Sunday Night Waiver Wire & FAAB Chat
| 7:32 |
: Welcome
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| 7:32 |
: Here are the winning bids in the three 15-team Tout Wars teams.
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| 7:32 |
:
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| 7:33 |
: Are River Ryan and Jose Soriano pretty much the same value? Figure Soriano is closer to an innings cap and Ryan might only last a start, but has higher upside?
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| 7:33 |
: I’d go with Ryan
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| 7:33 |
: River Ryan or Robbie Ray ROS? Ws/ERA/WHIP/Ks/SOLDs 10-team roto league
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| 7:33 |
: Ray
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| 7:33 |
: Are you holding N Marte in 12’s? He has been awful.
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| 7:34 |
: No, move on
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| 7:34 |
: 15 Team NFBC. Have been stashing Clarke Schmidt and now Max Fried hits the IL. Cut one or both for a waiver wire SP or middle reliever?
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| 7:35 |
: Probably hold both unless there is a decent WW option (Phillips). I’d hold Fried for a week on news
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| 7:35 |
: What should our expectations be on whether Springs will have the same impact as prior to the injury?
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| 7:35 |
: No way to know for sure but on average, pitchers will be the same with less control
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| 7:35 |
: Justin Foscue: any potential for fantasy noise ros?
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| 7:36 |
: I was looking into this before the chat. Maybe. I don’t like that he’s the DH so any could be the DH if they want a break.
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| 7:36 |
: 12 team OC; Drop Bobby Miller or hold on?
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| 7:37 |
: I’d drop if there is anyone streamable on the wire.
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| 7:37 |
: Albies a drop? Anyone on Braves to target? Thanks.
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| 7:38 |
: He’s probably a drop with Nacho Man (Nacho Alvarez Jr.) the likely replacement.
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| 7:38 |
: Where would Victor Robles have ranked on your waiver wire article? Are we believing in what he’s doing? Looks like he playing every day….
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| 7:38 |
: It seems Victor Robles is showing something. How should we be treating Victor Robles’ now there has been fantasy relevance so far in Seattle?
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| 7:39 |
: I just told someone that Victor Robles was French for Tim Anderson. Oops.
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| 7:40 |
: Robles seems to be a new hitter (better plate discipline, more power).
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| 7:42 |
: It’s tough to know what has changed in 45 PA. One sec …
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| 7:44 |
:
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| 7:45 |
: I was looking to see if Robles has shown a similar stretch in his career. Maybe a couple of times but it’s reaching on being an outlier.
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| 7:45 |
: Who do you think will have a more glorious career: J Westburg or C Rafaela?
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| 7:45 |
: Westburg, better hitter
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| 7:46 |
: Jeff- is Vodnik the new closer for the Rockies?
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| 7:46 |
: I think so, but it is the Rockies
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| 7:46 |
: Hey! firstly love the chats! Do you think the underlying improvements for Jesus Sanchez can help him be an underrated source for everyday power ROS?
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| 7:48 |
: The big change seems to be him pulling the ball more. Hopefully it sticks
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| 7:48 |
: Reese Olson.15 team. Hold or drop? Out there is Degrom, Jobe and the likes of Sears and R. Nelson.
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| 7:48 |
: I’d hold for now. Might drop next week when all the SPs start showing up.
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| 7:48 |
: ROS: France or Toro?
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| 7:49 |
: Toro, France just got demoted
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| 7:49 |
: I need a SP in a QS league. Brayan Bello, River Ryan, Ryne Nelson or Tyler Phillips? Please and thank you.
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| 7:49 |
: Phillips or Bello
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| 7:49 |
: Any rumors on the extent of Reese Olson injury?
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| 7:49 |
: None yet
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| 7:50 |
: Thanks for these chats as always – super helpful! In my AL only when a player gets traded to the NL I get the salary back in FAAB. How do you / would you value a high $$$ player who is likely to get moved? Would you trade for one (like my namesake) if they were a solid contributor and a potential faab windfall?
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| 7:50 |
: Sure. I looked at historic trade rates once and it’s even odds to for the player to stay in their league
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| 7:51 |
: Is Jobe the best pitcher remaining either to come up or be available ROS?
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| 7:51 |
: I’d bet on deGrom, Ray, and Springs first. Unless the Tiggers make a run, I expect Jobe up just the last month
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| 7:51 |
: I need a bat to replace Albies. Who do you like most, Jake Burger or Michael Toglia?
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| 7:51 |
: Toglia
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| 7:52 |
: Smith-Sawyer started in AAA today and threw 76 pitches. Do you see him taking Fried’s spot? I can’t see Dodd going into that rotation.
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| 7:52 |
: Or they could trade for someone.
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| 7:52 |
: Should I drop B.Rice for Stephenson, Bailey or Moreno?
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| 7:52 |
: No
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| 7:52 |
: Is river ryan an add in 12 teamers?
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| 7:52 |
: Yes to see what happens
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| 7:53 |
: Has Evan Phillips lost his job? Has Jose Alvarado lost his?
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| 7:53 |
: Phillips might, he’s making it a tough decision for the team
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| 7:53 |
: Tyler Locklear interest with full time ABs?
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| 7:54 |
: Let me look. I saw the Ty France demotion news right before I started the chat.
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| 7:55 |
: Maybe Railey … has the team said anything
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| 7:55 |
: Thanks Jeff, need a second baseman…your preference among Brandon Lowe, Morel, Gorman, and Angel Martinez?
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| 7:55 |
: Morel, Lowe, Martinez, Gorman
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| 7:55 |
: which 2 start SP for this week, T. Anderson, Arrighetti or Taillon?
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| 7:55 |
: Taillon
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| 7:55 |
: What are your expectations for Robbie Ray?
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| 7:56 |
: Lots of strikeouts and walks
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| 7:56 |
: All else equal in a 12 team OPS league, who would you drop first, Eloy, Andujar, Gleyber or Winker?
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| 7:56 |
: Eloy or Gleyber
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| 7:56 |
: The best of this bunch: Singer, Wacha, Pfaadt, Luis Ortiz ?
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| 7:56 |
: Pfaadt … has been all year
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| 7:56 |
: $5 left (don’t ask….), $0 bids allowed. AL Only (keeper), desperate for pitching, close to selling for next year anyways – should I put it all on Bloss?
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| 7:57 |
: No, go MR
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| 7:57 |
: Thoughts on Nacho Alvarez? Worth a spec add in 12 or 15 teasers?
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| 7:57 |
:
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| 7:57 |
: Ignorable. Here are Steamer600 comps.
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| 7:58 |
: He’s projected to be worse than Adam Frazier.
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| 7:58 |
: Someone dropped Matt Olson, how much FAB would you go?
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| 7:58 |
: All of it
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| 7:59 |
: A lot with enough left to add injury replacements
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| 7:59 |
: Albies replacement in deep NL only roto (four traditional categories). X. Edwards, Nacho, Wisely, Gary Sanchez (have him on reserve and can manipulate positions).
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| 7:59 |
: Edwards and Wisely are decent
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| 8:00 |
: Less confident for Schwellenbach after today or liked the Ks and WHIP?
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| 8:00 |
: No change
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| 8:00 |
: Is Brooks Lee a drop?
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| 8:00 |
: I wasn’t sure he was an add
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| 8:00 |
: Droppable for a middle reliever?
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| 8:01 |
: I sort of like him still. Depends on league depth.
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| 8:01 |
: 12-team pts league…. add Nootbar, J Yepez, or J Sanchez?
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| 8:03 |
: With those options, stream the weekly matchup. This week it looks to Sanchez
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| 8:03 |
: Which is the better pickup Ray or Springs ros?
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| 8:03 |
: Ray for K’s, Springs for ratios
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| 8:04 |
: When you need saves and wins. Are you going 7/2 or 6/3? Ratios are secure. Counting stats stink.
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| 8:04 |
: I’m going with Saves as long as I have closers. Hell, I’d go 5/4 if I had 4 legit guys. Then at some point I’d go full 9/0
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| 8:05 |
: Who do you like as a speculative add with Fried and Olson injuries? AJ Smith Shawver or Jackson Jobe.
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| 8:05 |
: Jobe by a mile, I don’t think he’ll be called up. I’m not sure ASS is any good
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| 8:05 |
: Can Tyler Phillips lock up the fifth spot in Philly?
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| 8:06 |
: Yes if team admits Walker is trash
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| 8:06 |
: Early reports are relatively good on the Julio Rodriguez injury. Assuming it’s just a sprain, what’s your order of preference for a week or two as a possible replacement out of Butler/Meyers/Toglia/McCarthy?
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| 8:06 |
: You have them in order
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| 8:06 |
: Spec on saves with Shelby Miller or Brebbia (melted down today) or use the slot for a spot start from heaney or one of those garbage A’s?
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| 8:07 |
: If those are the options, Miller
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| 8:07 |
: In regards to Reese Olson, Hinch said he’d be out a while. I don’t like the sound of it so I moved on.
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| 8:07 |
: Thanks
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| 8:07 |
: Drop Hoffman or Fairbanks?
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| 8:07 |
: Fairbanks
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| 8:08 |
: Scherzer has arm fatigue…would you drop him (or Baz) for R.Ray?
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| 8:08 |
: I’m holding Scherzer for now … could be the wrong move
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| 8:08 |
: Who is going to replace Paddock in the Twins rotation? Festa was a disaster, Varland has a 6 ERA, could they bring up Zebby Matthews and see what he’s about? He’s been their best pitcher in the minors this year, had a good start in AAA today.
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| 8:09 |
: Festa and Varland will be the move. I’m hoping Festa gets another chance
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| 8:09 |
: hi Jeff, who do you think will be better ROS between Colt Keith and Jackson Chourio in categories but OBP league? Thank you
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| 8:09 |
: Keith
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| 8:09 |
: My boy Pfaadt is on fire.
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| 8:09 |
: Yes he is
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| 8:09 |
: Could Arrighetti have turned the corner and be fantasy relevant ros?
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| 8:10 |
: It’s an easy solution, he needs to start throwing strikes.
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| 8:10 |
: Do I stick with Gleyber and Dansby or cut bait on one or both to pick up Angel Martinez, Joey Ortiz or Thairo?
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| 8:10 |
: I’m sticking with them but it might be the wrong move.
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| 8:12 |
: Looks Ozzie is drop in h2h cat. Is one of B. Lowe, McNeil, Edwards, Croenworth or Keith the p/u. Top 3.
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| 8:12 |
: Keith, Crone, Edwards
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| 8:12 |
: I traded G. Kirby for CJ Abrams because I needed the bat, but now have a hole to plug in a 12tm 5×5. Would you mind ranking these guys ROS? Thorpe, Scott, Baz, Heaney.
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| 8:13 |
: Scott, Heaney, Baz, thorpe
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| 8:13 |
: With Senga and Glasnow to activate this week, who do I cut? Bobby Miller, Kikuchi, Dansby or Gleyber?
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| 8:13 |
: Miller
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| 8:14 |
: I have two open roster spots due to injury. Which two should I add for the stretch run? Gelof, Schueman, Neto, C.Mayo, Andujar or M.Mclain.
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| 8:14 |
: McLain and Neto
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| 8:14 |
: is Bader playing enough or would you go Adell?
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| 8:14 |
: Bader
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| 8:14 |
: AL Only – I lead in ERA and WHIP. I have Kirby, Grayson, Gilbert, Pepiot, Kremer, and J. Gray. Likely will ose Gray, Kremer at some point after free agency etc. Now just lost Pepiot. I need a deep stash. Luis Garcia or Mize are best options. Which would you take? Bunch of other scrubs are out there..
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| 8:14 |
: Garcia by a mile knowing he might get traded
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| 8:15 |
: Hi Jeff. Do I drop Olson? If yes slim pickings Jobe/Birdsong/Merrill Kelly/Fulmer Thoughts thanks
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| 8:15 |
: No
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| 8:15 |
: Do you think Tanner Scott stays in a closer role once he’s traded?
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| 8:15 |
: I haven’t gone through each team but probably less than a 50% chance he keeps the job.
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| 8:16 |
: What would you expect from Smith-Shawver, assuming he joins the Braves rotation within the next week or two?
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| 8:16 |
: I have him graded as a mid to high 4.00’s ERA talent
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| 8:16 |
: I’m ignoring
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| 8:16 |
: Are you buying Steven Kwan’s power surge (relative, of course)?
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| 8:17 |
: No. It’s nice but I’m not paying up for it next season.
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| 8:17 |
: Will I be called up this week?
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| 8:17 |
: I don’t think so
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| 8:17 |
: 12 Team NFBC. Have Miller, Megill, Alvarado as closers and looking to replace Alvarado plus a speculative closer since Megill’s days are numbered, and Miller possibly gets traded. What SP would be the drop out of M. Meyer, A. Heaney, L. Ortiz, Fedde?
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| 8:17 |
: I hate to say it but Meyer
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| 8:18 |
: Do you think Angel Hernandez will hold down a permanent spot in the Guardian lineup? Or is his spot tenuous at best?
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| 8:18 |
: If he keeps hitting, he’ll stick
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| 8:19 |
: Hi Jeff, should I go with Wacha or a returning Robbie Ray rest of season redraft?
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| 8:19 |
: Wacha for me
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| 8:19 |
: Time to buy back in on Adell?
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| 8:20 |
: He has a nice schedule coming up so he’ll likely good hot (i.e. face shitty pitching)
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| 8:20 |
: Robles or Brooks Lee this week?
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| 8:20 |
: Robles.
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| 8:21 |
: Justin Steele or Luis Ortiz ROS ?
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| 8:21 |
: Steele
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| 8:21 |
: Is it worth it to keep stashing casas
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| 8:21 |
: Yes
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| 8:21 |
: Thoughts on Mitchell Parker?
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| 8:22 |
: Slowing down but still a decent streamer.
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| 8:22 |
: 16-team OBP keeper. I have too many OF and probably need to drop Lawrence Butler or Jesus Sanchez, two speculative guys I kinda like. Who should I drop?
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| 8:22 |
: Sanchez if keeper
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| 8:22 |
: Ginkel or Puk in saves/holds?
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| 8:23 |
: Puk
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| 8:23 |
: Time to cut Dejong (AL Only OBP)? I have Caballero and Leo Jiminez.
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| 8:23 |
: It’s always time to cut Dejong
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| 8:23 |
: Worth dropping Buehler to stash Ray or deGrom?
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| 8:23 |
: Yes on both.
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| 8:23 |
: Daniel Hudson?? Taking over for LA
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| 8:23 |
: I think it’ll be an ugly committee
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| 8:23 |
: Fairbanks or Estevez? (at least for the next 9 days)
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| 8:23 |
: Fairbanks
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| 8:24 |
: Worth to hold Joyce until the deadline?
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| 8:24 |
: Yes
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| 8:24 |
: Just traded for Albies. Just lost Albies. Who do I turn to in an OBP/SLG? Gleyber, D Hamilton, Schumann, J Ortiz, Julien, Wenceel?
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| 8:26 |
: My projections have it as Ortiz, Torres, then Julien
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| 8:26 |
: Have I turned a corner?
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| 8:27 |
: I don’t think so. Nelson has a great fastball and nothing else. Nothing. It’s a profile that has never succeeded. Best case is a Lance Lynn clone.
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| 8:27 |
: Jesse Winker is strictly platooning now and has barely run since his knee injury. Drop him for Jake Meyer ?
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| 8:27 |
: Yep
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| 8:27 |
: Have GLux at 2, looking at JIglesias as upgrade in FAAB, keeper 12 team mono NL league, no other owners with obvious IF needs, in 2nd place and need avg. How’s 15% of remaining FAAB sound?
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| 8:28 |
: I’d to 1%. Save the money for talented players.
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| 8:28 |
: what stats do you look at to tell if a pitcher’s gotten bad or just a rough stretch?
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| 8:29 |
: The last three weeks (BB% and K% stabilize by then).
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| 8:29 |
: Thanks
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| 8:29 |
: Cut Miller for Bello in 12tm? Feels like a mistake to give up on Bobby at this stage but…
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| 8:30 |
: yes
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| 8:30 |
: That’s it for this week. Good luck to everyone.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.
It’s bizarre that Noelvi Marte hit .151 with 0 walks and 15 Ks in AAA and the Reds were like “He’s ready!’
For real