Starting Pitcher Chart – June 5th

June 4, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Writing this on Sunday morning as I’ll be out of the house Sunday afternoon through Monday evening, so if there are changes, I might not be able to get to them. Abbott isn’t locked in for Monday’s start, but it’s certainly looking like he will get the nod and possibly a 2-step.

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Monday, June 5th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Braxton Garrett	MIA		KCR	x	x	x	53.1	4.22	1.31	19%	11th	Still north of 4.00 ERA, but really close to working off the 11 ER nightmare from May 3rd (2.67 ERA in L5)
2	Shane McClanahan	TBR	at	BOS	x	x	x	69.2	2.07	1.15	20%	10th	Should be a fun matchup between him and Bello
3	Aaron Nola	PHI		DET	x	x	x	74.2	4.70	1.13	16%	19th	Might be another down ERA yr like ’21, but he contributing more to this one w/a 16% K-BB compared to 25% in ’21… still an easy start
4	Andrew Abbott?	CIN		MIL	x	x	x	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	30th	Electric LHP is on taxi squad, no word as of Sunday AM when I’m writing this if he’ll start, but he’s a must pickup (26% K-BB at AAA)
5	JP Sears	OAK	at	PIT	x	x	x	59.2	4.37	1.07	18%	29th	Will still feel lucky to scoop even 1 W in the 2-step, but his Top 30 K-BB had aided him to the 22nd-best WHIP (min. 50 IP)
6	Blake Snell	SDP		CHC	x	x	x	56	4.50	1.50	11%	24th	B2B strong outings are getting him on track a bit, but still just a 13% K-BB bc the huge 15% BB rate in those outings — wknd trip to COL makes 2-step more of a toss-up
7	Johan Oviedo	PIT		OAK	x	x	x	58	4.50	1.55	9%	29th	11% BB rate is always going to linger as an issue, but OAK matchup is worth a stream in most spots
8	Brayan Bello	BOS		TBR		x	x	39.1	3.89	1.47	15%	7th	CIN ran up his count to get him out early, but he avoided the knockout punch (4 IP/1 ER/4 Ks)
9	Mike Mayers	KCR	at	MIA		x	x	13.1	1.35	1.13	17%	22nd	Has allowed just 2 ER in 13 IP w/a solid 17% K-BB; the 96% LOB rate will regress hard, but a 3.72 SIERA isn’t bad — I’d roll w/the 2-step, too
10	Julio Teheran	MIL	at	CIN			x	11	0.82	0.82	10%	13th	6 IP/1 UER at TOR would be more appealing with ANY Ks (literally dropped a 0… 0 BB, too, but still)… OAK on the wknd gives him some 2-step potential in deep lgs
11	Kyle Hendricks	CHC	at	SDP				9.1	3.86	1.82	7%	26th	Has a 4.75 ERA/4.65 SIERA in 275 IP since 2021
12	Joey Wentz	DET	at	PHI				47	7.28	1.68	11%	21st	The strong start v. TEX and a 2-step this week could get to take the shot in deeper format, but there is severe risk
13	Alek Manoah	TOR		HOU				57.2	5.46	1.77	3%	15th	Tough to start him anywhere right now and drops are valid in shallower formats
14	Brandon Bielak	HOU	at	TOR				31	3.19	1.45	12%	27th	A 90% LOB is protecting him right now, the modest 12% K-BB and ugly 1.7 HR rate will eventually sink him
15	Martín Pérez	TEX		STL				61	4.43	1.54	9%	8th	His L5 Game Scores really highlight the extreme volatility of streaming him: 15, 23, 69, 63, 19
16	Adam Wainwright	STL	at	TEX				26.1	6.15	1.71	7%	6th	The smoke has faded & the mirrors shattered as a 7% K-BB makes him nearly impossible to start in anything close to a tough matchup

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

BAL	CHW	ATH
BOS	CLE	HOU
NYY	DET	LAA
TBR	KCR	SEA
TOR	MIN	TEX