What’s up today
- Blasted early games
- DFS late picks
- Traditional fantasy pitchers (tomorrow)
- Das Chart
1. Why is there baseball in the morning?
I’ve lived on the east coast my whole life. Now that I’m in Pacific Time Land, I get/have to watch baseball in the morning. It’s weird. Two factors conspire to give me a very busy morning. First, Eno has me covering the noontime chat on FanGraphs (come visit me). That’s noon ET. Second, major league baseball saw fit to schedule most of the games in the early afternoon, which is too close to post time for me to provide timely advice.
The good news for me is that FanDuel doesn’t have many “early only” contests today. Other platforms do, but I’m not specifically in charge of covering them.
And by the way, I made $50 on $3 of entries last night. I don’t expect this run to continue…
2. DFS notes
Here are a few observations about the early games.
Jordan Zimmermann has been scratched. Repeated in all caps: ZIMMERMANN SCRATCHED.
It’s just a four game night schedule to work with, so stack creatively. The Yankees definitely have the best matchup and the best park to play in, but keep in mind that everybody can see that. If you’re playing a tournament, consider stacking A’s and M’s hitters. They A’s are coming off a double header and both teams are probably going to hit the pen early. At least in FanDuel, everyone is cheap enough that you can use almost any combination of players.
Stay away from the Red Sox versus Orioles game. Trust me.
3. Tomorrow’s pitchers
Erik Johnson will be on the road against the Royals. It’s not an easy matchup and I’d rather watch a few of his starts before jumping off the deep end. I picked him as a solid fantasy performer during draft season, but that doesn’t mean we can’t tread carefully.
I think my colleagues would smack me upside the head if I failed to point to Jenrry Mejia. He’s got good stuff, I don’t know if that will translate into efficient outings.
To exploit: I don’t know about Roberto Hernandez. The Phillies signed him because they caught their analytics team (person?) up to 2009, when we were pointing at HR/FB rate as an indicator of luck. Sometimes though, pitchers just have really home run friendly pitches. His slider was the pitch that allowed the silliest damage. Maybe he was hanging them. Maybe he actually was unlucky. In any case, I’m comfortable exploiting him.
I’ll take the Indians against Mike Pelfrey all day, every day.
Ryan Vogelsong is only in the rotation because the Giants don’t have anybody else. The Dodgers should mash him.
Joe Saunders is still around, but only because the Pitcher Reaper lives in Texas. Tropicana Field is a good park for him, but I still expect the Rays to put up plenty of runs.
4. Das chart
It’s a risky weather day. Cincinnati is a mess and may get rained out. Avoid if possible. The Orioles have a chance of showers all game, that’s another one to avoid. The Tigers are expected to face nasty conditions including a cold, light rain. They’ll get this one in, but it’ll be unpleasant. Pittsburgh will probably receive Cincinnati’s storms around mid-game.
So there are a whopping two games with good conditions. Which probably means you won’t be able to go green across the board with your hitters. Sorry for ya.
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