Starting Pitcher Chart – May 19th, 2025

Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
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RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Kris Bubic | KCR at SFG | x | x | x | 54 | 1.66 | 1.10 | 19% | 15th | Absolutely dialed in w/1.48 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 20% K-BB in L5 w/a solid matchup good enough for the top spot |
2 | Kodai Senga | NYM at BOS | x | x | x | 44 | 1.22 | 1.20 | 13% | 11th | Walking the wire w/a 12% BB in L7 incl. at least 2 BB in each, but he hasn’t paid the price w/a very nice 0.69 ERA; nothing actionable here, just don’t be surprised if we see some 3-5 ER outings if he keeps walking a ton |
3 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI at COL | x | x | x | 43 | 2.91 | 1.22 | 19% | 22nd | No one is “Coors Proof” but he’s someone I’m always throwing bc he has a higher-than-avg chance at a gem even in this venue |
4 | Nick Lodolo | CIN at PIT | x | x | x | 52 | 3.42 | 1.08 | 15% | 25th | Mega-dud v. WAS holding down his L5 numbers, the 4 w/out it: 3.00 ERA/1.08 WHIP/15% K-BB in 24 IP; didn’t take full advantage of CHW so the schedule gods have another offering |
5 | Bailey Ober | MIN v CLE | x | x | x | 48 | 3.72 | 1.37 | 13% | 20th | Running a 2.36 ERA, 1.22 WHIP, 15% K-BB since that season debut bomb |
6 | Robbie Ray | SFG v KCR | x | x | x | 50 | 3.04 | 1.25 | 14% | 27th | Looking sharp after 4 IP/4 ER dud at PHI: 2.32/1.06 WHIP/19% K-BB in 31 IP over his L5 |
7 | Sonny Gray | STL v DET | x | x | x | 50 | 4.50 | 1.18 | 19% | 5th | 31-pitch, 5-run first sank his start at PHI & 2 of his L3 have been bad, but the middle one was 7 scoreless v. PIT; remains a rotation fixture in all formats, espec. in a 2-start wk (ARI on the wknd) |
8 | Luis Castillo | SEA at CHW | x | x | x | 49 | 3.65 | 1.38 | 9% | 30th | Control had become a defining trait the L3 yrs (7%) which makes his 9% stand out, espec. w/at least 2 BB in all 9 starts; perfect matchup to break the streak |
9 | Ryan Pepiot | TBR v HOU | x | x | x | 50 | 3.93 | 1.29 | 13% | 22nd | Smoked PHI at home 2 starts ago after a 5.73 ERA in his previous 4 in Steinbrenner; he is riskier at home, but there’s still rich upside in any given start and I’m open to running him everywhere |
10 | Ben Brown | CHC at MIA | x | x | 41 | 4.75 | 1.56 | 18% | 21st | A schedule gift w/B2B MIA starts opens up his 2-start on the road which feels like an easy start in medium & deeper lgs even w/a moderately scary at CIN lurking on Sunday | |
11 | José Soriano | LAA at ATH | x | x | 52 | 3.46 | 1.46 | 9% | 15th | A start like his gem at SDP (7 IP, 2 UER, 7 base runners) is what keeps us coming back and v. MIA treat awaits us on the weekend; his HR suppression capabilities make this one at ATH less scary, too | |
12 | J.T. Ginn | ATH v LAA | x | x | 13 | 4.61 | 1.54 | 14% | 24th | Had 13 Ks in 10 IP before a 3-HR start v. TEX resulted in an IL stint (elbow); returned w/sharp rehab (3.3 scoreless w/5 Ks) & now gets a 2-start off the IL; PHI looms on the weekend but I’m down to clown in medium & deeper lgs | |
13 | Hunter Dobbins | BOS v NYM | x | 27 | 3.90 | 1.30 | 16% | 8th | Came unglued in the 6th at DET but remains in the rotation w/Houck to the IL; 2-step has some deep lg appeal even w/BAL on the wknd | ||
14 | Mitch Keller | PIT v CIN | x | 52 | 4.15 | 1.33 | 12% | 13th | Solid in his L7 including gems at LAD, at NYM, and v. STL and while I wouldn’t have started him for most of those, it gives me some confidence in running this 2-step in some spots | ||
15 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI at LAD | x | 50 | 3.73 | 1.30 | 14% | 2nd | It’s not that there’s no upside, it’s more that the downside is too massive to chase the limited upside… just be careful, I’m looking for ways to not start him | ||
16 | Davis Martin | CHW v SEA | x | 49 | 3.65 | 1.36 | 10% | 9th | Some YOLO potential, though the upside is limited w/tiny W upside and modest ratio potential | ||
17 | Keider Montero | DET at STL | 25 | 4.68 | 1.52 | 6% | 4th | ||||
18 | Landon Knack | LAD v ARI | 18 | 5.89 | 1.53 | 15% | 1st | Similar to counterpart Pfaadt in that there is real upside, but just a ton of downside that leaves him on the bench for me | |||
19 | Quinn Priester | MIL v BAL | 33 | 4.59 | 1.56 | 1% | 12th | ||||
20 | Logan Allen로건 | CLE at MIN | 41 | 3.70 | 1.52 | 6% | 19th | ||||
21 | Kyle Freeland | COL v PHI | 45 | 6.15 | 1.59 | 13% | 7th | ||||
22 | Colton Gordon | HOU at TBR | 4 | 6.23 | 2.08 | 5% | 28th | ||||
23 | Dean Kremer | BAL at MIL | 50 | 5.36 | 1.31 | 10% | 25th | ||||
24 | Edward Cabrera | MIA v CHC | 29 | 5.52 | 1.53 | 10% | 6th |