Starting Pitcher Chart – June 13th, 2025
by Paul Sporer
June 13, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
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Starter Notes June 13, 2025
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Yoshinobu Yamamoto | LAD v SFG | x | x | x | 73 | 2.20 | 1.00 | 21% | 24th | I’m not sure Yamamoto is getting enough love for his ascension to acehood; in fact since that 1 IP/5 ER debut in S.Korea in 2024, he has a 2.38 ERA in 162.7 IP (Skubal, Skenes are 1-2) |
| 2 | Jacob deGrom | TEX v CHW | x | x | x | 76 | 2.12 | 0.92 | 19% | 30th | |
| 3 | Paul Skenes | PIT at CHC | x | x | x | 91 | 1.88 | 0.84 | 21% | 1st | Can’t wait to see Skenes go up against one of the league’s best teams |
| 4 | Garrett Crochet | BOS v NYY | x | x | x | 88 | 2.35 | 1.07 | 24% | 3rd | |
| 5 | Logan Webb | SFG at LAD | x | x | x | 87 | 2.58 | 1.16 | 24% | 10th | |
| 6 | Freddy Peralta | MIL v STL | x | x | x | 77 | 2.69 | 1.16 | 15% | 4th | |
| 7 | Clay Holmes | NYM v TBR | x | x | x | 73 | 2.95 | 1.19 | 14% | 15th | |
| 8 | Kevin Gausman | TOR at PHI | x | x | x | 76 | 3.87 | 1.03 | 19% | 11th | QS in 3 of 4 since the 6 ER dud v. TBR: 2.50 ERA/0.99 WHIP/22% K-BB in that time |
| 9 | Cade Horton | CHC v PIT | x | x | 30 | 4.11 | 1.30 | 14% | 27th | He’s been fine so far espec. If you’re curating starts and skipped at DET last time out (4 ER); this matchup is very appealing and then we can reasses for SEA next wk | |
| 10 | Gavin Williams | CLE at SEA | x | x | 65 | 3.86 | 1.42 | 12% | 12th | Has rounded into form of late, particularly if you skipped the LAD start as you should’ve (mostly talking to my dumbass self there, lol): 2.20 ERA/1.19 WHIP/18% K-BB in 33.7 since May 1st excluding the 4.7 IP/4 ER LAD dud (2.91/1.32/13% w/it included) | |
| 11 | Ryne Nelson | ARI v SDP | x | x | 45 | 4.60 | 1.11 | 12% | 18th | Popped at CIN and SDP can still be tough, but he’s literally catching them at the best time as they’re 30th in wOBA vR over the L30 days (ARI is in 1st, so this is a valid Wins chase at the very least) | |
| 12 | Luis Castillo | SEA v CLE | x | x | 73 | 3.31 | 1.30 | 12% | 20th | He’s pretty firmly in a new phase of his career now as a fantasy #3-5 SP range, espec. w/the K% dropoff (19%); still no worse than a team streamer, but no longer a set-it and forget-it | |
| 13 | Adrian Houser | CHW at TEX | x | x | 24 | 1.48 | 1.03 | 15% | 29th | Has been low-key dealing so far w/4 starts of at least 6 IP allowing just 4 total ER and striking out exactly 6 in 3 of the 4… he even has 2 Ws! | |
| 14 | Michael Wacha | KCR v ATH | x | x | 74 | 3.01 | 1.17 | 12% | 8th | High floor team streamer who has allowed 4 ER just 2x this yr and 0-3 in his other 11 starts | |
| 15 | Mitchell Parker | WSN v MIA | x | x | 71 | 4.44 | 1.25 | 6% | 17th | Still not quite looking like the fun breakout from last yr, but has dialed in his control again w/a 5% BB in his L4 after an 11% in his F9 (7% last yr) | |
| 16 | Chris Paddack | MIN at HOU | x | x | 71 | 3.53 | 1.12 | 10% | 23rd | He’s been legitimately good since that 9 ER opener at CHW which got him cut everywhere: 2.51 ERA/1.03 WHIP/12% K-BB… still not missing many bats which does make this feel like it’s on a wire, but he’s in team streamer status so even if this doesn’t go well, I’m holding in 12s or deeper | |
| 17 | Edward Cabrera | MIA at WSN | x | x | 49 | 3.99 | 1.47 | 15% | 16th | Labored thru Apr but has turned a corner since May 1st: 2.03 ERA/1.29 WHIP/18% K-BB… that’s still a dangerous WHIP and he’s always a risk, but my confidence has jumped a bit | |
| 18 | Colton Gordon | HOU v MIN | x | x | 24 | 5.11 | 1.38 | 21% | 15th | First start w/fewer than 3 ER last time out, but 21% K-BB piques my interest here | |
| 19 | Nick Martinez | CIN at DET | x | 75 | 3.70 | 1.17 | 12% | 19th | Continues to do his best work at home after the complete opposite last yr and while DET has been icy vR of late (28th the L30 days), I’m still playing it carefully here: 4.76 ERA/1.34 WHIP/10% K-BB in 39.7 IP | ||
| 20 | Ranger Suárez | PHI v TOR | x | 43 | 2.70 | 1.13 | 15% | 3rd | Tough spot for Ranger who generally plays to his competition: 1.69 ERA/1.09 WHIP v. <.500 tms | 4.32 ERA/1.20 WHIP v. .500+ tms | ||
| 21 | Charlie Morton | BAL v LAA | x | 56 | 6.59 | 1.70 | 10% | 22nd | I’d been keeping an eye on his success but still didn’t feel comfortable going to ATH (2.3 IP/4 ER/4 BB) and even this one is more of a coinflip than a hard reco as LAA leads MLB in HR vR | ||
| 22 | Luis Severino | ATH at KCR | x | 83 | 4.77 | 1.33 | 9% | 25th | If you can’t start him here where the park is a bit more friendly, he just shouldn’t be rostered since all of his home starts are dodgy due to the venue alone | ||
| 23 | Erick Fedde 페디 | STL at MIL | W | 73 | 3.54 | 1.30 | 4% | 26th | In my mind, MIL was tougher than this but they’re also 27th over the L30 days so if you want to chase a Win | ||
| 24 | Bryce Elder | ATL v COL | W | 57 | 4.08 | 1.17 | 14% | 28th | I might start myself to get a Win v. COL | ||
| 25 | Keider Montero | DET v CIN | W | 46 | 4.30 | 1.41 | 7% | 7th | Not a terrible Win chase if he gets an opener, but that hasn’t been confirmed yet | ||
| 26 | Taj Bradley | TBR at NYM | 74 | 4.58 | 1.25 | 12% | 5th | Last 2 are starts are the perfect encapsulation of the maddening nature of Taj: 7 IP/1 UER/10 K at HOU | 4 IP/7 ER/2 K v. MIA… btw, that’s his second 5+ ER start v. MIA this year!! | |||
| 27 | Ryan Yarbrough | NYY at BOS | 45 | 4.17 | 1.15 | 16% | 2nd | We skipped last time he faced BOS and nothing about that outing (8 ER) makes me think we should test this one | |||
| 28 | Stephen Kolek | SDP at ARI | 42 | 3.00 | 1.24 | 8% | 1st | ||||
| 29 | Germán Márquez | COL at ATL | 63 | 7.00 | 1.68 | 7% | 14th | ||||
| 30 | Jack Kochanowicz | LAA at BAL | 67 | 5.61 | 1.63 | 5% | 9th |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
Having trouble throwing Houser in my lineup. Rangers just put up 34 runs in 3 games against the Twins. I’m thinking their lineup is starting to heat up. And track record with Houser being good is obviously short.
I can’t completely blame you there, it never feels all that good slotting in a White Sox SP. What size lg are you in?
10 AL only. It’s always so tough to recover from a blow up in ERA/WHP. But I’m trailing in W/K so I’ll probably give him a chance and hope!