Starting Pitcher Chart – September 16th, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
I fell asleep before 10pm for maybe only the 2nd or 3rd time of the baseball season! Let’s take a look at Tuesday’s board:
- There was a version of this board up for about 2 minutes that had Eury as 3-x. I’ve moved him down as I definitely don’t trust him in all formats going into Coors.
- Abbott has been wobbly down the stretch (4.40 ERA/1.26 WHIP in L30) and I’ve had some skepticism about him all year so I’m not terribly surprised by the downturn, but he was brilliant last time out in SDP to hopefully assuage some concerns that were building.
- Ohtani was right back down to 3.7 IP last time out and he’s just not a bankable 5 IP having done it exactly once this year and now gets a brutally difficult matchup so I’m not sure I’m looking to start him in many spots
- Clay Holmes is starting, but Manaea is following and while he hasn’t been terribly good at all this year, following does put him in a better spot to steal a win even if it’s only 3-4 good innings so I don’t mind the risk in some spots.
- Let’s be careful with Pepiot… seems to be wearing down in the stretch run here and gets a tough matchup so while I’m still a mega-fan of the talent, he’s not a must-start here.
—
RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Paul Skenes | PIT v CHC | x | x | x | 178 | 1.92 | 0.92 | 24% | 9th |
2 | Freddy Peralta | MIL v LAA | x | x | x | 163 | 2.69 | 1.09 | 18% | 25th |
3 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at LAD | x | x | x | 182 | 2.57 | 1.11 | 20% | 4th |
4 | Logan Gilbert | SEA at KCR | x | x | x | 114 | 3.54 | 1.03 | 28% | 24th |
5 | Cade Horton | CHC at PIT | x | x | x | 110 | 2.70 | 1.11 | 13% | 30th |
6 | Merrill Kelly | TEX at HOU | x | x | x | 176 | 3.21 | 1.06 | 16% | 21st |
7 | Andrew Abbott | CIN at STL | x | x | x | 151 | 2.79 | 1.13 | 15% | 18th |
8 | Cam Schlittler | NYY at MIN | x | x | x | 56 | 3.05 | 1.32 | 17% | 20th |
9 | Chris Sale | ATL at WSN | x | x | x | 107 | 2.52 | 1.12 | 26% | 27th |
10 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN v ATL | x | x | x | 152 | 4.14 | 1.33 | 19% | 15th |
11 | Michael King | SDP at NYM | x | x | x | 62 | 2.87 | 1.07 | 18% | 3rd |
12 | Casey Mize | DET v CLE | W | x | x | 131 | 3.83 | 1.27 | 16% | 29th |
13 | Shane Smith | CHW v BAL | x | x | 131 | 3.78 | 1.18 | 13% | 18th | |
14 | Connelly Early | BOS v ATH | x | x | 5 | 1.20 | 48% | 9th | ||
15 | Joey Cantillo | CLE at DET | x | x | 80 | 3.36 | 1.31 | 16% | 1st | |
16 | Ryan Pepiot | TBR v TOR | x | x | 163 | 3.59 | 1.13 | 16% | 4th | |
17 | Dean Kremer | BAL at CHW | x | x | 158 | 4.43 | 1.26 | 14% | 28th | |
18 | Michael McGreevy | STL v CIN | x | x | 79 | 4.44 | 1.23 | 11% | 15th | |
19 | Eury Pérez | MIA at COL | x | 81 | 4.67 | 1.11 | 15% | 27th | ||
20 | Shohei Ohtani | LAD v PHI | x | 36 | 3.75 | 1.19 | 27% | 2nd | ||
21 | Michael Wacha | KCR v SEA | x | 159 | 3.45 | 1.18 | 12% | 12th | ||
22 | Sean Manaea | NYM v SDP | x | 50 | 5.76 | 1.24 | 25% | 19th | ||
23 | Jeffrey Springs | ATH at BOS | x | 162 | 4.28 | 1.20 | 12% | 5th | ||
24 | AJ Blubaugh | HOU v TEX | x | 22 | 2.45 | 0.91 | 22% | 23rd | ||
25 | José Berríos | TOR at TBR | 160 | 3.99 | 1.29 | 12% | 11th | |||
26 | Zebby Matthews | MIN v NYY | 69 | 5.06 | 1.46 | 19% | 1st | |||
27 | Caden Dana | LAA at MIL | 15 | 6.32 | 1.60 | 11% | 8th | |||
28 | Jake Irvin | WSN v ATL | 162 | 5.70 | 1.43 | 7% | 22nd | |||
29 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI v SFG | 137 | 4.98 | 1.55 | 12% | 30th | |||
30 | Kyle Freeland | COL v MIA | 145 | 4.97 | 1.46 | 12% | 24th | |||
31 | José Suarez | ATL at WSN | 7 | 2.45 | 1.36 | -7% | 27th | |||
32 | Matt Gage | SFG at ARI | 27 | 2.96 | 1.50 | 12% | 6th |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
KEY x: Standard Recommendation | W: Chasing the Win
Holmes is technically starting tonight with Manaea piggybacking him.
I mentioned that in the notes but I listed Manaea bc he’s the more likely of the 2 to be fantasy-relevant
Oh my bad
no problem at all, I appreciate you trying to help out!