Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Welcome.

7:30
Jeff Zimmerman: Here are the results from the two 15-team, Tout Wars mixed leagues.

7:31
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:31
Brian: Ward or Siri as a replacement for Robert?

7:32
Jeff Zimmerman: Both? Neither should be available. I’d go with Ward first.

7:32
The Batman: With Nootbaar coming off the IL soon and interesting options on FAAB like Marsh and Joe, would you cut Outman already in a 12 team 5×5? He’s been awful and now isn’t a constant in the lineup.

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d be streaming at least one OF spot in a 12-teamer. Outman is a streamer based on facing enough righties. I’d lean Marsh over Joe.

7:33
Jeff: MacArthur in the same pool as Leclerc and Scott or above bc he’s got 2 saves?

7:33
Jeff Zimmerman: Not sure yet but close

7:34
Guest: Was drafting Strider 1.1 bad process?

7:35
Jeff Zimmerman: 1.1 probably IMO, 1.2 not so much. With the first few rounds, I try to limit my exposure if a injury happens

7:35
JT: Who is the better dart throw, Ashby or Turnbull?

7:36
Jeff Zimmerman: Turnbull, Ashly was horrible in his minor league rehab start. His velocity was down so much, it was being picked up as a changeup.

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman:

7:37
Bill: Are we holding or dropping Trevor Story?

7:37
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d drop. Even if he returns, it’s likely that his shoulder still bothers him

7:38
Cashman: Give up on nasty Nestor for littell?

7:38
Jeff Zimmerman: That seems like a fine trade. There were no guarantees on Nester coming back from his injury

7:38
Goggins: Mountcastle or N Lowe when latter healthy? Spiderman meme? Good start vs coming off oblique decider, maybe

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: Mountcastle. I’m a little worried Walsh might split time with Lowe

7:39
Daro: Do you prefer Detmers over Gavin Stone?

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: Right now, yes.

7:39
Timbo: Good weekend from Tovar. He a Coors product only or could be top-12 SS?

7:39
Jeff Zimmerman: No top-12, not even close for me.

7:40
JW: Who is the better use of a roster spot if your speculating  on Saves ROS? Who is the best at the moment: Kopech, Ginkel, Brock Stewart, or David Robertson (12 tm 5×5 redraft)

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: Kopech for both

7:40
Johny5Alive: It’s Oliver Dunn interesting? Playing more than expected? Would you try to grab in an NL only?

7:40
Jeff Zimmerman: In an NL-only, grab him up

7:40
AustinPeavy: Terrible news about Strider. Who do you think the Braves will call up first? Bryce Elder or AJ Smith Shawver?

7:41
Jeff Zimmerman: No clue right now and I’m not really interested in either over some of the other WW options.

7:41
Middle Infield: Blaze Alexander, Oliver Dunn, or David Hamilton – Who has the most value in roto for the rest of the season?

7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: it might be Dunn based on playing time. I would add Hamilton first based on the SB upside

7:42
Sal: Haniger is not striking out which is… new. He’s a top -___ OF when healthy?

7:42
Jeff Zimmerman: 75    25 HR and a .250 is not that interesting

7:42
Pastrahmi: Rank these for this week: Turnbull (2 starts), Varland (2 starts), Singer (1 start)

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: Turnbull …. Varland, Singer

7:43
Fred: With Eloy & Robert out, is G.Sheets a decent speculative add in 15-team league? Or do u prefer Profar? Thanks

7:43
Jeff Zimmerman: They are both close in value. The key will be if Sheets gets platooned.

7:43
Honkus Wagner: How early and how much FAAB % are you using to stash the young Orioles who might be out there in 15s and 16s. Mayo, Hjerstaad, Norby

7:45
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m not going to speculate with them. It’s impossible to know which one and for how long. I’d focus on the guy (e.g. Mongomery with CHW) in system with needs.

7:45
Steve: drop J Paxton (LAD) for B Garrett (MIA) or G Williams (CLE)? League counts IP QS and K/9 (not Wins) – season long

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: Maybe for G Williams.

7:46
Matt: Thoughts on Ivan Herrera’s playing time going forward? His bat seems legit right?

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: I think with even a 50% share, he’s interesting as a deep catcher option.

7:46
Ronnie: Saves+Holds format – release LeClerc for Yennier Cano or Shelby Miller?

7:46
Jeff Zimmerman: not yet

7:48
Old and Confused: In a situation where both hitting and pitching is needed in a 17 team mixed league, please rate the following players in terms of FAAB desirability; Harrison Bader, Steven Matz, AJ Puk, Seth Brown?  FAAB budget is $100.   Your FAAB articles and input in these chats is greatly appreciated.

7:48
Jeff Zimmerman: ………..Matz …………….Brown, Bader, Puk        Matz is the only guy I’d target

7:48
Oberwise: Would you roll with Ober (LAD, @DET) over Grayson (@BOS) or Manaea (KC)?

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: Probably … smoke them if you got them

7:49
Tommy: Busch or Kirilloff – ROS, OBP/SLG league

7:49
Jeff Zimmerman: Kirilloff

7:50
diadem: 11 team NL only 14/9 $100 FAAB How much for Montgomery? I just got beat out on Cease after bidding $60 on him and I am pissed (and I need pitching help)

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: $45

7:50
BCW: Thanks for doing these chats, Jeff.  How do you rank these Story replacements in a 15 teamer:  Masyn Winn, Blaze, Oliver Dunn, B. Rocchio?

7:50
Jeff Zimmerman: Blaze, Dunn, Winn, Rocchio

7:51
Brian: how many rp do you suggest rostering in a s+h league?

7:51
Jeff Zimmerman: I use three and stream like crazy if the league is shallow enough

7:51
OBP league: Hi Jeff – thanks for doing this. First time asking – I’m in a OBP/BB/SLG/OPS/HR/SB league. Buxton, Nootbaar or Ward (read your waiver wire article)?

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Ward, Nootbaar, Buxton

7:52
Pick One: 12T with K/BB stats.  Reid Detmers or Luis Severino?

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: Dietmers

7:52
TONY: Is McArthur a must add for saves? currently stashing Chris Martin and Hunter Harvey

7:52
Jeff Zimmerman: McArthur over both

7:52
HappyFunBall: Where can I find these 40% of leagues that don’t have Taylor Ward rostered?

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Somewhere on CBS

7:53
Toolsy: Morton or Wacha qs format?

7:53
Jeff Zimmerman: Morton for me

7:53
Guest: Rest of Outlook? Gallo > McNeil?

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, but this is saying one pile is poo is better than another pile of poo. They are both still poo

7:54
Dakine: Can Christian Scott help my depleted staff this season?

7:54
Jeff Zimmerman: He should. That said, I think there is a chance that Butto is better than the rest of the Mets rotation

7:55
Alec Lemas: Manaea looked good again today. Do you like him ros?

7:55
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes

7:55
Ricky: Would you drop Nestor for Bradford or Turnbull?

7:56
Jeff Zimmerman: I might stream Turnbull but most likely hold

7:56
2B Pts: ROS. Gleyber over Gimenez in (CBS) points? close?

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: Gimenez by a ton right. Torres is likely still ailing from an early season injury.

7:57
Pressly Abreu: Both are droppable in a S+H 12-er for dudes like Robertson and D Hudson, you think?

7:57
Jeff Zimmerman: Sure, I look at usage patterns

7:58
Bob: S+H league. Have Diaz and Chapman. Drop abreu for any of these? uribe, m miller, slaten, Robertson, Ginkel, poche. So many options on the wire.

7:59
Jeff Zimmerman: Ginkel has thrown in three days, he’s an option

7:59
Donny Park: Michael Busch small sample size — plate discipline gains and hitting the ball hard — Buying as a viable fantasy contributor this year? 12 OC+

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: I should but I’m stacked at 1B and 3B so he doesn’t make a dent

8:00
Guest: I need to add an OF for roster flexibility. How do you rank the following on my waiver wire: Alex Kiriloff, Will Benson, Max Kepler, Brandon Marsh, Jurickson Profar, JJ Bleday, Jackson Merrill? 12-team H2H with OBP. Thanks!

8:00
Jeff Zimmerman: Why not your entire WW

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Benson, Profar, Marsh, Bleday

8:01
Analyst: NL-only 5×5. Would you drop Lynn or Mikolaus, for Turnbull or Waldron or Winans? Winans seems to be a reliever. I can put any pickup on my reserves for a while.

8:01
Jeff Zimmerman: Mikolas for Turnbull

8:01
Greg: Is Jose Abreu done?  In a 15 team NFBC, cut him for a waiver wire CI guy like J Walsh or T Lipscomb or hold for another week and hope he gets going?

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s still hurt (hand or wrist). Feel free to move on while checking in to see if he’s healthy

8:02
The Path of Totality: Is Pepiot now safe? Logan Allen? SP help for 12 team Points. QS league.

8:02
Jeff Zimmerman: Who knows what safe is? They are safe to make their next start.

8:02
AustinPeavy: Kenta Maeda’s been less than impressive so far out of all the SPs on Detroit Tigers staff. If he continues to struggle, will he make way for the Tigers to bring up Matt Manning permanently to replace Maeda in the rotation or is Maeda safe because the Tigers gave him 2 year contract?

8:03
Jeff Zimmerman: I could see Maeda eventually head to the bullpen but it’ll take a month or two. On top of that, I’m not sure Manning is an upgrade over Maeda

8:03
Mike: Are you concerned about Cedric Mullins.  He filled up the counting categories, but his AVG and OBP were awful and Baltimore has a lot of OF depth, although more on the corners, like Heston.

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes but he’s always been on the verge of being unrosterable

8:05
Guest: Thanks for doing these chats Jeff!

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: You’re welcome

8:05
Do You Want Moore?: I’ve always had a soft spot for Dylan Moore. Should I try to change myself or should I pick him up for Josh H. Smith in my AL only OBP legue?

8:05
Jeff Zimmerman: No, Moore only starts against lefties.

8:06
Walsh: Brayan Bello was dropped in my 15 tm mixed. Is he worth a big bid? Numbers aren’t great.

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d drop 20%+

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: He’s one of the drop to dream for.

8:06
PG: Hi Jeff, would you drop Jose Siri for Lars Nootbaar (in anticipation of him being activated tomorrow)?

8:06
Jeff Zimmerman: no

8:07
Gallienus: How much interest should there be in Ashby? A little worried about the velocity, would you rather have him or a Houck or Meyer in a QS league?

8:07
Jeff Zimmerman: I want Quintana over Ashby. Keep Houck and Meyer

8:08
Seanold: Hey Jeff, thanks again. Sewald is available in my 15 team NFBC roto, what do you think he’ll go for?

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: 10%, he’s a tough hold

8:08
Bench Bat: Lawrence Butler or Josh H. Smith (AL Only, OBP). Both are trending towards strong-side platoon roles, Smith on a better team, though Butler hit 3 balls over 100mph today…

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: Smith for now

8:08
Anon: Baty or Rengifo as a backup 3B while Lewis is on the shelf?

8:08
Jeff Zimmerman: Baty

8:09
Guest404: How do you prioritize hitters ROS when deciding between two similar player types? Projections? Razzball? Some other ranking system?

8:10
Jeff Zimmerman: For pitchers, I have a complex system that averages several values including STUFFF++pp values. As for hitters, I’m just using my preseason projections for now. Eventually I’ll move to in-season Steamer.

8:10
Blake ayal: How would you rank minter, Daniel Hudson, Kittredge, Gallegos, Estevez and kekering in a saves plus holds lead? Also any under the radar ratio options you’d suggest. Thanks for doing this weekly!

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Even … and I’m not targeting any this week. I’m not after any of them.

8:12
Rickey: Would you drop Kerry Carpenter for Ward? OBP league. Thanks!

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, I let go of Carp last week. Not enough playing time.

8:12
Guest: Thank you for doing these chats Jeff!  Vinnie Pasquantino was dropped in a 10 teamer 6×6 including OPS.  Drop Hoskins or Lourdes Gurriel for him?

8:12
Jeff Zimmerman: No, I think Vinnie is still hurt and go with the other two

8:12
Tim: Worth stashing Skenes now? How long do we think he stays in AAA?

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: Someone should

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: No idea on the time and if anyone says they know, they’re lying.

8:13
Anon: Is Detmers a priority in 12 team roto leagues?

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: yes

8:13
Diane K: Is blaze Alexander worth a pickup
Over Brenden Rodgers? Thanks!

8:13
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes

8:14
TONY: Drop DL Hall for Ben Brown..?

8:14
Jeff Zimmerman: I would by Im high on brown

8:15
Reese Piece?: Reese McGuire is gaining ground in Boston. Was he a consideration in your WW piece? On a par w/ Kelly?

8:15
Jeff Zimmerman: I think the key with McGruire is that Wong is down

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: I think managers will be looking for upgrades.

8:16
Rick: Concerned w Julien?  Slow start?

8:16
Jeff Zimmerman: I’ve never rostered Julien. I think he’s way over valued to start with.

8:16
U: Is David Hamilton a must roster in deeper leagues? Between him and blaze Alexander for open spot. You’re the best!

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: I went BLAZE over Hamilton in Tout Wars

8:17
TONY: Thanks Jeff – you’re the best for doing this every Sunday

8:17
Jeff Zimmerman: You’re welcome

8:17
Powdered Toast Man: Bowden Francis laid a fat pitch to Stanton today but he also racked up 5 ks. Is he still worth a stash in 15 team mixed leagues w 10 pitchers and AL only leagues?

8:18
Jeff Zimmerman: Before today, my system loved him especially his STUFF values

8:18
Go Nats: For hitters, once into the season and you start to see playing time changes, do you accept the BatX or other plate appearance projections or adjust to your own playing time expectations?

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: I start with theirs (Razzball for now). Also, I’ve written up lineups on Friday so I know of some changes. One other item I run on Sunday is a ranking of plate appearances over the last few days to see if anyone is playing more.

8:20
Dave in slc: So is Ben brown a rp you roster over guys in your cut line?

8:20
Jeff Zimmerman: I don’t play cutline

8:20
$200 R Blanco: Enough tonight?

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: I’d hope. I’d be closer to $40 to $50

8:21
Guest: Need to replace Story. David Hamilton, Jared Walsh, Gio Urshela or Josh Smith best options who should I take?

8:21
Jeff Zimmerman: Go with Hamilton for now

8:21
Powdered Toast Man: Who do you like better in an NL only? Turnbull or Assad?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: Turnbull. Both should be rostered in an NL-only

8:22
V Scott vs Turang: no room for both…12 team obp and need steals

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: Turant

8:22
Broken Bat: Noot to be active.. need to cut one… Ward,Melendez, Carroll, O’Neill, RaefaLor Bleday. 4×4

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: Rafeala or Belday

8:22
juice: dump Rendon for lux, JD Davis, or b marsh obp roto?

8:22
Jeff Zimmerman: For Davis or Marsh. Ignore Lux

8:22
Sean: First waiver adds go through tonight at midnight. How much would you spend on Crochet? Is $18 excessive?

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Not excessive and might not be enough.

8:23
Old Greg: Is a guy like Blaze Alexander worth chasing over a safer, but boring, Thairo Estrada?

8:23
Jeff Zimmerman: Keep Estrada

8:23
Guest: Gelof>>

8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: Not as many as you think

8:24
Frankie: Hey Jeff –  If you had a spare bench spot, who is the better hold for the 2nd half (NL only) Ray, Kershaw, or May… or none are worth a spot?

8:24
Jeff Zimmerman: Ray IMO

8:24
Jimmy: H Davis about to gain C eligibility…must add in 13 team mixed, 2 C format?

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Yes, he probably already is rostered in most leagues.

8:25
ballerzzz81: Mikolas or Turnbull

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Turnbull

8:25
Hill: OC – Scherzer worth a stash if back in 6 more weeks? Lost Strider and feel like I need impact.

8:25
Jeff Zimmerman: Sure

8:25
Dave in slc: Do you like kopech over leclerc or estevez?

8:26
Jeff Zimmerman: No, Estevez is the easy #1 of that group. Kopech is probably even with LeClerc

8:27
Jeff Zimmerman: I’m going to stop the chat there and look over my leagues before the NFBC FAAB runs. Good luck to all.





Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.

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Broken BatMember since 2020
1 year ago

Thanks again Jeff for tge Bonus Round.