Starting Pitcher Chart – June 16th
by Paul Sporer
June 15, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Friday, June 16th Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Ryan | MIN | DET | x | x | x | 77.2 | 2.90 | 0.97 | 22% | 25th | Stroman (86%) and Valdez (79%) top Ryan’s 77% Quality Start rate and he still had 10 Ks in one of his 2 non-QS | |
| 2 | Zac Gallen | ARI | CLE | x | x | x | 84.1 | 3.09 | 1.15 | 22% | 22nd | Unfortunate to lose a Tigers outing (5 ER), but it happens… no action from it, still an easy start | |
| 3 | Shane McClanahan | TBR | at | SDP | x | x | x | 82.2 | 2.18 | 1.11 | 19% | 6th | Never love taking my pitchers to SD but obviously I never even consider sitting McClanahan |
| 4 | Triston McKenzie | CLE | at | ARI | x | x | x | 10 | 4.50 | 1.20 | 26% | 10th | 1 gem, 1 dud since returning from the IL… I’m not worried by the dud and he’s right back to an all formats must-start for me (gets OAK next wk, too) |
| 5 | Kevin Gausman | TOR | at | TEX | x | x | x | 86.2 | 3.12 | 1.14 | 27% | 1st | Never love taking my pitchers to TEX but obviously I never even consider sitting Gausman |
| 6 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA | at | WSN | x | x | x | 83.1 | 4.75 | 1.18 | 13% | 19th | I lean on the side of patience w/studs so while Sandy hasn’t been terribly studly this yr, I’m sticking w/him… are any of y’all sitting or… *gulp* cutting him?? |
| 7 | Yu Darvish | SDP | TBR | x | x | x | 69 | 4.30 | 1.16 | 18% | 18th | Start getting pushed a day takes him from CLE to TBR which stinks for fantasy folks, nowhere near coming out of my lineup even w/the elevated ERA | |
| 8 | Michael Kopech | CHW | at | SEA | x | x | x | 73.2 | 4.03 | 1.18 | 17% | 21st | Back on track or schedule blessing? 1.72 ERA/0.68 WHIP/33% K-BB in 5 starts w/gems v. KCR, CLE, DET, MIA & 1 dud v. LAA. No worse than tm streamer, but not a set-it-&-forget-it |
| 9 | Miles Mikolas | STL | at | NYM | x | x | x | 80.2 | 4.02 | 1.35 | 13% | 17th | ERA is just north of 4.00, but it’s been at 2.71 in his last 11 starts after 3 bombs to start |
| 10 | Taijuan Walker | PHI | at | OAK | x | x | x | 69.1 | 4.67 | 1.33 | 9% | 28th | Love the 1.93 ERA/1.07 WHIP over his L5 but w/just a 6% K-BB, I can’t trust him much beyond a matchup like this |
| 11 | Tanner Houck | BOS | NYY | x | x | 63.2 | 5.23 | 1.26 | 15% | 24th | B2B starts against NYY would be so much scarier with Judge in the lineup – this Bauers/IKF/McKinney featuring NYY lineup isn’t terribly scary | ||
| 12 | Kyle Hendricks | CHC | BAL | x | x | 23.1 | 3.09 | 1.07 | 10% | 5th | Amazing his last time out w/8 IP of 1-hit ball but don’t forget that we are well removed from Good Hendricks (2020) | ||
| 13 | Bryan Woo | SEA | CHW | x | x | 6.2 | 10.80 | 1.95 | 27% | 29th | Solid bounce back at LAA after meltdown at TEX in his MLB debut and now the schedule lightens up w/CHW and then at Judge-less NYY next wk | ||
| 14 | Domingo Germán | NYY | at | BOS | x | x | 9.1 | 10.61 | 1.93 | 11% | 20th | Just 3 HR in his L7 starts has led to a 2.20 ERA; stud if he keeps the ball in the park… the question is if the HR suppression is legit (probably not: 1.6 career HR) | |
| 15 | Rich Hill | PIT | at | MIL | x | x | 72.1 | 4.23 | 1.37 | 14% | 22nd | 3 gems, 2 duds in his L5 yielding a 4.06 ERA… we all know the Hill risk at this point; this is a viable stream spot | |
| 16 | Patrick Sandoval | LAA | at | KCR | x | x | 63.2 | 4.52 | 1.45 | 8% | 27th | Man oh man he frustrates me! At least last yr’s frustration came w/a 24% K, but this 17% stuff just isn’t worth BOTH weak ratios (2.91 ERA last yr) | |
| 17 | JP Sears | OAK | PHI | x | 69.1 | 4.15 | 1.11 | 17% | 10th | Surging in his L6 with a 2.53 ERA/1.03 WHIP but just 1 W does put a lot of pressure on the ratios… that said, I’d hold in shallower formats for the at CLE start next wk | |||
| 18 | Julio Teheran | MIL | PIT | x | 24.1 | 1.48 | 0.95 | 14% | 6th | The .265 BABIP and 7% HR/FB rate are driving this early success as a 14% K-BB can’t really sustain a sub-2.00 ERA… coinflip streamer in deeper formats | |||
| 19 | Cole Irvin | BAL | at | CHC | x | 18.1 | 7.85 | 1.75 | 12% | 24th | Looked good in his return from AAA and had 5 strong starts before that, still worry about the finesse southpaw’s downside, but there’s some streamer upside | ||
| 20 | Jared Shuster | ATL | COL | x | 35.2 | 5.05 | 1.37 | 1% | 30th | Hasn’t allowed more than 3 ER in any of his 5 starts since returning, though just a 6% K-BB takes some heat off the success (4.00 ERA/1.04 WHIP) | |||
| 21 | Andrew Abbott | CIN | at | HOU | 11.2 | 0.00 | 1.11 | 6% | 5th | Zero recos after nearly 12 scoreless IP & 2 Ws to open his career?? Yes, the 6% K-BB and just a 7% SwStr rate leave me wanting to see something before rolling w/him | |||
| 22 | Martín Pérez | TEX | TOR | 71.1 | 4.67 | 1.56 | 9% | 25th | He has fallen back to pre-2022 levels w/the HRs returning & groundballs surging… not even that interested in good matchups with him | ||||
| 23 | Brady Singer | KCR | LAA | 64.1 | 6.58 | 1.59 | 12% | 7th | Still a trecherous start in anything but the juiciest matchups such at DET next wk | ||||
| 24 | J.P. France | HOU | CIN | 40.2 | 3.54 | 1.28 | 12% | 12th | I’m in the mindset of actively avoiding CIN with anyone but studs | ||||
| 25 | Tylor Megill | NYM | STL | 63 | 5.14 | 1.70 | 5% | 23rd | Looks nothing like the guy from early last yr and I’m not sure he’s trustworthy anywhere | ||||
| 26 | Sean Manaea | SFG | at | LAD | 45.2 | 5.52 | 1.38 | 18% | 1st | 2 of his last 3 follows have gone well and the other was in Coors so an easy skip… which is what this setup is w/LAD rolling vL | |||
| 27 | Trevor Williams | WSN | MIA | 65.2 | 4.11 | 1.36 | 11% | 13th | Pitching fine, but is there enough upside to take shots on him? | ||||
| 28 | Tyler Alexander | DET | at | MIN | 32.2 | 5.23 | 1.10 | 21% | 17th | Has gone multi-innings in his last 3 appearances, but there’s nothing fantasy relevant here | |||
| 29 | Matt Andriese | LAD | SFG | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 8th | Penciled in as the starter for a bullpen game? | ||||
| 30 | Dinelson Lamet | COL | at | ATL | 21.2 | 10.38 | 2.31 | 8% | 2nd | We aren’t seeing any glimpses of that 2020 magic |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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I think France carves up CIN – Elly alone will give him 3 Ks.
Bc I’m blacked out of Houston, I’ve only seen some highlights & mostly stat-scouted him, give me a quick hitter report on France & why you like him?