Starting Pitcher Chart – June 11th, 2025
by Paul Sporer
June 11, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
I’ve made some edits after changes on Wednesday morning. I didn’t remake the board, so that’s why Woo & Ray are 3-x guys listed out of order.
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Starter Notes June 11, 2025
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Spencer Schwellenbach | ATL at MIL | x | x | x | 80 | 3.24 | 1.05 | 19% | 26th | A 4-start run bookended by 6 ER duds fueled some nerves about him before he unleashed a 2.53 ERA/1.00 WHIP/20% K-BB over his last 39.3 IP |
| 2 | Nick Lodolo | CIN at CLE | x | x | x | 75 | 3.21 | 1.08 | 16% | 26th | |
| 3 | Kris Bubic | KCR v NYY | x | x | x | 75 | 1.43 | 1.00 | 19% | 20th | While not an unquestioned ace, he has been pitching like one thus far w/the skills to support his sparkling ratios and as such, I’m running him! |
| 4 | David Peterson | NYM v WSN | x | x | x | 70 | 2.80 | 1.26 | 13% | 10th | That’s a mismatched ERA/WHIP combo and it’s much more likely the ERA climbs than the WHIP drops |
| 5 | Casey Mize | DET at BAL | x | x | x | 55 | 2.91 | 1.22 | 14% | 25th | Similar to Peterson w/the WHIP likely to yank his ERA upward, though perhaps less sharply than D Pete w/a better skills profile so far |
| 6 | Clarke Schmidt | NYY at KCR | x | x | x | 49 | 4.04 | 1.29 | 14% | 1st | Turning a corner w/his control? 6% BB in L3 after a 13% mark in his F6 |
| 7 | Zach Eflin | BAL v DET | x | x | x | 46 | 4.47 | 1.12 | 13% | 16th | Schedule shined upon him w/CHW & SEA yielding B2B QS w/2 Ws and 13 Ks in 13 IP, reinstilling confidence in him after some bumps off the IL |
| 8 | Chad Patrick | MIL v ATL | x | x | x | 69 | 2.84 | 1.21 | 15% | 15th | This year’s Tobias Myers for MIL and in the mold of Peterson/Mize, but he could stave off regression until next week’s trip to Wrigley |
| 9 | Matthew Liberatore | STL v TOR | x | x | 68 | 3.82 | 1.13 | 17% | 4th | The crash back to Earth hit hard w/11 ER in his L2 despite solid matchups (at TEX, v. KCR) so maybe he’s not taking an ace turn this year; still a useful Team Streamer w/this pinpoint commmand (4% BB is 3rd in MLB) even in a tough spot like this | |
| 10 | SFG at COL | x | x | x | 77 | 2.44 | 1.07 | 18% | 28th | Birdsong switched to Thursday; Coors can clip Ray, too, but I’m confidently starting him everywhere | |
| 11 | David Festa | MIN v TEX | x | x | 16 | 5.40 | 1.50 | 19% | 29th | On a tiiiiight 2-times through setup which makes him tough to run bc the margin for error is small & W probability is low | |
| 12 | Bailey Falter | PIT v MIA | x | x | 69 | 3.49 | 1.12 | 7% | 16th | Matchup drives the interest though even MIA can clip someone w/a 7% K-BB; it was even lower in (5%) despite his amazing results: 0.77 ERA/0.85 WHIP in 35.7 IP | |
| 13 | Ryan Gusto | HOU v CHW | x | x | 43 | 4.78 | 1.64 | 12% | 30th | Another matchup play who has much better skills, but also a lower shot to reach the necessary 5 IP for a W so your team needs can be your tiebreaker b/w Falter & Gusto | |
| 14 | Jack Leiter | TEX at MIN | x | x | 51 | 3.48 | 1.16 | 8% | 13th | After 10 ER in his F2 starts since being recalled, he has allowed 7 in his L5, mostly on the back of a .191 BABIP as the 10% K-BB isn’t terribly impressive | |
| 15 | Jesús Luzardo | PHI v CHC | x | 72 | 4.46 | 1.44 | 19% | 6th | I dove back in after the 12 ER meltdown v. MIL, but then another 8 ER at TOR has given me pause even w/CHC sputtering of late; velo has held firm but his command and control are just gone right w/his Location+ dropping from 11 in his F11 to 91 in his L2 | ||
| 16 | JP Sears | ATH at LAA | x | 67 | 5.21 | 1.29 | 12% | 25th | He’s made a swift return to Earth after a gem v. NYY back in mid-May w/a horrendous 10.07 ERA/1.90 WHIP combo in his L5 | ||
| 17 | Zack Littell | TBR at BOS | x | 80 | 3.68 | 1.09 | 13% | 7th | No more than 3 ER in any of his L10 after the 7 ER dud v. LAA, but still just a 15% K during the run; 3% BB and .249 BABIP doing most of the heavy lifting; coin flip for deep lgs w/real downside | ||
| 18 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI v SEA | W | 49 | 6.70 | 1.65 | 16% | 11th | Solid in his return from the IL (5 IP/2 ER) and I do wonder how much of May can be excused due to the injury; I’d at least like to stash even if I’m not running him bc there’s a full wk of CHW/MIA lurking for ARI starting 6/22 | ||
| 19 | Justin Wrobleski | LAD at SDP | W | 15 | 7.20 | 1.40 | 11% | 15th | Mostly a Win chase here though of course it’s far from certain at SDP, espec. as I watch them drop a bomb on LAD while writing this | ||
| 20 | Ben Brown | CHC at PHI | W | 63 | 5.37 | 1.43 | 21% | 14th | Catching PHI at the right time as they’re 23rd in wOBA over the L30 vR so maybe worth a Win chase?! | ||
| 21 | Bryan Woo | SEA at ARI | x | x | x | 76 | 3.07 | 0.96 | 19% | 2nd | Originally had Bryce Miller listed, but he’s on the IL. ARI is aces-only and Woo’s an ace so let’s get him in there. I’m not going to remake the board this morning, but consider Woo slotted behind Lodolo |
| 22 | Jake Irvin | WSN at NYM | 78 | 4.02 | 1.23 | 9% | 5th | I like the arm and he’s a useful streamer, this isn’t the spot for him, though | |||
| 23 | Walker Buehler | BOS v TBR | 48 | 5.18 | 1.44 | 13% | 11th | I just don’t have any confidence in him | |||
| 24 | Randy Vásquez | SDP v LAD | 63 | 3.69 | 1.45 | 1% | 1st | ||||
| 25 | Sean Burke | CHW at HOU | 67 | 4.03 | 1.39 | 6% | 24th | ||||
| 26 | Eric Lauer | TOR at STL | 26 | 2.08 | 0.88 | 15% | 13th | ||||
| 27 | Cal Quantrill | MIA at PIT | 54 | 5.63 | 1.49 | 10% | 27th | ||||
| 28 | Logan Allen | CLE v CIN | 55 | 4.42 | 1.58 | 5% | 21st | ||||
| 29 | Kyle Hendricks | LAA v ATH | 65 | 5.40 | 1.32 | 8% | 9th | ||||
| 30 | Kyle Freeland | COL v SFG | 67 | 5.19 | 1.54 | 13% | 23rd |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
Bryce Miller is on the il and out 4-6 weeks with elbow inflammation
Explains why we shouldn’t start him, lol… fixing rn
how so
how so am I fixing it? I put Bryan Woo in