Starting Pitcher Chart – June 30th

by
June 30, 2023
Gary A. Vasquez-USA TODAY Sports

Daily SP Chart archive

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Friday, June 30th Starter Notes
RK PITCHER TM OPP 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB wOBA RK NOTE
1 Shane McClanahan TBR at SEA x x x 93 2.23 1.12 17% 14th Left early v. KC on 6/22 (back) but I’m ready to slot him back into the lineup after the extra time between starts
2 Pablo López MIN at BAL x x x 96 4.41 1.16 23% 8th K surge has been awesome w/9+ in each of his L3 and a career best 30% rate for the year
3 Justin Steele CHC CLE x x x 79 2.62 1.06 17% 10th Looks great in 2 starts off the IL w/12 Ks, 2.45 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, and 2 Ws
4 Jon Gray TEX HOU x x x 81 2.89 1.05 14% 14th TOR dud is the lone blip in an 8-start run during which he’s posted a 1.97 ERA and 0.84 WHIP
5 Bobby Miller LAD at KCR x x x 32.2 4.13 1.29 13% 26th B2B duds after 4 gems to open his career with BB looking like the biggest issue (10%)
6 Freddy Peralta MIL at PIT x x x 81.1 4.65 1.33 16% 27th BB rate up to 11% in L8 as he’s allowed at least 3 ER in all but 2 and yet one of the 2 ER gms is v. PIT so I’m sticking w/him here
7 Bryce Miller SEA TBR x x x 55.2 3.88 0.97 17% 9th Hit that first rookie wall w/15 ER in B2B duds, but has rebounded w/a 2.60 ERA & 0.99 WHIP since then
8 José Berríos TOR BOS x x 95 3.60 1.22 15% 13th While he has returned to previous trustworthy state, there are still some shallow lg sits if you’re playing it safely
9 James Paxton BOS at TOR x x 42.1 3.19 1.02 25% 4th Don’t be afraid to sit given the matchup and fact that he left his last start w/a knee issue
10 Josiah Gray WSN at PHI x x 89.1 3.43 1.40 9% 16th 3 rough outings in L6 and surprise, he allowed 2 HR in each! PHI’s 2% HR rate v. R at home is 3rd lowest in the lg w/just 2 10+ HR guys
11 Osvaldo Bido PIT MIL x x 15.2 3.45 1.47 18% 28th ERA can’t survive w/that WHIP so something has to give… this is a good enough matchup to play the hot hand, but be very careful here
12 Dean Kremer BAL MIN x x 88 4.50 1.36 15% 23rd Hasn’t paid for his 5 HR in the L2 starts with just 4 ER (6 total R); L7 K surge (24%) and spicy matchup are enough to take a shot in a lot of spots
13 Alex Cobb SFG at NYM x x 78.2 3.09 1.37 16% 22nd Your ability to take on the WHIP risk for a good ERA and solid W potential will determine how viable a streamer he is for you
14 Luis Severino NYY at STL x x 36 5.25 1.50 10% 7th 2+ BB in each of his L4 and has eclipsed 5 IP in just 1 of them… would probably give a half “x” in 12s if that key existed
15 Griffin Canning LAA ARI x 65.1 3.99 1.16 17% 4th 6 scoreless in Coors dropped ERA to 2.61 in L7 w/a 1.05 WHIP and 20% K-BB… not a must-start v. ARI, but hold even if you pass here
16 Cristopher Sánchez PHI WSN x 13.1 4.05 1.05 21% 20th I’m keeping tabs on him for deep lg pickup and if that changeup can be a true K pitch (7 Ks in 11 PA w/it so far), there’s some real upside here
17 Michael Soroka ATL MIA x 9.2 8.38 1.86 -2% 12th Looked great in 3 starts after being sent down (1.97 ERA, 0.79 WHIP, 14% K-BB) so I might pickup now even if I pass on the first start back
18 Cal Quantrill CLE at CHC 59.1 5.61 1.42 5% 21st Fresh off the IL and did allow 14 ER in his 2 starts prior to the absence… was that injury indication or signs of major trouble?
19 Ronel Blanco HOU at TEX 35 4.63 1.51 12% 5th June Gauntlet continues: LAA, TOR, CIN, LAD and now TEX… has survived 12% BB and 7 HR during this run
20 Seth Lugo SDP at CIN 51.2 4.01 1.32 16% 3rd Solid team streamer, but there’s no need to take this risk, especially fresh off the IL
21 Bryan Hoeing MIA at ATL 35 2.31 1.20 11% 1st Do we have yet another Marlins gem on our hands? Perhaps, but he hasn’t earned confidence to run at ATL yet
22 Tanner Banks CHW at OAK 18 4.50 1.17 18% 30th TanBan isn’t really stretched out enough to take advantage of this matchup
23 Michael Lorenzen DET at COL 77 3.97 1.16 13% 18th Has become a deep league team streamer and Coors is of course a skip
24 Carlos Carrasco NYM SFG 48 6.19 1.56 5% 10th Hasn’t gone 5 IP in any of the last 3 starts and I’m not eager to stream against SFG right now
25 Graham Ashcraft CIN SDP 69 7.17 1.67 7% 15th Perhaps the biggest spring riser to become a stone cold flop
26 Alec Marsh KCR LAD #N/A #N/A #N/A #N/A 17th Tough draw for his MLB debut
27 Matthew Liberatore STL NYY 27.1 5.60 1.65 5% 19th Lack of development from the guy we saw last yr should have him on wires in virtually every lg
28 Tommy Henry ARI at LAA 62.2 4.31 1.37 7% 13th Can’t imagine starting any single-digit K-BB v. LAA
29 Luis Medina OAK CHW 48.2 6.84 1.62 9% 20th Just too inconsistent
30 Austin Gomber COL DET 77 7.01 1.61 7% 15th #NeverGomber
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

 





 

Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

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Keep Baseball BoringMember since 2016
1 year ago

half x key: /

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Paul SporerFanGraphs Staff
1 year ago
Reply to  Keep Baseball Boring

looool, true!!!

2