Starting Pitcher Chart – May 27th, 2025

May 26, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

JUMP TO 2-START CHART

—

Starter Notes May 27, 2025

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	2025 wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Hunter Brown	HOU v ATH	x	x	x	61	2.04	0.91	24%	14th	Across the board improvements have vaulted him into a Top 5 SP
2	Nathan Eovaldi	TEX v TOR	x	x	x	67	1.60	0.79	24%	24th	Fewer than 6 IP just 3x in 11 starts & no more than 3 ER in any start
3	Carlos Rodón	NYY at LAA	x	x	x	65	2.88	0.96	21%	20th	Excellent season is a bit under the radar bc he had a 5.48 ERA thru 4; just a 1.48 ERA & 0.88 WHIP in 7 starts since
4	Corbin Burnes	ARI v PIT	x	x	x	52	2.73	1.18	13%	29th	Uncharacteristically high 11% BB but otherwise fantastic as he’s settled in w/his new tm
5	Joe Ryan	MIN at TBR	x	x	x	57	2.68	0.81	27%	21st	The kinda start that could go south for Ryan given his HR tendencies not that I’d ever advocate skipping it
6	Logan Webb	SFG at DET	x	x	x	67	2.67	1.20	21%	11th	Huge home/road ERA split, but 24% road K-BB is actually 6 pts better than home
7	Tylor Megill	NYM v CHW	x	x	x	48	3.56	1.35	20%	30th	Pitched well at BOS, but still failed to go 5 IP for the 3rd straight start… CHW is the perfect Rx for that!
8	Spencer Strider	ATL at PHI	x	x	x	9	5.79	1.39	15%	10th	Not the easiest spot to get going though we’re obviously not benching him anywhere
9	Stephen Kolek	SDP v MIA	x	x	x	25	2.84	1.26	13%	15th	Fast start earned attention (14.3 scoreless IP to open season) though still just a shallow lg streamer & med/deep lg team streamer
10	Jack Flaherty	DET v SFG	x	x	x	53	4.39	1.18	21%	17th	Stabilized after 3 rough starts (8.56 ERA) falling just an out shy of B2B QS w/14 Ks in 12.3 IP
11	Max Meyer	MIA at SDP	x	x	x	56	4.15	1.28	19%	16th	They can still get ya on any given night, but Meyer is catching SDP at the right time (21st in wOBA vR over the L30)
12	Ranger Suárez	PHI v ATL		x	x	24	3.70	1.19	16%	18th	If you skipped his ARI season debut off the IL as you should’ve, you’ve gotten a beautiful 1.31 ERA in 3 starts incl. 6.7 scoreless at COL
13	Brady Singer	CIN at KCR		x	x	51	4.88	1.35	11%	26th	Has come unglued a bit in May (7.85 ERA) & his solid 5 IP/2 ER start at PIT contained 4 BB; still an easy start in his old stomping grounds, but another dud would be cause for some concern
14	~~Shane Smith~~ Jonathan Cannon — Smith moved to Wed.	CHW at NYM			x	53	2.36	1.11	14%	13th	Cannon in for Smith… not nearly as interested, of course, maaaaybe a 15-team YOLO toss, but the upside is very limited. ~~Deserves so much better than 1 W, alas that’s life as a White Sock right now~~
15	Tomoyuki Sugano	BAL v STL		x	x	58	3.07	1.02	9%	6th	After totaling 14 IP in his first 3 starts, he’s been an innings-eater in 7 starts since then going at least 6 in 6 of 7 starts & allowing more than 3 ER just 1x in that time; still terrified of his meager 9% K-BB & there will be duds throughout the summer, but can’t deny the strong results
16	Dustin May	LAD at CLE		x	x	50	4.09	1.24	14%	23rd	I’d be more excited if the 27% May K% came w/any sort of SwStr improvement
17	Taj Bradley	TBR v MIN		x	x	56	4.61	1.31	10%	19th	1 bad start in his L6 and of course it was at MIA bc why the hell not?! Feels scarier at home w/that 1.3 HR9 though the results have gone the other way w/much better home ERA & WHIP in 6 home starts
18	JP Sears	ATH at HOU			x	54	4.00	1.15	14%	13th	4 HR gm lifted season mark from 1.1 to 1.6 HR9 & that’s exactly the worry in that park; almost prefer him on the road w/career-long HR issues
19	Andre Pallante	STL at BAL			x	56	4.18	1.34	6%	12th	Walking a tightrope that keeps his value confined to deeper formats as a poor man’s Sugano
20	Cade Horton	CHC v COL			x	14	4.40	1.40	11%	28th	Hasn’t fully taken advantage of schedule w/just 5 Ks in 10.3 IP v. CHW & at MIA, gets another chance to pop off with Rockie Road (shouts to Nick Pollack!)
21	Bowden Francis	TOR at TEX			x	50	5.54	1.41	11%	27th	Just a standard streamer at this point & still pretty risky even in this quality matchup
22	Logan Evans	SEA v WSN			x	27	3.33	1.44	10%	18th	An OK stream, just keep the expectations in check here
23	Tanner Bibee	CLE v LAD				58	3.57	1.21	11%	2nd	He’s found his footing of late w/a 2.37 ERA/1.05 WHIP in his L6, but still just an OK 14% K-BB in that run so I just think there’s too much risk here
24	Tyler Anderson	LAA v NYY				55	3.60	1.24	9%	1st	Could be looking at a multi-HR game here for sure
25	Aaron Civale	MIL v BOS				7	9.00	1.57	6%	5th	Think he’ll have bouts of streamability once he gets going, but this one is far too risky
26	Cooper Criswell	BOS at MIL				4	10.38	2.54	-4%	25th	Not locked to start this but might not be a terrible deep lg stream if he gets it (avg’ing 70 pitches/start since joining AAA rotation)
27	Mitchell Parker	WSN at SEA				55	4.39	1.30	5%	10th	F5: 1.40 ERA/0.93 WHIP/7% K-BB; L5: 8.61 ERA/1.83 WHIP/2% K-BB… good example of why we lean so hard on K-BB over ERA, espec. in smaller samples
28	Germán Márquez	COL at CHC				47	7.66	1.68	4%	4th	Because baseball is silly he’ll be the one to randomly stifle this great Cubs offense for no reason, but the downside and much more likely outcome is a double-digit ER count w/several HRs
29	Mike Burrows	PIT at ARI				5	7.20	1.20	5%	1st	Will need his MiLB K% (32% in 32.3 IP) to survive this one
30	Daniel Lynch IV	KCR v CIN				22	1.19	1.19	2%	17th	This is probably just an open with a 40-50 pitch limit

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

2-START CHART

2-Start Chart for the Week of May 26th

RANK	PITCHER	TYPE	MATCHUPS	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	Pitch+
1	Hunter Brown	1	ATH/TBR	61.2	2.04	0.91	24%	103
2	Yoshinobu Yamamoto	1	at CLE/NYY	58	1.86	0.91	22%	106
3	Jacob deGrom	1	TOR/STL	58	2.33	0.93	22%	116
4	Clay Holmes	2	CHW/COL	54.2	3.13	1.24	14%	103
5	Spencer Strider	2	at PHI/ BOS	9.1	5.79	1.39	15%	82
6	Kevin Gausman	2	at TEX/ ATH	58	4.03	0.98	19%	107
7	Jameson Taillon	3	COL/ CIN	56.2	4.13	1.09	14%	110
8	Michael Lorenzen	3	CIN/ DET	57.1	3.77	1.27	14%	105
9	Andrew Heaney	3	at ARI/ at SDP	55.2	2.91	1.13	9%	102
10	Ranger Suárez	3	ATL/ MIL	24.1	3.70	1.19	16%	114
11	Ryan Weathers	4	at SDP/ SFG	10	1.80	0.80	22%	115
12	JP Sears	4	at HOU/ at TOR	54	4.00	1.15	14%	108
13	Nick Martinez	4	at KCR/ at CHC	57.2	3.43	1.14	13%	108
14	Hayden Birdsong	4	at DET/ at MIA	28.1	1.91	1.24	16%	90
15	Chris Paddack	4	at TBR/at SEA	52	3.98	1.23	7%	113
16	Gavin Williams	4	LAD/ LAA	48	3.94	1.52	15%	90
17	Taj Bradley	4	MIN/ at HOU	56.2	4.61	1.31	10%	87
18	Randy Vásquez	5	MIA/ PIT	49	3.49	1.43	0%	98
19	Zack Littell	5	MIN/ at HOU	59.1	4.25	1.15	12%	104
20	Mitchell Parker	5	at SEA/ at ARI	55.1	4.39	1.30	5%	102
21	Ryan Yarbrough	5	at LAA/ at LAD	29.1	3.38	1.16	15%	102
22	Erick Fedde 페디	5	at BAL/ at TEX	57.1	3.77	1.27	4%	106
23	Keider Montero	5	SFG/ at KCR	30.2	5.28	1.57	6%	96
24	Bowden Francis	5	at TEX/ ATH	50.1	5.54	1.41	11%	104
25	Charlie Morton	6	STL/ CHW	41	7.68	1.76	8%	93
26	Jack Kochanowicz	6	NYY/ at CLE	53.2	4.86	1.57	3%	94
27	Adrian Houser	6	at NYM/ at BAL	6	0.00	0.83	-5%	108
28	Carson Palmquist	6	at CHC/ at NYM	8.1	11.88	2.52	-7%	93