Starting Pitcher Chart – May 30th

May 30, 2023

Mandatory Credit: Dale Zanine-USA TODAY Sports

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Late drop today coming off the holiday weekend. Wednesday chart will be up tonight!

Tuesday, May 30th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Joe Ryan	MIN	at	HOU	x	x	x	61	2.21	0.95	25%	22nd	His 5 innings last time out was the first sub-6 IP start of the season for Ryan
2	Shane McClanahan	TBR	at	CHC	x	x	x	64	1.97	1.13	19%	15th	BB% is about the only thing close to an “issue” and he’s even working on that w/just 1 in his L14 IP
3	Zac Gallen	ARI		COL	x	x	x	66.2	2.97	1.02	23%	1st	COL’s ranking isn’t just influenced by Coors, they are 8th vR in the L30 days, but obviously we’re not sitting Gallen anywhere ever
4	Logan Gilbert	SEA		NYY	x	x	x	60	3.60	0.92	25%	3rd	Major K improvement (30%) is getting the attention, but he’s also dropped his already sparkling BB rate (4%)
5	Sandy Alcantara	MIA		SDP	x	x	x	63	4.86	1.22	14%	26th	Survived Coors and I just can’t be convinced to sit him anywhere despite the underwhelming first couple months
6	Bryce Elder	ATL	at	OAK	x	x	x	58.1	2.01	1.17	15%	29th	Brilliant outing v. LAD keeps his strong start going and I’ve got him an everywhere start in all matchups right now
7	Lucas Giolito	CHW		LAA	x	x	x	63.1	3.98	1.26	17%	12th	I think the 7 BB outing at DET is a blip and I’m sticking w/him everywhere even in a tough matchup
8	Miles Mikolas	STL		KCR	x	x	x	61.2	4.23	1.39	13%	10th	Rolling with a 2.47 ERA/1.15 WHIP in his L8 starts after a 10.05 ERA in his first 3 where he allowed 5+ ER in all of ’em
9	Kodai Senga	NYM		PHI	x	x	x	48	3.94	1.52	14%	18th	BB make every start a bit worrisome but it’s hard to sit him unless you have major WHIP issues
10	Tony Gonsolin	LAD		WSN	x	x	x	29.2	1.82	0.91	10%	11th	The microscoping .154 BABIP will regress & the 10% K-BB is a career-low so there could be some future pain, starting him here though
11	Nestor Cortes	NYY	at	SEA	x	x	x	54.1	5.30	1.27	16%	21st	More of a standard streamer these days and this is a solid spot to give him a shot
12	Brayan Bello	BOS		CIN		x	x	35.1	4.08	1.44	16%	14th	Would like to see him reign in the HRs, but he hasn’t allowed >3 ER in any of his L6 starts
13	Kyle Gibson	BAL		CLE		x	x	66	3.82	1.30	8%	30th	B2B gems at NYY & at TOR lead into a great streaming spot… I’m using him, but I’m always kinda nervous rolling him out
14	Yusei Kikuchi	TOR		MIL		x	x	51.1	4.56	1.38	16%	30th	The 2.5 HR rate makes him a super scary stream even in the best of matchups like this one
15	Martín Pérez	TEX	at	DET		x	x	56.1	3.83	1.47	10%	26th	Standard streamer is a good setup
16	Johan Oviedo	PIT	at	SFG			x	53.2	4.70	1.53	9%	21st	Don’t get too caught up on the 2.70 ERA in his L3 as the 7% K-BB and 1.32 WHIP say he hasn’t quite been that good, still like him as a deep lg streamer
17	Alex Faedo	DET		TEX			x	21.2	4.15	0.74	26%	6th	Difficult matchup w/a team I regularly aim to avoid, but the 26% K-BB is really appealing (though the 2.5 HR is concerning)… high risk spot
18	JP Sears	OAK		ATL			x	53.2	4.70	1.10	19%	1st	Skill improvement and home start have me open to starting him in some spots despite the really tough matchup
19	Ranger Suárez	PHI	at	NYM			x	11	9.82	2.00	15%	12th	Obscene .444 BABIP & 49% LOB rate thru 3 starts will get better as the 3.87 SIERA suggests
20	Kyle Freeland	COL	at	ARI			x	58.1	3.86	1.29	12%	19th	Has 2 mega duds that account for essentially 50% of his ER (12 of 25) so there is week-ruining downside if you choose to run him
21	Ben Lively 라이블리	CIN	at	BOS				17	2.65	0.88	23%	9th	B2B 8-K outings have garnered some fantasy attention, but I need to see more before taking a shot in matchups like this
22	Cal Quantrill	CLE	at	BAL				55	4.75	1.35	5%	20th	Using a lot more smoke & mirrors than normal with just a 5% K-BB (11% career) making him a shaky bet regardless of matchup
23	Tyler Anderson	LAA	at	CHW				48.2	4.81	1.56	3%	5th	Not only his worst K rate ever (14%) but also a career-worst 11% BB is more than 2x the 5% mark he had in 2021-22
24	Brandon Bielak	HOU		MIN				25.1	3.55	1.54	12%	15th	Riding a 92% LOB rate to some ERA success… heed the massive WHIP & HR rate (2.1)
25	Kyle Hendricks	CHC		TBR				4.1	6.23	1.85	14%	5th	He might get back into a fantasy-relevant spot, but we’re a long way from that right now
26	Zack Greinke	KCR	at	STL				57.1	4.55	1.19	14%	8th	5 straight w/3 or fewer ER, but he rides a fine line
27	Ryan Weathers	SDP	at	MIA				29.2	3.94	1.21	6%	10th	Meager 6% K-BB and MIA’s general success vL (even better for the yr at 5th in wOBA) make this an easy pass
28	Jake Irvin	WSN	at	LAD				22	5.32	1.59	3%	7th	Could get ugly here
29	Adrian Houser	MIL	at	TOR				20	2.25	1.25	12%	4th	Scoreless outings at TBR and v. HOU were great but I’m not bettting on a hat trick against good tms w/his light skills
30	John Brebbia	SFG		PIT				22	3.68	1.09	27%	28th	Bullpen game with Brebbia leading it off

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues