Starting Pitcher Chart – June 16th

June 15, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Friday, June 16th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Joe Ryan	MIN		DET	x	x	x	77.2	2.90	0.97	22%	25th	Stroman (86%) and Valdez (79%) top Ryan’s 77% Quality Start rate and he still had 10 Ks in one of his 2 non-QS
2	Zac Gallen	ARI		CLE	x	x	x	84.1	3.09	1.15	22%	22nd	Unfortunate to lose a Tigers outing (5 ER), but it happens… no action from it, still an easy start
3	Shane McClanahan	TBR	at	SDP	x	x	x	82.2	2.18	1.11	19%	6th	Never love taking my pitchers to SD but obviously I never even consider sitting McClanahan
4	Triston McKenzie	CLE	at	ARI	x	x	x	10	4.50	1.20	26%	10th	1 gem, 1 dud since returning from the IL… I’m not worried by the dud and he’s right back to an all formats must-start for me (gets OAK next wk, too)
5	Kevin Gausman	TOR	at	TEX	x	x	x	86.2	3.12	1.14	27%	1st	Never love taking my pitchers to TEX but obviously I never even consider sitting Gausman
6	Sandy Alcantara	MIA	at	WSN	x	x	x	83.1	4.75	1.18	13%	19th	I lean on the side of patience w/studs so while Sandy hasn’t been terribly studly this yr, I’m sticking w/him… are any of y’all sitting or… gulp cutting him??
7	Yu Darvish	SDP		TBR	x	x	x	69	4.30	1.16	18%	18th	Start getting pushed a day takes him from CLE to TBR which stinks for fantasy folks, nowhere near coming out of my lineup even w/the elevated ERA
8	Michael Kopech	CHW	at	SEA	x	x	x	73.2	4.03	1.18	17%	21st	Back on track or schedule blessing? 1.72 ERA/0.68 WHIP/33% K-BB in 5 starts w/gems v. KCR, CLE, DET, MIA & 1 dud v. LAA. No worse than tm streamer, but not a set-it-&-forget-it
9	Miles Mikolas	STL	at	NYM	x	x	x	80.2	4.02	1.35	13%	17th	ERA is just north of 4.00, but it’s been at 2.71 in his last 11 starts after 3 bombs to start
10	Taijuan Walker	PHI	at	OAK	x	x	x	69.1	4.67	1.33	9%	28th	Love the 1.93 ERA/1.07 WHIP over his L5 but w/just a 6% K-BB, I can’t trust him much beyond a matchup like this
11	Tanner Houck	BOS		NYY		x	x	63.2	5.23	1.26	15%	24th	B2B starts against NYY would be so much scarier with Judge in the lineup – this Bauers/IKF/McKinney featuring NYY lineup isn’t terribly scary
12	Kyle Hendricks	CHC		BAL		x	x	23.1	3.09	1.07	10%	5th	Amazing his last time out w/8 IP of 1-hit ball but don’t forget that we are well removed from Good Hendricks (2020)
13	Bryan Woo	SEA		CHW		x	x	6.2	10.80	1.95	27%	29th	Solid bounce back at LAA after meltdown at TEX in his MLB debut and now the schedule lightens up w/CHW and then at Judge-less NYY next wk
14	Domingo Germán	NYY	at	BOS		x	x	9.1	10.61	1.93	11%	20th	Just 3 HR in his L7 starts has led to a 2.20 ERA; stud if he keeps the ball in the park… the question is if the HR suppression is legit (probably not: 1.6 career HR)
15	Rich Hill	PIT	at	MIL		x	x	72.1	4.23	1.37	14%	22nd	3 gems, 2 duds in his L5 yielding a 4.06 ERA… we all know the Hill risk at this point; this is a viable stream spot
16	Patrick Sandoval	LAA	at	KCR		x	x	63.2	4.52	1.45	8%	27th	Man oh man he frustrates me! At least last yr’s frustration came w/a 24% K, but this 17% stuff just isn’t worth BOTH weak ratios (2.91 ERA last yr)
17	JP Sears	OAK		PHI			x	69.1	4.15	1.11	17%	10th	Surging in his L6 with a 2.53 ERA/1.03 WHIP but just 1 W does put a lot of pressure on the ratios… that said, I’d hold in shallower formats for the at CLE start next wk
18	Julio Teheran	MIL		PIT			x	24.1	1.48	0.95	14%	6th	The .265 BABIP and 7% HR/FB rate are driving this early success as a 14% K-BB can’t really sustain a sub-2.00 ERA… coinflip streamer in deeper formats
19	Cole Irvin	BAL	at	CHC			x	18.1	7.85	1.75	12%	24th	Looked good in his return from AAA and had 5 strong starts before that, still worry about the finesse southpaw’s downside, but there’s some streamer upside
20	Jared Shuster	ATL		COL			x	35.2	5.05	1.37	1%	30th	Hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any of his 5 starts since returning, though just a 6% K-BB takes some heat off the success (4.00 ERA/1.04 WHIP)
21	Andrew Abbott	CIN	at	HOU				11.2	0.00	1.11	6%	5th	Zero recos after nearly 12 scoreless IP & 2 Ws to open his career?? Yes, the 6% K-BB and just a 7% SwStr rate leave me wanting to see something before rolling w/him
22	Martín Pérez	TEX		TOR				71.1	4.67	1.56	9%	25th	He has fallen back to pre-2022 levels w/the HRs returning & groundballs surging… not even that interested in good matchups with him
23	Brady Singer	KCR		LAA				64.1	6.58	1.59	12%	7th	Still a trecherous start in anything but the juiciest matchups such at DET next wk
24	J.P. France	HOU		CIN				40.2	3.54	1.28	12%	12th	I’m in the mindset of actively avoiding CIN with anyone but studs
25	Tylor Megill	NYM		STL				63	5.14	1.70	5%	23rd	Looks nothing like the guy from early last yr and I’m not sure he’s trustworthy anywhere
26	Sean Manaea	SFG	at	LAD				45.2	5.52	1.38	18%	1st	2 of his last 3 follows have gone well and the other was in Coors so an easy skip… which is what this setup is w/LAD rolling vL
27	Trevor Williams	WSN		MIA				65.2	4.11	1.36	11%	13th	Pitching fine, but is there enough upside to take shots on him?
28	Tyler Alexander	DET	at	MIN				32.2	5.23	1.10	21%	17th	Has gone multi-innings in his last 3 appearances, but there’s nothing fantasy relevant here
29	Matt Andriese	LAD		SFG				#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	8th	Penciled in as the starter for a bullpen game?
30	Dinelson Lamet	COL	at	ATL				21.2	10.38	2.31	8%	2nd	We aren’t seeing any glimpses of that 2020 magic

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

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GreggMember since 2020

1 year ago

I think France carves up CIN – Elly alone will give him 3 Ks.

Paul SporerFanGraphs Staff

Reply to Gregg

Bc I’m blacked out of Houston, I’ve only seen some highlights & mostly stat-scouted him, give me a quick hitter report on France & why you like him?