Starting Pitcher Chart – May 8th, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025 (I changed over from 2024 #s on April 15th), their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far (this changed as of April 14th), my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Jesús Luzardo | PHI at TBR | x | x | x | 41 | 1.94 | 1.18 | 21% | 28th | Mentioned w/Sánchez yesterday that while the venue is tough, TBR just isn’t hitting vL so I’m not too worried… I mean, let’s be honest they could be 1st in wOBA vL and I’d still be starting Luzardo w/how well he’s pitching right now… Sanchy went 6 scoreless, btw |
| 2 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL v CIN | x | x | x | 41 | 3.92 | 1.11 | 18% | 17th | Got a question in my chat asking if I was concerned about the 7.17 ERA over his L4 and it was a firm “no” as it’s 1 bad inning at TOR and a rough start v. LAD; still a 4.5 K/BB in that time, too |
| 3 | Kris Bubic | KCR v CHW | x | x | x | 41 | 1.98 | 1.12 | 16% | 26th | Just 7 Ks in his L2 after 5+ in each of his first 5 starts but CHW is obviously a great Rx to get back on track |
| 4 | Joe Ryan | MIN v BAL | x | x | x | 40 | 2.93 | 0.90 | 27% | 7th | 1 R in 13 IP since ATL diced him up for 6 ER/3 HR, his only truly bad start of the season |
| 5 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD at ARI | x | x | x | 40 | 0.90 | 0.93 | 24% | 2nd | ARI is super-tough and absolutely raking, but obviously there’s no universe where we’d sit Yoshi |
| 6 | Nick Lodolo | CIN at ATL | x | x | x | 41 | 3.27 | 1.04 | 14% | 23rd | 3 3-hit innings v. WAS resulted in his worst start of the yr, but he’s still a full-go without any major concerns |
| 7 | Chris Bassitt | TOR at LAA | x | x | x | 39 | 2.95 | 1.18 | 22% | 25th | Has cooled a bit after his blazing hot start w/a 6.06 ERA & 4 HRs in his L3 after an 0.77 ERA & 0 HRs in his F4 and yet I’m confidently starting him in this matchup |
| 8 | José Soriano | LAA v TOR | x | x | x | 40 | 3.83 | 1.43 | 9% | 28th | MLB-best 64% GB rate helps him limit HRs and outpitch an otherwise bad 9% K-BB… still scary in tough matchups which TOR is not; just don’t let Vlad Jr. & Springer beat ya |
| 9 | Ryan Pepiot | TBR v PHI | x | x | 38 | 4.23 | 1.41 | 13% | 6th | Can’t pretend I’m not worried about his 8 HRs in 5 starts at home w/a strong PHI tm coming to visit so while I am a big fan of his, I can see skipping in some spots | |
| 10 | Casey Mize | DET at COL | x | x | 36 | 2.70 | 1.09 | 12% | 30th | We originally had Mize slated for Wed., so I assumed Jobe would be in the doubleheader. Here’s my comment from yesterday: Coors is always scary even w/this brutal Rockies team, but I still see some viability in running Mize here even if just for the W upside | |
| 11 | Brayan Bello | BOS v TEX | x | x | 17 | 2.55 | 1.19 | 7% | 26th | Not blindly starting him everywhere as that ERA isn’t backed up by his skills, but TEX is a team to pick on right now | |
| 12 | Jack Leiter | TEX at BOS | x | 17 | 4.58 | 1.30 | 11% | 10th | Handled BOS in his season debut (5 IP/1 ER), can he repeat the feat in Fenway? | ||
| 13 | Davis Martin | CHW at KCR | x | 38 | 3.52 | 1.36 | 9% | 24th | Pure matchup play that still carries plenty of downside | ||
| 14 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI v LAD | 40 | 3.79 | 1.24 | 17% | 1st | Sitting is the right move… sure, he could pop off, but the risk/reward just isn’t there in this matchup (6.20 career ERA v. LAD in 4 starts, too) | |||
| 15 | Kyle Freeland | COL v DET | 36 | 5.70 | 1.46 | 14% | 6th | I’d put more stock in his ERA moving toward his solid 3.64 SIERA if Coors wasn’t the toughest place for a low-K arm to fix a LOB% issue | |||
| 16 | Keider Montero | DET at COL | 13 | 5.93 | 1.76 | 9% | 30th | ||||
| 17 | Dean Kremer | BAL at MIN | 37 | 5.73 | 1.38 | 8% | 22nd | ||||
| 18 | Tanner Gordon | COL v DET | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 8th |
Looks like Bailey Ober is the starter for MIN, not Joe Ryan.
Safe to assume xxx for him too?
yes, full reco everywhere for Ober, too!