2016 RotoGraphs Staff Picks

Below, you’ll find the RotoGraphs staffs’ picks for the 2016 season. We, here at RotoGraphs — we like to pick things. Make lists. All that.

If you have some heavy-duty drafting to wrap up this weekend, maybe these picks will come in handy. If not, perhaps they can come in handy as guidance for some thrifty, shifty mid-season moves. And if not that, then simply appreciate these for what they are: literally the best preseason picks you’ll see anywhere. Period!

OK, maybe that won’t end up being true. Who knows! None of us are clairvoyant, and that’s a damn shame. But we do our best to pretend like we are. Anyway, enough of this rambling. Here’s what you came here for, split into two tables — 2016 staff picks for hitters, and more for pitchers.

Also, for further clarity, please refer to the category definitions that follow each table.

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2016 RG Picks: Hitters
ROTOGRAPHER Shallow Sleeper Deep Sleeper UDFA Rookie Sophomore Comeback Bust
TANNER BELL Gerardo Parra Marcell Ozuna Jonathan Villar Corey Seager Kris Bryant Victor Martinez Francisco Lindor
BIRCHWOOD BROS. Delino DeShields Domingo Santana John Jaso Trea Turner Miguel Sano Jonathan Lucroy Troy Tulowitzki
ALEX CHAMBERLAIN Delino DeShields Denard Span Jake Lamb Byung-ho Park Stephen Piscotty Leonys Martin Xander Bogaerts
RYLAN EDWARDS Christian Yelich Wil Myers Aaron Hicks Corey Seager Carlos Correa Wil Myers Yoenis Cespedes
BRAD JOHNSON Maikel Franco Eugenio Suarez Socrates Brito Nomar Mazara Kris Bryant Victor Martinez Joey Votto
PAUL KASTAVA Joc Pederson Brad Miller Chris Carter Corey Seager Michael Conforto Carlos Gomez Kyle Schwarber
JUSTIN MASON Joc Pederson Jonathan Schoop Chris Carter Bradley Zimmer Carlos Correa Leonys Martin Matt Kemp
BLAKE MURPHY Stephen Piscotty Marcus Semien Tyler Goeddel Corey Seager Kris Bryant Wil Myers Ryan Braun
ZACH SANDERS Gerardo Parra Domingo Santana Pedro Alvarez Corey Seager Carlos Correa Jonathan Lucroy Carlos Gonzalez
ENO SARRIS Yasiel Puig Brett Lawrie Jake Lamb Byung-ho Park Carlos Correa Marcell Ozuna Carlos Gonzalez
JOSH SHEPARDSON Michael Conforto A.J. Reed Chris Carter Corey Seager Carlos Correa Jonathan Lucroy Carlos Gomez
SCOTT SPRATT Christian Yelich Victor Martinez Keon Broxton Tyler White Carlos Correa Victor Martinez Miguel Sano
SCOTT STRANDBERG Kevin Pillar Nick Hundley Eduardo Escobar Corey Seager Miguel Sano Victor Martinez Francisco Lindor
BRANDON WARNE Miguel Sano Dee Gordon
CHAD YOUNG Michael Conforto Justin Turner Michael Taylor Corey Seager Carlos Correa Chris Carter Billy Hamilton
JEFF ZIMMERMAN Yasiel Puig Wil Myers Chris Carter Trevor Story Carlos Correa Jean Segura Carlos Correa

HITTER CRITERIA:
Shallow Sleeper: Inside top 200, per NFBC ADP
Deep Sleeper: Roughly 201-300
Undrafted/Free Agent (UDFA): Outside top 300
Rookie: Best rookie hitter (< 130 PA)
Sophomore: Best sophomore hitter (> 130 PA)
Comeback: Someone who was injured or woefully bad last year
Bust: Limited to top 100

2016 RG Picks: Pitchers
ROTOGRAPHER Shallow Sleeper Deep Sleeper UDFA Rookie Sophomore Comeback Pitcher SP Bust RP Bust
TANNER BELL Patrick Corbin Wei-Yin Chen Vincent Velasquez Jose Berrios Noah Syndergaard Jeff
Samardzija
Carlos Martinez Hector Rondon
BIRCHWOOD BROS. Jake Odorizzi Mike Fiers Nathan Eovaldi Brian Johnson Tyler Duffey T.J. House Sonny Gray Shawn Tolleson
ALEX CHAMBERLAIN Patrick Corbin Clay Buchholz Rubby de la Rosa Jose Berrios Raisel Iglesias Adam Wainwright Steven Matz Brad Boxberger
RYLAN EDWARDS Scott Kazmir Kyle Hendricks SP: Chris Bassitt, RP: Hunter Strickland Jose Berrios Noah Syndergaard Jeff Samardzija James Shields Sean Doolittle
BRAD JOHNSON Luis Severino Clay Buchholz Juan Nicasio Jose De Leon Noah Syndergaard Yu Darvish Jordan Zimmermann Mark Melancon
PAUL KASTAVA Mike Fiers Taijuan Walker Nathan Eovaldi Steven Matz Noah Syndergaard Jeff Samardzija Cole Hamels Trevor Rosenthal
JUSTIN MASON Taijuan Walker Kevin Gausman Kyle Gibson Jose Berrios Noah Syndergaard Trevor Bauer Yu Darvish Sean Doolittle
BLAKE MURPHY Raisel Iglesias Kevin Gausman Blake Snell Jose Berrios Noah Syndergaard Trevor Bauer Luis Severino Mark Melancon
ZACH SANDERS Taijuan Walker Wei-Yin Chen Jerad Eickhoff Steven Matz Noah Syndergaard Johnny Cueto Jordan Zimmermann Steve Cishek
ENO SARRIS Luis Severino Anthony DeSclafani Chris Bassitt Lucas Giolito Raisel Iglesias Matt Moore Jeff Samardzija Brad Ziegler
JOSH SHEPARDSON Raisel Iglesias Ian Kennedy Kyle Gibson Steven Matz Noah Syndergaard Matt Moore Sonny Gray Trevor Rosenthal
PAUL SPORER Patrick Corbin Matt Moore Adam Conley Sean Manaea Noah Syndergaard Adam Wainwright Steven Matz Mark Melancon
SCOTT SPRATT Julio Teheran Clay Buchholz Hunter Strickland Blake Snell Joe Ross Adam Wainwright Jose Quintana Santiago Casilla
SCOTT STRANDBERG Yordano Ventura Kevin Gausman Rubby de la Rosa Jose Berrios Noah Syndergaard Jeff Samardzija James Shields Huston Street
BRANDON WARNE Raisel Iglesias Jeremy Jeffress Robbie Ray Jose Berrios Jeff Samardzija
CHAD YOUNG Drew Smyly Clay Buchholz Jerad Eickhoff Jose Berrios Noah Syndergaard Matt Moore Jordan Zimmermann Santiago Casilla
JEFF ZIMMERMAN Raisel Iglesias Robbie Ray Rubby de la Rosa Jose Berrios Noah Syndergaard Adam Wainwright Jacob deGrom Wade Davis

PITCHER CRITERIA:
Shallow Sleeper: Inside top 200, per NFBC ADP
Deep Sleeper: Roughly 201-300
Undrafted/Free Agent (UDFA): Outside top 300
Rookie: Best rookie pitcher (< 50 IP)
Sophomore: Best sophomore pitcher (> 50 IP)
Comeback: Someone who was injured or woefully bad last year
Bust: Limited to top 150





Two-time FSWA award winner, including 2018 Baseball Writer of the Year, and 8-time award finalist. Featured in Lindy's magazine (2018, 2019), Rotowire magazine (2021), and Baseball Prospectus (2022, 2023, 2024, 2025). Biased toward a nicely rolled baseball pant.

25 Comments
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SpudMember since 2020
10 years ago

I’m surprised there’s no Glasnow love at all. It’s all Berrios..

uhhhjboy
10 years ago
Reply to  Spud

It’s pretty hard to jump off of wagons when they’re moving that fast…

parallacks
10 years ago

yo tables go the wrong labels (says hitters twice)

sweepy
10 years ago

Do you have a link to the greatest preseason picks of 2015?

strycal
10 years ago

Zimmerman thinks that Correa will bust but still be the best sophomore hitter? Kris Bryant must really really bust then.

PepeSilvia
10 years ago
Reply to  strycal

Hedging his bets

Jeff ZimmermanFanGraphs Staff
10 years ago
Reply to  strycal

I think Correa is way overvalued in fantasy, but will still have a decent season

admiralthrawn116
10 years ago
Reply to  Jeff Zimmerman

Is the another SS that will hit 20/20. At the top of a dangerous Astros lineup. With a K rate less than 20% historically. That’s projected with a +280 average?

Like I’m really gonna listen to someone who has wade Davis as a RP bust.

David
10 years ago

maybe update the staff picks link in the draft tools box…

David
10 years ago

you guys going to let Brad Johnson keep posting after the votto hate?

Brad JohnsonMember
10 years ago
Reply to  David

All he has to do is miss 20 games to be a bust on his current price. Don’t know how he’s going to score or drive in runs with that supporting cast.

bdresch7
10 years ago

Billy Hamilton has already been a bust right?

Ryan BrockMember since 2025
10 years ago

http://www.fangraphs.com/fantasy/2015-rotographs-staff-picks/ A reminder for anyone too excited about your players being listed here… or too worried about them not being that thing.

slappy jack
10 years ago
Reply to  Ryan Brock

After checking out last year’s … this whole article seems like a waste of everyone’s time.

Nate
10 years ago
Reply to  Ryan Brock

I’d actually say last year’s picks are surprisingly good. Especially if you view it more as “Player A will be better or worse than expectations” as opposed to turning into a star or winning ROY etc.

Nate
10 years ago
Reply to  Nate

I would still add that a formal recap by the authors of the results from last year’s picks would be a nice addition to the present year’s picks article, if anyone feels like doing some extra work.

Nate
10 years ago
Reply to  Nate

Thanks. I still think not that bad last year, you guys are literally trying to predict the future. And specifically the future for players with lower predictability in many cases. Since this year you defined more precise, quantitative criteria for the categories, it should be easier to do a more precise quantitative recap at the end of this season. I look forward to it.

Original Greaser Bob
10 years ago

Nice to see Warne mailing it in.

Weston Taylor
10 years ago

I mean, Mark Reynolds should be on there somewhere, I would think. Coors magic!