Starting Pitcher Chart – June 22nd
by Paul Sporer
June 22, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Thursday, June 22nd Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Shane McClanahan | TBR | KCR | x | x | x | 89.1 | 2.12 | 1.10 | 18% | 24th | Appears to be on cruise control right now… has won 3 straight starts and 11 of his 12 decisions | |
| 2 | Bryce Elder | ATL | at | PHI | x | x | x | 83 | 2.60 | 1.14 | 14% | 21st | Has become a surprising must start across all formats this yr |
| 3 | Joe Ryan | MIN | BOS | x | x | x | 84.2 | 3.30 | 0.97 | 23% | 13th | Ugly 5-run 3rd sank his last start but still going 7 in that outing is what makes him a stud | |
| 4 | Braxton Garrett | MIA | PIT | x | x | x | 69.2 | 3.88 | 1.22 | 22% | 18th | Sub-4.00 season ERA despite that 11 ER nightmare thanks to a 2.70 ERA in his 8 starts since then as well as 55 Ks in 43 IP | |
| 5 | Aaron Nola | PHI | ATL | x | x | x | 94.2 | 4.66 | 1.10 | 18% | 1st | Quick, where does Nola rank this yr among SP? His ERA probably has most of y’all guessing outside the Top 50, but it’s #29 w/the great WHIP, solid Ks & Ws | |
| 6 | Blake Snell | SDP | at | SFG | x | x | x | 75 | 3.48 | 1.29 | 17% | 2nd | A blistering 0.36 ERA/0.76 WHIP in his L4 starts w/39 Ks in 25 IP is why it’s so hard to quit him, even at his worst |
| 7 | Mitch Keller | PIT | at | MIA | x | x | x | 92 | 3.62 | 1.14 | 22% | 7th | Smoothed out his ratios a bit lately w/a modest 5-start run (4 of 5 have 4+ ER) fueled by a .338 BABIP (.276 in his first 10 outings)… I’m not really worried |
| 8 | Bryan Woo | SEA | at | NYY | x | x | x | 12.1 | 7.30 | 1.30 | 34% | 26th | Will be working the 6 ER from his MLB debut off for a bit, don’t let that obscure his excellent 16 K/1 BB effort in the 2 starts since |
| 9 | Logan Allen | CLE | OAK | x | x | x | 54.2 | 3.95 | 1.46 | 14% | 29th | Gotta roll w/him here even after the back-to-back 5 ER duds; if he struggles here, we can consider making a move on him | |
| 10 | JP Sears | OAK | at | CLE | x | x | 76.1 | 4.24 | 1.06 | 18% | 7th | 1 of 3 A’s SPs with some fantasy intrigue (Harris, Blackburn), especially if you aren’t desperate for Ws | |
| 11 | Alex Wood | SFG | SDP | x | x | 35 | 4.11 | 1.46 | 11% | 4th | Dropped 5 scoreless at LAD in his first start off the IL w/0 BB after an ugly 8 BB in 10 IP across 2 starts prior to the IL stint | ||
| 12 | Domingo Germán | NYY | SEA | x | x | 69 | 4.30 | 1.09 | 15% | 25th | Figured HRs would be his undoing but only allowed 1 in 7 ER dud v. BOS | ||
| 13 | Tommy Henry | ARI | at | WSN | 56 | 4.66 | 1.39 | 6% | 22nd | Low K starter against a team that never Ks | |||
| 14 | Jake Irvin | WSN | ARI | 36 | 5.25 | 1.61 | 3% | 5th | Not sure there’s a matchup that would put Irvin into fantasy consideration | ||||
| 15 | Austin Cox | KCR | at | TBR | 7.2 | 0.00 | 0.39 | 16% | 19th | Has maxed at 34 pitches in his MLB sample, can’t imagine he goes too far here as the follower | |||
| 16 | Justin Garza | BOS | at | MIN | 11 | 4.09 | 1.09 | 11% | 23rd | 29 yr old RP will be the opener, but I couldn’t find word on who’s going to be the primary follower |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Snell’s numbers, by catcher:
His recent run coincides with Sanchez coming on board and it’s been a respectable schedule too with his last 4 being @MIA, CHC, @COL and TBR.