Sunday Night FAAB & Waiver Wire Chat
7:27 |
: I’ll go ahead and get started.
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7:29 |
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7:29 |
: First off, here are the Tout Wars 15-team mixed league results.
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7:29 |
: Auction
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7:30 |
WCalhoun: 311 BRodgers: 232 NLopez: 177 OMercado: 134 BDozier: 57 JLuplow: 44 SAnderson: 37 RElias: 33 FGalvis: 27 TCahill: 26 SKingery: 25 HBader: 22 RHealy: 18 JDDavis: 16 AOttavino: 15 MKeller: 13 CQuantrill: 12 LMartin: 12 ASenzatela: 7 KMorales: 7 TWolters: 6 DMengden: 3 ELauer: 3 AAlmora: 3 GCooper: 3 PNeshek: 2 MCabrera: 1 PSandoval: 0 BBrennan: 0 |
7:30 |
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7:30 |
NLopez: 303 BRodgers: 236 WCalhoun: 222 GUrshela: 82 SKingery: 69 CTilson: 38 OMercado: 35 SAnderson: 24 DMengden: 18 CAnderson: 17 FCervelli: 8 TWolters: 3 NGoodrum: 3 JUrena: 2 JGant: 1 SGaviglio: 1 CMoran: 1 |
7:30 |
: Jorge Polanco is still on waivers in my 10-teamer (6×6 roto with OBP). Do you see him providing more value ROS than the recent promotions, Riley, Hiura, Rodgers, etc.?
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7:31 |
: I’d value him after Riley but ahead of the rest
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7:31 |
: Hey Jeff, I’m in a 12-team keeper league and I’m dominating pitching, but need hitters. What % of FAAB (have 75% left) are you comfortable w/ on Willie Calhoun and Yordan Alvarez? Trying to get both.
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7:32 |
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7:32 |
: will kimbrell be picked up
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7:33 |
: He and Keuchel should be owned at this point. The MLB draft is a couple of weeks away and both are likely to sign once it’s done.
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7:33 |
: Would you drop any of the following for Willie Calhoun in a points league? Franmil, H. Dozier, Puig? Thanks!
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7:33 |
: No
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7:33 |
: Does Willie Calhoun stick with the Rangers when Andrus comes back? Does he get full-time ABs?
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7:34 |
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7:35 |
: Hi Jeff, Pick 1 for ROS please; Senzel, Hiura, McNeil or Chavis?
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7:36 |
: Senzel and it’s not even close
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7:36 |
: what am i supposed to do about sandy alcantara?
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7:36 |
: Drop him. He’s on the WW in a deep NL league I’m in. Unplayable right now.
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7:37 |
: 5×5 12 team roto; I have to drop one of the following: McCutchen, Voit, Devers or Starling Marte. Who’s your choice?? Thanks for the help.
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7:37 |
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7:38 |
: Evening Jeff. Simmons, Seimen or B Rodgers rest of the way: 5×5 roto, need most help with R, HR & AVG. Thanks always
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7:38 |
: Seimen,
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7:38 |
: Drop Jon Gray for Joey Lucchesi?
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7:38 |
: Sure, both are just streaming options.
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7:38 |
: do you think Houston will keep Alcarez down past the super 2 date?
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7:39 |
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7:41 |
: Teams used to use June 1st as the date to be sure. Now, they are doing the math behind it.
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7:41 |
: Mid-May is now the date to keep in mind
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7:41 |
: I think I have to give up on getting Pivetta back and being effective. Would you replace with Tyler Mahle or Spencer Turnbull? Or ride it out
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7:42 |
: Turnbull
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7:42 |
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7:42 |
: It’ll likely be 25% for Mercado and 40% for Calhoun
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7:43 |
My starters would still be Berrios, E-Rod, Weaver, Morton, and Woodruff. |
7:44 |
: Peacock or Gray
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7:44 |
: Damn, some of you keep asking the same question 20 times. Doing that means your question is less likely to be answered.
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7:45 |
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7:45 |
: Riley, Calhoun, Rodgers, and possibly Martin
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7:45 |
: I’m in dire need of SB in roto and the best options on waivers are Peraza, Wong, DeShields, Leury Garcia and KK. Is Nicky Lopez that much better overall than these guys that I should drop big faab $ on him tonight?
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7:46 |
: No, get Garcia and keep an eye on DeShields. He’s the one who could steal 15 in a month if playing
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7:47 |
: “Gerrit Cole is still on waivers in my five team, AL & NL league…”
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7:47 |
: Calhoun and odor are both available. Who should i put a higher bid on
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7:47 |
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7:48 |
: Is Mercado going to stick around when Naquin comes back?
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7:48 |
: Mercado = Greg Allen, how did that work out?
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7:48 |
: I like Lopez more because he’s a better hitter
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7:49 |
: How aggressive should i be with my remaining $495, someone cut loose Sonny gray in my NFBC $350 online. I’m in first by a bit but am much stronger in hitting (51.5, 38 pts.). I was thinking pushing $200-220 for each of them.
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7:50 |
: You might be able to sleaze though with just over $100
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7:50 |
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7:50 |
: Maybe, I’m guessing less than 50% chance
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7:50 |
: Would you add Leclerc in 12-team leagues where you need saves? If so, what % of FAAB? Apparently he looked great today
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7:51 |
: No, until he is no longer a “starter”
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7:51 |
: 5 x 5 Roto. I have cervelli, Navarez, and Kelly for catchers. Who needs to go?
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7:51 |
: Kelly
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7:51 |
: In a 20 team keeper. H2H points league. Dropped JBJ and bid Some FAAB on Nick Lopez. This is a very competitive league around for over 20 years. No one outbid me and I bid low. Am I missing something? Is Lopez in the KC lineup all season?
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7:52 |
: Should be if he hits. Nice pickup
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7:52 |
: Confidence in Altuve returning to form ROS?
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7:52 |
: 60%
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7:52 |
: Sort of disagree with your call of Turnbull over Mahle. FIP & XFIP have them going different directions (Mahle Up Turnbull Down). Which you are obviously aware of so personal preference or do you know something awesome?
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7:53 |
: Then why ask me if you have already made up your mind?
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7:53 |
: Is McKay worth throwing an early FAAB bid on? (10-team, AL-only)
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7:53 |
: Not this year if he keeps the 2-way stuff going
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7:53 |
: Is this Logan Forsythe outburst something we need to get in on? Will he get run going forward?
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7:54 |
: He’s ownable in a 15-teamer as long as he keeps playing
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7:54 |
: Rank these French fries. Burger King, McDonald’s, Wendy’s.
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7:54 |
: I don’t eat fries. Most overrated food.
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7:55 |
: Is Riley really likely to be better than a Piscotty level OF? Which is sort of a cutoff point for most 5×5 12 team OF. I want more contact?
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7:55 |
: There has to be some tradeoff (power vs contact). Riley could be in the Mat Olson class of players.
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7:56 |
: Is Jimmy Nelson worth a pick-up? Seems like he may be nearing a return.
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7:57 |
: Grab him now while the price is low,
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7:57 |
: Also, Didi is getting closer
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7:58 |
: strategy question: if you want to drop a player but know an owner is interested, would you let waivers run, try to trade the player during the week and hope there is value on waivers next run?
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7:58 |
: If you don’t want to roster him, why are you worried if someone else does.
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7:58 |
: Hiura over W. Calhoun?
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7:59 |
: It’s really close for me. Playing time is the issue with both
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7:59 |
: Marwin Gonzalez has been hot bc Sano is back and Cruz is coming back. Is Marwin 12 tm ownable over Asdrubal?
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7:59 |
: They are close and have multiple positions
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8:00 |
: I’d stick with …. Asdrubal for now
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8:00 |
: Need to pickup an OF – Kingery or Willie Calhoun?
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8:00 |
: Calhoun
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8:00 |
: Why the all the love for F.Pena?
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8:01 |
: He’s not great, but I like him more compared to the others around his ownership level.
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8:01 |
: Drop Brasier for Buttrey after Workman was brought in to close for Boston?
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8:01 |
: Braiser seems to be getting pushed out of the closer role
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8:02 |
: My NFBC FAAB should have ran, let me take a minute and see how it went
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8:03 |
: Not yet
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8:03 |
: Biden or the field?
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8:04 |
: Field, I think many people are getting tired of crusty old white guys being in charge – Says crusty semi-old white guy
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8:04 |
: For 2nd Chance 12 tm NFBC Draft–1st pick: TROUT or YELICH!
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8:04 |
: Trout
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8:04 |
: Mengden have the stuff to stick around in As rotation? AL league for me
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8:04 |
: He might stick but he’s not good.
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8:05 |
: Starting archer in a points league? 2 start week.
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8:05 |
: Start all 2-start pitchers in point leagues
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8:05 |
: Griffin Canning or Corbin Martin?
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8:05 |
: Canning
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8:05 |
: What would be the worst thing I could realistically do with my FAAB this week? Cashner?
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8:05 |
: Nailed it. Home vs NYY and on the road at COL
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8:06 |
: Jeff we really appreciate this timely chat which I’m sure sucks for your schedule. So thank you!
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8:06 |
: It works out good. I’m dealing with my own FAAB and I don’t have HBO
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8:06 |
: Plutko worth a claim?
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8:07 |
: He’s down on my WW lists. Really comes down to the other options.
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8:07 |
: Hey, Jeff. Game of Thrones just started, gotta go. Talk soon! – Mike
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8:07 |
: See
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8:07 |
: Is Felix Pena the same as Y.Chirinos??
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8:07 |
: Maybe, Pena has seen the top of lineups more
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8:07 |
: Offered Blackmon for Altuve in one of my points leagues. Worth considering?
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8:08 |
: I’m on the Altuve side, Blackmon is close to un-startable in weekly formats
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8:08 |
: The difference between the road and home are huge
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8:08 |
: Dinelson Lamet….time to stash? Sounds like his hitting upper 90s.
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8:09 |
: Yea … close. I think he’ll take the whole month and could have a setback
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8:09 |
: Drop laureano for Mercado?
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8:10 |
: I would not, always roster the better player.
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8:10 |
: With 7 bench spots how many do you try to keep as A) Streamer Spots B) High Ceiling Stashes and C) High Floor Position Flex/Backups
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8:10 |
: This year, 5 spots for players on the IL and two streaming options.
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8:11 |
: I go with players in the majors and usually only have one MiLB stash. I like guys like Kevin Newman and JD Davis for stashes. They are in the majors and raking
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8:11 |
: If Nelson worth a grab while he’s cheap…how about Heaney?
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8:12 |
: Both would be great if you have the room
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8:12 |
: Put in a bid for Cease, or try to get an early stash in Jimmy Nelson?
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8:12 |
: Nelson. We should have an idea of his talent within a week or two.
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8:12 |
: Fried rice, biryani or red beans and rice?
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8:12 |
: Popeyes red beans and rice
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8:13 |
: Peacock 2 start, but 2nd v Boston. Worth the risk 10 team 5×5?
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8:13 |
: Maybe. I usually start guys with one bad and one good. Sometimes, I look into two W’s
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8:13 |
: Are you playing? Would you do a buy-low strategy scooping slow starters or stay more nimble with the 2 months of info we’ve gotten?
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8:15 |
: I’d just good off projections for hitters. For pitchers, I’d try to find those who change and push up. Rob, Van, and I plan on talking about it on the Launch Angle Pod this week
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8:15 |
: Would you drop Frazier or Laureano for any of the rookies, Riley, Calhoun, Rodgers, lopez, mercado? I need speed and RBI’s
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8:15 |
: Either for Riley but that is it.
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8:16 |
: As a Jose Ramirez owner whose team is doing very well, do I just sit tight or shop him?
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8:16 |
: Sit for now and let him build up his stock. I had someone try to buy-low on one of my shares but it was too late.
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8:18 |
: How can people possibly ask their FAAB questions on public chats when their leaguemates are probably reading the same responses?
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8:18 |
: I know, crazy.
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8:18 |
: What’s up with Jordan Lyles? No way he sustains his performance, right?
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8:19 |
: I’m all in. He’s made some nice changes last season. The ERA will come up some but I wish I had more shares
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8:19 |
: You dropping Ryan McMahon for the hot prospects this week (asking specifically for NFBC 12 team OC). Thanks!
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8:21 |
: the top four for sure. Riley, Rodgers, Calhoun, and Hiura
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8:21 |
: Does your Corbin Martin take change after last night or was it just a tough road matchup? How long’s the leash?
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8:21 |
: It changes. The biggest change is that the Astros may not keep him around if he keeps on struggling
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8:21 |
: Is it time to move of from Daniel Murphy?
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8:21 |
: Bench, not cut for me
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8:22 |
: Should I cut Nate Lowe in my al only 3 man bench league for one all of these call ups or wait it out?
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8:22 |
: Get the prospect in the majors. I’d try to trade off Lowe though
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8:23 |
: Worth holding onto Stripling or ok to drop for Canning? 12 team standard roto.
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8:24 |
: Drop him. You might mention that you plan on dropping and see if someone wants him. He seems to have some die hard fans
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8:24 |
: IL stash Danny Salazar or Jharel Cotton?
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8:24 |
: Cotton since he’ll be back sooner. If he sucks, you can stash Salazar
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8:24 |
: How much longer do we wait on Votto and Cano in 12 team 5X5? Not a lot of 1B on the wire.
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8:25 |
: I think you’re stuck for now
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8:25 |
: ROS OBP League: Votto, Vogelbach, Moreland?
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8:25 |
: Votto
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8:25 |
: Waiver Wire FAAB: Kingery over Ronny Rodriguez?
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8:26 |
: Rodriguez for me. He’s playing and his stats are what Kingery owners hope he would do.
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8:26 |
: Luis Urias or Nicky Lopez for 5×5 dynasty league?
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8:26 |
: Urias but close
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8:27 |
: Buxton or Dyson going forward for SB? 10team keeper league
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8:27 |
: Dyson if just for SB
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8:28 |
: All of my leagues are money leagues. 2000 to 3500 for the championship. FAAB is tense and guys won’t even hint to there best friends what they are thinking on claim day. Crazy to read about other people’s claim ideas.
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8:28 |
: Money changes everythingj
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8:28 |
: Jeff, I’m back from Game of Thrones! Decided to quit the show just for your chats. Thanks! – Mike
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8:29 |
: Spoiler – lots of people die.
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8:29 |
: Stash Alex Reyes or trade him?
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8:29 |
: Trade if you can but stash otherwise
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8:31 |
: That’s it for tonight. I hope everyone enjoys GoT and they get a couple of the prospects.
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Jeff, one of the authors of the fantasy baseball guide,The Process, writes for RotoGraphs, The Hardball Times, Rotowire, Baseball America, and BaseballHQ. He has been nominated for two SABR Analytics Research Award for Contemporary Analysis and won it in 2013 in tandem with Bill Petti. He has won four FSWA Awards including on for his Mining the News series. He's won Tout Wars three times, LABR twice, and got his first NFBC Main Event win in 2021. Follow him on Twitter @jeffwzimmerman.