Stream, Stream, Stream: 2x SP 9.15-9.21

First a look at the running totals through half of week 22:

45-32 record
3.75 ERA
7.5 K/9
2.7 K/BB
1.30 WHIP

Here’s a look at this week’s recs, with team wOBA in parentheses:

Brad Peacock – 0.1% ESPN/1% Y!/7% own, 3% start CBS – v. CLE (.316), v. SEA (.300)

As his ownership numbers will attest, Peacock hasn’t been particularly good this season. And that probably all ties into 4.7 BB/9 along with a fly ball-heavy profile at that home stadium. But Peacock is on a nice little mini-run (1.66 ERA, .187/.287/.293 opponents’ line, 8.7 K/9) over his last four starts. Worth watching will be how Peacock fares against both these teams — well, obviously, but stick with me here — since he faced both of those teams on that four-game stretch (both no decisions). The biggest issue for this righty has been blow-ups, as he’s got three starts where he’s allowed five, seven, and eight earned runs. In 19 of his 26 appearances (some in relief) he’s allowed three or fewer runs. The potential seems to be here for a McHugh-like breakthrough.

Jake Odorizzi – 36.1% ESPN/39% Y!/83% own, 52% start CBS – v. NYY (.308), v. CWS (.313)

Of interest here will be how Odorizzi bounces back versus the Yankees, who obliterated him for six earned runs in just 4.1 innings in his last start Sept. 10. But all season Odorizzi has been a pretty good source of strikeouts, which should shine through in the White Sox matchup specifically as the Pale Hose are in the top five among easiest teams to whiff this season. Odorizzi’s ownership numbers are a bit high, but so is the blow-up potential — so there still is considerable risk here. In addition to the Yankees debacle, Baltimore got to Odorizzi for eight earned back on Aug. 25, and the Angels scored five off the righty in just three innings. But in between, he’s twirled gems against the Cubs, Rangers, Tigers, Red Sox, and Blue Jays. The strikeouts should make it worth it, but he’s also fanned just five over his last two starts. At a career-high 159 innings there is surely a “hit-the-wall” possibility here.

Drew Hutchison – 8.3% ESPN/17% Y!/53% own, 28% start CBS – @BAL (.324), @NYY (.308)

Hutchison seems to lump his bad starts together, with a 6-7 earned runs split in mid-August, a 6-6 split in mid-July, and a 5-0-4-4 in mid-June. Now obviously that doesn’t mean much in the sense that we’re headed to mid-September this week, but that there’s some risk in taking this plunge. Here’s what we do know: Hutch gets a suddenly Chris Davis-less Orioles offense — whatever THAT means — before closing out with a Yankees bunch that hasn’t been particularly good for a while now (.301 team wOBA this month, .304 in August). Hutch has been on a nice mini-run as well, with a 1.78 ERA, .565 OPS allowed, and 32-7 K/BB rate over his last 25.1 innings spanning four starts. Then again, he faced Tampa, the Yankees, the Red Sox, and the Cubs in that stretch. In the end I say as I always say, go after the guy who gets whiffs.