Starting Pitcher Chart – June 13th

June 12, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

Tuesday, June 13th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Spencer Strider	ATL	at	DET	x	x	x	73.2	3.79	1.09	31%	28th	HRs finally caught up to him v. NYM (6 of 8 ER) after dodging major issues with 5 in his previous 4 starts
2	Pablo López	MIN		MIL	x	x	x	78.1	4.25	1.14	22%	25th	Smacked v. CLE, gem v. TBR… baseball is hilarious; he’s an Auto-Start anywhere so as long as the bottom line is good, that’s all that matters
3	Corbin Burnes	MIL	at	MIN	x	x	x	77.2	3.36	1.08	15%	13th	Now down to a 2.50 ERA in his last 11 starts after the 9.64 ERA through 2
4	Zack Wheeler	PHI	at	ARI	x	x	x	76	3.91	1.12	22%	10th	Excellent bounce back from season-worst 7 ER and also gets at OAK this wknd
5	Max Scherzer	NYM		NYY	x	x	x	53.1	3.71	1.18	20%	12th	Put up gems after both of his 5+ ER starts, let’s see if he can make it 3 after 5 ER at ATL
6	George Kirby	SEA		MIA	x	x	x	74.2	3.50	1.11	18%	8th	A couple duds in his last 3 but the middle game was literally his best of the year so I’m not sure there’s major cause for concern
7	Tanner Bibee	CLE	at	SDP	x	x	x	44.1	3.05	1.13	17%	22nd	Only 2 Ks v. BOS but also 5 IP/1 ER and a W so a great outing altogether
8	Hunter Brown	HOU		WSN	x	x	x	68.1	3.69	1.21	20%	16th	Has the skills for even better ratios if he can cut into that .320 BABIP
9	Joe Musgrove	SDP		CLE	x	x	x	41.1	4.35	1.33	16%	20th	The meltdown in Mexico is but a memory now especially with 2 ER in his L3 starts
10	Edward Cabrera	MIA	at	SEA	x	x	x	63	4.29	1.38	15%	24th	Suppressing usual control issues with just a 7% BB rate in his last 5 starts unsurprisingly yielding a 2.93 ERA/1.01 WHIP
11	Chris Bassitt	TOR	at	BAL	x	x	x	82	3.29	1.02	13%	17th	2 gems after the back-to-back duds, trustworthy even with a looming trip to TEX this wknd
12	Kutter Crawford	BOS		COL	x	x	x	36.2	3.68	1.01	20%	7th	COL is 24th vR on the road; Crawford is ramping up and could feasibly make it through 5 on 70-75 pitches… has a 2-step setup for next wk, too
13	Yonny Chirinos	TBR	at	OAK	x	x	x	34.2	2.60	0.95	3%	30th	Pretty sharp v. MIN and I like him for the 2-step this wk (at OAK, at SDP)
14	Tony Gonsolin	LAD		CHW		x	x	40.2	2.21	0.98	8%	26th	A great matchup for the BABIP God to stay hot, but his K-BB rate is half his 16% mark from 2019-22
15	Reese Olson	DET		ATL			x	10	2.70	0.70	18%	4th	It’s risky against ATL, but I’m down to stream him especially since it’s a 2-step (at MIN this wknd)
16	Jaime Barría	LAA	at	TEX			x	39	1.85	0.97	16%	1st	No issues sitting here, but I’m not cutting him anywhere right now
17	Luis Severino	NYY	at	NYM			x	20.1	5.75	1.33	12%	14th	3 HR in each of his last 2 starts has yielded 11 ER in 9 IP… he also gets at BOS this wknd, I don’t blame anyone for skpping (but still holding)
18	Jack Flaherty	STL		SFG			x	69.1	4.15	1.50	11%	21st	Spiked another 5 BB after 2 in 12 IP before that so it just seems like part of his game right now; I can see streaming him if you can afford the WHIP hit (2.06 ERA/1.37 WHIP in last 35 IP)
19	Alex Cobb	SFG	at	STL			x	74.2	3.01	1.35	16%	3rd	If he wasn’t running a 1.35 WHIP, I could maybe take the shot here, but he also gets at LAD on the wknd
20	Zach Davies	ARI		PHI			x	25	4.68	1.44	11%	19th	Not the biggest fan of his game, but 2 gems in a row and a 2-step that includes CLE this wknd has some streamer viability
21	Brandon Williamson	CIN	at	KCR			x	26.2	5.40	1.43	7%	29th	Matchup and venue are enough to stream in deep formats
22	Lance Lynn	CHW	at	LAD				72.1	6.72	1.56	16%	9th	While I still think he can get back on track, I’m totally fine sitting or even cutting him
23	Hogan Harris	OAK		TBR				15.1	6.46	1.30	5%	5th	Nice 3.00 ERA/0.93 WHIP in 3 straight 5 IP appearances, but TB/PHI is really scary w/such low W probability… some interest, but not enough to take this shot
24	Jameson Taillon	CHC		PIT				42.1	7.02	1.54	13%	18th	Far too hittable to trust in even friendly matchups like this one
25	Dean Kremer	BAL		TOR				70	4.89	1.44	13%	2nd	His 3.07 ERA in 29 IP v. TOR since last yr comes with an 11% K-BB and 1.47 WHIP
26	Luis L. Ortiz	PIT	at	CHC				27.2	4.23	1.81	1%	29th	I like the arm but not even an elite matchup can get me on board with a 1% (!!!) K-BB rate
27	Cody Bradford	TEX		LAA				10	7.20	1.50	12%	8th	Looked solid at BAL (5 IP/2 ER/5 Ks), but this matchup is entirely too difficult
28	Patrick Corbin	WSN	at	HOU				73.2	4.89	1.52	8%	11th	6 QS in his last 9 (4.36 ERA) but the downside is still very severe so I’m inclined to pass
29	Jordan Lyles	KCR		CIN				73.2	6.84	1.29	10%	5th	Not many streamer types getting the co-sign against CIN these days let alone someone who I’m never really looking to start
30	Chase Anderson	COL	at	BOS				32	2.25	1.00	10%	23rd	No thanks

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues