | 8 | 0.297 | 0.365 | 0.544 |
| Andrew McCutchen | 644 | 23 | 89 | 89 | 20 | 10 | 0.300 | 0.389 | 0.507 |
This is a list of players projected for more than 80 runs and RBI, 20 home runs, 15 stolen bases, and a .280 average. No surprises here, these players are exceptionally good and their draft price reflects that fact. These are currently the first, fourth, and seventh overall picks. Hanley Ramirez missed the cutoff by one point in batting average.
Right Below the Creme
| Name | PA | HR | R | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Ryan Braun | 573 | 25 | 78 | 82 | 16 | 7 | 0.293 | 0.367 | 0.513 |
| Yasiel Puig | 618 | 26 | 79 | 84 | 20 | 13 | 0.290 | 0.359 | 0.502 |
As I mentioned, run and RBI projections can get a little wonky. If we scale back to greater than 70, we add just two players. Braun’s mixed in with the above names, but Puig may represent a buying opportunity. Personally, I’m perturbed by Puig’s 16.9 swinging strike rate, which makes Adam Dunn look like a contact oriented hitter. Still…
Steals Are Overrated
| Name | PA | HR | R | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Joey Votto | 609 | 23 | 84 | 79 | 5 | 3 | 0.296 | 0.424 | 0.507 |
| Troy Tulowitzki | 600 | 28 | 84 | 97 | 3 | 2 | 0.300 | 0.376 | 0.534 |
| Paul Goldschmidt | 661 | 32 | 96 | 99 | 13 | 7 | 0.289 | 0.382 | 0.533 |
| Prince Fielder | 635 | 27 | 90 | 97 | 1 | 1 | 0.286 | 0.386 | 0.498 |
| Freddie Freeman | 556 | 23 | 73 | 79 | 2 | 1 | 0.293 | 0.375 | 0.505 |
| Buster Posey | 635 | 21 | 81 | 90 | 2 | 2 | 0.304 | 0.383 | 0.49 |
| David Ortiz | 564 | 24 | 79 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 0.285 | 0.378 | 0.51 |
| Matt Holliday | 609 | 22 | 81 | 83 | 4 | 3 | 0.291 | 0.377 | 0.488 |
| Albert Pujols | 615 | 30 | 87 | 97 | 4 | 2 | 0.282 | 0.357 | 0.515 |
| Adrian Beltre | 635 | 28 | 85 | 101 | 1 | 1 | 0.296 | 0.347 | 0.504 |
| Robinson Cano | 635 | 23 | 83 | 90 | 4 | 3 | 0.292 | 0.363 | 0.487 |
| Allen Craig | 622 | 20 | 78 | 84 | 2 | 2 | 0.298 | 0.357 | 0.48 |
| Billy Butler | 645 | 20 | 83 | 89 | 1 | 1 | 0.293 | 0.373 | 0.467 |
| Adrian Gonzalez | 645 | 25 | 80 | 94 | 1 | 1 | 0.292 | 0.358 | 0.486 |
| Pablo Sandoval | 651 | 22 | 84 | 88 | 2 | 1 | 0.289 | 0.352 | 0.478 |
| Eric Hosmer | 661 | 21 | 84 | 90 | 11 | 6 | 0.288 | 0.353 | 0.462 |
| Michael Cuddyer | 584 | 21 | 75 | 82 | 8 | 4 | 0.281 | 0.343 | 0.474 |
Ah, now we get some names. Most of these players are still among the top picks, but there are a few that can be targeted mid-draft. Sandoval is currently the 147th pick off the board according to FantasyPros. Cuddyer is going 94th and Butler is 123rd, although the latter may be affected by position eligibility. Steamer is bullish about Pujols, but do your homework before betting on a renaissance.
Woe Be to Batting Average
| Name | PA | HR | R | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Hanley Ramirez | 564 | 20 | 70 | 74 | 15 | 7 | 0.279 | 0.349 | 0.463 |
| Carlos Gomez | 630 | 22 | 76 | 72 | 33 | 13 | 0.254 | 0.31 | 0.436 |
Ok, so this is really just Gomez. I filtered to see which players are 20/20 threats without worrying about batting average. As I mentioned earlier, Ramirez missed the first group by one point in batting average.
Five Category Lite
| Name | PA | HR | R | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Shin-Soo Choo | 642 | 18 | 91 | 70 | 17 | 8 | 0.279 | 0.39 | 0.449 |
| David Wright | 608 | 19 | 77 | 78 | 14 | 7 | 0.29 | 0.376 | 0.476 |
| Jason Heyward | 544 | 21 | 70 | 72 | 10 | 6 | 0.271 | 0.362 | 0.479 |
| Bryce Harper | 557 | 22 | 76 | 68 | 13 | 7 | 0.271 | 0.356 | 0.48 |
| Hanley Ramirez | 564 | 20 | 70 | 74 | 15 | 7 | 0.279 | 0.349 | 0.463 |
| Dustin Pedroia | 614 | 12 | 79 | 71 | 13 | 6 | 0.288 | 0.362 | 0.431 |
| Matt Kemp | 567 | 22 | 72 | 75 | 13 | 6 | 0.271 | 0.342 | 0.464 |
| Kole Calhoun | 498 | 15 | 63 | 62 | 10 | 6 | 0.273 | 0.341 | 0.447 |
| Brett Lawrie | 570 | 18 | 75 | 67 | 13 | 7 | 0.274 | 0.336 | 0.451 |
| Hunter Pence | 628 | 21 | 75 | 84 | 10 | 6 | 0.274 | 0.337 | 0.452 |
| Austin Jackson | 646 | 13 | 90 | 60 | 13 | 6 | 0.275 | 0.347 | 0.423 |
| Jose Reyes | 588 | 10 | 77 | 62 | 22 | 9 | 0.29 | 0.348 | 0.426 |
| Jacoby Ellsbury | 662 | 15 | 86 | 68 | 35 | 12 | 0.276 | 0.334 | 0.417 |
| Brad Miller | 564 | 13 | 65 | 62 | 11 | 7 | 0.268 | 0.331 | 0.413 |
| Ian Desmond | 556 | 16 | 62 | 61 | 15 | 7 | 0.266 | 0.317 | 0.426 |
| Alex Rios | 580 | 16 | 67 | 71 | 22 | 9 | 0.268 | 0.313 | 0.426 |
| Starlin Castro | 604 | 11 | 64 | 63 | 13 | 8 | 0.277 | 0.32 | 0.411 |
| Alexei Ramirez | 653 | 11 | 75 | 62 | 19 | 10 | 0.271 | 0.309 | 0.381 |
Now we’re looking at something. This is a list of players who are projected for better than 60 runs and RBI, 10 home runs and stolen bases, and a .265 average. Most of the list is populated with players who just missed my previous cutoffs, like Wright, Choo, and Harper. However, a few possible bargains reveal themselves including A. Ramirez, Miller, and Calhoun.
Power Club
| Name | PA | HR | R | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Jose Bautista | 574 | 33 | 85 | 91 | 6 | 4 | 0.262 | 0.375 | 0.519 |
| Edwin Encarnacion | 644 | 33 | 91 | 100 | 6 | 4 | 0.271 | 0.364 | 0.505 |
| Anthony Rizzo | 654 | 31 | 86 | 94 | 7 | 5 | 0.268 | 0.35 | 0.501 |
I ratcheted down the stolen base requirement to five and batting average to .250 while filtering for hitters with a 30 plus home run projection. Rizzo isn’t a bargain, he’s being picked 87th overall.
Five Category Ultra-Lite
| Name | PA | HR | R | RBI | SB | CS | AVG | OBP | SLG |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| Justin Upton | 531 | 22 | 69 | 73 | 9 | 4 | 0.276 | 0.363 | 0.485 |
| Domonic Brown | 608 | 24 | 70 | 79 | 9 | 5 | 0.272 | 0.336 | 0.47 |
| Adam Jones | 578 | 25 | 72 | 85 | 9 | 5 | 0.278 | 0.32 | 0.479 |
| Alex Gordon | 660 | 18 | 90 | 75 | 9 | 5 | 0.274 | 0.348 | 0.442 |
| Ben Zobrist | 646 | 15 | 79 | 74 | 10 | 5 | 0.264 | 0.355 | 0.421 |
| Wil Myers | 597 | 22 | 75 | 77 | 9 | 5 | 0.263 | 0.333 | 0.452 |
| Martin Prado | 678 | 14 | 89 | 67 | 7 | 5 | 0.289 | 0.345 | 0.434 |
| Yoenis Cespedes | 529 | 22 | 66 | 77 | 8 | 5 | 0.261 | 0.324 | 0.462 |
| Chase Utley | 537 | 16 | 63 | 64 | 8 | 3 | 0.263 | 0.342 | 0.434 |
| Aaron Hill | 641 | 20 | 80 | 74 | 9 | 5 | 0.271 | 0.332 | 0.443 |
| Ian Kinsler | 651 | 19 | 81 | 83 | 17 | 8 | 0.261 | 0.336 | 0.426 |
| Jason Kipnis | 630 | 16 | 85 | 67 | 22 | 10 | 0.262 | 0.344 | 0.415 |
| Melky Cabrera | 539 | 11 | 64 | 64 | 8 | 4 | 0.285 | 0.336 | 0.427 |
| Justin Ruggiano | 554 | 18 | 63 | 65 | 17 | 9 | 0.257 | 0.324 | 0.432 |
| Kyle Seager | 598 | 17 | 66 | 68 | 8 | 5 | 0.261 | 0.332 | 0.418 |
| Xander Bogaerts | 564 | 14 | 66 | 65 | 8 | 5 | 0.261 | 0.325 | 0.413 |
| Howie Kendrick | 603 | 13 | 65 | 67 | 9 | 5 | 0.276 | 0.322 | 0.416 |
| Asdrubal Cabrera | 528 | 13 | 60 | 63 | 8 | 4 | 0.259 | 0.32 | 0.408 |
| Andrelton Simmons | 597 | 13 | 61 | 63 | 9 | 6 | 0.267 | 0.318 | 0.408 |
| Brandon Phillips | 609 | 16 | 66 | 68 | 7 | 4 | 0.266 | 0.317 | 0.408 |
| Erick Aybar | 630 | 8 | 77 | 61 | 15 | 7 | 0.274 | 0.313 | 0.389 |
Last table. The top half of this list just barely missed the filter conditions to appear on some of the above lists. As we get to the second half, we find a number of cost effective options who could help glue a roster together. Guys like Cabrera, Ruggiano, Simmons, and Aybar can fall through the cracks entirely despite providing relatively well-rounded production. They don’t stand out in any one category, which is something that fantasy owners tend to notice.
Overall, we tagged 66 players who offer some variation of five category production. Speaking from personal experience, drafting players who can contribute across the board makes it a lot easier to adjust to injuries and performance shortfalls. The waiver wire generally doesn’t have players who are exceptional in even one category, but there are a lot of players who are useful under the right conditions. If you’re lucky, a roster that emphasizes five category production could make it easier to use waiver bait while still pursuing every category.
You can follow me on twitter @BaseballATeam
I find it hard to believe that Brad Miller’s line will be that close to Ian Desmond’s.
I don’t at all.
How on earth is Colby Rasmus not on this list? easily beats out the counting stats of some players listed in your Five Category Ultra-Lite
Rasmus
80 runs – 1 time in his career (2010)
80 RBI – 0 times in his career
20 HR – 3 times in his career (2010, 12, 13)
15 SB – 0 times in his career (Only 24 career SB over 689 games)
.280 avg – 0 times in his career
Don’t see much of a case for him in any of the above tables… maybe you can squint and see him on like Page 3 of the “Steals are overrated” table
Steamer does not believe that is the case.
Miguel Cabrera is conspicuously absent. He should headline the “steals are overrated” club.
Beat me to it.
Not sure what part of his steamer projections leaves him out
I’d have to imagine that Starling Marte would fall somewhere on one of these tables if not for lack of RBI opportunities in the leadoff spot of an NL team.
83 runs, 12 HR, .280 average, 41 SB but only 35 RBI (Pirates historically bad hitting pitching staff did him no favors)
Again, Steamer doesn’t think he fits any of my filters.
Oh I know why he doesn’t fit, that’s why I brought up his RBI totals.
I didn’t expect to see him on this list, just adding him as another name for someone to see in the comments because he’s good in 4 out of 5 categories
Coco Crisp? I know he’s traditionally thought of as just an aging speed guy, but if you believe the newfound power is quasi-legit (I do) I’d predict an .260 avg, 15 HR, 80 Run, 60 RBI, 20 steal season.
You need another player on the bench you can sub out for him, since he will probably only play 125 games, but still. Those stats in a 15th + round pick? Yes please.
You lost me when you list david ortiz in a 5 category article. Sad work!!!!
Let me be very clear to everybody, I used Steamer projections and filtered variations of 5 category production. That’s it.
Going with straight projections is dangerous.
You have Ryan Braun in the second group. But Ryan Braun is Mr. Day to Day with nagging groin strain. Without PEDs, I see those nagging groing strains and barking hammys turning into DL stints.
Also you banish guys like Bautista,Encarnacion, and Upton to lower tiers despite actually contributing in R,HR,RBI,OBP, and SLG….which you list as categories and which are categories in many leagues.
Also HanRam is listed into two tiers.
How do you know that he’s stopped taking steroids?
Chris Davis?
I demand to be placed right below the creme.
Either the listed values for Hanley are wrong, or you were looking at another projection when you saw that he missed the first group by just .001BA. Values listed in multiple places in this piece are 70R and 74RBI.
Also, what are the cut-off values for “Steals are Overrated”? The Steamer projection I found on fangraphs just now has Cabrera at 37HR 107R 117RBI and .325BA… to go with a 3SB that would match many in that section, am I looking at out of date numbers?
Ok, so I just did some experimentation. I have Open Office on this comp and apparently the values being imported are corrupted, but only for a few players. I have bigger fish to fry at the moment (ice storm in ATL, need to get a lot done before power loss), but I’ll re-evaluate with Excel once things calm down here.
Also, thanks for the work. It is appreciated. Even if my skills at emoting through writing are lacking.
Thanks, Brad, for some nice work. A slightly different way to look at things. Weird some people are always looking to attack.
Nice Job, Makes perfect to me.
If you are surprised at Miller steamer projection, you should check out zips.
I think the problem here is with Steamer’s predictions. He must be the only guy in the world that thinks Jason Heyward is going to have almost an identical line to Hanley Ramirez! C’mon Man!
Rather than nitpicking every single omission, I’ll say thanks for writing up an interesting article. This is exactly the strategy that I need for the upcoming draft.