Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
| 7:30 |
: Welcome
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| 7:30 |
: Here are the winning bids in the three 15-team, mixed Tout Wars leagues.
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| 7:31 |
:
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| 7:31 |
: Looking towards next year in an NL Only keeper league.. better shot at being a future closer Kopech or Pearson (both or neither?)? Both seem to have +Stuff
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| 7:32 |
: Neither IMO. Wait and some closer situations will clear up. Also, look for closers at the end of their contract where someone else will need to step in.
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| 7:32 |
: In a 15 Tm Mixed would you drop Tyler Phillips for Faucher, Littell or Thompson?
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| 7:33 |
: While I pump up Phillips, he’s probably a sit vs the Dodgers and Walker might then bump him from the rotation.
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| 7:33 |
: I’d try to add Faucher and Littell
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| 7:33 |
: Thanks for doing these must-read chats. I’ve probably over-invested in shiny new toy Ben Joyce. Your rating of OK seems like a caution flag I should pay some attention to. Removing the possibility that he may not have the closer job, can you say any more about what doesn’t impress you?
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| 7:34 |
: A 7.7 K/9 and 4.0 BB/9
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| 7:36 |
: Of the 253 relievers with at least 20 IP, his 8.7% K%-BB% ranks 207th. On average 6 others relievers per bullpen are performing better.
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| 7:36 |
: Was very surprised to see Noelvi Marte hit the wire in my 12 team H2H dynasty league. Is he worth a FAAB bid of 10%?
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| 7:37 |
: In dynasty, he’s might be worth the bid.
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| 7:37 |
: I will say he’s WW fodder this season. His projected OPS is down 94 points since the start of the season.
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| 7:38 |
: 10 team keeper, Lawrence Butler or Victor Robles?
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| 7:38 |
: Butler
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| 7:38 |
: Read where Tampa can gain extra year of control by holding down Caminero till after 8/25. Would you hold Caminero or bid on J. Lowe or Meadows? Redraft
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| 7:38 |
: I’d get Low and Meadows
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| 7:38 |
: Do you expect a big FAAB bid to obtain Springs where available?
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| 7:39 |
: He’s not one of the top adds for me once I started to dig in. I’m worried he’s not going to get any Wins and some other arms I have higher (e.g. Festa).
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| 7:39 |
: thanks for doing these. how would rank Robles, Butler, Yepez for a utility spot ROS?
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| 7:40 |
: Butler ROS. With those options, you should be streaming the spot
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| 7:40 |
: Do you trust Birdsong ROS? Would be replacing Woods-Richardson. QS and K/9 league
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| 7:40 |
: Yes and yes
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| 7:40 |
: Will Alex Call get everyday ABs ROS? What about when Crews is recalled?
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| 7:40 |
: I’m not sure on Crews getting the call up. As for Call, ride this little hot streak
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| 7:41 |
: Hey Jeff- thoughts on Thompson or Puk getting the first extended crack at saves for the D’Backs?
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| 7:41 |
: I don’t think either has an edge right now
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| 7:42 |
: What are your expectations for Mookie ROS?
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| 7:42 |
: About 90% of what he was doing before the IL, so really good.
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| 7:42 |
: Why is DJ Herz not allowed to go past 5 innings?
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| 7:42 |
: Is a rule. Section 3.48.5, article 23
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| 7:43 |
: Fedde hit my NL dynasty league – can he keep his new-found success going.. what kind of bid % are we looking at? Would he be a keeper for next year too, if I get him at a fair price?
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| 7:43 |
: Even with the info, each keeper league is its own beast so I have no clue how he fits into a league’s keepers
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| 7:44 |
: Looking for Saves in NL only. Hold Justin Martinez or drop for E. Phillips, Kopech, or Ryan Thompson? Thanks!
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| 7:44 |
: I’d try for Phillips of the players listed if looking for Saves
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| 7:45 |
: Why are you better at fantasy baseball than Justin Mason? Feel free to also answer vs Brad Johnson or any current/previous FG fantasy writers. Why are you the best?
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| 7:45 |
: Why are you trying to start some shit?
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| 7:45 |
: Stash Rasmussen in 18-team keeper league? He’ll be an SP again next year I’d think.
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| 7:45 |
: Sure
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| 7:45 |
: How would you rank Cobb, Mahle, or Littell for pick up? Would be dropping woods richardson. Thanks.
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| 7:46 |
: Mahle … Woods …. Cobb, Littell
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| 7:46 |
: Travis Scott still considered valuable even with the move to SD? Seeking improved era/whip & replacing Neris with Scott
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| 7:46 |
: Seems like you’re rearranging deck chairs for no reason.
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| 7:46 |
: Hays is boring but seems to playing everyday. Would you dump him for Meadows (DET)? Redraft league
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| 7:47 |
: Yes, Hays over Meadows
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| 7:47 |
: Rodgers @ Coors or the suddenly hot Lux this week for the broken Westburg?
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| 7:47 |
: rodgers
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| 7:47 |
: Am I a drop in 5 OF OBP league (14 team) – avail are McCarthy, Wallner, Renfroe, Hays, J. Sanchz, Alex Call.
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| 7:48 |
: I would look at the streaming for the week. I know Sanchez is the top rated for this week and Renfroe is way down because of the 5 game week. Several services (FTN, Razz, Moonshot) provide weekly ranks
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| 7:49 |
: Looking for a bat to replace Langford’s balky back. Kepler, Larnach and Wallner are all available. All it will cost me is Jake Myers. Who’s the grab or go with Jake?
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| 7:50 |
: I’d likely stick with Meyers but if you must, Larnauch for this week
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| 7:50 |
: Do I risk Sears v.CHW & @TOR, or Springs @STL & v.BAL, or both or neither?
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| 7:51 |
: Sears is a no-brainer this week. I might pass on Springs until he can prove he can throw 5 IP
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| 7:51 |
: C.Mayo has zero hits! Should we be worried?
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| 7:52 |
: He does have 2 walks, so I’m not freaking out. The one obvious issue is that he’s only seeing 25% fastballs and 66% sliders so far. I think teams have found his weakness.
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| 7:52 |
: what % of FAAB budget would you spend on A. Cobb in a standard 10 team 5×5 AL only roto?
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| 7:53 |
: It’s going to be high. Depends are other players coming over in trades.
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| 7:54 |
: In AL Tout Wars, he went for 8% of original budget
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| 7:54 |
: How high do you have to be in OC overall standings to continue to play for the overall?
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| 7:56 |
: That’s a really good question … I’d still be trying in the top-100 for the overall. Just a note though. It’s an extra $700 for 2nd place and the same $700 for first.
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| 7:57 |
: even though the top 30 pay, you need to be in the top-20 to win more than the $700 bump from 2nd to 1st.
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| 7:58 |
: A contender is offering me CES from the Reds in my keeper league where I am not in the mix for a title.. is he too much-damaged goods or a good buy-low. It’s a wrist injury from swinging at too many pitches out of the zone. I kid, but could he be a good power source at CR for $11 ($260 cap/NL)
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| 7:58 |
: I would do it, if healthy, he’ll go for more in next year’s draft.
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| 7:58 |
: What are your thoughts of Realmuto vs Fry for the rest of the season
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| 8:00 |
: Sadly, this is close. I think Realmuto is still hurt, so struggling. But he could “heal” at any time and take off. I’d keep JTR around for his extra gear
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| 8:00 |
: Thoughts on Birdsong and his 2 start week ? Thanks
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| 8:00 |
: I ranked him as the top WW add this week, what more do you want?
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| 8:00 |
: Looking towards our H2H playoffs at the beginning of September, how would you prioritize Birdsong, R Ryan, Schmidt, Cobb and Jobe
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| 8:00 |
: Birdsong
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| 8:01 |
: $9 Ober or $19 Cole in 12 team AL only 5×5 H2H keeper league with 30% inflation. $260 team salary. My other pitchers are McClanhan $5, $1 Hendriks and $1 Felix Bautista.
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| 8:01 |
: Ober
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| 8:01 |
: Need a sp in a qs league. E. Cabrera, M Gore, or D Festa?
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| 8:01 |
: Festa and it’s not even close
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| 8:01 |
: The Dodgers’ closer is now whom, and how much money would you bid (if you think he’s someone who is on waiver wire)?
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| 8:01 |
: No idea and I wouldn’t spend but the minimum there
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| 8:02 |
: After lots of patience, do I finally drop Dansby at SS for: Holliday? Rafaela? Wynn? CBS H2H points (12 teams but offense plays like a 10 since everyone stuffs their benches with every SP with a job)
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| 8:02 |
: Go with Holliday for now but with the shallow WW, looks like a league to stream in
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| 8:03 |
: after 90 events this year combined Seattle-Washington, Robles EV, barrels, HH very, very healthy. He does pass the eye test too – seems relaxed, patient, smooth – but maybe he is just hot right now? 90 events too small a sample, or do we have another Profar type situation?
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| 8:03 |
: Usually hitting factors start to stabilize around 120 PA
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| 8:03 |
: Where can I find which teams or catchers are best to run against? Thanks!
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| 8:04 |
: First, teams attack the pitcher, not the catcher. All MLB catchers fall in a tight window to 2B.
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| 8:06 |
: Here is a link to each pitcher’s SB numbers: https://www.baseball-reference.com/leagues/majors/2024-basesituation-p…
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| 8:06 |
: With Rengifo back on the IL, I’m looking to add one of Jake Burger, Nolan Jones, Josh Lowe, Alex Call, Parker Meadows. Who ya got?
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| 8:06 |
: Lowe or Burger
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| 8:06 |
: Rank ROS…. Schwellenbach, Birdsong, Baz, Springs
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| 8:06 |
: That order
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| 8:06 |
: Need a backup 1B. These 4 are available J.Bell, M.Busch, Schanuel or Horwitz
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| 8:07 |
: Stream them if wire is this normally this deep
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| 8:07 |
: Will Parker Meadows be worth rostering in 12 teamers ROS?
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| 8:08 |
: I wouldn’t spend up for him, my projections have him as a below average MLB hitter
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| 8:10 |
: Here are Meadows Steamer600 comps. If any of them give you a warm fuzzy, feel free to add Meadows.
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| 8:10 |
:
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| 8:10 |
: With Siani injured, will Nootbaar have full playing time / be worth rostering in 12T points? Will he better than Pham ros? Thanks
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| 8:11 |
: Attack this outfield right now. I have no faith in VS3 getting regular PA
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| 8:12 |
: I have a few lucky / hot hitters, such as Eugenio Suarez and Tyler Fitzgerald. Any tips on what to look for as they cool off when deciding whether to drop them?
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| 8:13 |
: Watch for a downturn here: https://www.fangraphs.com/players/eugenio-suarez/12552/graphs?position…
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| 8:14 |
: ISO, K% and BB% stabilize the fastest so any changes could be real
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| 8:14 |
: Do you Morel is worth hanging onto. I could drop for McNeil(3 @ Colo) or B. Lowe.
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| 8:15 |
: Yes
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| 8:15 |
: Hang onto Morel
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| 8:15 |
: Do you think Heliot Ramos can be dropped in 12s if spot crucial? Thumb seems bad and ominous but no IL until at least Tuesday
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| 8:15 |
: Agree about the thumb. I’m trying to bench and insert if someone else gets hurt
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| 8:15 |
: Who do you trust most ROS Herz or Arrighetti? Or are they just streamers?
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| 8:16 |
: Herz yes, Spaghetti no
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| 8:17 |
: I trust Herz and Spaghetti is just a WW streamer
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| 8:17 |
: Hays over Nootbar in a 5 OF 12 teamer?
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| 8:17 |
: I’d go the other way
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| 8:17 |
: Should I drop Luis Rengifo and grab Xavier Edwards
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| 8:17 |
: yes
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| 8:17 |
: Thanks for doing these every week! Much appreciated
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| 8:17 |
: You’re welcome
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| 8:17 |
: Are Stowers and Norby worth a flier in 12 tm?
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| 8:18 |
: No, both are likely quad-A talents
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| 8:18 |
: Where would Wilyer Abreu be in your WW rankings?
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| 8:18 |
: Near the top, I think it’s only 5 righties for him this week.
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| 8:18 |
: Who ultimately takes the Royals closer gig?
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| 8:18 |
: Erceg
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| 8:19 |
: Drop Machado and plug Jazz in at 3rd? Jazz is $12 Machado $30, 12 tm 4×4. Have more OF options than 3rd base
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| 8:19 |
: It’s Eno’s kid’s league where dropping Manny is an option.
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| 8:19 |
: Yes, I’d have Jazz over Manny
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| 8:20 |
: Sounds like you like Festa. Over Heaney or try to play match ups?
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| 8:20 |
: That’s close. IIRC, Festa has the better matchup this week
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| 8:20 |
: Birdsong or Festa ROS?
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| 8:20 |
: Birdsong
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| 8:20 |
: Do Jordan Montgomery and/ or Civale have a chance to salvage this year?
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| 8:21 |
: Both are streaming options
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| 8:21 |
: How likely is it that Nate Pearson is the Cubs’ Opening Day closer in 2025?
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| 8:21 |
: 25%
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| 8:21 |
: Loperfido looks locked into 2nd spot. Pick up for Andrew Vaughn or Malloy in an obp league?
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| 8:21 |
: I’d stick with the two you have until Loperfido proves he’s a major league hitter.
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| 8:22 |
: I’ve been see-sawing between Shelby Miller and Hunter Harvey in AL Only league. They’re both getting occasional save chances and frequent blow ups. Do you like one better or should I just look to stream a starter (most of the A’s, for instance, are available). Thanks!
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| 8:22 |
: Harvey right now
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| 8:22 |
: 20 save lead in a 12 teamer, last in Ws and 2nd to last in Ks. Trade my remaining 2 closers for starters??
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| 8:23 |
: Yes but it might be too late to catch up
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| 8:23 |
: Nootbar or kelenic obp league?
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| 8:23 |
: Nootbaar
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| 8:24 |
: would you cut Francisco Alvarez for Austin Wells
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| 8:24 |
: No
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| 8:24 |
: That’s it for tonight. Talk to everyone next week.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.