Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
| 7:29 |
: I’ll go ahead and get started. |
| 7:30 |
: |
| 7:30 |
: There are the winning bids from the two 15-team Tout Wars leagues. |
| 7:31 |
: 14 team / one catcher mixed league…Rutschman , F Alvarez or Badilo ? |
| 7:31 |
: Alvarez for me |
| 7:31 |
: Is it too early to give up on Beavers in a 12 team roto (5 OF/OBP)? Because I did already.
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|
| 7:31 |
: No, he needs to be playing to be rostered |
| 7:31 |
: Burriws with a rough first start. Still hold ? 12T mixed |
| 7:32 |
: I am |
| 7:32 |
: To the good: baseball’s back! To the bad: lost Vaughn on opening day to broken hamate. How do you rank these 3 guys in 5×5 but obp instead of avg: Hoskins, L Raley, and J Bauers? Thanks! |
| 7:32 |
: Bauers, Raley, Hoskins |
| 7:32 |
: Is Bauer or De Los Santos a better option than Jung at UT in 15teamers? |
| 7:32 |
: No, roll with Jung while he’s still healthy. |
| 7:33 |
: my offense is off to a horrible start. who do you like better in 15 team fbpc? jake meyers or Garrett mitchell? i’m thinking mitchell for upside since if he stays healthy he could be a solid power speed guy |
| 7:34 |
: Neither of these guys will save an offense. That said, I lean Meyers because he’s not in a platoon. Maybe just stream the last spot for a bit. |
| 7:35 |
: I know Nick Pollack likes Sproat, but getting blasted by the White Sox does not fill me with confidence. Hang on to him, or ditch for some other dart throw (Randy Vasquez, Verlander, Cecconi, B Williamson). Thanks! |
| 7:35 |
: I’d ditch for Vasquez or SLADE |
| 7:35 |
: I was hoping he would suck today so my bids could be affordable. Any chance of that still happening? |
| 7:35 |
: ZERO |
| 7:35 |
: Hi Jeff – Some quickies: Erceg or Uribe? Baty or Otto Lopez? Lewis or Paredes? |
| 7:36 |
: Erceg, Lopez, Lewis |
| 7:36 |
: Dominic Canzone hit a pair of tanks opening night and finished last season very strong.too. |
| 7:36 |
: I’d go Laureano, Canzone, Lowe |
| 7:37 |
: Randy Vasquez had a great game and his current hype is WAY past the projections – what is the argument in a 12? Whereas Taj is my kryptonite – HR/9 non-regressors with good stuff (though I prefer my BB/9s lower). Does one type make more sense to bet on than another? Roto 5×5 |
| 7:38 |
: They are close with similar botERA: https://www.fangraphs.com/leaders/major-league?pos=all&lg=all&qual=y&t… |
| 7:38 |
: I think you can go with either one for now. |
| 7:38 |
: Hi Jeff, |
| 7:38 |
: Hi Jane |
| 7:38 |
: Are there any indications in Jordan Romano’s pitch data (whether velocities or spin rates or whatever) to suggest he has recovered his 2022-23 form after an injury-filled couple of years, and maybe could hold onto the Angels’ closer job even after Yates is back? |
| 7:39 |
: I think there is a good chance … Yates isn’t good. |
| 7:39 |
: Is Brenton Doyle worth holding onto in a 16 teamer? Or would I be better off chasing Brady House, Cam Smith, Alex Freeland, Deyvision De Los Santos, or Carson Williams |
| 7:40 |
: I’d hold Doyle compared to that list. |
| 7:40 |
: After seeing the Nats beat his Cubbies today, my co-owner wants to add Joey Weimer and Jake Irvin to our NL only squad. This is not a good idea, right? Any ten second soundbite I can use to deter him and avoid the inevitable ridicule when our team is invariably crippled. |
| 7:40 |
: Sorry, nothing up my sleeve. |
| 7:40 |
: Is there anything here in 12 team mixed? |
| 7:41 |
: Depends on your bench. Some team in a 12 should add him. |
| 7:41 |
: Marsh vs Mullins vs JLowe vs Doyle as a bench OF in a shallow 12 team 5×5 OBP? They all feel right around the waiver line in this format but all seem like they have some multi category not-nothing potential too. |
| 7:42 |
: You might just have to play it week to week until one takes off |
| 7:42 |
: Thanks for doing these, Jeff. Happy baseball! |
| 7:42 |
: Thanks for reading them |
| 7:42 |
: Sproat a hold or would you rather spend that spot on Severino or Vasquez in a deep league |
| 7:42 |
: I’d for sure cut for Vasquez and probably Severino |
| 7:43 |
: How sorry is the jamoke who bids 10% on Lauer’s start tonight gonna be? P.S. Same question for Randy Vasquez and mlodzinski’s 90 pitches in 4 innings (exaggerating)? |
| 7:43 |
: The Lauer ones will hurt the most when Yesavage comes back and pushes Lauer to the bullpen. |
| 7:44 |
: I think the baseline has moved on the other two, so it’s worth spending some $$ on them |
| 7:44 |
: Drop May for Mlodzinski? |
| 7:44 |
: Yes |
| 7:44 |
: Will Estevez lead the league in drops this waiver period? If so, will he do it very slowly? |
| 7:45 |
: I think managers will hold for another week and see how the situation continues to play out |
| 7:45 |
: Soriano is on my wire. Drop any of McLanahan, Meyer, or Patrick for him? 12 team H2H. |
| 7:45 |
: Patrick but I don’t like it |
| 7:45 |
: hi Jeff, Hancock, Ober or ERod? B. Lee, Steer, or J. Walker? Estevez, Stanek, or Henry for saves? Thank you. |
| 7:46 |
: Hancock, Walker, Estevez |
| 7:46 |
: What % is too high on Erceg in 15 team NFBC? |
| 7:47 |
: Depends on your desperation. He could go triple digits |
| 7:47 |
: Is Yates a cut or hold with Romano available? I kind of feel like as soon as he’s back Romano might lose the job unless he maintains his 0 ERA. |
| 7:48 |
: It depends on how tough it is to find closers on your waiver wire. |
| 7:48 |
: If you played in a league with unlimited add drops and no FAAB how would your approach differ to pitching? Would you still target certain guys or mostly just stream favorable matchups? |
| 7:49 |
: There is usually some limit to this approach (IP limits, weekly leagues, weekly waivers). One issue with this method is that to win the week, you might drop good players who could help other teams over the course of the season. |
| 7:49 |
: For a power starved team, would you hold onto Vaughn in 15 team NFBC? |
| 7:50 |
: I wouldn’t but I cut everyone |
| 7:50 |
: Sproat was bad, so was Dustin May. We cutting him, too, for a streamer? (Say, Vasquez/Severin) and what are the odds Severino is back? I have him in my DCs since I’d figured I’d use him on the road. I’m starting to be convinced he’s back. |
| 7:51 |
: I think Severino is a streamer, I’m not sure May or Sproat are right now. |
| 7:51 |
: Did you see anything encouraging from Sproat, Meyer, Baz or Abel that makes them worth holding onto in shallow leagues? Or OK to chase a shiny new toy with all of them? |
| 7:52 |
: I haven’t had a chance to dive into each of their outings. |
| 7:52 |
: Nolan Gorman or Luis Garcia jr for 2b |
| 7:52 |
: Gorman |
| 7:52 |
: Starting to believe in lowder? |
| 7:52 |
: Sort of. I think he’s an add-and-bench |
| 7:52 |
: Thx as always….Rank the closer options so you don’t have to answer a bunch of variations on the same? Beeter/Romano/Sewald/Erceg/Sands |
| 7:53 |
: Romano, Sewald, Sands, Erceg, ……………………………Beeter |
| 7:53 |
: Is JJ Wetherholt a start-worthy asset right away or more of a solid multi-position power/speed bench bat? While he probably wont produce many R/RBI in that lineup, do you think his plate discipline in the minors will transfer over, making him start-worthy in OBP/OPS leagues? |
| 7:53 |
: Sure, depending on the other options. |
| 7:54 |
: My league is based in Toronto and they all have long memories. Bidding on Romano will be interesting. Does location matter when it comes to FAAB? |
| 7:54 |
: For sure, I was in an auction league in KC and I just removed the Royals from my ranks. If anyone got promoted, the FAAB was way too high |
| 7:55 |
: Where would David Weathers land on your waiver wire list? |
| 7:55 |
: One to three |
| 7:55 |
: I really like those top two |
| 7:56 |
: Erceg or Romano? max bids authorized? |
| 7:56 |
: That’s not my game |
| 7:56 |
: I’m deep at MI and want to drop Jacob Wilson. Will I regret it? He is blah. |
| 7:56 |
: While the other player help your team, sure |
| 7:57 |
: Good evening Jeff, how would you rank Hancock, Wacha, and Vasquez? |
| 7:57 |
: Hancock, Vasquez, Wacha. It’s close on those first two |
| 7:58 |
: Cut cowser for tyler oneil? |
| 7:58 |
: Sure |
| 7:58 |
: brayan Bellow or Kumar Rocker do anything for you? |
| 7:58 |
: Bello for sure. I’ve never been a Bello guy |
| 7:58 |
: No mention of David Hamilton. Seems like a pretty good source of cheap speed in 12 teamers? In my league will be eligible at 2B, SS, 3B, CI, MI. Am I missing anything? |
| 7:59 |
: I don’t think he’s a good baseball player. |
| 7:59 |
: Alvarez or Jensen? |
| 7:59 |
: Alvarez |
| 8:00 |
: I had some cautious optimism about N. Castellanos revival in deep NL only, but seems playing time is not really going to be there. I’m not missing anything, am I? |
| 8:00 |
: He needs to be dropped in all formats |
| 8:00 |
: Won’t drop (yet) Addison Barger. But are you still positive on him ? |
| 8:01 |
: A .000 BABIP will make anyone look bad |
| 8:01 |
: Hey! Baseball! Looking for an Old 1B in AL only: Hoskins, Bell, C. Walker? |
| 8:01 |
: Walker, Bell, Hoskins |
| 8:01 |
: Where would you put MLod on your waiver wire list tonight? |
| 8:02 |
: Top, he was too rostered to rank |
| 8:02 |
: 12 team OC, cut Dustin May for R. Vasquez or Wacha, is that too much of a reactionary move to first starts and it’s just a lateral move? |
| 8:02 |
: IMO, there isn’t much difference among the three. You might as well play the hot hand. |
| 8:03 |
: Wound up with Ian Seymour as a $1 guy, chose him over boyle because of whip concerns. Should I try and correct that with faab this week? Who do you like better? |
| 8:03 |
: You have my permission to move on from Seymour |
| 8:03 |
: Mason Montgomery or Grant Taylor for speculative saves |
| 8:03 |
: Neither |
| 8:03 |
: 15 team 5×5. Brady House or Caleb Durbin? |
| 8:03 |
: Durbin |
| 8:03 |
: Deep standard 5×5 AL only roto … who is going to get more playing time and provide greater fantasy impact in CLE – Kayfus or Schneemann? |
| 8:03 |
: Kayfus |
| 8:04 |
: I have Patrick Bailey in 2C NL-only. Drop for Gary Sanchez? |
| 8:04 |
: No, hold for now |
| 8:04 |
: Very disappointing to see Marcell Ozuna “rested” today, like DHing is so taxing on the body *eye-roll*. I assume this is a harbinger of things to come and he is extremely cuttable, no? |
| 8:05 |
: Ignore players sitting this weekend. Team are trying to get everyone in. See when Ozuna sits again. |
| 8:05 |
: How much for Cole Sands and Ryne Stanek in a 12 team $1000 budget where my closers are shaky? |
| 8:05 |
: I think each is about a $50 guy. I might go bit more on Sands |
| 8:06 |
: Need to drop a bat for a pitcher in 15-team mixed. Cut Benintendi, Loperfido, or Jeff McNeil? |
| 8:06 |
: Loperfido |
| 8:06 |
: Who leads the A’s in saves this year? |
| 8:06 |
: I’m betting on Harris |
| 8:06 |
: Williams vs Lee at SS in dynasty, would would you rather? |
| 8:06 |
: Lee |
| 8:07 |
: It’s very easy to say to trade someone that is this hot like DeLauter ; but is trading him away now a smart move ? |
| 8:07 |
: If you get a top-50 player, sure |
| 8:07 |
: Prefer straight FAAB or Vickery? |
| 8:07 |
: Plain FAAB |
| 8:08 |
: Fairbanks in the ww. Worth it over all other closers being discussed? |
| 8:08 |
: For sure |
| 8:08 |
: Still in on Max Meyer after his start today? And any of Mize/pfaadt/rocker? |
| 8:09 |
: I could drop Meyer for Mize, but that’s it |
| 8:09 |
: Stanek has not looked good, nor do the underlying numbers that I can find. But I guess he’s the closer, and your tout wars folks like him. Worth big in FAAB if I screwed up and drafted poor relievers? |
| 8:10 |
: I don’t think he’s the guy but anyone who gets a save will go for a ton. I’d bid reasonably |
| 8:10 |
: How much would you bid for Sands in a 12 team desperate for saves? |
| 8:10 |
: 5% |
| 8:10 |
: Is Brandon Sproat a hold in 12-teamers? Or would you drop him for any of Messick, Liberatore, Fuentes, Nelson or Eflin? |
| 8:10 |
: I would for Messick and Liberatore |
| 8:11 |
: What? No questions on who to pick up to replace Skenes? He’s killing me! |
| 8:11 |
: One of my teams finally got it’s ERA under 10 |
| 8:11 |
: Hi! 12-tm, H2H, category … want to drop a bat to create bench slot for streaming or adding an SP. All were auction targets, but please rank to drop Matt McLean, Jorge Polanco, Jacob Marcee, Luke Keashall. Thanks ! |
| 8:11 |
: The answer is Polanco |
| 8:12 |
: % FAAB on me? 20/20 rookie season? |
| 8:12 |
: 20% to 30% |
| 8:12 |
: 15 team league – am I crazy for thinking about signing up for the Jordan Walker experience again? |
| 8:12 |
: A little bit |
| 8:12 |
: Romano or Seranthony for saves?? |
| 8:13 |
: Seranthony |
| 8:13 |
: Hi – can you rate Erceg, Cole Sands, Romano RP? |
| 8:13 |
: Could you add Harris to the list I just sent? |
| 8:13 |
: Romano, Erceg, Sands, Harris |
| 8:13 |
: In a best ball 12-teamer with enormous rosters (42 players per team) and only two FAAB periods, 4/7 and 6/2 … given the lack of quality FA options and with only two bidding opportunities, how aggressive should I be with my bids out of a $1000 budget? |
| 8:14 |
: Heavy, but at least save enough FAAB to make 20, $2 bids … so $80. No more |
| 8:14 |
: Any thoughts on when Eldridge might get called back up? Think be could maintain a 30 HR/season pace when he does? |
| 8:15 |
: No idea. Maybe watch some of his defense |
| 8:15 |
: Am I a full time player, a platooner, or a guy who gets rested too much to matter? |
| 8:15 |
: Rested too much to start the season. |
| 8:15 |
: What do you think of Cody Ponce? |
| 8:16 |
: I rostered him in all but one of my leagues, but a little bit. |
| 8:16 |
: Smith (CWS) in a deep 15 team league. I’ve been trying to trade for Mize because I think I irrationally love him and I hate risking WHIP. Sasaki, Lopez and Hancock are by far the best SP on waivers. Stay patient on Smith or move on to one of the others? |
| 8:16 |
: If I was to move on, it would be for Hancock. |
| 8:17 |
: Would you drop Early for Mlodzinski |
| 8:17 |
: No |
| 8:17 |
: How much faab % would you put on Raley, Lauer and Wiemer in a 15 teamer? |
| 8:18 |
: Lauer could be $10 to $50 pending on the team’s needs. The other two are $1 adds, replacement level. |
| 8:18 |
: Nootbar to 60 day IL. Worth holding in NL-only? |
| 8:18 |
: No, if there is no IL |
| 8:19 |
: someone dropped Basallo. Already have Goodman. Would you drop Durbin for him? |
| 8:19 |
: It’s close, but I might stay with Durbin. I’m not a Basallo guy |
| 8:20 |
: Thanks – Is dropping Robert Suarez worth it to pick up Romano, Erceg or Sands? |
| 8:21 |
: Sure |
| 8:20 |
: too early to stash charlie condon? |
| 8:21 |
: Yes |
| 8:21 |
: He was lights out this Spring, and pitched well today. Do you think he sticks in Atlanta or gets sent back to AAA when Strider returns? |
| 8:22 |
: He might go dack to AAA to get stretched out |
| 8:22 |
: I thought you retired last year. Came to fangraphs to see the replacement Sunday night chatter. So happy its still you. What happened to retirement, travel, etc. |
| 8:22 |
: Retirement is soon but not yet. I still have a kid in high school |
| 8:22 |
: smack me, i drafted Logan Henderson and Tong. which one goes first? |
| 8:22 |
: Tong |
| 8:22 |
: Concerned about Sheehan? Drop for Keller, Leiter, or Messick in a 12 teamer? |
| 8:22 |
: Hold |
| 8:22 |
: Emerson Hancock is throwing a no hitter through six. Worth a shot in a 15 for about $30? |
| 8:23 |
: Sure, but you won’t get him |
| 8:23 |
: Emerson has a HR in the minors already. Realistic shot at May/June if he hits well with a non-scary K rate? Can he fit in without an injury? Who would you rather stash Waldschmidt/Jenkins/Baez in redraft for a chance at a pre ASB call up and regular at bats? |
| 8:23 |
: He’ll need something to open up to be promoted. Once here, he’ll be hear forever. |
| 8:24 |
: SOLDS league: RP innings pitched and Ks are huge—Is Grant Taylor really going to throw 100 innings? |
| 8:24 |
: He and the team says so |
| 8:24 |
: Shaw getting some playing time so far. When Suzuki comes back, is he more likely to spell regulars 4x a week, mostly pinch hit, or get sent down? |
| 8:25 |
: When Suzuki returns, I guess Baty will play once or twice a week. |
| 8:25 |
: 1st year in a NFBC league with FAAB. Can you explain waterfall bids? I think it’s player 1, 2, 3 with all the same drop. In descending order of the bid price. But just confirming. Thanks. |
| 8:25 |
: Correct |
| 8:25 |
: Jordan Walker hit a couple balls over 100 mph today. You think he can brink out with 25+ this year? Early, but he has a 2/1 BB/K ratio in 12 plate appearances so far. At least a good start and he’s probably free on waivers. |
| 8:26 |
: I’m impressed with the 100% Contact% coming into today’s game. |
| 8:27 |
: 12 teamer mixed, First time in $1000 FAAB context – Mlodzinski, Romano, Soriano, Early? $50 $100? less? |
| 8:28 |
: In a 12 teamer, it’s the wild west. Tough to know how each league will play out. I’d try not to go over $100 today and see how everyone else spends |
| 8:29 |
: You can look at last week’s bidding in the NFBC: https://nfc.shgn.com/playermovements/baseball |
| 8:29 |
: That’s it for this week. |
| 8:29 |
: Talk to you later. |
Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.