2016 Ottoneu FGpts Rankings – Prospects
Below is the prospects installment of our 2016 Ottoneu FGpt rankings.
Previous Rankings: Catcher/First Base/Third Base/Second Base/Shortstop/Outfield/Relief Pitcher/Starting Pitcher
In Ottoneu, the prospect game is a bit different than in other fantasy leagues. Ottoneu is not quite a dynasty, where you can stash players forever. But it’s a bit deeper than your average keeper league, and you can reap substantial benefit over a few years if you can score a hit on a top prospect. The rankings below reflect this dynamic – each of us has ranked our top 50 prospects according to a combination of his talent, proximity to MLB, and risk. As with our positional rankings, we’ve included each of our individual rankings, and a composite ranking that represents the average value we place on each player. Unlike our positional ranks, though, we’ve simply ranked our prospects from 1-50. It’s up to you (and your league’s market!) to determine how much of your budget you want to invest in prospects, depending on your team’s situation.
Only players who received a ranking from at least one of the four of us were included. “NR” indicates that the player was not ranked in one of our individual top 50 prospect lists. Consider this your early, subject to change, cheat sheet when you’re determining which prospects to target in your auction.
We can be reached on twitter as follows:
Trey Baughn
Joe Douglas
Tom Oltarzewski
Justin Vibber
Key:
AVG. – The average of our four rankings (for the purposes of this exercise “NR” was calculated as a ranking of 55)
Split – Difference from highest rank to lowest rank

Name | Team | Pos | Justin | Joe | Tom | Trey | AVG. | Split |
Corey Seager | Dodgers | SS | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 1 | 0 |
Lucas Giolito | Nationals | SP | 3 | 5 | 2 | 2 | 3 | 3 |
J.P. Crawford | Phillies | SS | 2 | 4 | 4 | 3 | 3.25 | 2 |
Nomar Mazara | Rangers | OF | 8 | 2 | 3 | 5 | 4.5 | 6 |
Byron Buxton | Twins | OF | 5 | 10 | 6 | 4 | 6.25 | 6 |
Julio Urias | Dodgers | SP | 4 | 6 | 8 | 8 | 6.5 | 4 |
Steven Matz | Mets | SP | 15 | 3 | 7 | 6 | 7.75 | 12 |
Tyler Glasnow | Pirates | SP | 6 | 9 | 14 | 11 | 10 | 8 |
A.J. Reed | Astros | 1B | 14 | 8 | 10 | 9 | 10.25 | 6 |
Joey Gallo | Rangers | OF | 18 | 13 | 5 | 7 | 10.75 | 13 |
Yoan Moncada | Red Sox | 2B | 10 | 19 | 9 | 10 | 12 | 10 |
Jose Berrios | Twins | SP | 11 | 11 | 17 | 13 | 13 | 6 |
Alex Reyes | Cardinals | SP | 9 | 17 | 18 | 12 | 14 | 9 |
Orlando Arcia | Brewers | SS | 7 | 12 | 28 | 15 | 15.5 | 21 |
Trea Turner | Nationals | SS | 13 | 14 | 13 | 23 | 15.75 | 10 |
Lewis Brinson | Rangers | OF | 20 | 15 | 16 | 16 | 16.75 | 5 |
Dansby Swanson | Braves | SS | 12 | 23 | 23 | 17 | 18.75 | 11 |
Blake Snell | Rays | SP | 23 | 7 | 33 | 14 | 19.25 | 26 |
Jose De Leon | Dodgers | SP | 29 | 16 | 21 | 20 | 21.5 | 13 |
Brendan Rodgers | Rockies | SS | 25 | 34 | 12 | 19 | 22.5 | 22 |
Rafael Devers | Red Sox | 3B | 17 | 26 | 27 | 22 | 23 | 10 |
Andrew Benintendi | Red Sox | OF | 24 | 27 | 24 | 18 | 23.25 | 9 |
Bradley Zimmer | Indians | OF | 35 | 20 | 19 | 21 | 23.75 | 16 |
Franklin Barreto | Athletics | SS | 19 | 25 | 20 | 33 | 24.25 | 14 |
Nick Williams | Phillies | OF | 33 | 28 | 11 | 26 | 24.5 | 22 |
Austin Meadows | Pirates | OF | 27 | 21 | 29 | 25 | 25.5 | 8 |
Brett Phillips | Brewers | OF | 28 | 22 | 22 | 34 | 26.5 | 12 |
Manuel Margot | Padres | OF | 16 | 24 | 32 | 39 | 27.75 | 23 |
Alex Bregman | Astros | SS | 21 | 32 | 34 | 28 | 28.75 | 13 |
Aaron Judge | Yankees | OF | 45 | 31 | 15 | 27 | 29.5 | 30 |
Jesse Winker | Reds | OF | 31 | 29 | 31 | 29 | 30 | 2 |
Trevor Story | Rockies | SS | NR | 18 | 26 | 24 | 30.75 | 8 |
Sean Manaea | Athletics | SP | 38 | 30 | 30 | 31 | 32.25 | 8 |
Max Kepler | Twins | OF | 36 | 33 | 35 | 30 | 33.5 | 6 |
David Dahl | Rockies | OF | 34 | 39 | 25 | 40 | 34.5 | 15 |
Gary Sanchez | Yankees | C | 41 | 35 | 36 | 35 | 36.75 | 6 |
Josh Bell | Pirates | 1B | 48 | 37 | 37 | 32 | 38.5 | 16 |
Tim Anderson | White Sox | SS | 22 | 49 | 38 | 47 | 39 | 27 |
Sean Newcomb | Braves | SP | 30 | 44 | 42 | 41 | 39.25 | 14 |
Clint Frazier | Indians | OF | 44 | 42 | 40 | 43 | 42.25 | 4 |
Ozhaino Albies | Braves | SS | 26 | 38 | NR | NR | 43.5 | 12 |
Ryan Mcmahon | Rockies | 3B | 43 | 45 | 43 | 45 | 44 | 2 |
Victor Robles | Nationals | OF | 50 | 40 | 39 | 49 | 44.5 | 11 |
Gleyber Torres | Cubs | SS | 32 | 46 | NR | 46 | 44.75 | 14 |
Alex Verdugo | Dodgers | OF | 42 | 36 | 48 | NR | 45.25 | 12 |
Robert Stephenson | Reds | SP | 46 | NR | 45 | 36 | 45.5 | 10 |
Hunter Renfroe | Padres | OF | NR | NR | 44 | 38 | 48 | 6 |
Jose Peraza | Reds | 2B | 37 | 47 | NR | NR | 48.5 | 10 |
Dylan Bundy | Orioles | SP | NR | 43 | 41 | NR | 48.5 | 2 |
Jorge Mateo | Yankees | SS | 40 | NR | 47 | NR | 49.25 | 7 |
Jonathan Gray | Rockies | SP | 47 | NR | NR | 42 | 49.75 | 5 |
Brandon Drury | Diamondbacks | 2B/3B | NR | NR | 46 | 44 | 50 | 2 |
Cody Reed | Reds | SP | NR | NR | NR | 37 | 50.5 | 0 |
Javier Guerra | Padres | SS | 39 | NR | NR | NR | 51 | 0 |
Anthony Alford | Blue Jays | OF | NR | 41 | NR | NR | 51.5 | 0 |
Francis Martes | Astros | SP | NR | 50 | NR | 48 | 52 | 2 |
Anderson Espinoza | Red Sox | SP | NR | 48 | NR | NR | 53.25 | 0 |
Jeff Hoffman | Rockies | SP | 49 | NR | NR | NR | 53.5 | 0 |
Willy Adames | Rays | SS | NR | NR | 49 | NR | 53.5 | 0 |
Carson Fulmer | White Sox | SP | NR | NR | 50 | NR | 53.75 | 0 |
Dillon Tate | Rangers | RP | NR | NR | NR | 50 | 53.75 | 0 |
Tom Oltarzewski is a musician and composer, and works at the Curtis Institute of Music in Philadelphia. He has been playing ottoneu baseball since 2012, and ottoneu football since its inception in 2015. Follow Tom on Twitter @tomhasopinions if you don't mind a very low ratio of baseball tweets to other topics.
I’ll ask the obvious question to Justin. What’s the deal with Trevor Story?
1) I was actually the highest on Story in our SS rankings ($7), so I definitely like him
2) I don’t think Story is a Top 50 prospect, although he is in the Top 75 on my list. I like his short term prospects as a potential Reyes fill-in, but my prospect ranks prioritized upside a bit more than my fellow rankers it seems.
So, what I’m hearing is you think Story will provide some immediate value, but not as much future value as the other guys, which seems legitimate.
This definitely reflects how each of us values the different categories of talent, proximity, and risk. Clearly, Justin was looking more at upside, and speaking for myself, I definitely skewed more towards proximity. Hence my higher rankings on players like Aaron Judge (very close to MLB) and Joey Gallo (already reached MLB)