Starting Pitcher Chart – May 24th, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
Mostly board-only for Saturday outside of a handful of comments off the dome before I head to bed. Plus, something is going on with Baseball-Reference where I can’t sum games of data in the gamelogs like normal and I use that feature a lottttt. We do have that feature here, too, but I have some old spreadsheets setup for BRef’s style and I haven’t gotten around to updating to FG’s style so I can use our gamelogs in situations like this.
I’ll probably do a separate post for Sunday. I might make it a Sunday-Monday combo as I would still like to get something up for y’all on Monday despite the site being dark as a whole.
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| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Michael King | SDP at ATL | x | x | x | 55 | 2.59 | 1.02 | 21% | 11th | |
| 2 | Max Fried | NYY at COL | x | x | x | 62 | 1.29 | 0.93 | 18% | 27th | Friday gave us a Coors pitcher’s duel (3-2 COL), will we see a 2nd w/dueling lefties Fried & Freeland? |
| 3 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at ATH | x | x | x | 49 | 3.10 | 1.18 | 20% | 7th | |
| 4 | Bryan Woo | SEA at HOU | x | x | x | 57 | 2.65 | 0.87 | 21% | 21st | |
| 5 | Framber Valdez | HOU v SEA | x | x | x | 63 | 3.57 | 1.13 | 16% | 9th | SEA has cooled substantially vR while ramping things up vL; that said, Framber never leaves the rotation |
| 6 | Michael Wacha | KCR at MIN | x | x | x | 56 | 2.86 | 1.24 | 11% | 19th | |
| 7 | Merrill Kelly | ARI at STL | x | x | x | 58 | 3.26 | 1.00 | 16% | 5th | |
| 8 | Zebby Matthews | MIN v KCR | x | x | x | 3 | 12.00 | 2.67 | 12% | 26th | He’s been hit aroud a bit in 10 MLB starts but still has an 18% K-BB in that time, plus a 22% mark in AAA this yr; I’m trusting the skills |
| 9 | Colin Rea | CHC at CIN | x | x | 41 | 2.38 | 1.20 | 13% | 7th | ||
| 10 | Hunter Dobbins | BOS v BAL | x | x | 32 | 3.62 | 1.30 | 15% | 10th | If he keeps the up-down pattern of his L4, this would be a bad one but I don’t buy those kinds of patterns | |
| 11 | Zach Eflin | BAL at BOS | x | x | 28 | 5.08 | 1.13 | 12% | 12th | ||
| 12 | Matthew Liberatore | STL v ARI | x | x | 52 | 2.92 | 1.03 | 19% | 11th | We’ve been being very careful w/ARI and rightfully so, but I think Libby’s earned w/the sparkling 19% K-BB and 3.45 SIERA in 52.3 IP | |
| 13 | Grant Holmes | ATL v SDP | x | x | 51 | 4.01 | 1.18 | 11% | 17th | Catching SDP at a great time as they’re sitting 27th in vR wOBA over the last month | |
| 14 | Jake Irvin | WSN v SFG | x | x | 60 | 3.88 | 1.16 | 9% | 15th | ||
| 15 | Jack Leiter | TEX at CHW | x | x | 36 | 4.25 | 1.11 | 8% | 30th | Matchup is a key part of the interest here | |
| 16 | Shane Baz | TBR v TOR | x | 49 | 5.33 | 1.41 | 14% | 24th | |||
| 17 | José Soriano | LAA v MIA | x | 58 | 3.57 | 1.48 | 8% | 20th | |||
| 18 | José Berríos | TOR at TBR | x | 58 | 4.19 | 1.43 | 11% | 18th | That 1.43 WHIP and 1.4 HR9 could create some major havoc at TBR | ||
| 19 | Quinn Priester | MIL at PIT | x | 38 | 4.66 | 1.47 | 2% | 29th | |||
| 20 | Tony Gonsolin | LAD at NYM | x | 20 | 4.05 | 1.30 | 18% | 8th | |||
| 21 | Jeffrey Springs | ATH v PHI | x | 53 | 3.91 | 1.25 | 9% | 4th | PHI is super tough, but a commenter reminded me that Springs is rolling of late w/just 4 ER in 4 starts this month | ||
| 22 | Mitch Keller | PIT v MIL | x | 58 | 3.88 | 1.31 | 12% | 25th | |||
| 23 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW v TEX | x | 55 | 3.76 | 1.31 | 11% | 27th | |||
| 24 | Casey Mize | DET v CLE | x | 42 | 2.53 | 1.01 | 16% | 22nd | Returning from the IL so as always I won’t blame anyone for skipping | ||
| 25 | Kyle Harrison | SFG at WSN | x | 5 | 3.38 | 0.94 | 19% | 16th | |||
| 26 | Luis L. Ortiz | CLE at DET | x | 48 | 4.66 | 1.39 | 16% | 6th | |||
| 27 | David Peterson | NYM v LAD | 50 | 2.86 | 1.33 | 12% | 3rd | Nothing in his profile backs up this sub-3.00 ERA, looks more like a high-3.00s/low-4.00s guy and LAD could help push his ERA toward that mark here | |||
| 28 | Andrew Abbott | CIN v CHC | 35 | 1.80 | 1.11 | 20% | 2nd | I know the 20% K-BB is amazing, but the 11% BB scares me espec. once the 89% LOB and 6% HR/FB start to regress… plus, aces-only w/CHC | |||
| 29 | Kyle Freeland | COL v NYY | 50 | 5.68 | 1.60 | 13% | 1st | ||||
| 30 | Cal Quantrill | MIA at LAA | 41 | 6.37 | 1.54 | 8% | 23rd |