Starting Pitcher Chart – September 6th
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
It’s a half-and-half slate on Wednesday. There are certainly some guys in the second half of the list that some of us can and will start, but there’s a lot of danger out there so tread carefully!
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Strider | ATL v STL | x | x | x | 159.1 | 3.56 | 1.05 | 30% | 18th/8th | |
| 2 | Tyler Glasnow | TBR v BOS | x | x | x | 93.2 | 3.17 | 1.05 | 25% | 7th/5th | On track for his first 100+ IP season since 2018 (2nd ever); it’ll be interesting to see his ’24 draft price |
| 3 | Freddy Peralta | MIL at PIT | x | x | x | 145 | 3.85 | 1.14 | 22% | 11th/20th | After getting merked by ATL (6 ER on 7/21), he’s been damn near untouchable: 1.71 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 38%(!!) K-BB in his L7 |
| 4 | Zack Wheeler | PHI at SDP | x | x | x | 164 | 3.62 | 1.07 | 23% | 23rd/19th | |
| 5 | Logan Gilbert | SEA at CIN | x | x | x | 161.2 | 3.56 | 1.05 | 21% | 17th/14th | |
| 6 | Joe Ryan | MIN at CLE | x | x | x | 137 | 4.20 | 1.12 | 25% | 25th/22nd | |
| 7 | Lance Lynn | LAD at MIA | x | x | x | 155 | 5.81 | 1.40 | 17% | 19th/23rd | ATL dud is forgivable but at BOS was rough, too, and now 5 HRs in his L2… that said, I can’t get away from him in a pitcher-friendly venue |
| 8 | Hyun Jin Ryu 류현진 | TOR at OAK | x | x | x | 29 | 2.48 | 1.03 | 14% | 23rd/28th | |
| 9 | Justin Verlander | HOU at TEX | x | x | x | 129.1 | 3.34 | 1.18 | 14% | 15th/3rd | HRs are often the culprit when he’s off and 4 v. NYY sank him… can’t wait to watch him & Max battle |
| 10 | Max Scherzer | TEX v HOU | x | x | x | 144.1 | 3.55 | 1.10 | 22% | 8th/15th | Start was a bit in limbo w/forearm tightness, but he’s ready to go now |
| 11 | Michael Wacha | SDP v PHI | x | x | x | 107.1 | 2.85 | 1.12 | 14% | 1st/7th | Quietly putting together a fantastic season w/a couple IL stints being the only things that got in his way |
| 12 | Mitch Keller | PIT v MIL | x | x | x | 169.2 | 3.93 | 1.25 | 19% | 26th/25th | Completely came out the other end of that 4-start, 9.97 ERA lull back in late-July w/a 2.03 ERA, 1.23 WHIP, 22% K-BB in 5 starts since |
| 13 | Jordan Wicks | CHC v SFG | x | x | x | 10 | 1.80 | 1.10 | 20% | 20th/27th | Far from a must-start, but a viable streamer in any format for me right now |
| 14 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY v DET | x | x | x | 134.1 | 4.56 | 1.34 | 16% | 9th/28th | Toting a 3.68 ERA in the 2H if you remove the 8 ER at ATL which feels fair bc no one should’ve started him there |
| 15 | Matt Manning | DET at NYY | x | x | 77 | 3.62 | 1.03 | 9% | 29th/27th | Under the radar blazing hot over his L4 (0.38 ERA, 0.69 WHIP) but with a nearly invisible 5% K-BB | |
| 16 | Kyle Gibson | BAL at LAA | x | 162.2 | 5.15 | 1.34 | 13% | 28th/10th | |||
| 17 | Gavin Williams | CLE v MIN | 65 | 3.46 | 1.28 | 15% | 4th/6th | Left his last start w/knee soreness and got a wk off so I’d be careful putting him back in immediately… only if you MUST | |||
| 18 | JP Sears | OAK v TOR | 146.2 | 4.60 | 1.22 | 16% | 6th/5th | ||||
| 19 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA v BAL | 126.2 | 4.19 | 1.45 | 9% | 10th/9th | It’s a nice 3.52 ERA during the 2H but comes w/a 1.39 WHIP and 9% K-BB… not sure I’m trusting him down the stretch | |||
| 20 | James Paxton | BOS at TBR | 96 | 4.50 | 1.31 | 17% | 16th/13th | I cannot envision putting him in any lineup at this juncture after 3 straight colossal duds | |||
| 21 | Zach Davies | ARI v COL | 68.1 | 6.45 | 1.54 | 9% | 24th/18th | B2B gems v. CIN & BAL since returning from the IL… this is a way better matchup than those so I can find some streams | |||
| 22 | Carlos Carrasco | NYM at WSN | 90 | 6.80 | 1.70 | 7% | 22nd/24th | ||||
| 23 | Joan Adon | WSN v NYM | 29 | 5.90 | 1.14 | 13% | 12th/16th | Not sure I buy the 6% BB in his 29 MLB innings after a 13% last yr & 10% in AAA this yr | |||
| 24 | Edward Cabrera | MIA v LAD | 77 | 4.79 | 1.47 | 12% | 5th/2nd | ||||
| 25 | Tristan Beck | SFG at CHC | 74.1 | 4.12 | 1.22 | 14% | 21st/9th | ||||
| 26 | Chris Flexen 플렉센 | COL at ARI | 78.1 | 6.89 | 1.71 | 8% | 10th/11th | ||||
| 27 | Touki Toussaint | CHW at KCR | 64.2 | 4.87 | 1.48 | 6% | 14th/26th | ||||
| 28 | Lyon Richardson | CIN v SEA | 12 | 6.75 | 1.75 | -4% | 3rd/13th | ||||
| 29 | Jordan Lyles | KCR v CHW | 150.1 | 6.29 | 1.26 | 10% | 27th/30th | ||||
| 30 | Dakota Hudson | STL at ATL | 56 | 4.02 | 1.30 | 5% | 6th/1st |
These charts are really useful, thanks for putting them together! Looking ahead for the rest of the week, how would you rank Wicks (v SF), Harrison (v COL), and Eury Perez (@ PHI)? I have two starts left to use in a start-capped H2H playoff round.
Not Paul but in my opinion, I would go Perez and then flip a coin between Wicks and Harrison. Both SF and COL are terrible vs LHP. @SF with Harrison has a better park factor than @CHC with Wicks. I think Wicks is the slightly safer option between the two although it’s very close.
I appreciate the input, Gregg!
Did you end up going with Wicks? Not a lot of Ks obviously but strong ERA and decent WHIP with a W. I’m betting his line ends up being better than Harrison’s will be.
I did go with Wicks. Nothing sexy, but not too bad! Unfortunately, I was also starting Lance Lynn…
Damn, I know what that feels like. MIA also messed up Gonsolin a few weeks ago and I had the privilege of starting him for it.
That’s exactly where I’m at. It’s a tough call b/w Wicks/Harrison but Perez is the lock of the 3.