Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
| 7:32 |
: No wallet buster this week but ton of suspect starters on the wire.
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| 7:32 |
: Here the results from the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues
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| 7:33 |
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| 7:33 |
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| 7:33 |
: Hey Jeff, when looking to stream pitchers, is there a specific metric or two you use to evaluate the streamers opponents? Not sure how to gauge opposing offenses from a fantasy perspective. thanks.
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| 7:34 |
: I use Razzball’s weekly streamers: https://razzball.com/streamers-nextweek/
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| 7:34 |
: About $1 per week and completely worth the time saved.
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| 7:34 |
: top early week streams in my league are Corbin, Arrieta, Wainwright, Arihara, Fulmer. Pick 2
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| 7:34 |
: Arrieta and Fulmer
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| 7:34 |
: Nicky Lopez is making a lot more contact at the bottom of the KC line-up. Another SB today. Is he a better AL Only bench bat than Kyle Isbel at this point?
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| 7:35 |
: For sure, Isbel is just not hitting
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| 7:35 |
: Top mid week streams in my league are Hoffman, Weathers, Junis, Widener (i know, crazy!) are hoffman and junis def the top 2
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| 7:36 |
: Yes, but I’m interested in Weathers. I think he should be where he can be bench and monitored
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| 7:36 |
: When should we expect kelenic
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| 7:36 |
: Don’t know, but I’d not be surprised if Kiroloff gets called up mid-week
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| 7:36 |
: rank these closer options: Soto, Tyler Rogers, Crichton, Taylor Rogers
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| 7:37 |
: Crichton, Taylor, Soto, Tyler
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| 7:37 |
: When do you cut a cheap arm in a mono keeper league? Would you cut a $1 Justus Sheffield (facing LAD then probably HOU) for Danny Duffy?
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| 7:38 |
: That’s probably the right move, but it sucks. I know in the past that the lack of options makes me just ride out the bad start
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| 7:38 |
: Asdrubal, Enrique, Duvall or Moran long term?
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| 7:38 |
: Enrique is a distance #1 for this season
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| 7:38 |
: Time to move on from Phillip Evans, Nate Lowe, and Johnathon India in 12 team OBP?
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| 7:38 |
: To who?
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| 7:39 |
: When should we expect to see the call-ups of Nolan Jones or Brandon Marsh? Is there any chance they would be called before May/super2?
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| 7:39 |
: I think Marsh could be soon. As for the Jones, the Super-2 date is more likely
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| 7:39 |
: Cut Tanner Scott for Kendall Graveman in AL only? I have Scott for $1 but care more about winning than keepers.
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| 7:39 |
: Yes
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| 7:40 |
: D. German was dropped in my league. Should I buy low and stash him on the bench, or would guys like Fedde, Fleming, Bumgarner, C. Martinez, K. Wright be better options?
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| 7:40 |
: Drop almost all of them for German. I’m pretty sure his start is just getting skipped
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| 7:41 |
: Shocked to find Dansby Swanson dropped in my 12 teamer. Thoughts on a FAAB % to put on him?
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| 7:42 |
: 20% at least. You might need to look at where other owners stand and adjust to at least “beat” the owners with lower totals.
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| 7:42 |
: Do you trust Andrew Heaney yet?
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| 7:42 |
: Not really, but I didn’t roster him. Let me look…
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| 7:43 |
: … strikeouts and walks up. He’s fine.
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| 7:43 |
: Justin Upton, Bryan Reynolds, or DJ Stewart? 14 Team H2H Points League
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| 7:43 |
: Reynolds
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| 7:43 |
: Worried about Cavan yet?
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| 7:44 |
: No, not yet
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| 7:44 |
: Evan Longoria or Phillip Evans in a 12-team, 25-man roster league? H2H Cat?
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| 7:44 |
: I think Longoria vs all RHP for seven games.
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| 7:45 |
: The Giants have a nice hitting match up
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| 7:45 |
: Christian Arroyo is playing a lot in Boston but wasn’t on your WW list. Where would he rank in AL only pickups? Thanks!
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| 7:46 |
: Josh Harrison area
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| 7:46 |
: Picked up fulmer for a buck earlier this week after his first start when I saw the increased velo stick. Was surprised I didnt see more people jumping back in on him. You’re the first person I saw who appears to see what I saw. Assuming he sticks with the current plan (less fb, more SL/CH), do you think he can up the K rate from where it was at pre-TJ?
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| 7:47 |
: We’ll see. I’m wondering if some experts are keeping quite and hoping to sneak him on for the cheap
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| 7:47 |
: Where would you have jeff Hoffman among the arms you mentioned in you’re write up? Normally I would just ignore him, but the fact that its cincys pitching coaches with their hands on him is making me pause.
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| 7:48 |
: I like him and his ownership might not meet my thresholds. Luke Weaver-ish
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| 7:48 |
: Renato Nunez is batting 5th. But by “batting” I mostly mean striking out.
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| 7:49 |
: Yep
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| 7:49 |
: what’s the deal with Sam Hilliard. Is he droppable in my NL only 9 team league? I know 9 sucks. Who’s better to pick up brubaker or Bryce Wilson? Thx
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| 7:50 |
: I like the idea of a low ownership number sticking with an only. I’m in an AL-only 9 team leauge
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| 7:50 |
: Hillard is so tough to roster right now. It really comes dowon the the replacement
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| 7:50 |
: Brubaker
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| 7:50 |
: With Turnbull coming back from the covid IL, is fulmers spot safe? Have to assume its urena that would get bumped right?
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| 7:51 |
: Yes if I read the article from MLB.com right …
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| 7:51 |
: It sounds like there is going to be a piggyback
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| 7:52 |
: What % FAAB on JB Bukauskas?
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| 7:52 |
: 1% to 2%
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| 7:52 |
: Order of FAAB wagers: Brubaker, Junis, Ynoa, Shoemaker? Thanks!
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| 7:52 |
: Shoe, Ynoa, Junis, Brubaker
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| 7:53 |
: i have garret richards in an al only. Would you take any or all of these guys over him? Fulmer, Odorizzi, Fleming, Gibson, Quintana, Folty, or could do a reliever like Loasiga, Stoutmont, whitlock. thoughts?
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| 7:53 |
: I would add Fulmer, Odorizzi, Fleming, Gibson over Richards at this point
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| 7:53 |
: Thanks as always for these chats, they really help on FAAB decisions. Drop Yarborough for Tony Disco, Junis with his new cutter, or Ynoa?
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| 7:53 |
: All four should be rostered.
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| 7:54 |
: I’d just play the matchups
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| 7:54 |
: J.Montgomery was dropped in our 12 Team roto. Drop G.Marquez or Smyly to add?
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| 7:54 |
: Smyly
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| 7:54 |
: Great catch on the article re: tigers rotation! Thanks!
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| 7:54 |
: No problem
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| 7:55 |
: Canha & Santander available, either an improvement on my Mancini/Schwarber/Nimmo?ESPN points, K penalty
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| 7:55 |
: Watch your format. The Orioles only have 5 games and Oakland is playing the Twins (COVID issues)
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| 7:56 |
: If it’s points, get the at-bats and maybe stay away from these options.
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| 7:56 |
: do you have any confidence in Dean Kremer by chance?
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| 7:56 |
: Didn’t he just get demoted?
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| 7:57 |
: None, he’s in the minors
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| 7:57 |
: Any hope for CMart? Deep NL only, with opportunity to stash.
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| 7:57 |
: Stash if you can, but not really. He needs to be in the bullpen
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| 7:57 |
: What’s your take on odorizzi? He’s had 2 bad starts, although after injury, and they were against bad offenses. Cut for alex cobb?
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| 7:58 |
: Definitely add Cobb. He looks great out of Baltimore
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| 7:58 |
: How much would you drop on graveman
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| 7:58 |
: He’s going to go for 5% to 30% depending on how desperate owners are for Saves.
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| 7:59 |
: Is Logan Webb still worth rostering in a 12-team?
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| 7:59 |
: No, there are better options
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| 7:59 |
: Hi there Jeff. Thanks for the Sunday night chats. I would give JT Brubaker and get Ian Happ in a 15 team 6×6 mixed league with OBP and IP as extra categories. No brainer to accept, no?
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| 7:59 |
: Take the trade
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| 7:59 |
: faab for wander franco? too soon?
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| 8:00 |
: He’s worth adding if you have the roster spot. If there is room, 1% could pay off huge.
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| 8:00 |
: Jed Lowrie available in 15 team NFC league… How much?
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| 8:01 |
: He was high last week, might be 10% but know the A’s start with Twins (COVID). Have a replacement
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| 8:01 |
: Should I be worried about Mountcastle’s slow start?
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| 8:02 |
: Yep, and I’m way too invested. At least others are struggling on the team.
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| 8:02 |
: Do you think Josh Rojas gets sent down? Or does he stick around as a bench piece in ARI?
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| 8:02 |
: He’ll be a bench bat since he can play OF and IF. It sucks that he could never hit in the majors.
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| 8:02 |
: how many damn leagues do you play lol
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| 8:03 |
: About 10 FAAB (five I share). about 5 D&H and about 10 best balls.
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| 8:03 |
: Time to trade Walker Buehler before all the other league owners catch on to his velo drop? What would you target as return?
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| 8:04 |
: Get it a try. Find someone desperate for pitching.
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| 8:04 |
: Drop either of Kikuchi or Ynoa for Junis?
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| 8:04 |
: No, but all three need to be rostered
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| 8:04 |
: Bregman moved to my IL. Ian Happ on my waiver – pick him up? Other options are Longoria, Moran, Franco, Segura, Shaw
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| 8:05 |
: Longoria for the week. Razz has him as the 57th overall player for next week
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| 8:05 |
: drop sano for m franco?
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| 8:06 |
: No, but I’d keep looking. I might for Shaw
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| 8:06 |
: Easy to say “they should all be rostered” but I have literally no one else to drop! 😢😢😢
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| 8:07 |
: Some owners just aren’t active and let their teams sit.
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| 8:07 |
: Eduardo Escobar or jazz for MI? Not sure I trust jazz to control
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| 8:07 |
: Depends if you need power or speed
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| 8:07 |
: Expectations for Adolis Garcia going forward?
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| 8:08 |
: He’s shown power and speed and might not be in a platoon. In some leagues, that rosterable.
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| 8:08 |
: I accidentally bid $280 instead of $28 on Josh Rojas a couple weeks ago. On a completely unrelated note I am rooting hard for your Rojas love to come through.
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| 8:09 |
: Sorry, but checking bids is the first thing I do after this chat. Missing out on some is fine, but bidding $700 vs $70 can be fatal
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| 8:09 |
: Is Gore getting close to getting the call in SD?
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| 8:10 |
: I don’t know. He’s not getting the call because of control issues. The Padres might be waiting for minor league games to see if he can get it together.
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| 8:10 |
: Colin Moran and/or Travis Shaw: how much faab %?
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| 8:11 |
: 3% and I like Shaw but Moran is fine.
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| 8:11 |
: Who are a few of your favorite dark horse RP to bid on this week, with hopes they could close by next weekend? Brogdon? Middleton?
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| 8:12 |
: The only non-obvious options are in StL (Reyes velo down, Mining the News) and Givens (Bard has been bad).
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| 8:13 |
: didnt see dj stewart on your list. in an al only would you have him ranked higher or lower than marmolejos and adolis garcia?
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| 8:13 |
: I’d have him higher long term but the 5 games kills his value this week.
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| 8:13 |
: 10 tm NL Only with $100 FAAB. How much would you bid on J Harrison if you need 2B? (Replacing H. Perez). Thanks!
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| 8:14 |
: 5% to 20%.
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| 8:14 |
: Regulars don’t normally show up
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| 8:14 |
: What are your thought on Mike Brosseau? Looks like he’s getting more and more playing time. Looking to pick him up in a 16 teamer.
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| 8:15 |
: I’m interested and it helps that Tampa is facing 4 lefties next week. He has been playing against righties.
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| 8:15 |
: At least add as bench option.
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| 8:15 |
: is it easy for you to faab in a partnership (ie with Fred in the Main)?
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| 8:16 |
: This week it was easy, it was full MASH work. So many injuries.
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| 8:16 |
: We usually work through things earlier in the week.
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| 8:17 |
: It helps a ton to have someone to bounce ideas off. Tanner Bell share several teams.
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| 8:17 |
: Hey Jeff…Rowdy Tellez, Marco Gonzales and Tejay Antone were dropped in my NFBC 15 teamer….what do you think would be roughly their winning bids this week?
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| 8:18 |
: 3% guys
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| 8:18 |
: Did I make the right move trading Classe for Matt Olson?
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| 8:18 |
: Don’t know. I need Saves in so many of my leagues, I’d take Classe
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| 8:18 |
: Encouraged by Robles high OBP (6:12 BB:K) right now or discouraged by the miserable slugging percentage?
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| 8:19 |
: I think the results are as expected.
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| 8:19 |
: Is it okay to run out of FAAB before the All-Star break in $0 bid league? Because that’s where I’m headed, but it’s not my fault; other coaches keep dropping players they shouldn’t. What am I supposed to do, not bid on them?
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| 8:19 |
: Sure. I’m more aggressive in those leagues or in leagues where I can trade FAAB.
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| 8:20 |
: What % required to get Rowdy Tellez if he was dropped last week?
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| 8:20 |
: 2% to 3%
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| 8:20 |
: Tommy Pham available on my FAAB, and i just lost Starling Marte. What should i offer on him?
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| 8:20 |
: 15%
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| 8:20 |
: Best resources on identifying “Bulk” relievers? Getting SP level innings in a points league with a cap of 4 SP shows the value of multiple inning ‘RP’. Thank you
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| 8:21 |
: I just look at the leaders in strikeouts.
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| 8:22 |
: They have the combination of strikeout rate and innings
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| 8:22 |
: My league has Yimi Garcia, Lou Trevino, and Kendall Graveman available. Is that the right order, in your opinion and what’s the approx bid as a percentage?
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| 8:23 |
: If they are each available this week and no one cared to get them last week, 5%. There is no reason all three should be on the wire
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| 8:23 |
: What to do with Bellinger? Trade for a second tier 1B or hold and play Yuli?
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| 8:23 |
: Hold and play Yuli. Yuli’s been decent
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| 8:23 |
: Hold or drop Senzel in a 12 team 5×5 mixed? Replacement options aside. Thanks
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| 8:24 |
: Hold
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| 8:24 |
: You dropping Arron Hicks? What of Tony Gonsolin? Thank you very much.
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| 8:24 |
: Again, who are the options?
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| 8:24 |
: 14 team 6X6 with SV+HD and K/9. Treinen is available. I have Antone, Bass, Trivino, May, Pagan as my RP. Do I trust Roberts to commit to a pen this year? Who should I drop?
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| 8:24 |
: Drop for Bass
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| 8:24 |
: Trevino is the better pitcher
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| 8:25 |
: In a single C 12 teamer…do you carry 2 C’s ? If not, drop W.Ramos, my #1 is d’Arnaud?
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| 8:25 |
: In daily lineups, I might. Otherwise no.
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| 8:25 |
: 10 Team NL only. Need a Lux replacement. Pick 1. Erik Gonzalez or Matt Carpenter.
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| 8:26 |
: Gonzalez. He’s hitting OK and playing. That’s more than what Carpenter is doing
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| 8:26 |
: Is Max Kepler worth holding onto in 12-team H2H with standard 5 categories plus OPS and Ks?
I can pick up Votto, Grichuk, A. Garcia, K. Calhoun. I just don’t see Kepler reaching his 2019 numbers again. |
| 8:27 |
: I’m not sure how the other categories change valuations but I would for Garcia until the rest of the Brewers outfield returns healthy
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| 8:27 |
: A couple arms dropped and available in our NFBC ME and not in any other — Marco Gonzales and Tejay Antone. Bid amounts for these types? Don’t want to overpay but both feel like strong rest-of-season prospects.
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| 8:27 |
: They’ll likely go for 4%
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| 8:27 |
: Is CJ Cron droppable in 10-teams?
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| 8:27 |
: Yes
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| 8:28 |
: Hey Jeff! Hope all is well. Can you pick one of these 3 for Middle INF spot? Dealing with some injuries at the position. Galvis, La Stella, Odor.
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| 8:29 |
: Odor .. Galvis 5 games and La Stella on the bench. See if Harrison is available.
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| 8:29 |
: FAAB bid for Ohtani (Pitcher)?
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| 8:29 |
: 5% to 10%
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| 8:29 |
: That’s it for this week. Good luck to everyone on their FAAB targets. I need to go over the news and my bids one last time.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
Maybe Isbel isn’t hitting because he’s had undisclosed injury/sickness causing him to miss several games over the past week?