2 Early Mocks ADP

by
October 7, 2020

Every year I run mock drafts at the end (or right before the end) of the regular season. The idea is to get some gut reactions of the industry on where players are likely to be taken in early drafts for the following year.

While I originally was going to not do them this year, I felt like the abbreviated 2020 season was likely to wreck havoc on drafts coming into 2021, which made this a more important exercise than previous years. I set up nine mock drafts with 15-team NFBC roster requirements last week and with the help of Smada who is a master with spreadsheets and the technical side of stuff, I present to you the first run of the 2 Early Mocks ADP. 

2 Early Mock ADP
Players POS ADP M1 M2 M3 M4 M5 M6 M7 M8 M9
1 Mookie Betts OF 2.2 1 1 3 1 7 4 1 1 1
2 Ronald Acuna Jr. OF 2.6 3 3 2 3 1 3 2 2 4
3 Fernando Tatis Jr. SS 3.2 4 4 1 4 2 5 4 3 2
4 Mike Trout OF 4.6 5 2 4 8 3 2 3 9 5
5 Juan Soto OF 5.4 6 5 6 5 6 6 8 4 3
6 Trea Turner SS 6.7 2 7 8 7 8 8 9 5 6
7 Jacob deGrom SP 7.7 7 8 12 11 10 1 5 8 7
8 Jose Ramirez 3B 7.8 10 12 5 2 9 10 6 7 9
9 Shane Bieber SP 9.2 8 10 A-11 10 A-5 9 7 11 A-10
10 Trevor Story SS 9.6 9 9 9 9 11 11 11 6 11
11 Gerrit Cole SP 10.3 11 6 15 15 4 7 13 10 12
12 Christian Yelich OF 10.9 12 11 7 13 13 12 10 12 8
13 Cody Bellinger 1B,OF 13.8 13 15 10 18 A-12 13 15 13 13
14 Freddie Freeman 1B 13.9 16 13 13 6 21 14 12 15 15
15 Francisco Lindor SS 17.2 15 16 24 16 15 21 16 16 16
16 Bryce Harper OF 18.3 20 18 20 21 14 18 14 20 20
17 Trevor Bauer SP 18.4 23 14 22 12 19 17 23 17 A-17
18 Manny Machado 3B,SS 18.9 14 17 17 14 18 15 29 27 19
19 Yu Darvish SP 19.9 17 19 14 27 22 16 26 18 A-14
20 Bo Bichette SS 22.7 18 20 21 26 35 25 18 23 18
21 Lucas Giolito SP 24.1 19 24 30 24 31 24 19 25 21
22 Nolan Arenado 3B 25.9 34 23 26 20 23 37 20 22 28
23 Max Scherzer SP 26.7 26 26 38 17 29 19 27 32 26
24 Aaron Nola SP 27.2 22 38 23 31 25 23 25 34 24
25 Luis Castillo SP 28.6 29 28 32 33 28 41 17 24 25
26 Walker Buehler SP 29.1 24 27 27 41 34 40 28 19 22
27 Ozzie Albies 2B 30.8 38 36 29 34 17 42 21 26 34
28 Xander Bogaerts SS 30.9 53 21 34 22 43 22 24 29 30
29 Clayton Kershaw SP 31.3 25 45 28 43 30 29 22 31 29
30 Anthony Rendon 3B 31.4 45 30 37 40 16 38 33 21 23
31 Alex Bregman 3B,SS 34.3 54 22 45 23 27 32 32 36 38
32 Luis Robert OF 34.9 39 41 16 45 32 27 38 45 31
33 Adalberto Mondesi SS 35.2 28 34 18 19 39 53 61 28 37
34 DJ LeMahieu 1B,2B,3B 35.4 47 40 39 25 24 55 39 14 36
35 Jose Abreu 1B 37.3 30 44 19 30 26 45 57 53 32
36 Marcell Ozuna OF 37.4 44 46 40 37 37 20 31 43 39
37 Jack Flaherty SP 37.6 27 31 35 58 38 47 40 35 27
38 Rafael Devers 3B 37.7 43 29 43 28 42 44 37 30 43
39 Kyle Tucker OF 38.6 51 42 25 35 41 39 41 33 40
40 Starling Marte OF 42.6 35 55 58 29 51 30 42 48 35
41 Whit Merrifield 2B,OF 43.4 40 47 48 38 49 31 45 51 42
42 Eloy Jimenez OF 43.7 37 37 31 46 47 56 43 52 44
43 Corey Seager SS 44.1 60 58 42 51 20 54 35 44 33
44 Brandon Woodruff SP 44.6 46 52 51 48 36 35 46 46 41
45 Luke Voit 1B 46.4 52 33 44 39 52 62 30 55 51
46 Tyler Glasnow SP 46.4 32 39 56 42 53 51 52 41 52
47 Lance Lynn SP 46.8 21 A-25 47 A-44 40 59 A-34 54 60
48 J.T. Realmuto C 47.6 42 54 33 32 56 60 53 49 49
49 Tim Anderson SS 48.7 36 66 41 36 54 43 58 50 54
50 Zac Gallen SP 48.9 48 51 50 54 33 46 48 64 46
51 Kenta Maeda SP 49.2 31 62 61 59 44 63 36 37 50
52 Blake Snell SP 49.6 41 43 55 57 58 49 51 39 53
53 Dinelson Lamet SP 50.1 33 NA 63 61 48 26 60 65 45
54 Pete Alonso 1B 52.4 55 59 36 72 64 28 71 40 47
55 Max Fried SP 53.9 69 32 46 65 45 58 62 60 48
56 Sonny Gray SP 56.2 57 60 59 52 60 68 44 38 68
57 Trent Grisham OF 56.4 50 NA 49 50 63 65 56 56 62
58 Aaron Judge OF 57.2 76 53 73 49 50 33 66 58 57
59 George Springer OF 57.5 68 NA 53 53 46 66 50 59 65
60 Brandon Lowe 2B 59.8 61 48 60 60 55 69 55 57 73
61 Mike Clevinger SP 61.6 56 64 57 80 70 48 73 42 64
62 Gleyber Torres 2B,SS 63.9 70 56 68 77 57 34 78 79 56
63 Teoscar Hernandez OF 64.1 73 63 72 55 71 50 65 61 67
64 Corbin Burnes RP 64.2 58 NA 67 69 69 64 77 47 63
65 Austin Meadows OF 64.3 83 NA NA 70 61 52 47 66 71
66 Nelson Cruz UT 65.4 59 61 52 62 72 75 63 67 78
67 Cavan Biggio 2B 66.8 82 NA 76 63 81 57 49 68 58
68 Michael Conforto OF 67.7 74 NA NA 67 68 70 54 82 59
69 Vladimir Guerrero Jr. 3B 67.7 67 NA 62 73 95 36 69 72 NA
70 Keston Hiura 2B,OF 70 64 57 75 78 86 71 68 70 61
71 Hyun Jin Ryu NA 71.5 87 49 70 68 74 90 59 75 NA
72 Matt Olson 1B 74.2 63 65 69 76 89 85 81 63 77
73 Sixto Sanchez SP 74.9 62 NA NA 66 62 79 88 98 69
74 Ketel Marte 2B,OF 75.2 65 NA NA 97 83 67 70 69 NA
75 Carlos Carrasco SP 75.3 72 NA NA 83 79 82 85 71 55
76 Paul Goldschmidt 1B 75.5 92 NA NA 87 66 72 74 62 NA
77 Eugenio Suarez 3B 75.9 88 NA 54 84 84 61 84 78 74
78 Kyle Hendricks SP 76.3 101 NA NA 47 85 83 67 81 70
79 Yoan Moncada 2B,3B 76.9 79 NA 64 56 77 73 103 83 80
80 J.D. Martinez OF 78.3 84 NA NA 75 78 89 64 80 NA
81 Zach Plesac SP 78.5 86 NA 71 81 59 94 76 89 72
82 Zack Greinke SP 78.8 49 NA NA 92 65 80 90 97 NA
83 Javier Baez 2B,SS 80.5 81 50 65 71 92 114 87 84 NA
84 Charlie Blackmon OF 81.5 94 NA NA 64 90 77 91 73 NA
85 Stephen Strasburg SP 84 77 NA NA 95 73 74 80 105 NA
86 Josh Hader RP 84.2 71 NA NA 79 NA 76 94 101 NA
87 Yordan Alvarez UT 85.3 80 67 NA 86 88 98 92 86 NA
88 Nick Castellanos NA 85.4 78 NA NA 93 98 81 82 91 75
89 Zack Wheeler SP 86 98 NA NA 88 67 112 75 76 NA
90 Jesus Luzardo SP 86.4 NA NA NA 91 75 78 89 99 NA
91 Will Smith LAD C 87 NA NA NA NA NA 101 86 74 NA
92 Marcus Semien SS 91 NA NA NA NA NA 91 NA NA NA
93 Lourdes Gurriel Jr. SS,OF 93 93 NA NA 90 82 106 102 85 NA
94 Dominic Smith 1B,OF 93.1 99 NA NA 85 91 128 93 77 79
95 Liam Hendriks RP 94.3 A-75 A-35 A-66 112 99 84 95 100 76
96 Matt Chapman 3B 94.8 66 NA NA NA NA 87 120 106 NA
97 Dallas Keuchel SP 96 96 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
98 Anthony Rizzo 1B 96.6 NA NA NA 74 93 105 117 94 NA
99 Jose Berrios SP 96.8 90 NA NA 113 97 88 100 93 NA
100 Mike Yastrzemski OF 97 NA NA NA 115 NA NA NA 110 66
101 Chris Paddack SP 97.6 NA NA NA 105 76 104 101 102 NA
102 Wander Franco TB SS 98 NA NA NA NA NA NA 98 NA NA
103 Giancarlo Stanton OF 98.3 NA NA NA 98 NA 102 NA 95 NA
104 Dylan Bundy SP 99.2 NA NA NA 89 NA 115 97 96 NA
105 Patrick Corbin SP 99.8 NA NA NA 111 NA 117 83 88 NA
106 Devin Williams RP 100 100 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA NA
107 Eddie Rosario OF 100.2 102 NA NA 103 NA 107 99 90 NA
108 Max Muncy 1B,2B,3B 101.2 NA NA NA 82 NA 119 112 92 NA
109 Tommy Pham OF 101.2 89 NA NA 94 NA 113 123 87 NA
110 Dansby Swanson SS 102 91 NA 77 108 NA 121 96 119 NA
111 Sandy Alcantara SP 102.6 NA NA NA 121 94 93 79 126 NA
112 Lance McCullers Jr. SP 103.2 NA NA NA 114 80 NA 111 108 NA
113 Kyle Lewis OF 103.4 95 NA NA 100 NA 118 72 132 NA
114 Andrew Benintendi OF 104 NA NA NA 104 NA NA NA NA NA
115 Byron Buxton OF 104 NA NA NA NA NA 97 NA 111 NA
116 Jeff McNeil 2B,OF 106 NA NA NA 116 87 103 108 116 NA
117 Josh Bell 1B 106 NA NA NA 101 NA 95 122 NA NA
118 Chris Taylor 2B,SS,OF 107 NA NA NA 107 NA NA NA NA NA
119 Jesse Winker OF 107 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 107 NA
120 Pablo Lopez SP 109 NA NA NA NA NA NA 109 NA NA
121 Ryan Mountcastle SS 109 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 109 NA
122 Jose Altuve 2B 109.2 NA NA NA 102 NA 122 110 103 NA
123 Yasmani Grandal C 109.5 NA NA NA 106 NA NA 113 NA NA
124 Kris Bryant 3B,OF 109.7 NA NA NA 110 NA 96 NA 123 NA
125 Salvador Perez C 109.7 NA NA NA NA NA 111 104 114 NA
126 Charlie Morton SP 110 NA NA NA NA NA 110 NA NA NA
127 Aroldis Chapman RP 111 NA NA NA NA NA 109 NA 113 NA
128 Wil Myers 3B,OF 111.5 NA NA NA 109 NA 127 106 104 NA
129 Alec Bohm 3B 111.7 NA NA NA NA NA 86 125 124 NA
130 Randy Arozarena OF 112.5 NA NA NA 127 96 99 128 NA NA
131 Frankie Montas SP 112.7 NA NA NA NA NA 108 105 125 NA
132 Joey Gallo OF 112.8 NA NA NA 123 NA 92 119 117 NA
133 Edwin Diaz RP 113.7 NA NA NA NA NA 100 121 120 NA
134 Kevin Gausman SP 114 NA NA NA NA NA NA 114 NA NA
135 Framber Valdez RP 114.2 NA NA NA 96 NA 120 107 134 NA
136 Jonathan Villar 2B,SS 114.5 NA NA NA 99 NA NA NA 130 NA
137 Marco Gonzales SP 114.7 85 NA A-74 126 NA NA NA 133 NA
138 Carlos Correa SS 115 NA NA NA 117 NA 116 NA 112 NA
139 Julio Urias SP 116 NA NA NA NA NA NA 116 NA NA
140 Ramon Laureano OF 116 97 NA NA NA NA 124 NA 127 NA
141 Jorge Soler OF 117 NA NA NA 119 NA NA NA 115 NA
142 Ian Anderson SP 118 NA NA NA NA NA NA 118 118 NA
143 Didi Gregorius SS 120.5 NA NA NA 120 NA NA NA 121 NA
144 Ian Happ OF 120.5 NA NA NA NA NA 126 115 NA NA
145 Dylan Moore 3B,SS,OF 122 NA NA NA 122 NA NA NA NA NA
146 Franmil Reyes OF 122 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 122 NA
147 Nick Madrigal 2B,SS 123 NA NA NA NA NA 123 NA NA NA
148 Jake Cronenworth 2B,SS 123.5 NA NA NA 118 NA NA NA 129 NA
149 Miguel Sano 3B 124 NA NA NA 124 NA NA NA NA NA
150 Shohei Ohtani SP 124 NA NA NA NA NA NA 124 NA NA
151 Chris Bassitt SP 125 NA NA NA NA NA 125 NA NA NA
152 Dustin May SP 125 NA NA NA 125 NA NA NA NA NA
153 Rhys Hoskins 1B,OF 127 NA NA NA NA NA NA 127 NA NA
154 Victor Robles OF 128 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 128 NA
155 David Price SP 129 NA NA NA NA NA NA 129 NA NA
156 Tony Gonsolin SP 129 NA NA NA 129 NA NA NA NA NA
157 Willson Contreras C 130.5 NA NA NA NA NA NA 126 135 NA
158 Max Kepler OF 131 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 131 NA
159 Michael Brantley OF 134 NA NA NA 128 NA NA NA 140 NA
160 Nick Anderson RP 136 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 136 NA
161 Gio Urshela 3B 137 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 137 NA
162 Brad Hand RP 138 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 138 NA
163 Kenley Jansen RP 139 NA NA NA NA NA NA NA 139 NA
SOURCE: https://smadaplaysfantasy.com/2EarlyMocks/
Red= Autodrafted Player

 

I will post another update or two as things progress. All autodrafts are marked in the chart and were not calculated into the ADP. You can see the live ADP at https://smadaplaysfantasy.com/2EarlyMocks/





 

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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Reuben WalkerMember since 2020
4 years ago

How is the pre-draft rankings list (for auto-drafting) generated?

1
Justin MasonFanGraphs Staff
4 years ago
Reply to  Reuben Walker

It’s by Fantrax’s value calculator.

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