Starting Pitcher Chart – September 12th, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the August SP Rankings (newish)
Oof, Bobby Miller just allowed a 3-run homer, ending his day with 6 ER in just 4.3 IP. As it stands right now, I still think I’ll be in at the discounted rate for 2025, but obviously we could learn of an injury in the offseason (if not sooner) that would then change his outlook.
I’m very excited for Kumar Rocker’s debut. He has an 0.91 ERA, 0.57 WHIP, & 41% K-BB rate in his last 7 starts across Double- and Triple-A.
—
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Tarik Skubal | DET v COL | x | x | x | 174 | 2.53 | 0.95 | 25% | 26th/23rd |
| 2 | Framber Valdez | HOU v OAK | x | x | x | 157 | 2.97 | 1.09 | 17% | 23rd/14th |
| 3 | Sonny Gray | STL v CIN | x | x | x | 154 | 3.84 | 1.09 | 24% | 11th/18th |
| 4 | Bryce Miller | SEA v TEX | x | x | x | 161 | 3.18 | 0.99 | 18% | 25th/26th |
| 5 | Ryan Pepiot | TBR at CLE | x | x | x | 113 | 3.66 | 1.14 | 17% | 24th/21st |
| 6 | DJ Herz | WSN v MIA | x | x | x | 75 | 3.82 | 1.22 | 20% | 15th/29th |
| 7 | Frankie Montas | MIL at SFG | x | x | x | 132 | 4.69 | 1.37 | 11% | 28th/24th |
| 8 | Nestor Cortes | NYY v BOS | x | x | x | 163 | 3.97 | 1.15 | 17% | 22nd/15th |
| 9 | Gavin Williams | CLE v TBR | x | x | 60 | 5.25 | 1.37 | 14% | 29th/29th | |
| 10 | Kumar Rocker | TEX at SEA | x | x | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 15th/23rd | |
| 11 | Cooper Criswell | BOS at NYY | 92 | 4.11 | 1.34 | 10% | 13th/1st | |||
| 12 | Mitch Spence | OAK at HOU | 130 | 4.42 | 1.37 | 13% | 8th/9th | |||
| 13 | Ryan Feltner | COL at DET | 138 | 4.96 | 1.41 | 13% | 9th/22nd | |||
| 14 | Jakob Junis | CIN at STL | 51 | 2.82 | 0.92 | 16% | 16th/14th | |||
| 15 | Hayden Birdsong | SFG v MIL | 52 | 5.19 | 1.50 | 12% | 17th/6th | |||
| 16 | Darren McCaughan | MIA at WSN | 24 | 7.40 | 1.85 | 3% | 18th/17th |
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Kind of nervous for Rocker. Not based on the skills (he’s a monster), but the Mariners are a top 10 offense over the last month and are running a 130 wRC+ over the past two weeks. They’ve honestly been kind of a scary bet recently.
I’m genuinely nervous about any MLB debut, but SEA still doesn’t really irk me
I’m still going to take Williams vs. Tampa’s bottom-5 offense over the past month.
Yeah I can definitely agree w/Gav over Kumar even by a decent margin even though both are 2-x guys
Looking forward to seeing Jacob deGrom’s name on this post tomorrow.
Me too, I really hope he’s awesome off rip
If QS is most important, does your opinion on Herz move at all? He just doesn’t seem to be a 6 IP option.
I has to move, 2 starts out of 16 of going over 5 2/3 and both times it was exactly 6 innings.
Bonus points for QS: am I going with Pepiot tonight or Corbin v Miami this weekend? I’m concerned Pepiot won’t get the win, but Corbin makes me nervous. Appreciate any thoughts.
Classic dilemma, good pitcher against a better offense (122 wrc+ for CLE recently vs. RHP at home) or an historically poor pitcher who has been pitching well lately, but got killed in his previous start and is facing a lesser offense (85 wrc+ vs. LHP on the road).
I couldn’t live with myself knowing I put my fate in Patrick Corbin’s hands. Pepiot it is.
Very fair perspective! Thanks for sharing it. 🤞
So I’m all for fading/ignoring Rockies starters, but Ryan Feltner apparently doesn’t appreciate it. Coming into today, he had a 3.99 ERA and 4.18 FIP on the road, and he pitched well today. Whoever replaced Bud Black after he got ejected should have let him finish the 6th, because he had the Tigers where he wanted them despite HP Umpire Alfonso Marquez’s best efforts. 3H / 2BB / 2ER / 6K / 5.2 IP opposite Skubal.
Might be a streamer on the road.
I love Feltner, but still find it hard to even just fully trust him on the road
I get that, but the results on the road are there this season. It’s worth a flyer in deep leagues, especially if you’re desperate.