The Daily Overlay: Loves to Give Up Home Runs

by
September 22, 2020

We have a 11 game slate on DraftKings for Friday! Don’t forget to check your lineups before lock.

AGENDA
1. The Daily Overlay DK Contest
2. Casual Weather
3. Favorite Stacks
4. Favorite Hitting Plays
5. Favorite Pitching Plays

1. The Daily Overlay DK Contest
Join our contest running on Tuesday’s and Friday’s all season long! Take the money of Justin Mason, Paul Sporer and other fantasy analysts in this fun contest! Next season we will make a DFS League if there is interest.

Join the Daily Overlay’s Draftkings contest here: https://www.draftkings.com/contest/draftteam/92644721

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2. Casual Weather
LAA at SD- 5% chance of rain at game time, but this seems safe.

COL at SF- 10% chance of rain at game time, but it lessens as the game goes on.

 

3. Favorite Stacks
Marlins vs Bryce Wilson-I like Wilson from a skills perspective, but he has struggled with the long ball at the Major League level.

Astros vs Ljay Newsome– Newsome has struggled with home runs this season and the Astros need to win this one to cement their playoff spot.

Dodgers vs Frankie Montas-Montas has not looked right all season and the Dodgers have the best lineup in baseball.

Tigers vs Randy Dobnak– Dobnak has struggled as of late and the Tigers have the talent to make him pay.

Orioles vs Nick Pivetta– Nick Pivetta loves to give up home runs and the Oriles know how to hit them.

 

4. Favorite Hitting Plays
Catcher (Expensive):
Catcher (Punt/Value): Jorge Alfaro at ATL. Alfaro has hit .310/.333/.517 over the last 10 games and has a nice matchup versus Bryse Wilson in ATL. Also consider Sean Murphy, Dalton Varsho, Victor Caratini, and Carson Kelly.

1B (Expensive): Freddie Freeman at ATL
1B (Punt/Value): Nate Lowe at NYM. Lowe has been fantastic since getting full run for the Rays. Also consider Bobby Dalbec, Ryan Mountcastle, Jesus Aguilar, Christian Walker, and Edwin Rios.

2B (Expensive): Brandon Lowe at NYM
2B (Punt/Value): Rougned Odor at ARI. Odor has been awful this year, but has five home runs in his last 10 games. Kind of an all or nothing play. Also consider Wilmer Flores, Niko Goodrum, and Nick Solak.

3B (Expensive): Manny Machado vs LAA
3B (Punt/Value): Edwin Rios vs OAK. Rios has a nice matchup and should be in the lineup with the Dodgers having the first seed all but locked up. He is also only $2,100. Also consider Ke’Bryan Hayes, Nate Lowe, and Rio Ruiz.

SS (Expensive): Corey Seager vs OAK.
SS (Punt/Value): Nick Ahmed vs TEX. Ahmed is hitting .368/.385/500 over his last ten games with a homer and two stolen bases. Though I prefer to pay up at shortstop. Also consider Erik Gonzalez and Niko Goodrum.

OF (Expensive): Mookie Betts, Ronald Acuna, Brandon Lowe, Starling Marte, Cody Bellinger, Whit Merrifield, Marcell Ozuna, George Springer, Kyle Tucker
OF (Punt/Value): Byron Buxton, Michael Brantley, Ryan Mountcastle, Cedric Mullins, Jorge Soler, Lewis Brinson, Austin Hayes, Edward Oliveras

 

5. Favorite Pitching Plays
Cash Games: Zach Davies vs LAA, Framber Valdez at SEA, Blake Snell vs NYM, Dustin May vs OAK

Tournament: Brady Singer vs STL, Drew Smyly vs COL, Jose Quintana at PIT, Keegan Akin at BOS, Caleb Smith vs TEX

Contrarian Plays: Seth Lugo at NYM, Griffin Canning at San Diego, Jordan Lyles at ARI,

 

The Daily Overlay will be running Monday, Tuesday, Wednesday, and Friday this season, so stay tuned for more DFS content on Tomorrow.





 

Justin is the co-host on The Sleeper and The Bust Podcast and writes for Rotographs covering the Roto Riteup as well as other periodic articles. In addition to his work at Rotographs, Justin is the lead fantasy writer/analyst and co-owner for FriendswithFantasyBenefits.com, and the owner of The Great Fantasy Baseball Invitational. He is also a certified addiction treatment counselor. Follow Justin on Twitter @JustinMasonFWFB.

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