Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:31 |
: Welcome.
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7:32 |
: Here are the winning bids for the two 15-team Tout Wars teams.
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7:32 |
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7:33 |
: Projections show very similar numbers for Josh Smith and Matt Shaw for the rest of this year, with an edge to Shaw on the bases. Meanwhile results 10 weeks in show Smith the better option in all categories except SB. Is Smith a clear upgrade for the rest of this year (except SB)? Who do you like more long term in a standard 5×5 deep league keeper format?
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7:34 |
: I checked my valuations and I have Smith way ahead of Shaw
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7:34 |
: who benefits the most in the BOS lineup w/no Devers?
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7:36 |
: No idea. My guess is they will rotate guys through the DH slot to start with, Yoshida taking over once healthy.
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7:36 |
: Call me crazy, but why should I bid above min for a guy projecting for about 5 BB/9?
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7:37 |
: Good question.
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7:37 |
: I thought it would keep him in the minors over Henderson but I was wrong. I think some roto managers will take the K’s know they will take a WHIP hit.
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7:37 |
: Herrera or O’Hoppe in the near future? I’m starting O but am thinking of starting Herrera. Each move costs money btw
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7:38 |
: I’d just stay with O’Hoppe. Not enough of a gain
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7:38 |
: Ryan Walter seems to be missing tons of bats (17 whiffs, 17 called strikes vs MIN) and he’s walking almost nobody. Given the crowd in the Houston rotation, how do you assess his opportunity to stay in the rotation deep into the season? And how would you compare his ROS outlook to waiver wire options like R Gusto, Ryne Nelson and Bryce Elder?
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7:40 |
: I love what Walter is doing and think he needs to be added everywhere. If there wasn’t a chance of being kicked out of the rotation, I value him even more.
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7:41 |
: Is Toro as flash in pan? Will he now continue to get ABs w/o Devers in lineup?
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7:41 |
: He will get at-bats as long as he keeps hitting
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7:41 |
: what % of FAAB for Misiorowski in 13 team mixed redraft?
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7:41 |
: 10% to 15% of the original budget
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7:41 |
: Do you think Harrison slots into the Red Sox rotation? Who would be the odd man out?
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7:42 |
: He should, he could be the rotation’s second-best arm. We’ll just have to wait on the news conferences
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7:42 |
: Hi Jeff Am I a drop for Liberatore/Spence or even Detmers for possible saves Thanks
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7:43 |
: Easily for Liberatore
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7:43 |
: NL-only, scraping the barrel for 1B eligible players. Will the Phillies find a way to get Otto Kemp into the lineup when Harper returns?
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7:43 |
: Possibly, there has been some talk of him going to the OF. He needs to start hitting.
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7:44 |
: How many weeks do we get of a Dodgers SP? Over/under 2.5?
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7:44 |
: One or two with Sheehan and Ohtani coming back.
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7:45 |
: That assumes everyone stays healthy.
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7:45 |
: Who’s SF’s #5 now, Carson Whisenhunt or waiting for Verlander or something eles?
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7:45 |
: Verlander should be back this week or next according to news reports.
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7:46 |
: Giants use Boston-Devers rift as opportunity to get big bat they generally have trouble signing in free agency. Chapman far superior fielder to Devers so once CHampman back, how does lineup shakeout?
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7:47 |
: Devers to DH and Flores to 1B. Possibly another trade coming
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7:47 |
: WW options such as Jeff McNeill or Miguel Vargas for Matt Shaw or Jac C? Dang team ain’t hitting! Or stand pat? 12 tm H2H OBP categories.
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7:47 |
: With these waiver wire options, I’d stream based on matchups
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7:48 |
: I don’t think anyone stands out.
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7:48 |
: If both are healthy, do you like N.Marte or R.Mauricio better?
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7:48 |
: Marte, better playing guaranteed playing time.
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7:48 |
: Grant Holmes for real, or just the beneficiary of facing COL? Where would he be on your FAAB list?
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7:50 |
: He’d be near the top. He’s a solid bench streamer.
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7:50 |
: Tylor Megill only a streamer in a 12tm? love the Ks but everything else seems replaceable off the wire. Might be worth rolling the dice with B.Caspiurus types instead
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7:51 |
: Yes, he’s fallen into that basket for me. Right now, he’s lined up to face the Phillies and Braves. Both are a pass for me in 12’s. I’ll find someone else.
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7:51 |
: Time to trust that I’m back to 2022 form?
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7:51 |
: Starting to look that way. Just respect the platoon.
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7:52 |
: Thanks for all the help, Jeff, is there any reason to hold Christian Walker?
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7:52 |
: Depends on the replacement.
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7:52 |
: Brady house worth a pickup if you have an open spot? Do you like him or Josh Jung better rest of season?
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7:52 |
: I’d prefer Jung
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7:52 |
: Has been hot for 2 weeks. If it lasts much longer, he’s just good. So therefore it’s too late to grab him for a week? Or ride it until the wheels come off?
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7:54 |
: With the Twins healthy, he was losing playing time to Lewis and others. With Lewis hurt again, Lee’s playing time is safe. I’m not sure he’s a talented hitter.
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7:54 |
: What’s your take on Sandy Alcantara? Been much better the last couple of starts against weak offenses. Starting to get back to his old self?
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7:55 |
: I need to see if he’s back to throwing strikes.
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7:56 |
: He was but against the Rockies and Pirates. I don’t buy he’s back but he might need to be added now in case it’s real
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7:57 |
: How do you approach getting holds off waivers in deep leagues? I have Okert who’s got great numbers but no holds and there are several guys with double digit holds (and suspect numbers on the wire (Weissert, Y. Cano, Zeferjahn, K. Akin). I don’t really really need the ratio help though – so should I just buy the guys who are getting / have gotten holds?
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7:58 |
: My solution takes four downloads, so not easy. Basically it looks at talent and gLI (game leverage index) to see good pitchers who are being used in high leverage spots.
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7:59 |
: I just traded the face of the franchise for two failed pitchers, a future platoon bat, and a backend rotation prospect. Am I going to try to fix Hicks and put him in the rotation?
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7:59 |
: It all depends are what is down the $15/year in savings. This year, it could be ugly
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7:59 |
: What % of budget on devers in NL only?
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8:00 |
: All of it with enough left to allow for injury replacements.
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8:01 |
: I have two open spots and need an infielders. Who should I pick up? B.Lee, E.Clement, M.Mayer, K.Keith, or T.Estrada
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8:01 |
: Clement, Lee, Estrada, Mayer, Keith
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8:01 |
: Hi! Badly need an OF (AL, obp league). Favorite(s) from Haggerty, J Clase, Canzone, Loftin?
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8:01 |
: Loftin and Clase
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8:01 |
: Am I still on the Braves in August? Does it affect my value much anyway?
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8:02 |
: If they are out of it, Sale will get traded to a competitive team.
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8:03 |
: He’s not on waivers, but how much FAAB would you offer in a trade for him if you needed an upgrade at catcher? (Two catcher, 12 team AL only 5×5)
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8:03 |
: Start with 10%
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8:03 |
: Just lost J-Mart. Need a reliever. Do I add M. Montgomery, G. Weissert, G. Soto, or C. Martin? Or anyone others who you might think could be on waivers?
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8:04 |
: Martin would be my choice. Possibly Pressly.
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8:04 |
: Kemp went 4-5 today and is hitting .345, id say he has started hitting…
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8:05 |
: Before today, he had a 72 wRC+. Now it’s at 120.
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8:06 |
: Drop Roupp for Walter?
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8:06 |
: No
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8:06 |
: M.Strahm of D. Lee for long term saves spec?
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8:06 |
: Lee
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8:07 |
: With Sheehan coming back, is Casparius actually likely to start twice this week?
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8:07 |
: I’m pretty sure unless the team plans on going with a 7-man rotation
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8:07 |
: What do you expect from Brady House?
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8:08 |
: Not much. Doesn’t seem to have a difference making skill
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8:08 |
: 3B replacement for Paredes if me misses time next week. Rank Toro, Castro, and Clement. Pts league
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8:09 |
: Castro, Clement, Toro
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8:09 |
: NL only so reaching deep. Heriberto Hernandez (and his inflated BABIP) a better play than Isaac Collins rest of season? Stowers gets traded open up some PT for Hernandez?
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8:10 |
: Hernandez is already playing regularly.
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8:10 |
: Drop India to start Otto Lopez instead?
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8:10 |
: Yes
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8:11 |
: R Lewis worth stash at this point or better to move on?
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8:11 |
: Move on
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8:11 |
: Devers trade was an absolute shock. Does this make Yoshida stashable in 10 team al only?
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8:11 |
: In AL-only, yes
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8:11 |
: Should I be dumping Correa to pick up Muncy the Younger?
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8:11 |
: I would not talk you out of it.
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8:12 |
: D Lee or Pressly best bet for saves ROS?
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8:12 |
: Lee
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8:12 |
: Needing SPs, Faab % for B Walter 12T H2H?
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8:13 |
: 1%
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8:13 |
: How much of a $100 budget in 12 team AL only roto? Gotta put a warm body in Devers place, and he’s literally the best available on waivers….
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8:13 |
: 2%
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8:14 |
: Would you drop Roupp or Gipson Long for Casparius?
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8:14 |
: Drop Gipson-Long
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8:15 |
: How possible is it I pick up Casparius for a two-start and he doesn’t start at all?
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8:16 |
: The team stated he’s their Monday starter. The second one is more up in the air
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8:16 |
: (OK I’ll try again.) Need to replace Kim (Dodgers), not enough playing time, with one of the following: Meidroth, Crawford, or T. Freeman (SS eligible) for MI. How would you rank them (H2H redraft)? Thanks.
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8:17 |
: That’s the order. You might want to stream them
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8:17 |
: What does a 1-for-19 start do to Roman Anthony’s FAAB bidding in deep AL Only?
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8:18 |
: It wouldn’t deter me. Just a 22% K%, so pitchers are dominating him, just bad BABIP luck (.083 BABIP).
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8:18 |
: Is Brandon Walter a pick up in a 16 team league and wait to see what happens?
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8:19 |
: Probably in all leagues
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8:19 |
: Jeff – Thanks as always for these support sessions. How much ‘stepping away’ are you stepping away? Permanent or partial? Who is the next big pitcher that I need to blow my NFBC budget on?
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8:20 |
: I’m going to go travel the world until I’m broke. It might be a month. It might the rest of life. I don’t know.
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8:20 |
: It’ll be Burns if he gets promoted.
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8:20 |
: Why the high $47 bid on Yaz in tout?
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8:21 |
: No idea, weird shit happens.
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8:27 |
: Just like that. My computer locked up hard. I had to reboot it.
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8:27 |
: Would you prioritize Moreno or Alvarez in a 12 T ?
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8:27 |
: Do you need power or speed?
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8:28 |
: an everywhere-add but no big faab spend even for a “need sp” team, is that you’re definition of a “flyer” maybe? i’m having trouble understanding, not doubting it as an approach tho
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8:30 |
: We need about a month of info to get a good read on a pitcher. That’s too slow in the fantasy game. I was hot for Gordon based on just a couple of starts. I have no idea if he he’ll end up being good or not but to add him cheap, I have to move fast.
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8:31 |
: Now with Misi, we have great AAA numbers and high prospect status. I’d pay up for him.
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8:31 |
: That’s it for tonight, I need to examine my NFBC bids before FAAB runs.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.