Starting Pitcher Chart – September 10th, 2024
by Paul Sporer
September 9, 2024
- Daily SP Chart archive
- Check out the August SP Rankings (new)
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Starter Notes September 10, 2024
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shota Imanaga | CHC at LAD | x | x | x | 153 | 2.99 | 1.02 | 21% | 8th/3rd | |
| 2 | Pablo López | MIN v LAA | x | x | x | 162 | 4.05 | 1.13 | 21% | 30th/27th | |
| 3 | Reynaldo López | ATL at WSN | x | x | x | 127 | 2.04 | 1.15 | 18% | 15th/17th | Picked up right where he left off since returing from the IL: 1.96 ERA, 0.96 WHIP, 32% K-BB in 23 IP |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | ARI v TEX | x | x | x | 127 | 3.69 | 1.28 | 15% | 16th/26th | The “pattern” says another dud, but these patterns aren’t predictive: 1, 5, 1, 4, 0, 5, 0 ER over his L7 (3.66 ERA in 39.3 IP) |
| 5 | George Kirby | SEA v SDP | x | x | x | 167 | 3.61 | 1.11 | 20% | 6th/5th | Hit a bit of a wall in Aug. (6.84 ERA), but he opened Sept. with 6 scoreless IP at OAK w/9 Ks and 0 BB |
| 6 | Alex Cobb | CLE at CHW | x | x | x | 16 | 2.76 | 1.04 | 11% | 25th/30th | It’s pretty much anyone v. CHW these days, but Cobb is also very good when healthy so let’s dive into the 2-step (v. TBR this wknd) |
| 7 | Seth Lugo | KCR at NYY | x | x | x | 186 | 3.05 | 1.11 | 15% | 9th/1st | Trips to the Bronx are never easy, but I can’t see sitting him anywhere except if I’m just protecting ratios and holding a lead |
| 8 | Ranger Suárez | PHI v TBR | x | x | x | 133 | 2.90 | 1.07 | 19% | 26th/10th | No longer pitching like the must-start stud from Apr-Jun, but still consistently in rotations across most formats |
| 9 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX at ARI | x | x | x | 147 | 3.55 | 1.06 | 18% | 1st/2nd | Dialed in with 7 IP in 3 of his L4 starts, posting a 2.67 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, and 20% K-BB in 27 IP |
| 10 | Yu Darvish | SDP at SEA | x | x | x | 59 | 3.51 | 1.12 | 16% | 10th/23rd | Not great in his return but are we really going to pass up a SEA start? |
| 11 | Spencer Arrighetti | HOU v OAK | x | x | x | 125 | 4.82 | 1.43 | 17% | 8th/20th | Has consistently bounced back from his duds… he’s the best damn 4.82 ERA in the league! (But for real, he’s still good) |
| 12 | Albert Suárez | BAL at BOS | x | x | x | 113 | 3.49 | 1.31 | 10% | 19th/3rd | Not the easiest matchup, but BOS isn’t as well of late so I’m OK chasing the W here (though he is just 2-1 in his L6) |
| 13 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN v ATL | x | x | x | 143 | 4.32 | 1.50 | 15% | 3rd/4th | Has regained his footing just in time to win leagues or pull the rug out from under us again? 2.00 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 24% K-BB in his L3 has me ready to dive in again! |
| 14 | Rhett Lowder | CIN at STL | x | x | x | 10 | 0.87 | 1.35 | 2% | 17th/14th | Walking a tightrope in his first 2 starts, allowing just 1 R and 6 H in 10.7 IP, but we can’t ignore the 8 BB! They are uncharacteristic and should smooth out. |
| 15 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD v CHC | x | x | 74 | 2.92 | 1.07 | 22% | 5th/16th | Just not sure how much volume he’ll get in his return so not a must start | |
| 16 | Osvaldo Bido | OAK at HOU | x | x | 63 | 3.41 | 1.09 | 14% | 7th/9th | Given a mini-break w/just 40 pitches outta the pen over the wknd and I think he’s done enough to run in this tough matchup: 2.23 ERA, 0.89 WHIP, 17% K-BB in 36.3 IP | |
| 17 | Kutter Crawford | BOS v BAL | x | x | 161 | 4.08 | 1.07 | 16% | 23rd/7th | He’s back…ish?? 3.52 ERA, 0.83 WHIP (!!), 13% K-BB over his L4 (23 IP) w/2 HRs allowed being the major factor (21 in 12 starts before that – 4.95 ERA) | |
| 18 | Aaron Civale | MIL at SFG | x | x | 140 | 4.62 | 1.34 | 15% | 26th/24th | EVERY time he’s on the slate, I give him a long look and I definitely haven’t recommended him every time, but he’s remaining intruing and now we’re seeing results: 2.54 ERA, 1.07 WHIP, 15% K-BB in 28.3 IP | |
| 19 | David Peterson | NYM at TOR | x | x | 98 | 2.75 | 1.31 | 10% | 25th/25th | Finally saw some skills to go with the success after a season-high 11 Ks v. BOS, though still just 38 in 44.7 IP during this 1.81 ERA run | |
| 20 | Taj Bradley | TBR at PHI | x | x | 116 | 4.40 | 1.21 | 19% | 11th/12th | One bad inning spoiled his last outing (3 ER), but stuck around long enough for 7 IP and 10 Ks… he’s a complete wildcard and entirely situation-dependent — good luck if you run him! | |
| 21 | Keider Montero | DET v COL | x | 74 | 5.47 | 1.39 | 11% | 13th/15th | SDP predictably spoiled his solid run (3.82 ERA, 1.24 WHIP, 11% K-BB in 33 IP) but there was no need to start him there anyway so I’m not crushing him for it | ||
| 22 | Griffin Canning | LAA at MIN | x | 150 | 5.02 | 1.38 | 9% | 28th/8th | He could be good, but I have a hard time putting my stretch fate in his hands | ||
| 23 | Chris Bassitt | TOR v NYM | 157 | 4.30 | 1.43 | 14% | 12th/10th | He just pummels you with that WHIP | |||
| 24 | Adam Oller | MIA at PIT | 21 | 4.15 | 1.25 | 10% | 24th/28th | ||||
| 25 | Andre Pallante | STL v CIN | 97 | 4.07 | 1.36 | 7% | 18th/18th | ||||
| 26 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW v CLE | 101 | 4.53 | 1.39 | 9% | 27th/21st | ||||
| 27 | Marcus Stroman | NYY v KCR | 143 | 4.03 | 1.42 | 8% | 20th/11th | ||||
| 28 | Hayden Birdsong | SFG v MIL | 52 | 5.19 | 1.50 | 12% | 22nd/6th | ||||
| 29 | Joey Wentz | PIT v MIA | 55 | 5.50 | 1.62 | 12% | 18th/29th | ||||
| 30 | Bradley Blalock | COL at DET | 26 | 5.40 | 1.69 | 1% | 14th/22nd |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
The chart includes their 2024 stats (this changed over from last year’s stats on April 22nd), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this is changed as of April 11th) and over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but that just means it is a riskier stream as the league gets shallower.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto and then you can generally expand these recommendations a bit for points leagues.
Looks like Lively instead of Cobb today. How terrified should I be?
Gotta feel good running him v. CHW, no?
Yeah, he did well enough vs. MIL and TEX that you kinda have to run him today. He was pretty unlucky against KC, with a BABIP of .400 and multiple soft hits finding seams.