Third Base ADP Market Report: 1/21/2021

With drafts beginning to ramp up, it is important to monitor where players are being draft on a regular basis. Throughout draft season, I will be doing that work for you with regular updates on the Average Draft Position on NFBC up until Opening Day.

Top 100 Players Rising

None

 

Top 100 Players Falling

Alex Bregman (-6.99)- Like many of the Astros, Bregman is coming off of one of his worst seasons in the Majors. There wasn’t a huge change in skills which makes some wonder how much the sign stealing may have helped him in recent years. I don’t expect him to be as bad as he was in 2020, but I also don’t expect a bounceback to 2019 or even 2018 numbers which still puts me out on him at his current price. 

 

Top 200 Players Rising

Tommy Edman (+18.49)- See the last piece in this series on second basemen.

Andres Ginmenez (+41.26)- See the last piece in this series on second basemen.

 

Top 200 Players Falling

None

 

Top 300 Players Rising

Austin Riley (+22.41)- There appears to be a lot of smoke around who the Braves may sign in free agency, but there hasn’t been any real chatter about them signing a third baseman. So, it appears they may be ready to roll with Riley full time. He is still just 23, so I am not eliminating the idea that he can improve his profile, but Riley appears to be what he is at this point, a cheap power source. He is a good guy to draft later if you like punting batting average or have a safer team average due to earlier draft picks. 

Kyle Seager (+17.31)- Seager is not a league winner type player, but he is about as consistent as they come in terms of a safe floor. Prior to the shortened 2020 season, he hit at least 20 home runs in every season since his 2012. He also has been extremely durable throughout his career. Outside of 2019 when he only played 106 games, he has never missed any real time in his career and played all 60 games in 2020. You can pretty much pencil in 20-25 homers with a .240 average and not worry you won’t get at least that. 

Eduardo Escobar (+37.89)- Escobar climb is a bit of a correction after his early ADP was a bit too harsh after his disappointing 2020. There were warning signs coming into last year, but his stellar 2019 and his multi positional eligibility masked the poor StatCast numbers. That being said, he got unlucky in the BABIP department and his contact numbers were above average. 

Isaiah Kiner-Falefa (+20.99)- IKF has jumped up over 80 picks from the beginning of draft season. He was a trendy sleeper heading into 2020 because of his catcher eligibility and a full time role in the infield. Now he has lost that catcher eligibility, but has dual-eligibility at SS and 3B. The Rangers have already committed to him being an everyday player, so he should rack up plenty of plate appearances. He offers pretty much no power, but enough speed and average to make himself interesting in deeper formats as a player that can cover all over the infield for teams. 

Top 300 Players Falling

Brian Anderson (-12.62)- Anderson has been a favorite of a lot of people in the industry for a few years now and I have never understood why. He is about as boring as you can be. The 11 homers in 2020 is great, but he did it on an inflated HR/FB% and with a meager 87.4 mph exit velocity. On top of that, he lost his outfield eligibility. If you like lower 20s home run and a .250-.260 average then he is your guy, but that’s not my cup of tea. 

 

Third Base ADP Market Report: 1/21/2021
12/1/2020-1/21/2021 Player Team Position(s) 10/1/2020-10/31/2020 11/1/2020-11/30/2020 Change
10.19 Jose Ramirez CLE 3B 6.25 8 -2.19
23.83 Manny Machado SD 3B 20.75 20.19 -3.64
33.76 DJ LeMahieu NYY 1B, 2B, 3B 28.75 26.59 -7.17
38.83 Nolan Arenado COL 3B 36.75 34.37 -4.46
43.29 Alex Bregman HOU 3B 32.75 36.3 -6.99
44.38 Rafael Devers BOS 3B 50 45.3 0.92
44.71 Anthony Rendon LAA 3B 40.75 42.67 -2.04
56.14 Cavan Biggio TOR 2B, 3B, OF 57 55.41 -0.73
84.38 Yoan Moncada CWS 3B 93 87.48 3.1
89.52 Eugenio Suarez CIN 3B 91 85.22 -4.3
95.19 Jeff McNeil NYM 2B, 3B, OF 109.25 97.7 2.51
99.69 Max Muncy LAD 1B, 2B, 3B 104 97.52 -2.17
101.81 Alec Bohm PHI 1B, 3B 106.5 106.67 4.86
119.36 Matt Chapman OAK 3B 113 115.85 -3.51
126.55 Tommy Edman STL 2B, 3B, SS, OF 133.75 145.04 18.49
131.69 Ke’Bryan Hayes PIT 3B 158.5 139.37 7.68
142.62 Kris Bryant CHC 3B 123.5 134.7 -7.92
158 Gio Urshela NYY 3B 143.25 154.81 -3.19
173.52 Andres Gimenez NYM 2B, 3B, SS 223.75 214.78 41.26
198.07 Josh Donaldson MIN 3B 191.5 190.89 -7.18
198.83 Jean Segura PHI 2B, 3B 217.25 198.15 -0.68
214.48 Justin Turner LAD 3B 222.75 222.67 8.19
216.21 Brian Anderson MIA 3B 195.75 203.59 -12.62
217.33 Austin Riley ATL 3B 267 239.74 22.41
218.14 David Fletcher LAA 2B, 3B, SS 221.25 219.74 1.6
218.88 J.D. Davis NYM 3B, OF 207.25 210.48 -8.4
239.93 Jeimer Candelario DET 1B, 3B 226.5 242.48 2.55
240.4 Willi Castro DET 3B, SS 239 245.33 4.93
250.05 Kyle Seager SEA 3B 263 267.44 17.39
259.26 Ryan McMahon COL 1B, 2B, 3B 271.5 255.59 -3.67
291.52 Eduardo Escobar ARZ 3B 339.5 329.41 37.89
293.79 Isiah Kiner-Falefa TEX 3B, SS 378.25 314.78 20.99
308.29 Joey Wendle TB 2B, 3B, SS 323.75 309.78 1.49
309.31 Edwin Rios LAD 3B 374.25 351.11 41.8
373.26 Evan Longoria SF 3B 420 430.52 57.26
380.02 Luis Urias MLW 2B, 3B, SS 394 401.96 21.94
389.19 Maikel Franco KC 3B 341.25 338.63 -50.56
410.86 Mike Brosseau TB 1B, 2B, 3B 440.5 425.3 14.44
416.79 Yandy Diaz TB 3B 372.25 416.41 -0.38
432.69 Carter Kieboom WAS 3B 470.5 455.74 23.05
458.38 David Bote CHC 2B, 3B 576.75 542.67 84.29
462.36 Chad Pinder OAK 2B, 3B 577 564.37 102.01
463.17 Rio Ruiz BAL 3B 477.25 486.81 23.64
463.48 Yoshi Tsutsugo TB 3B, OF 471 503.33 39.85
470.33 Marwin Gonzalez MIN 1B, 2B, 3B, OF 471.75 478.33 8
500.62 Isaac Paredes DET 3B 601.5 575.07 74.45
508.81 Asdrubal Cabrera WAS 1B, 3B 472.25 481.56 -27.25
524.02 Spencer Torkelson DET 3B 499 527.33 3.31
541.69 Travis Shaw TOR 1B, 3B 435.5 477.11 -64.58
552.07 Matt Carpenter STL 3B 588.5 606.78 54.71
552.1 Erik Gonzalez PIT 3B, SS 697.5 636.3 84.2
565.67 Brad Miller STL 3B 617.75 615.85 50.18
569.19 Nolan Jones CLE 3B 672 620.67 51.48
594.71 Jedd Gyorko MLW 1B, 3B 631.75 616.37 21.66
605.67 Josh Harrison WAS 2B, 3B 657.75 673.96 68.29
613.67 Josh Jung TEX 3B 729.5 733.19 119.52
626 Jake Lamb OAK 1B, 3B 676.5 656.3 30.3
627.21 Abraham Toro HOU 3B 632 614.3 -12.91
648.14 Johan Camargo ATL 2B, 3B 683.25 698.59 50.45
648.4 Yolmer Sanchez BAL 3B NA NA #VALUE!
719.14 Phillip Evans PIT 3B 738.5 736.07 16.93
726.21 Todd Frazier NYM 1B, 3B NA 737.04 10.83
733.98 Joe Panik TOR 2B, 3B, SS 720.25 734.3 0.32
734.31 Jonathan India CIN 3B 691.5 749.44 15.13
736.36 Eric Sogard MLW 2B, 3B, SS 735.5 749.3 12.94
737.17 Jason Vosler SF 3B NA NA NA
740.4 Nolan Gorman STL 3B NA 733.74 -6.66
745.86 Ehire Adrianza MIN 3B, SS NA 750.59 4.73
746.12 Wyatt Mathisen ARZ 3B NA 724.59 -21.53
748.55 Adeiny Hechavarria ATL 2B, 3B -748.55
750.26 Brandon Drury TOR 3B NA NA NA
NA Brock Holt WAS 3B, OF NA 748.96 NA
NA Jose Rojas LAA 3B NA NA NA
SOURCE: https://nfc.shgn.com/adp/baseball
Draft Champions Data from 12/1/20-1/21/21





Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as random topics that float into his juvenile brain. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational, and a fantasy football and baseball writer for Fantasy Alarm. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

newest oldest most voted
Prophet of the Sandlot
Member
Member
Prophet of the Sandlot

Looking at this list….I see opportunity in Nolan Jones, Moncada, and maybe Jeimer Candelario for undervalue plays in the A.L universe.