The Daily Grind: Scherzzz
Ahoy there, the Streaming Wars are back. A rare instance when war is good for something.
AGENDA
- TDG Invitational
- Weather Reports
- Pitchers to Use and Abuse
- SaberSim Says…
- More Evidence Against The DH
1. The Daily Grind Invitational
Clayton Kershaw was the red herring. Our winner, sjm26b opted for a 4.4 point upgrade on Kershaw by taking Dylan Bundy. Then he also picked Manny Machado, Justin Upton, J.D. Martinez, and Nelson Cruz. The result was a nice easy win. Congrats and Leaderboard.
Guess what? We’re playing on FantasyDraft tonight. See ya there.
If you have not signed up for FantasyDraft, please use this referral link for tracking purposes. If I understand properly, by using the referral, you will receive a 10 percent return on any rakes you pay.
2. Weather Reports
Watch out for storms in Baltimore. A delay is more likely than a postponement.
3. Pitchers to Use and Abuse
Main Slate: It’s a bruiser of a slate with all 15 games on the docket. Max Scherzer is far and away the best arm available, although it’s not like we’re bereft of choices if $26,400 proves too costly. Scherzer is usually well worth the price of admission. The challenge is determining if he’s going to be over-owned. With no clear cut second ace in the contest, I’m going to guess he’s around 40 percent owned on FantasyDraft (which is too high).
Next on the list is Masahiro Tanaka ($22,500). He’s hosting the Blue Jays. For a second straight season, Tanaka appears to be finishing on a high note. He’s coming off an eight-inning gem against the Mariners. Despite some positive signs, I’m unlikely to use him. I’d rather find another $3,900 for the upgrade to Scherzer – or go much cheaper.
Walker Buehler ($19,400) is visiting Jack Flaherty ($18,800). They’re the third and fourth most expensive. It’s a shame they cancel each other out. I prefer the Buehler side of the equation – he’s considerably more talented. Not that Flaherty is a stiff – he’s a quality pitcher too.
Jose Berrios ($18,000) has just two good outings over his last eight appearances. They both came against the Royals. Guess who he plays tonight? He’ll probably return some value.
Noah Syndergaard ($17,600) is heavily discounted because he’s visiting the Red Sox. Thor is having a strange season. Even the Phillies got to him last week. I figure this is probably par value in Boston. Sure, there’s upside for an ace quality outing, but most plausible outcomes are likely to be disappointing.
Matt Boyd ($16,400) is overpriced for a matchup against the Indians. It’s because he’s set to face homer prone Josh Tomlin. Don’t fall for the hype. Or lack of hype. Who said anything about hype?
Matt Shoemaker ($14,600) has looked good since returning from the disabled list. He’ll probably post 10 to 20 points opposite the Mariners. And hey look, that’s how he’s priced!
Chris Archer ($13,900) looks like a modest bargain in a visit to Milwaukee. It’s a tough matchup at a hitter’s venue, but Archer still has as much upside as Syndergaard with equivalent potential to disappoint us. However, he’s also much cheaper than Thor.
Stack Targets: Connor Sadzeck, Roenis Elias, Robbie Erlin, Marco Estrada, Luis Ortiz, Hector Velazquez, Tomlin, Jorge Lopez
4. SaberSim Says…
Scherzer, Cole Hamels, Berrios, Tyler Anderson, and Archer are the top rated pitchers. I completely missed Anderson ($13,100). He’s a fine play at AT&T Park. I’m not so keen about Hamels. Playable values include Anderson, Archer, Chris Stratton, and Gio Gonzalez. Mike Trout, Giancarlo Stanton, Rhys Hoskins, Jose Ramirez, and Andrew McCutchen are the preferred bats. Bargain hunters will notice, Logan Forsythe, Chris Davis, Mike Zunino, Daniel Murphy, and DJ Stewart.
5.More Evidence Against The DH
When an automatic out isn’t an automatic out.
Javier Baez shows us up.
Who needs a designated hitter.
I mean seriously, who needs it (link only).
You can follow me on twitter @BaseballATeam
Saw amazing stat from last night. Clayton Kershaw threw his 13th straight quality start- his 2nd longest streak of his career(in ’14 he had 17 straight).
I have one roster move and one start left in my semi-finals matchup. Shields is on my roster (@BAL tonight) and Jhoulys Chacin is on the wire (vs. PIT Sunday). Do I make the move and hope nothing goes wrong/gets delayed over the weekend? Or is the flexibility of having one more move worth more than the upgrade to Chacin? Worried about the weather in BAL tonight.
Also what is up with Giancarlo Stanton? He’s been in a massive slump since hitting donger #300.
It’s been a weird season for Stanton. He’s been on a foul homer binge. I swear he has as many foul as fair homers.
If you can afford to wait another day on Chacin, you might as well. Play it by ear with the BAL matchup. I don’t think it’ll rain out though.
Thanks Brad. Down to Shields or Chacin for my last start. I’ll take the bird in the hand with Shields tonight given all the starts moving around this week.
Would you start Franmil Reyes over Marcell Ozuna?
Probably not.
Dropping Contreras for Hedges in a H2H redraft with one week left? What about Myers for Schebler?
Probably wouldn’t target Hedges. And still prefer Myers to Schebler
Only problem with Hedges is that he’s now in a 50/50 split with Mejia. Since September 6, he’s only had 16 PA’s. Mejia has had 19. It’s 4-4 in games started.
Caratini? Lucroy?
Astudillo seems to be playing more. Although, I’d just hope Contreras rebounds.
Ditch the C slot altogether and pick up an extra starter?
I’m only allowed one more pickup in the first round of the playoffs. My only path to victory is taking SBs (losing 6-4) and saves (losing 7-5). I don’t need another starter. I was going to pick up either Alvaredo or Jankowski (facing Chirinos and his crap arm this weekend). But…. Stripling is available, and he just got moved back to the rotation. And if I don’t get him someone else will. I’m probably not going to win this round but he’d put me in a better position to win the consolation round (and money). This is the toughest decision I’ve had to make in a while.
Stripling has thrown 5+ IP exactly once since July 12th – Aug 9th after which he was put right back on the DL. He was pulled from his last start after 3.1 IP even though he was pitching reasonably well (3.1 IP, 1 R on a HR, 3 H, 1 BB, 4 K) and was only at 51 pitches, had just retired Eugenio Suarez and was heading into the bottom of the order. It’s September and every team has 13 guys in the bullpen. Stripling is a trap IMO. (My opponent this week fell into the same trap with Montgomery yesterday)
He was supposed to remain in the bullpen ROS after his DL stint, Wednesday was a spot start where he was only scheduled to go 3 IP/45 pitches. He has now been moved to the rotation full time and should be getting real starts.
According to the sabersim the Yankees might hit 9 home runs today. 1-9 all with one each.