2017 Ottoneu FGPts Rankings: C/1B/3B

by
February 10, 2017

Today we are kicking off our series on ottoneu FanGraphs points league rankings. This year the rankings will include values from myself, Joe Douglas, and Chad Young. We are presenting our individual dollar values, the average of all three individuals, plus the ranking of that average. In addition the tables below include ottoneu eligibility (5 games started/10 games played in the prior year). Players are ranked at their most valuable position, and the hierarchy we are using is C/SS/2B/3B/OF/1B (with 3B and OF being a coin toss in terms of replacement level, we chose to include 3B/OF eligibles at 3B).

Key:
Split – Difference from highest to lowest $ value
Otto.– Average price across Ottoneu FGpts leagues
AVG. – Average $ value from the four of us
(+/-) – Difference between Ottoneu average price and our average $ value

Ottoneu FGPts-Catcher
Rnk Name Team Elig Justin Joe Chad Split Otto AVG (+/-)
1 Buster Posey Giants 1B/C $32 $26 $33 $7 $37 $30.3 ($7)
2 Gary Sanchez Yankees C $26 $22 $27 $5 $10 $25.0 $16
3 Jonathan Lucroy Rangers 1B/C $21 $25 $20 $5 $18 $22.0 $4
4 Willson Contreras Cubs C/OF $13 $16 $11 $5 $6 $13.3 $7
5 Yasmani Grandal Dodgers C $13 $11 $14 $3 $10 $12.7 $3
6 Evan Gattis Astros C $10 $7 $9 $3 $8 $8.7 $0
7 Stephen Vogt Athletics C $7 $6 $9 $3 $7 $7.3 $0
8 Russell Martin Blue Jays C $7 $5 $6 $2 $8 $6.0 ($2)
8 Salvador Perez Royals C $7 $2 $9 $7 $11 $6.0 ($5)
10 Tom Murphy Rockies C $6 $3 $6 $3 $4 $5.0 $1
11 Yadier Molina Cardinals C $6 $2 $6 $4 $5 $4.7 ($1)
12 Wilson Ramos Rays C $2 $5 $4 $3 $5 $3.7 ($1)
13 Brian McCann Astros C $2 $2 $5 $3 $12 $3.0 ($9)
14 Welington Castillo Orioles C $2 $2 $4 $2 $5 $2.7 ($3)
15 J.T. Realmuto Marlins C $3 $2 $2 $1 $5 $2.3 ($3)
15 Travis d’Arnaud Mets C $2 $2 $3 $1 $11 $2.3 ($9)
15 Devin Mesoraco Reds C $2 $3 $2 $1 $6 $2.3 ($4)
18 Francisco Cervelli Pirates C $2 $- $2 $2 $5 $1.3 ($4)
18 Matt Wieters FA C $1 $1 $2 $1 $7 $1.3 ($6)
18 Zack Collins White Sox C $- $4 $- $4 $- $1.3 $1
21 Cameron Rupp Phillies C $- $3 $- $3 $4 $1.0 ($3)
22 Chris Iannetta Diamondbacks C $2 $- $- $2 $3 $0.7 ($2)
22 Josh Phegley Athletics C $1 $- $1 $1 $- $0.7 $1
22 Mike Zunino Mariners C $1 $1 $- $1 $4 $0.7 ($4)
22 Derek Norris Padres C $- $- $2 $2 $6 $0.7 ($5)
22 Francisco Mejia Indians C $- $2 $- $2 $- $0.7 $1
27 Blake Swihart Red Sox C/OF $1 $- $- $1 $7 $0.3 ($6)
27 Miguel Montero Cubs C $1 $- $- $1 $6 $0.3 ($5)
27 Austin Hedges Padres C $- $1 $- $1 $4 $0.3 ($4)
27 A.J. Ellis Marlins C $- $- $1 $1 $- $0.3 $0
Total # 24 23 22
Total $ $170 $153 $178

Observations:

  • Even if all three of us are using similar projections (like Steamer), our valuation methodologies can result in differing values. The first example is here at catcher, as Joe’s values are lower than mine and Chad’s, especially at the top end (Posey is tied for the largest split in our values)
  • Joe chose to include prospects that should be rostered in ottoneu in his values, while Chad and I limited ourselves to players we believe will be above replacement level in 2017
  • Other than Posey, the catcher with the most difference in dollar values is Salvador Perez. This is also probably due to methodology, but it’s also interesting to note that Perez is relatively weak on a rate basis (wOBA, Pts/PA) but plays quite often for a catcher and very rarely is removed early
Ottoneu FGPts-1B
Rnk Name Team Elig Justin Joe Chad Split Otto AVG (+/-)
1 Miguel Cabrera Tigers 1B $47 $47 $46 $1 $49 $46.7 $(2)
2 Paul Goldschmidt Diamondbacks 1B $46 $44 $40 $6 $49 $43.3 $(6)
3 Joey Votto Reds 1B $44 $46 $38 $8 $40 $42.7 $3
4 Anthony Rizzo Cubs 1B $40 $44 $37 $7 $40 $40.3 $0
5 Freddie Freeman Braves 1B $35 $40 $30 $10 $32 $35.0 $3
6 Edwin Encarnacion Indians 1B $29 $24 $20 $9 $32 $24.3 $(8)
7 Carlos Santana Indians 1B $22 $24 $22 $2 $17 $22.7 $6
8 Jose Abreu White Sox 1B $25 $21 $18 $7 $33 $21.3 $(11)
9 Hanley Ramirez Red Sox 1B $18 $18 $17 $1 $18 $17.7 $0
10 Chris Davis Orioles 1B $16 $21 $12 $9 $23 $16.3 $(7)
11 Eric Thames Brewers Util $12 $14 $21 $9 $5 $15.7 $11
12 Brandon Belt Giants 1B $15 $17 $8 $9 $15 $13.3 $(2)
13 Eric Hosmer Royals 1B $8 $6 $12 $6 $15 $8.7 $(7)
14 Albert Pujols Angels 1B $8 $7 $10 $3 $12 $8.3 $(3)
15 Gregory Bird Yankees Util $7 $6 $7 $1 $6 $6.7 $1
15 Victor Martinez Tigers 1B $6 $6 $8 $2 $8 $6.7 $(1)
17 Lucas Duda Mets 1B $4 $3 $6 $3 $7 $4.3 $(3)
18 Tommy Joseph Phillies 1B $4 $3 $5 $2 $3 $4.0 $1
19 Chris Carter Brewers 1B $3 $3 $2 $1 $4 $2.7 $(2)
19 Adrian Gonzalez Dodgers 1B $3 $3 $2 $1 $17 $2.7 $(15)
21 Joe Mauer Twins 1B $2 $1 $2 $1 $4 $1.7 $(2)
22 Justin Bour Marlins 1B $1 $1 $2 $1 $4 $1.3 $(3)
23 John Jaso Pirates 1B $1 $2 $- $2 $4 $1.0 $(3)
23 Matt Adams Cardinals 1B $1 $1 $1 $- $5 $1.0 $(4)
25 Mike Napoli Rangers 1B $1 $1 $- $1 $4 $0.7 $(3)
25 Kennys Vargas Twins 1B $1 $1 $- $1 $4 $0.7 $(3)
25 Byung-ho Park Twins 1B $1 $1 $- $1 $9 $0.7 $(8)
25 Adam Lind FA 1B $- $- $2 $2 $4 $0.7 $(4)
29 A.J. Reed Astros 1B $1 $- $- $1 $6 $0.3 $(5)
29 Rowdy Tellez Blue Jays 1B $- $1 $- $1 $3 $0.3 $(3)
Total # 28 28 24
Total $ $401 $406 $368

Observations:

  • Overall we have fairly similar rankings, with Chad’s values a bit lower than Joe’s and mine
  • We made some judgement calls on players that have Util only eligibility in ottoneu. We’ve included Thames and Bird here with the 1B, but Schwarber will be included with OF (as he’s likely to earn eligibility there first)
  • Thames is tied for the second highest split in values (behind Freeman), and is certainly the highest variance name on this list. The projections are quite rosy (and Chad’s values as presented here are informed primarily by Steamer), but Joe and I are more cautious about the slugger
Ottoneu FGPts-3B
Rnk Name Team Elig Justin Joe Chad Split Otto AVG (+/-)
1 Nolan Arenado Rockies 3B $47 $46 $45 $2 $35 $46.0 $11.0
1 Kris Bryant Cubs 1B/3B/OF $46 $50 $42 $8 $40 $46.0 $6.1
3 Josh Donaldson Blue Jays 3B $47 $46 $44 $3 $39 $45.7 $6.6
4 Adrian Beltre Rangers 3B $24 $23 $26 $3 $21 $24.3 $3.7
5 Kyle Seager Mariners 3B $22 $21 $19 $3 $21 $20.7 $(0.4)
6 Anthony Rendon Nationals 3B $17 $21 $21 $4 $22 $19.7 $(2.6)
7 Miguel Sano Twins 3B/OF $21 $19 $18 $3 $16 $19.3 $3.3
8 Justin Turner Dodgers 3B $19 $18 $19 $1 $8 $18.7 $10.8
9 Evan Longoria Rays 3B $19 $16 $18 $3 $21 $17.7 $(3.5)
10 Maikel Franco Phillies 3B $14 $8 $20 $12 $11 $14.0 $3.5
11 Mike Moustakas Royals 3B $10 $11 $17 $7 $8 $12.7 $5.2
12 Jake Lamb Diamondbacks 3B $14 $12 $11 $3 $7 $12.3 $4.9
13 Jung Ho Kang Pirates 3B $14 $9 $12 $5 $11 $11.7 $1.2
14 Todd Frazier White Sox 1B/3B $11 $6 $9 $5 $15 $8.7 $(6.4)
15 Pedro Alvarez FA 3B $10 $4 $9 $6 $4 $7.7 $3.6
16 Jose Ramirez Indians 3B/OF $7 $7 $8 $1 $6 $7.3 $1.4
17 Nick Castellanos Tigers 3B $5 $11 $3 $8 $8 $6.3 $(2.1)
18 Ryon Healy Athletics 1B/3B $3 $8 $4 $5 $5 $5.0 $(0.1)
19 Joey Gallo Rangers 1B/3B $4 $1 $3 $3 $8 $2.7 $(5.7)
19 Martin Prado Marlins 3B $1 $1 $6 $5 $5 $2.7 $(1.9)
21 Yulieski Gurriel Astros 3B $1 $4 $2 $3 $9 $2.3 $(6.5)
22 David Wright Mets 3B $2 $- $3 $3 $8 $1.7 $(6.6)
22 Nick Senzel Reds 3B $- $5 $- $5 $- $1.7 $1.7
24 Pablo Sandoval Red Sox Util $1 $2 $- $2 $4 $1.0 $(2.6)
24 Jeimer Candelario Cubs 3B $- $3 $- $3 $3 $1.0 $(2.3)
24 Rafael Devers Red Sox 3B $- $3 $- $3 $- $1.0 $1.0
27 Travis Shaw Red Sox 1B/3B $- $1 $1 $1 $4 $0.7 $(3.5)
28 Cheslor Cuthbert Royals 3B $- $- $1 $1 $4 $0.3 $(3.4)
28 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. Blue Jays 3B $- $1 $- $1 $- $0.3 $0.3
Total # 23 27 24
Total $ $359 $357 $361

Observations:

  • Our closest batch of values yet, with the exception of a couple players with large splits
  • Maikel Franco has the widest range in values here, as Steamer is quite a bit higher on him than other systems. There’s plenty of upside there, and Franco may be a bit of a post-hype guy right now

Any questions or comments about these rankings? Let us know in the comments!





 

Justin is a life long Cubs fan who has been playing fantasy baseball for 20+ years, and an ottoneu addict since 2012. Follow him on Twitter @justinvibber.

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jmor1717
7 years ago

Where’s Myers for 1B?

1
Joe Douglasmember
7 years ago
Reply to  jmor1717

Myers has OF eligibility. He will be ranked there.

2