Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
7:31 |
: Welcome.
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7:32 |
: Here are the winning bids in the three 15-team Tout Wars leagues. One note. The bids are higher than expected because several teams got extra FAAB on the first of the month do to some league rules.
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7:33 |
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7:33 |
: After Arrighetti’s performance this week, go with him, Schwellenbach, or an SP/RP reliever (Puk) for fifth SP spot in H2H playoffs?
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7:33 |
: I’d lean Schwellenbach
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7:33 |
: Trusting Chad Green at this point. Likely have to shift to a holds reliever in an H2H league where both are separate categories.
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7:33 |
: I do
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7:34 |
: Am I crazy to start Oller for a two step?
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7:34 |
: You may have to beat a superior opponent by hoping for two great starts. At this point, do what it takes to win your league.
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7:35 |
: Added Jung after he was dropped recently. Confident to start in H2H playoffs?
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7:35 |
: Which one? Texas, yes. Detroit, no.
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7:35 |
: No impact on this year’s standings, but Leiter worth a spec add as a keeper if the only cost is dropping Verlander? Is Verlander toast?
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7:36 |
: I’d not worry about Verlander at this point and go young. There is a chance no one will roster Verlander and he can be drafted next year.
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7:36 |
: Norby is a must-start player at this point in a 12-team league? Thank you for all of your information during the season.
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7:38 |
: Probably but if he goes on a 5 for 50 run, don’t be surprised with his 33% K%.
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7:38 |
: Hail Mary needed for a first baseman for the last three weeks. Isaac Paredes, Seth Brown, or Ty France???
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7:38 |
: France with that high school ballpark he plays in.
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7:38 |
: Thank you very much for doing these chats all season. Crews and Norby are available in my OC. What bids do you expect (a few contenders have around $300 left) and who would you prioritize?
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7:40 |
: If I had $300, I’d go all in, but for $10, to get one. They can’t use the money next season. I expect insane bids.
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7:40 |
: Do I stick with Robert for the playoffs? Other OF options include Lane Thomas, Crews, Carpenter, Ward, or Toglia. I’m tempted to jump off this ship. Help?!
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7:41 |
: No one sticks out as a huge upgrade over Robert, but I can understand letting him go.
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7:41 |
: Jeff: Appreciate your season’s worth of advice/insights. I’ve hung on to Rutschman all season. Useless for a month or so. Need power with playoffs coming up. Drop him for Raleigh?
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7:41 |
: Sure
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7:42 |
: Do you like sears @hou Tuesday in a 12teamer?
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7:42 |
: No, find another option
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7:42 |
: Trust Cobb to make at least one start (CHW), maybe two, or roll with Jared Jones for one start?
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7:43 |
: I’m aiming for Cobb in several spots and hoping for better news on Monday. Teams have to be taking a chance on those great matchups (CWS, TB)
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7:43 |
: Where would Joey Ortiz rank on your list this week? The number look good over the last week and I could use cover for Jung with Bohm and Kim out
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7:44 |
: Near the top, He’s got a higher Roster% for a reason.
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7:44 |
: All of the relievers on your list this week are taken and I need saves with only Martinez. I picked up Winckowski after his save the other night. Anyone else on the deep radar?
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7:44 |
: Others in the Yankees bullpen
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7:45 |
: Jesus Tinoco (MIA) could be an option
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7:45 |
: With Faucher out, is there a decent relief guy out there? 12-team points. Holds and saves.
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7:46 |
: Strahm, good and will get Holds and/or Saves
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7:46 |
: Horwirtz worth a pickup? Need a replacement for Seager.
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7:46 |
: If he’s the best option, do it. Check to see if Story is available in your league.
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7:46 |
: Who do you prefer on dynasty going forward, Povich or Braxton Garrett? standard 5 plus QS
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7:46 |
: Neither
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7:47 |
: Povich I guess.
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7:47 |
: Standard 5×5 NL-only, currently in 2nd overall, looking for wins do I dare chance my ratios by starting Darvish with 2 starts @Sea & vHou over Schwellenbach with 1 start vLAD?
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7:47 |
: I’d use Darvish if he gives you a chance to win the league.
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7:47 |
: Trust Taj Bradley at Philly this week in roto?
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7:47 |
: No
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7:48 |
: Is there any website that shows probable pitchers through the end of the season?
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7:48 |
: I know RotoWire does but they are behind a paywall
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7:49 |
: Is there any lead large enough to breathe a sigh of relief? I guess there is always some doomsday scenario where everything must go wrong, right?
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7:51 |
: The leads exist where it’s over if the team is healthy. It’s tough to move a lot this late in the season, especially in shallower leagues (fewer teams to pass).
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7:51 |
: hi Jeff. Big fan of your work. What are we doing with Nestor Cortes and Schmidt in H2H playoffs? Are they starting? Or more of this “piggybacking” nonsense?
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7:52 |
: I haven’t heard. I’d assume the worst.
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7:52 |
: Stram not available. There’s Bednar, Alvarado, and Doval. 12-team points. Holds and saves.
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7:52 |
: No idea then
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7:52 |
: With Springs on the IL, I have Festa and Ginn as replacements. Which do you prefer?
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7:52 |
: Festa
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7:53 |
: Trust Pivetta vs NYY?
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7:53 |
: Trust … no. He might be a team’s best option.
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7:53 |
: Did Ginn’s weaker start today push him down your list? Spence and Bido also face CWS…
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7:54 |
: Ginn’s start was fine with 5 K and just 1 BB in 5 IP. Nothing to change my opinion of him.
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7:55 |
: What is the timeline on this Seager injury?
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7:55 |
: I’m assuming he’s done since the Rangers have nothing to play for
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7:55 |
: 5 game Tatis or 5 game Carroll?
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7:55 |
: Both
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7:56 |
: Where would Tellez rank on your hitter list?
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7:56 |
: Near the bottom with the other platoon bats
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7:56 |
: Best save spec: Manny Rodriguez, Collin Snider, Kanhle? (Or should I stream an sp)
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7:57 |
: If you to start the pitcher, stream an SP
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7:57 |
: Pena or Story at ss?
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7:57 |
: Pena
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7:57 |
: Story won’t be playing everyday right? Would expect some maintenance for him.
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7:57 |
: Yes
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7:57 |
: NL only dynasty- for 25 – who would you bet on for saves Bednar or Puk?
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7:57 |
: Bednar
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7:57 |
: do i have 2025 relevance? should i pack my bags to a new team or aaa?
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7:58 |
: Not right now but a 90 wRC+ is a decent sub
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7:59 |
: better bet for saves on the wire — Chris Martin or Cleavinger?
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7:59 |
: Concerned about B. Lowe finger? wondering might be worth cutting in a 12…. (rogers/norby/C.Keith. b. Rogers on wire) His rolling xwoba plunged right after he reportedly reinjured it on 8/19 and they mentioned limiting ABs
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8:00 |
: An issue for sure. I’m just not sure the best way to value him. I might move on and at least add someone healthy
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8:01 |
: Which odd-man-out bat would you drop first: Crews, Gleyber, Toglia, Steer, Junior?
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8:01 |
: Junior
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8:01 |
: Cortes as the piggybacker is a no brainer if you need wins right?
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8:01 |
: IF … you are correct
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8:02 |
: Leiter had 20 swings and misses vs Halos. Drop Houck for his start in Seattle?
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8:02 |
: I guess. I’d hope for better options.
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8:02 |
: Are you good streaming Herz vs MIA this week? I worry about ratios.
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8:03 |
: I am in several leagues. I don’t have better options.
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8:03 |
: Start deGrom when activated? Might be rusty but time’s running out.
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8:03 |
: I am unless the rest of my options are off the charts.
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8:03 |
: With Houck getting skipped, I think I’m dropping him. Can you give me a 1a and 1b from Zebby vs. LAA, Kutter vs. BAL, Mize vs. COL, Povich @BOS, Leiter @SEA? I could also keep holding or grab a reliever.
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8:04 |
: Mize and Leiter are way above the rest.
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8:04 |
: Looking to roll the dice in my finals running out double starters Festa, Povich, Gore. What do you think? Too risky?
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8:04 |
: Not at all, you’re playing to win
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8:04 |
: Happy Sunday Jeff. Trust in pavin smith? 3hr tonight 4 last 4 games.
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8:04 |
: No
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8:05 |
: Who would you prefer as bench bat-Edman or Norby. I’m afraid Norby is just a hot run and the Pirates might cool him down. But on the other hand Edman is greatest either. Thanks for doing this talks.
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8:05 |
: Edman, especially if I need steals.
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8:05 |
: Who do you want for the next 2 weeks: 3 starts Boyd, 3 starts Francis, 3 starts Zebby, or 2 starts severino. Points league
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8:06 |
: Not Zebby for sure.
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8:06 |
: Boyd, then Francis, then Severino
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8:06 |
: Same question as above re: Rutschman with H2H playoffs starting, but with much worse waiver options than Cal. Would you drop Adley for any of Amaya, Langeliers, Melendez, or Keibert Ruiz? (5×5 OBP)
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8:07 |
: I’d swap him for all but Ruiz
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8:07 |
: Robles worth hanging on to with the elbow issue or would you drop for any of Josh Lowe, T. Ward, Noot, or Joey Ortiz? Steals nice to have but need all around production for one week playoff (5×5 OBP)
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8:08 |
: Drop for Nootbaar
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8:09 |
: Hi! Made playoffs in 12-tm, H2H, category. But what I thought was pretty good pitching has shown true colors — unreliable (Peralta, Pivetta), innings-weary, still developing young SPs (Baz, Festa, Williams), or washed up (Kershaw)! Want to drop one (possibly two) of Festa, G Williams or Heaney (good remaining schedule waiver pick up) to add bat. Your preference(s) would be?
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8:09 |
: Drop Heaney (or Kershaw) to add the bats you need.
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8:09 |
: Speaking of the aforementioned L Robert. In a keeper with no contracts, who’s the keep Robert or Butler?
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8:10 |
: Hopefully both but Robert
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8:10 |
: Vodnik off the IL. Is he worth a decent bid?
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8:10 |
: Good to hear
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8:11 |
: I’d need confirmation that he’s going to get his job back before going all in.
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8:11 |
: If healthy, could Kumar Rocker be a strong SP option in 2025?
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8:12 |
: I though Jackson Jobe was and that got me 0 IP.
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8:12 |
: Rocker is a great story but I’d check in on other possible call-ups (Chandler).
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8:13 |
: Is Devers cooked (shoulders)? Replace from bench with Caminero or Caballero (for SB)?
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8:14 |
: Those two aren’t any better than the hurt Devers.
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8:15 |
: His bat speed is way down.
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8:15 |
: Detmers and Canning … 10-team AL-Only … which is preferable with CWS coming up?
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8:16 |
: For now, it looks like Canning lines up for the CWS starts
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8:17 |
: Wait you have Edman over Norby?
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8:17 |
: I would if speed is important
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8:17 | : For @Daprez – Fangraphs has a probables grid… |
8:18 |
: I am fortuante enough that I get a bye in the first week of the playoffs (H2H, points) which also means I get to set up my team with FAAB for _next_ week. Please help me pick two of: Detmers v CHW, Pivetta v TB, Perez V Houston assuming the one one I get rid of I won’t get back!
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8:18 |
: Keep Detmers and Pivetta
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8:18 |
: For Daprez – Fangraphs has a probables grid.
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8:18 |
: How much does my manager let me play this week and what am I realistically capable of doing after such a long layoff?
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8:19 |
: I think he’ll play 2 games, set 1
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8:20 |
: Langford in 2025 – more likely to embarrass people who cut bait after an only ok rookie season, or embarrass people who still cling to the pre-2024 season hype?
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8:21 |
: I have him with above-average raw skills across the board. Nothing is negative. I have hope
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8:21 |
: Which two to start this week, Arighetti (2 good starts), Festa (2 really good starts), or Bowden Francis?
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8:21 |
: Festa
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8:22 |
: In these late days, Baz or Lively ROS?
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8:22 |
: Neither, I might just add a middle reliever
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8:22 |
: what to do with Castillo this week
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8:23 |
: Bench unless some new news comes out
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8:23 |
: AL-only question. Should I drop McKinstry for Clement, Barger, or Rocchio’s random hot bat, or just hold?
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8:25 |
: McKinstry’s playing time is drying up. I like the Jays but they only face four righties this week.
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8:25 |
: I’m going to call it a night. Good luck as the season winds down.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.