2016 Ottoneu FGpts Rankings – Prospects

by
March 4, 2016

Below is the prospects installment of our 2016 Ottoneu FGpt rankings.

Previous Rankings: Catcher/First Base/Third Base/Second Base/Shortstop/Outfield/Relief Pitcher/Starting Pitcher

In Ottoneu, the prospect game is a bit different than in other fantasy leagues.  Ottoneu is not quite a dynasty, where you can stash players forever. But it’s a bit deeper than your average keeper league, and you can reap substantial benefit over a few years if you can score a hit on a top prospect. The rankings below reflect this dynamic – each of us has ranked our top 50 prospects according to a combination of his talent, proximity to MLB, and risk. As with our positional rankings, we’ve included each of our individual rankings, and a composite ranking that represents the average value we place on each player. Unlike our positional ranks, though, we’ve simply ranked our prospects from 1-50. It’s up to you (and your league’s market!) to determine how much of your budget you want to invest in prospects, depending on your team’s situation.

Only players who received a ranking from at least one of the four of us were included. “NR” indicates that the player was not ranked in one of our individual top 50 prospect lists. Consider this your early, subject to change, cheat sheet when you’re determining which prospects to target in your auction.

We can be reached on twitter as follows:

Trey Baughn
Joe Douglas
Tom Oltarzewski
Justin Vibber

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Key:
AVG. – The average of our four rankings (for the purposes of this exercise “NR” was calculated as a ranking of 55)
Split – Difference from highest rank to lowest rank

 

2016 Ottoneu FGpts Rankings – Prospects
Name Team Pos Justin Joe Tom Trey AVG. Split
Corey Seager Dodgers SS 1 1 1 1 1 0
Lucas Giolito Nationals SP 3 5 2 2 3 3
J.P. Crawford Phillies SS 2 4 4 3 3.25 2
Nomar Mazara Rangers OF 8 2 3 5 4.5 6
Byron Buxton Twins OF 5 10 6 4 6.25 6
Julio Urias Dodgers SP 4 6 8 8 6.5 4
Steven Matz Mets SP 15 3 7 6 7.75 12
Tyler Glasnow Pirates SP 6 9 14 11 10 8
A.J. Reed Astros 1B 14 8 10 9 10.25 6
Joey Gallo Rangers OF 18 13 5 7 10.75 13
Yoan Moncada Red Sox 2B 10 19 9 10 12 10
Jose Berrios Twins SP 11 11 17 13 13 6
Alex Reyes Cardinals SP 9 17 18 12 14 9
Orlando Arcia Brewers SS 7 12 28 15 15.5 21
Trea Turner Nationals SS 13 14 13 23 15.75 10
Lewis Brinson Rangers OF 20 15 16 16 16.75 5
Dansby Swanson Braves SS 12 23 23 17 18.75 11
Blake Snell Rays SP 23 7 33 14 19.25 26
Jose De Leon Dodgers SP 29 16 21 20 21.5 13
Brendan Rodgers Rockies SS 25 34 12 19 22.5 22
Rafael Devers Red Sox 3B 17 26 27 22 23 10
Andrew Benintendi Red Sox OF 24 27 24 18 23.25 9
Bradley Zimmer Indians OF 35 20 19 21 23.75 16
Franklin Barreto Athletics SS 19 25 20 33 24.25 14
Nick Williams Phillies OF 33 28 11 26 24.5 22
Austin Meadows Pirates OF 27 21 29 25 25.5 8
Brett Phillips Brewers OF 28 22 22 34 26.5 12
Manuel Margot Padres OF 16 24 32 39 27.75 23
Alex Bregman Astros SS 21 32 34 28 28.75 13
Aaron Judge Yankees OF 45 31 15 27 29.5 30
Jesse Winker Reds OF 31 29 31 29 30 2
Trevor Story Rockies SS NR 18 26 24 30.75 8
Sean Manaea Athletics SP 38 30 30 31 32.25 8
Max Kepler Twins OF 36 33 35 30 33.5 6
David Dahl Rockies OF 34 39 25 40 34.5 15
Gary Sanchez Yankees C 41 35 36 35 36.75 6
Josh Bell Pirates 1B 48 37 37 32 38.5 16
Tim Anderson White Sox SS 22 49 38 47 39 27
Sean Newcomb Braves SP 30 44 42 41 39.25 14
Clint Frazier Indians OF 44 42 40 43 42.25 4
Ozhaino Albies Braves SS 26 38 NR NR 43.5 12
Ryan Mcmahon Rockies 3B 43 45 43 45 44 2
Victor Robles Nationals OF 50 40 39 49 44.5 11
Gleyber Torres Cubs SS 32 46 NR 46 44.75 14
Alex Verdugo Dodgers OF 42 36 48 NR 45.25 12
Robert Stephenson Reds SP 46 NR 45 36 45.5 10
Hunter Renfroe Padres OF NR NR 44 38 48 6
Jose Peraza Reds 2B 37 47 NR NR 48.5 10
Dylan Bundy Orioles SP NR 43 41 NR 48.5 2
Jorge Mateo Yankees SS 40 NR 47 NR 49.25 7
Jonathan Gray Rockies SP 47 NR NR 42 49.75 5
Brandon Drury Diamondbacks 2B/3B NR NR 46 44 50 2
Cody Reed Reds SP NR NR NR 37 50.5 0
Javier Guerra Padres SS 39 NR NR NR 51 0
Anthony Alford Blue Jays OF NR 41 NR NR 51.5 0
Francis Martes Astros SP NR 50 NR 48 52 2
Anderson Espinoza Red Sox SP NR 48 NR NR 53.25 0
Jeff Hoffman Rockies SP 49 NR NR NR 53.5 0
Willy Adames Rays SS NR NR 49 NR 53.5 0
Carson Fulmer White Sox SP NR NR 50 NR 53.75 0
Dillon Tate Rangers RP NR NR NR 50 53.75 0





 

Tom Oltarzewski is a musician and composer, and works at the Curtis Institute of Music in Philadelphia. He has been playing ottoneu baseball since 2012, and ottoneu football since its inception in 2015. Follow Tom on Twitter @tomhasopinions if you don't mind a very low ratio of baseball tweets to other topics.

10 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
TheEmbassy
10 years ago

I’ll ask the obvious question to Justin. What’s the deal with Trevor Story?

0
Justin VibberMember since 2020
10 years ago
Reply to  TheEmbassy

1) I was actually the highest on Story in our SS rankings ($7), so I definitely like him

2) I don’t think Story is a Top 50 prospect, although he is in the Top 75 on my list. I like his short term prospects as a potential Reyes fill-in, but my prospect ranks prioritized upside a bit more than my fellow rankers it seems.

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TheEmbassy
10 years ago
Reply to  Justin Vibber

So, what I’m hearing is you think Story will provide some immediate value, but not as much future value as the other guys, which seems legitimate.

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Tom Oltarzewski
10 years ago
Reply to  Justin Vibber

This definitely reflects how each of us values the different categories of talent, proximity, and risk. Clearly, Justin was looking more at upside, and speaking for myself, I definitely skewed more towards proximity. Hence my higher rankings on players like Aaron Judge (very close to MLB) and Joey Gallo (already reached MLB)

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Browns0286Member since 2018
10 years ago

Why weren’t “NR”s worth 55 for the purpose of the Split category as well?

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Tom Oltarzewski
10 years ago
Reply to  Browns0286

Honest answer – because I created the average column after I had already done the split column. I figured it didn’t make a huge difference, since the “split” is a bit more of a general look at the range of values, not a really technically accurate piece of data. Sorry if that causes any confusion!

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Joe DouglasMember
10 years ago

My rankings specifically reflect who I would bid more for. So Corey Seager is 1, Mazara 2, Matz 3. Not because I think Matz has a better career than Giolito, but because right now, I would bid more for Matz in the context of Ottoneu, than I would for Giolito. Same reason Story is a top 20 guy for me. I don’t think is career is nearly as good as Devers, but proximity (in Ottoneu) is pretty important.

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OddBall Herrera
10 years ago

A little shocked to see Moncada so high up there. Is his ceiling really so high that the fact that he’s unlikely to play in the majors this year is mitigated? Or are people actually thinking he could jump from High-A sometime this year?

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Justin VibberMember since 2020
10 years ago
Reply to  OddBall Herrera

I don’t think any of us are expecting Moncada in the majors this year, and maybe not next year either, so for me the high ranking comes down to upside. It also has a bit to do with “helium”, I didn’t base my ranks on who would be most useful for 2016 (we have positional rankings that capture this), but rather on who might offer the most long term value and market/trade value. I think Moncada could be a stud (think peak HanRam but at 2B), and I also think he’s an easy guy to flip due to the hype.

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Tom Oltarzewski
10 years ago
Reply to  Justin Vibber

Yeah, I agree with Justin there. Part of my ranking on Moncada comes from the upside. He’s already a hot name among prospects, but if he breaks out he could be one of the elite trade chips … plus is he did break out, there’s a decent chance he moves quickly and becomes someone with potential value to your team in 2017 as well. That’s a good crossroads to be at for a prospect.

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