2018 Top 100 Prospects: Fantasy Spin

Eric and Kiley have graciously taken the time to give us some of the best prospect content on the net, but today as prospect week continues I’ll provide a quick fantasy spin for each of the 2018 Top 100 prospects. The goal here is simply to each prospect’s grades and scouting reports and then translate those skills into “what could be” for fantasy context (for example where “upside” might represent an 80%+ outcome on a prospect’s potential).

2018 Top 100 Prospects: Fantasy Spin
Name Team Age POS FV VAR Fantasy
Shohei Ohtani LAA 23 RHP/RF 70 Low “Stuff” is ace-level but expect McCullers-like production in 2018; long-term ace; bat is gravy; hype sky high
Ronald Acuna ATL 20 CF 65 Low Not Trout or Harper level, but elite; early career could be 2011 McCutchen, late career 2011 Justin Upton; Roto monster
Vladimir Guerrero, Jr. TOR 18 1B 65 Low Lowest risk bat on the list; floor could be Victor Martinez but ceiling could be Edgar Martinez.
Victor Robles WAS 20 CF 65 Low Lorenzo Cain a career .290/.342/.421 hitter, but Robles could surprise with more power and speed; low risk profile
Fernando Tatis, Jr. SD 19 3B 65 Med Early walk rates + power suggest Seager, Correa could be reasonable expectation; speed will play down; could be #1 next year
Eloy Jimenez CHW 20 RF 65 Med Impressive hit/power combo make Eloy bankable for .280+/30+ HR/100+ RBI seasons in near future; skills play up in OBP leagues
Nick Senzel CIN 21 3B 60 Low Professional hitter, high floor, 2018 ETA; upside could be Anthony Rendon-like production; value boost as 2B or OF
Forrest Whitley HOU 20 RHP 60 Med Short list of 19 year old SP to hit AA is impressive; has all the makings of 9+ K/9 SP with good command
Bo Bichette TOR 19 2B 60 Med Crazy age 19 numbers suggest very high floor; likely to move to 2B but bat will play anywhere. Could be more hit than power; expect speed to slow.
Kyle Tucker HOU 21 RF 60 Low Impressive gains vs. LPH suggest great hitter; could be Christian Yelich-type with impact likely in 2019
Willy Adames TB 22 SS 60 Low Underrated, .340 – .350 wOBA type who’s progressed slowly but steadily; could look like last few seasons from Xander Bogaerts
Gleyber Torres NYY 21 SS 60 Low Expect double-digits BB rates, good AVG, and solid power in NY stadium; Robinson Cano-like upside long term is possible if power ticks upward
Lewis Brinson MIA 23 CF 60 Med Impressive development in 2017 suggest baseline of double digit HR and SB as early as 2018 with full playing time in MIA
Miguel Andujar NYY 22 3B 60 Med Minimal speed but high contact approach gives strong baseline of immediate success; see Mike Moustakas career as possible curve if swing adjustments keep paying off
Brent Honeywell TB 22 RHP 60 Low Deep repetoire and bulldog mentality give Honeywell high floor; fly ball tendencines should give some pause in AL East; 2018 ETA
Alex Reyes STL 23 RHP 60 Med Elite upside but expect 2018 impact in bullpen. Worth playing the long game here with 9+ K/9 potential
Francisco Mejia CLE 22 C/3B 60 High Hit tool ahead of OBP skills but AVG floor is very high to setup as Top 10 option as early as 2018
Brendan Rodgers COL 21 SS 60 Med Quietly behind some other SS who have risen in ranks but power bat + Coors will make Rodgers hot commodity in all leagues; ETA 2019
Sixto Sanchez PHI 19 RHP 60 Med Stuff grades elite but never posting K/9 at 9+ tempers short term expectations; age suggests breakthrough could come quickly with 2019 ETA
Michael Kopech CHW 21 RHP 60 Med Grades compare to Noah Syndergaard but command issues will create slower than desired developmental adjustments
Luis Robert CHW 20 CF 60 High Skills off the charts; this is a growth stock you’re better off grabbing sooner rather than later; speed + power potential if everything clicks
Brendan McKay TB 22 LHP/1B 60 Med Could be Ohtani-like trendsetter at 50% of the price
Mitch Keller PIT 21 RHP 60 Med Elite command set floor very high with smooth MLB entry likely; PIT likely to hold down until late 2018
Keston Hiura MIL 21 2B 55 Med An Ian Kinsler (.273/.342/.447) career is not crazy and would make him extremely valuable
Scott Kingery PHI 23 2B 55 Low Approach plays down in OBP leagues but speed/defense/hit tools will make him great; if power stays, he’s an All Star
Kyle Wright ATL 22 RHP 55 Med Wait-and-see approach but draft pedigree and premium slider suggests he could move faster than any Braves SP; late 2018 ETA possible
Walker Buehler LA 23 RHP 55 Med Power fastball and curve give high floor but with LAD sights on title they don’t have room for patience; bullpen risk short term
Luis Urias SD 20 2B 55 Low Elite barrel control, great track record says do not sleep on power, which is only perceived missing piece here
J.P. Crawford PHI 23 SS 55 Low Prospect forever; may play just above replacement level until power develops
A.J. Puk OAK 22 LHP 55 Med Strong K + GB rates provide promising floor; if command develops further this could be highest upside arm on the list
Luiz Gohara ATL 21 LHP 55 Med Talent and SP2-type stuff is evident but expect growing pains as command develops real time in Braves rotation in 2018
Franklin Barreto OAK 21 CF 55 Med Potential 20-20 player long term whose skills will play down significantly in OBP leagues until approach stabilizes; bust risk exists
MacKenzie Gore SD 18 LHP 55 Med Wide range of outcomes as some scouts see an ace here; athleticism and maturity bodes well for landing closer to SP3 value or better by 2020
Mike Soroka ATL 20 RHP 55 Low 150+ IP in AA at age 19 gives impression of solid floor, though modest K rates suggest the next Rick Porcello
Corbin Burnes MIL 23 RHP 55 Med Under the radar arm with very solid MiLB track record; could surprise and GB profile may be best skill in bag
Anthony Alford TOR 22 CF 55 Med Good candidate for a guy who figures it out in MLB; baseline skills suggest solid OBP and SB, with occasional pop
Cristian Pache ATL 19 CF 55 High 32 SB in 119 games last year hide the fact that he’s never hit a professional HR. Defense alone will make him every day player but bat may be lite
Royce Lewis MIN 18 CF 55 High Seems destined to move off SS but hit and power tools give Lewis high chance to jump up the ranks in 2018
Justus Sheffield NYY 21 LHP 55 Low AFL breakout player could help NYY in 2018, but look to AA performance to set MLB expectations
Carter Kieboom WAS 20 3B 55 Med Bat, power, and position versatility may play like Jedd Gyorko-type career, with upside from there
Michel Baez SD 22 RHP 55 High 2018 performance vs. older competition could either stall value or blow up him near the top of this list
Hunter Greene CIN 18 RHP 55 High Massive fastball and impressive athlete project immense upside if secondaries develop too
Jake Bauers TB 22 RF 50 Low Power has steadily developed along with hit tool over MiLB career; good bet to have boring but underrated fantasy career; KATOH Top 10
Yordan Alvarez HOU 20 LF 50 Med Some scouts extremely high on Alvarez and project both plus hit and power tools; key question is OF or 1B?
Ian Anderson ATL 19 RHP 50 Med Excellent age 19 season implies crazy upside because GB rates are also well above average; ETA likely 2020
Willie Calhoun TEX 23 DH 50 Low He’s going to hit almost immediately; where does he play, and how often? Fun profile to pull for in TEX
Austin Meadows PIT 22 LF 50 Low 2018 will be defining season to show he can hit again and stay healthy now that CF is open in PIT
Alex Verdugo LA 20 RF 50 Low Hit tool so impressive that he’s a good bet to exceed expectations on power production long term
Jesus Sanchez TB 20 RF 50 High Minor league resume so consistently impressive that he’s a candidate to leap big in 2018; TB will take things slow
Juan Soto WAS 19 RF 50 Med OBP high upside darling just needs one healthy season to be considered among the elite bats in OBP leagues
Triston McKenzie CLE 20 RHP 50 Med 186 strikeouts in 143 IP last season suggest much higher upside than current ranking; CLE has solid developmental track record too
Monte Harrison MIA 22 CF 50 High Large developmental steps forward last year suggest he’s figuring it out; power and speed is his game
Colin Moran PIT 25 3B 50 Low Finally unlocked power last season at age 24; David Freese-type career is reasonable if ISO gains stick
Yadier Alvarez LA 21 RHP 50 High Like many pitchers: great stuff but command is everything; 2018 is redefining season; stock down
Austin Riley ATL 20 3B 50 Med Boosted value with defensive and AVG gains after aggressive AA promotion; big bat in the making; 2019 ETA
Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT 20 3B 50 Med Could have Miguel Andujar-like breakout in 2018 but bat probably plays a tier below; move to SS?
Taylor Trammell CIN 20 CF 50 Med 13 HR + 41 SB in 129 G last season; “Trammel is exciting since we don’t know exactly what is ceiling is yet”. Buy now.
Jorge Mateo OAK 22 CF 50 High Imagine what you wanted Billy Hamilton to be and then add a dash of power and AVG and you might get your wish in Mateo
Albert Abreu NYY 22 RHP 50 High More elite arm strength but command still in development; just one of many high upside arms in NYY system
Touki Toussaint ATL 21 RHP 50 High Likely to have massive swings in value due to filthy stuff but maddening command; candidate to be ATL closer by 2020
Tyler O’Neill STL 22 RF 50 Med Volatile range of outcomes here that could resemble something like Adam Duval, Steven Souza, Domingo Santana hybrid
Anderson Espinoza SD 19 RHP 50 High TJS + command concerns make him a watchlist stash at best until at least 2019
Dustin Fowler OAK 23 CF 50 Low Skills may play down in OBP but he’s a sneaky 15-15 candidate if knee heals as everyone hopes
Will Smith LA 22 C 50 Med “He’s an Austin Barnes sequel who’s perhaps two years from the majors.”
Jack Flaherty STL 22 RHP 50 Low Strong STL development track record suggest he can contribute as soon as 2018 in meaningful way (8+ K/9)
Jo Adell LAA 18 RF 50 High Raw Matt Kemp-like skills with off the charts athleticism; risk is high but reward could move him up list quickly
Jorge Guzman MIA 22 RHP 50 High Consistent K/9 rates around 12.0 and GB rates > 50% suggest underrated monster in the making
Tristen Lutz MIL 19 RF 50 High Power is calling card but also hit over .300 in MiLB debut. MIL knows how to develop OF’s, so keep an eye on him
Jahmai Jones LAA 20 CF 50 Low Plus hit, plus run = “He profiles as a table-setting doubles machine.”
Jesus Luzardo OAK 20 LHP 50 Med Scouts agree he’s one of biggest breakout candidates of 2018; 2019 ETA
Danny Jansen TOR 22 C 50 Low Adjustments in 2017 look like real deal; with C ranks thin in MLB, Jansen could exceed expectations, especially in OBP leagues
Alec Hansen CHW 23 RHP 50 High Giant stuff and enough upside to be considered much higher than this if command improves
Adonis Medina PHI 21 RHP 50 Med 120 IP last season at 10.0 K/9 implies quite a bit of upside; 2019 ETA
Cole Tucker PIT 21 SS 50 Med Big, athletic, sneaky speed here give hope for healthy breakthrough this season
Riley Pint COL 20 RHP 50 High MiLB stats are ugly and stock is down but “stuff” alone keeps him on the list
Nate Pearson TOR 21 RHP 50 High Filthy pitches might make him Top 10 arm; with small strides in 2018 his value will shoot up rankings
Nick Gordon MIN 22 SS 50 Low Profile of a “better in MLB than fantasy” SS; ETA late 2018
Max Fried ATL 24 LHP 50 Med Big curveball  and 2018 rotation chance puts him on radar but there’s HR risk here too
Estevan Florial NYY 20 CF 50 High Raw talent is evident but upside and risk are about even right now so 2018 will be big season for stock value
Yu-Cheng Chang CLE 22 SS 50 Med Underrated Ben Zobrist-type who could surprise and play a utility role in CLE as early as 2018
Sean Murphy OAK 23 C 50 High Off radar C prospect with solid approach and maybe average power
Brian Anderson MIA 24 3B 50 Low See Colin Moran profile as they project as similar offensive 3B
Ryan McMahon COL 23 1B 50 Low Huge AAA season boost stock as does possible utility role in COL as early as this year; he can hit
Joey Wentz ATL 20 LHP 50 Med Upside could be Jon Lester if control improves but he’s a few seasons away
Carson Kelly STL 23 C 50 Low KATOH loves him but he’s more likely a backup C in most leagues early in career
Leody Taveras TEX 19 CF 50 Med Upside is 20-20 player in TEX but power may play down from there
Isan Diaz MIA 21 2B 50 Med Aggressive approach implies risk but ultimate upside might be Brian Dozier power from left side
Jon Duplantier ARI 23 RHP 50 Med Solid command helps repertoire play up even more; could impact in 2018
Zack Burdi CHW 22 RHP 50 Med High risk, high reward RP but the fact that he’s even on the list considering TJS shows you how talented he is
Austin Hays BAL 22 RF 50 Med 2017 breakout will be given chance to continue in BAL but skills may play down in OBP leagues early on
Zack Collins CHW 22 1B 50 Low OBP darling could be something like Carlos Santana with limited looks at C
Bobby Bradley CLE 21 1B 50 Med Power left handed bat in the making but ability to cut K rate in 2017 suggests he’s making positive adjustments
Jose Siri CIN 22 CF 50 High Speed and hit tool give hope for five tool player (46 SB’s); approach and age for level suggest high bust potential
Braxton Garrett MIA 20 LHP 50 High Impacted by TJS, he’s a guy to stash on your watch list until 2019
Michael Chavis BOS 22 1B 50 Med Approach and power look comparable to Todd Frazier if things break right
Cole Ragans TEX 20 LHP 50 Med Namesake and changeup remind us of Cole Hamels, but his upside is much lower; 2020 ETA
Brandon Marsh LAA 20 CF 50 High Big-bodied OF with power/speed combo; scouts expect big 2018 breakout
Jay Groome BOS 19 LHP 50 High Some would say disappointing 2017, but underlying stats give hope for upcoming breakout if healthy
Alex Kirilloff MIN 20 RF 50 Med Solid hit and power tools but 2018 is wait and see after TJS
Franklin Perez DET 20 RHP 50 Med Developmentally young as SP, his diverse repertoire will have to offset his fly ball tendencies to confirm pedigree

Trey is a 20+ year fantasy veteran and an early adopter of Ottoneu fantasy sports. He currently administers the Ottoneu community, a network of ~1,200 fantasy baseball and football fans talking sports daily. More resources here: http://community.ottoneu.com

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4 years ago

Kyle Lewis not on the list due to missing most of ’17 with injury?