Starting Pitcher Chart – September 8th
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
Be careful. A lot of names who did some good things throughout the summer are now very inconsistent which isn’t what you want in crunch time. We’ll have to take some risks with some of them, but the choices won’t be easy.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | George Kirby | SEA at TBR | x | x | x | 159 | 3.39 | 1.05 | 21% | 5th/3rd | |
| 2 | Zac Gallen | ARI at CHC | x | x | x | 178 | 3.48 | 1.11 | 21% | 17th/9th | Devastating 2-step last wk (11 ER in 10.7 IP) and the schedule isn’t much nicer here, but I’m not taking him out |
| 3 | Kodai Senga | NYM at MIN | x | x | x | 143 | 3.08 | 1.23 | 18% | 6th/8th | Feels like an unsung hero of the season as he’s lived up to the hype & then some but the Mets failures left him under the radar |
| 4 | Jordan Montgomery | TEX v OAK | x | x | x | 156 | 3.46 | 1.23 | 15% | 24th/28th | This OAK series couldn’t come at a better time for the sputtering Rangers |
| 5 | Eury Pérez | MIA at PHI | x | x | x | 78 | 2.86 | 1.08 | 22% | 1st/7th | |
| 6 | Yusei Kikuchi | TOR v KCR | x | x | x | 143 | 3.63 | 1.26 | 18% | 15th/24th | Still just 1 HR in his L9 and while he was lucky w/4 UER in Coors, no one in their right mind was starting him there anyway |
| 7 | Blake Snell | SDP at HOU | x | x | x | 155 | 2.50 | 1.25 | 17% | 1st/2nd | Obviously riding the line w/his MLB-high 14% BB being covered by an MLB-best 6.1 H9 which has led to an MLB-low 2.50 ERA |
| 8 | Kyle Bradish | BAL at BOS | x | x | x | 139 | 3.03 | 1.11 | 17% | 8th/5th | 5 ER in PHI back in late-July is his only >3 ER start in his L16 (2.63 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 20% K-BB in 96 IP) |
| 9 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI v MIA | x | x | x | 75 | 3.48 | 1.04 | 19% | 23rd/9th | Feel great about 3.81 ERA, 1.05 WHIP, and 19% K-BB in the 2H |
| 10 | Bryce Elder | ATL v PIT | x | x | x | 155 | 3.42 | 1.22 | 9% | 19th/22nd | Not a must start, but back on the streamer board in all formats w/this matchup |
| 11 | Griffin Canning | LAA v CLE | x | x | 104 | 4.30 | 1.19 | 20% | 27th/23rd | Sharp little 1.19 WHIP is a bit hidden w/the elevated ERA | |
| 12 | Logan Allen | CLE at LAA | x | x | 112 | 3.77 | 1.35 | 14% | 25th/15th | Injuries finally caught up to the Angels to where we’re now targeting them w/streamers | |
| 13 | Reese Olson | DET v CHW | x | x | 79 | 4.65 | 1.21 | 17% | 23rd/29th | Sharp 2-step last wk has made him a streaming target down the stretch | |
| 14 | Kyle Harrison | SFG v COL | x | x | 15 | 4.70 | 1.24 | 25% | 29th/29th | The 2-step (6.3 IP/0 ER, 5.7 IP/6 ER) showed the range of volatility he’ll have unless he improves his command quite a bit | |
| 15 | Luis Severino | NYY v MIL | x | 85 | 6.75 | 1.66 | 10% | 28th/25th | Good matchup puts him in consideration, but he’s far from trustworthy… very risky streamer | ||
| 16 | Mike Clevinger | CHW at DET | x | 101 | 3.90 | 1.30 | 11% | 15th/28th | Pulls the rug out from under us right when he looks trustworthy… that said, the Tigers cooking him for 8 ER last start doesn’t mean they’ll do it again | ||
| 17 | Emmet Sheehan | LAD at WSN | x | 42 | 5.31 | 1.30 | 8% | 22nd/24th | I wish he’d get an opener to put him in better position for a win since he’s not a guarantee for 5 IP | ||
| 18 | Andrew Abbott | CIN v STL | x | 95 | 3.22 | 1.20 | 17% | 21st/17th | I did overrank him in my final SP rankings as some of y’all pointed out in the comments | ||
| 19 | Taj Bradley | TBR v SEA | x | 79 | 5.42 | 1.42 | 21% | 2nd/13th | Only 1 ER in his return to the majors, but also 5 BB… 1 of several young arms who major high risk/high reward streamers on Friday | ||
| 20 | Tanner Houck | BOS x BAL | x | 81 | 5.07 | 1.31 | 13% | 14th/16th | Olson, Harrison, Sheehan, Abbott, Bradley, Houck, Brown all have a huge range of outcomes | ||
| 21 | Hunter Brown | HOU v SDP | x | 137 | 4.53 | 1.36 | 19% | 25th/19th | Still love him long-term, but he’s sputtering to the finish line as his tanks looks near E | ||
| 22 | Paul Blackburn | OAK at TEX | 89 | 3.81 | 1.46 | 15% | 21st/4th | ||||
| 23 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN v LAD | 132 | 4.28 | 1.38 | 16% | 11th/4th | ||||
| 24 | Mitch Keller | PIT at ATL | 169 | 3.93 | 1.25 | 19% | 4th/1st | So unfortunate that he was pushed back to an ATL start | |||
| 25 | Colin Rea | MIL at NYY | 104 | 5.07 | 1.24 | 13% | 29th/26th | ||||
| 26 | Jameson Taillon | CHC v ARI | 127 | 5.73 | 1.35 | 15% | 9th/11th | ||||
| 27 | Drew Rom | STL at CIN | 13 | 7.24 | 1.90 | 4% | 30th/18th | ||||
| 28 | Ty Blach | COL at SFG | 54 | 4.33 | 1.48 | 6% | 22nd/27th | ||||
| 29 | Dallas Keuchel | MIN v NYM | 21 | 5.06 | 1.50 | 1% | 8th/21st | ||||
| 30 | Collin Snider | KCR at TOR | 10 | 4.22 | 1.59 | 0% | 18th/12th |
I’ve only got 18 starts left among a rotation of Woodruff, Gausman, Wheeler, Lopez, Eflin, and Bradish. Should I just run them all out there until I exhaust my starts to cover for any late Sept missed/short starts, or should I start sitting Bradish @ BOS, Eflin vs SEA, Wheeler vs ATL?
Not Paul, but I would be more selective with your starts down the stretch since there are still three weeks left. I would sit Bradish vs BOS and Wheeler vs ATL.
I’m definitely sitting Wheeler v. ATL in your situation, but I’m inclined to ride w/Bradish still.