Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:30 |
: Welcome.
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7:30 |
: Here are the results from the two 15-team, Tout Wars mixed leagues.
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7:31 |
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7:31 |
: Ward or Siri as a replacement for Robert?
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7:32 |
: Both? Neither should be available. I’d go with Ward first.
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7:32 |
: With Nootbaar coming off the IL soon and interesting options on FAAB like Marsh and Joe, would you cut Outman already in a 12 team 5×5? He’s been awful and now isn’t a constant in the lineup.
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7:33 |
: I’d be streaming at least one OF spot in a 12-teamer. Outman is a streamer based on facing enough righties. I’d lean Marsh over Joe.
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7:33 |
: MacArthur in the same pool as Leclerc and Scott or above bc he’s got 2 saves?
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7:33 |
: Not sure yet but close
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7:34 |
: Was drafting Strider 1.1 bad process?
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7:35 |
: 1.1 probably IMO, 1.2 not so much. With the first few rounds, I try to limit my exposure if a injury happens
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7:35 |
: Who is the better dart throw, Ashby or Turnbull?
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7:36 |
: Turnbull, Ashly was horrible in his minor league rehab start. His velocity was down so much, it was being picked up as a changeup.
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7:37 |
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7:37 |
: Are we holding or dropping Trevor Story?
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7:37 |
: I’d drop. Even if he returns, it’s likely that his shoulder still bothers him
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7:38 |
: Give up on nasty Nestor for littell?
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7:38 |
: That seems like a fine trade. There were no guarantees on Nester coming back from his injury
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7:38 |
: Mountcastle or N Lowe when latter healthy? Spiderman meme? Good start vs coming off oblique decider, maybe
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7:39 |
: Mountcastle. I’m a little worried Walsh might split time with Lowe
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7:39 |
: Do you prefer Detmers over Gavin Stone?
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7:39 |
: Right now, yes.
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7:39 |
: Good weekend from Tovar. He a Coors product only or could be top-12 SS?
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7:39 |
: No top-12, not even close for me.
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7:40 |
: Who is the better use of a roster spot if your speculating on Saves ROS? Who is the best at the moment: Kopech, Ginkel, Brock Stewart, or David Robertson (12 tm 5×5 redraft)
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7:40 |
: Kopech for both
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7:40 |
: It’s Oliver Dunn interesting? Playing more than expected? Would you try to grab in an NL only?
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7:40 |
: In an NL-only, grab him up
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7:40 |
: Terrible news about Strider. Who do you think the Braves will call up first? Bryce Elder or AJ Smith Shawver?
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7:41 |
: No clue right now and I’m not really interested in either over some of the other WW options.
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7:41 |
: Blaze Alexander, Oliver Dunn, or David Hamilton – Who has the most value in roto for the rest of the season?
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7:42 |
: it might be Dunn based on playing time. I would add Hamilton first based on the SB upside
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7:42 |
: Haniger is not striking out which is… new. He’s a top -___ OF when healthy?
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7:42 |
: 75 25 HR and a .250 is not that interesting
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7:42 |
: Rank these for this week: Turnbull (2 starts), Varland (2 starts), Singer (1 start)
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7:43 |
: Turnbull …. Varland, Singer
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7:43 |
: With Eloy & Robert out, is G.Sheets a decent speculative add in 15-team league? Or do u prefer Profar? Thanks
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7:43 |
: They are both close in value. The key will be if Sheets gets platooned.
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7:43 |
: How early and how much FAAB % are you using to stash the young Orioles who might be out there in 15s and 16s. Mayo, Hjerstaad, Norby
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7:45 |
: I’m not going to speculate with them. It’s impossible to know which one and for how long. I’d focus on the guy (e.g. Mongomery with CHW) in system with needs.
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7:45 |
: drop J Paxton (LAD) for B Garrett (MIA) or G Williams (CLE)? League counts IP QS and K/9 (not Wins) – season long
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7:46 |
: Maybe for G Williams.
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7:46 |
: Thoughts on Ivan Herrera’s playing time going forward? His bat seems legit right?
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7:46 |
: I think with even a 50% share, he’s interesting as a deep catcher option.
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7:46 |
: Saves+Holds format – release LeClerc for Yennier Cano or Shelby Miller?
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7:46 |
: not yet
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7:48 |
: In a situation where both hitting and pitching is needed in a 17 team mixed league, please rate the following players in terms of FAAB desirability; Harrison Bader, Steven Matz, AJ Puk, Seth Brown? FAAB budget is $100. Your FAAB articles and input in these chats is greatly appreciated.
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7:48 |
: ………..Matz …………….Brown, Bader, Puk Matz is the only guy I’d target
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7:48 |
: Would you roll with Ober (LAD, @DET) over Grayson (@BOS) or Manaea (KC)?
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7:49 |
: Probably … smoke them if you got them
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7:49 |
: Busch or Kirilloff – ROS, OBP/SLG league
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7:49 |
: Kirilloff
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7:50 |
: 11 team NL only 14/9 $100 FAAB How much for Montgomery? I just got beat out on Cease after bidding $60 on him and I am pissed (and I need pitching help)
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7:50 |
: $45
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7:50 |
: Thanks for doing these chats, Jeff. How do you rank these Story replacements in a 15 teamer: Masyn Winn, Blaze, Oliver Dunn, B. Rocchio?
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7:50 |
: Blaze, Dunn, Winn, Rocchio
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7:51 |
: how many rp do you suggest rostering in a s+h league?
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7:51 |
: I use three and stream like crazy if the league is shallow enough
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7:51 |
: Hi Jeff – thanks for doing this. First time asking – I’m in a OBP/BB/SLG/OPS/HR/SB league. Buxton, Nootbaar or Ward (read your waiver wire article)?
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7:52 |
: Ward, Nootbaar, Buxton
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7:52 |
: 12T with K/BB stats. Reid Detmers or Luis Severino?
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7:52 |
: Dietmers
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7:52 |
: Is McArthur a must add for saves? currently stashing Chris Martin and Hunter Harvey
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7:52 |
: McArthur over both
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7:52 |
: Where can I find these 40% of leagues that don’t have Taylor Ward rostered?
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7:53 |
: Somewhere on CBS
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7:53 |
: Morton or Wacha qs format?
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7:53 |
: Morton for me
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7:53 |
: Rest of Outlook? Gallo > McNeil?
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7:54 |
: Yes, but this is saying one pile is poo is better than another pile of poo. They are both still poo
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7:54 |
: Can Christian Scott help my depleted staff this season?
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7:54 |
: He should. That said, I think there is a chance that Butto is better than the rest of the Mets rotation
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7:55 |
: Manaea looked good again today. Do you like him ros?
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7:55 |
: Yes
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7:55 |
: Would you drop Nestor for Bradford or Turnbull?
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7:56 |
: I might stream Turnbull but most likely hold
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7:56 |
: ROS. Gleyber over Gimenez in (CBS) points? close?
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7:57 |
: Gimenez by a ton right. Torres is likely still ailing from an early season injury.
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7:57 |
: Both are droppable in a S+H 12-er for dudes like Robertson and D Hudson, you think?
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7:57 |
: Sure, I look at usage patterns
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7:58 |
: S+H league. Have Diaz and Chapman. Drop abreu for any of these? uribe, m miller, slaten, Robertson, Ginkel, poche. So many options on the wire.
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7:59 |
: Ginkel has thrown in three days, he’s an option
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7:59 |
: Michael Busch small sample size — plate discipline gains and hitting the ball hard — Buying as a viable fantasy contributor this year? 12 OC+
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8:00 |
: I should but I’m stacked at 1B and 3B so he doesn’t make a dent
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8:00 |
: I need to add an OF for roster flexibility. How do you rank the following on my waiver wire: Alex Kiriloff, Will Benson, Max Kepler, Brandon Marsh, Jurickson Profar, JJ Bleday, Jackson Merrill? 12-team H2H with OBP. Thanks!
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8:00 |
: Why not your entire WW
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8:01 |
: Benson, Profar, Marsh, Bleday
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8:01 |
: NL-only 5×5. Would you drop Lynn or Mikolaus, for Turnbull or Waldron or Winans? Winans seems to be a reliever. I can put any pickup on my reserves for a while.
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8:01 |
: Mikolas for Turnbull
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8:01 |
: Is Jose Abreu done? In a 15 team NFBC, cut him for a waiver wire CI guy like J Walsh or T Lipscomb or hold for another week and hope he gets going?
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8:02 |
: He’s still hurt (hand or wrist). Feel free to move on while checking in to see if he’s healthy
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8:02 |
: Is Pepiot now safe? Logan Allen? SP help for 12 team Points. QS league.
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8:02 |
: Who knows what safe is? They are safe to make their next start.
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8:02 |
: Kenta Maeda’s been less than impressive so far out of all the SPs on Detroit Tigers staff. If he continues to struggle, will he make way for the Tigers to bring up Matt Manning permanently to replace Maeda in the rotation or is Maeda safe because the Tigers gave him 2 year contract?
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8:03 |
: I could see Maeda eventually head to the bullpen but it’ll take a month or two. On top of that, I’m not sure Manning is an upgrade over Maeda
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8:03 |
: Are you concerned about Cedric Mullins. He filled up the counting categories, but his AVG and OBP were awful and Baltimore has a lot of OF depth, although more on the corners, like Heston.
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8:05 |
: Yes but he’s always been on the verge of being unrosterable
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8:05 |
: Thanks for doing these chats Jeff!
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8:05 |
: You’re welcome
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8:05 |
: I’ve always had a soft spot for Dylan Moore. Should I try to change myself or should I pick him up for Josh H. Smith in my AL only OBP legue?
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8:05 |
: No, Moore only starts against lefties.
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8:06 |
: Brayan Bello was dropped in my 15 tm mixed. Is he worth a big bid? Numbers aren’t great.
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8:06 |
: I’d drop 20%+
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8:06 |
: He’s one of the drop to dream for.
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8:06 |
: Hi Jeff, would you drop Jose Siri for Lars Nootbaar (in anticipation of him being activated tomorrow)?
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8:06 |
: no
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8:07 |
: How much interest should there be in Ashby? A little worried about the velocity, would you rather have him or a Houck or Meyer in a QS league?
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8:07 |
: I want Quintana over Ashby. Keep Houck and Meyer
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8:08 |
: Hey Jeff, thanks again. Sewald is available in my 15 team NFBC roto, what do you think he’ll go for?
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8:08 |
: 10%, he’s a tough hold
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8:08 |
: Lawrence Butler or Josh H. Smith (AL Only, OBP). Both are trending towards strong-side platoon roles, Smith on a better team, though Butler hit 3 balls over 100mph today…
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8:08 |
: Smith for now
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8:08 |
: Baty or Rengifo as a backup 3B while Lewis is on the shelf?
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8:08 |
: Baty
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8:09 |
: How do you prioritize hitters ROS when deciding between two similar player types? Projections? Razzball? Some other ranking system?
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8:10 |
: For pitchers, I have a complex system that averages several values including STUFFF++pp values. As for hitters, I’m just using my preseason projections for now. Eventually I’ll move to in-season Steamer.
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8:10 |
: How would you rank minter, Daniel Hudson, Kittredge, Gallegos, Estevez and kekering in a saves plus holds lead? Also any under the radar ratio options you’d suggest. Thanks for doing this weekly!
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8:12 |
: Even … and I’m not targeting any this week. I’m not after any of them.
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8:12 |
: Would you drop Kerry Carpenter for Ward? OBP league. Thanks!
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8:12 |
: Yes, I let go of Carp last week. Not enough playing time.
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8:12 |
: Thank you for doing these chats Jeff! Vinnie Pasquantino was dropped in a 10 teamer 6×6 including OPS. Drop Hoskins or Lourdes Gurriel for him?
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8:12 |
: No, I think Vinnie is still hurt and go with the other two
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8:12 |
: Worth stashing Skenes now? How long do we think he stays in AAA?
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8:13 |
: Someone should
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8:13 |
: No idea on the time and if anyone says they know, they’re lying.
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8:13 |
: Is Detmers a priority in 12 team roto leagues?
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8:13 |
: yes
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8:13 |
Over Brenden Rodgers? Thanks! |
8:13 |
: Yes
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8:14 |
: Drop DL Hall for Ben Brown..?
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8:14 |
: I would by Im high on brown
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8:15 |
: Reese McGuire is gaining ground in Boston. Was he a consideration in your WW piece? On a par w/ Kelly?
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8:15 |
: I think the key with McGruire is that Wong is down
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8:16 |
: I think managers will be looking for upgrades.
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8:16 |
: Concerned w Julien? Slow start?
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8:16 |
: I’ve never rostered Julien. I think he’s way over valued to start with.
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8:16 |
: Is David Hamilton a must roster in deeper leagues? Between him and blaze Alexander for open spot. You’re the best!
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8:17 |
: I went BLAZE over Hamilton in Tout Wars
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8:17 |
: Thanks Jeff – you’re the best for doing this every Sunday
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8:17 |
: You’re welcome
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8:17 |
: Bowden Francis laid a fat pitch to Stanton today but he also racked up 5 ks. Is he still worth a stash in 15 team mixed leagues w 10 pitchers and AL only leagues?
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8:18 |
: Before today, my system loved him especially his STUFF values
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8:18 |
: For hitters, once into the season and you start to see playing time changes, do you accept the BatX or other plate appearance projections or adjust to your own playing time expectations?
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8:20 |
: I start with theirs (Razzball for now). Also, I’ve written up lineups on Friday so I know of some changes. One other item I run on Sunday is a ranking of plate appearances over the last few days to see if anyone is playing more.
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8:20 |
: So is Ben brown a rp you roster over guys in your cut line?
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8:20 |
: I don’t play cutline
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8:20 |
: Enough tonight?
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8:21 |
: I’d hope. I’d be closer to $40 to $50
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8:21 |
: Need to replace Story. David Hamilton, Jared Walsh, Gio Urshela or Josh Smith best options who should I take?
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8:21 |
: Go with Hamilton for now
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8:21 |
: Who do you like better in an NL only? Turnbull or Assad?
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8:22 |
: Turnbull. Both should be rostered in an NL-only
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8:22 |
: no room for both…12 team obp and need steals
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8:22 |
: Turant
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8:22 |
Noot to be active.. need to cut one… Ward,Melendez, Carroll, O’Neill, RaefaLor Bleday. 4×4
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8:22 |
: Rafeala or Belday
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8:22 |
: dump Rendon for lux, JD Davis, or b marsh obp roto?
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8:22 |
: For Davis or Marsh. Ignore Lux
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8:22 |
: First waiver adds go through tonight at midnight. How much would you spend on Crochet? Is $18 excessive?
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8:23 |
: Not excessive and might not be enough.
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8:23 |
: Is a guy like Blaze Alexander worth chasing over a safer, but boring, Thairo Estrada?
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8:23 |
: Keep Estrada
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8:23 |
: Gelof>>
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8:24 |
: Not as many as you think
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8:24 |
: Hey Jeff – If you had a spare bench spot, who is the better hold for the 2nd half (NL only) Ray, Kershaw, or May… or none are worth a spot?
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8:24 |
: Ray IMO
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8:24 |
: H Davis about to gain C eligibility…must add in 13 team mixed, 2 C format?
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8:25 |
: Yes, he probably already is rostered in most leagues.
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8:25 |
: Mikolas or Turnbull
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8:25 |
: Turnbull
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8:25 |
: OC – Scherzer worth a stash if back in 6 more weeks? Lost Strider and feel like I need impact.
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8:25 |
: Sure
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8:25 |
: Do you like kopech over leclerc or estevez?
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8:26 |
: No, Estevez is the easy #1 of that group. Kopech is probably even with LeClerc
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8:27 |
: I’m going to stop the chat there and look over my leagues before the NFBC FAAB runs. Good luck to all.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Thanks again Jeff for tge Bonus Round.