Starting Pitcher Chart – July 3rd
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
FYI: The site is off tomorrow so the Tuesday SP Chart is TBD.
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| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Joe Ryan | MIN | KCR | x | x | x | 96.2 | 3.44 | 0.97 | 23% | 28th | Great spot to rebound after his 5 HR flop at ATL last time out | |
| 2 | Logan Webb | SFG | SEA | x | x | x | 110.1 | 3.43 | 1.12 | 19% | 21st | 5 R in the 1st inn. at TOR yielded his worst start of the yr, but he settled down w/4 scoreless | |
| 3 | Bryce Elder | ATL | at | CLE | x | x | x | 96 | 2.44 | 1.13 | 13% | 6th | Surprising he has just 6 Ws given his great yr; saddled w/5 June no-decisions despite 2.12 ERA in 29.7 IP |
| 4 | Tyler Wells | BAL | at | NYY | x | x | x | 92.2 | 3.21 | 0.88 | 21% | 30th | Hasn’t allowed more than 2 ER in his L6 (2.78 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 24% K-BB); 31% K in L9 |
| 5 | Blake Snell | SDP | LAA | x | x | x | 87 | 3.21 | 1.21 | 20% | 16th | Now has 4 straight 10+ K outings and is once again a must-start everywhere | |
| 6 | Domingo Germán | NYY | BAL | x | x | x | 81.1 | 4.54 | 1.05 | 16% | 16th | Followed up 7 & 8 ER B2B meltdowns with a Perfect Game! | |
| 7 | Cristian Javier | HOU | at | TEX | x | x | x | 87 | 3.72 | 1.17 | 15% | 5th | Javier hasn’t become the AL’s version of Strider as we thought he could but he’s still good & an easy start |
| 8 | Braxton Garrett | MIA | STL | x | x | x | 81.2 | 3.53 | 1.13 | 23% | 28th | Limited to 2 times thru lineup w/fewest 3rd time through batters faced among ERA qualifiers (54) | |
| 9 | Bryan Woo | SEA | at | SFG | x | x | x | 22.2 | 4.37 | 1.24 | 27% | 12th | 28 Ks in his L4 starts (20.7 IP) with a 2.18 ERA and 0.97 WHIP |
| 10 | Drew Smyly | CHC | at | MIL | x | x | x | 86.1 | 3.96 | 1.29 | 12% | 19th | Has 3 duds (5+ ER) in his L6 but 5 combined ER in 16.7 IP over the other 3 starts |
| 11 | Mitch Keller | PIT | at | LAD | x | x | x | 105 | 3.34 | 1.10 | 21% | 19th | Kinda funny that OAK delivered his worst start in a breakout yr (2.52 ERA, 0.92 WHIP, 17% K-BB since OAK start) |
| 12 | Miles Mikolas | STL | at | MIA | x | x | 99.1 | 4.44 | 1.38 | 11% | 20th | Season has gone in waves: 10.05 ERA in first 3, 2.24 in his next 10, and then 6.57 over his L4… solid matchup & venue here | |
| 13 | Gavin Williams | CLE | ATL | x | 12.2 | 2.84 | 0.71 | 13% | 1st | Tough spot and Williams has just 2 MLB starts under his belt so I’m probably only starting where I have to | |||
| 14 | Jaime Barria | LAA | at | SDP | x | 49.1 | 2.92 | 1.18 | 12% | 10th | Strong ratios in a hybrid role but has only reached 5 IP 3x this yr and not since June 7th | ||
| 15 | Michael Grove | LAD | PIT | x | 37 | 7.54 | 1.59 | 13% | 29th | Could be the fill-in for Kershaw (IL) and his 4.42 SIERA says he’s better than his current ratios | |||
| 16 | Julio Teheran | MIL | CHC | x | 41 | 2.85 | 0.93 | 11% | 23rd | HR regression came in one fell swoop (4) with a 7 ER dud at NYM; 2-step includes CIN this wknd so be careful | |||
| 17 | Austin Cox | KCR | at | MIN | 16 | 2.25 | 0.88 | 12% | 27th | Solid matchup, but we haven’t seen enough from the young lefty to trust him (hasn’t reached 4 IP in an MLB outing) | |||
| 18 | Martín Pérez | TEX | HOU | 90.1 | 4.28 | 1.42 | 8% | 8th | Isn’t doing enough to take on the consistent risk (5.10 SIERA) | ||||
| 19 | Luke Weaver | CIN | at | WSN | 64.2 | 6.96 | 1.61 | 12% | 27th | Hard to have any confidence in any matchup | |||
| 20 | Jake Irvin | WSN | CIN | 47.2 | 4.72 | 1.49 | 6% | 2nd | Could be some early holiday fireworks here |
Paul, you’re really gonna start Christina Javier in Texas? He’s got 9 walks and 7 strikeouts in his last 4 starts. His last few starts he has gone 4 and 2.1 innings.He’s pitching against the righty smashing Rangers. Something’s wrong here and no way I am starting him. I am benching him and starting Bryan Woo. That said, he’ll probably throw a no-hitter.
With Woo as a backup option, I totally get it. I do have some concerns about recent Javier, but I’m rolling w/him here thinking it’s more blip than problem (perhaps foolishly, though).
I almost certainly could’ve tempered my outlook on him a bit more and stress that Javier isn’t fully himself right now. Bottom line: I support your decision, but still plan to use Javier in the 1 lg I have him (a 12-teamer)
Your concerns came to fruition as he couldn’t even parlay the big lead into an easy W. We need to check in on him for sure.
I’m in 12-team Roto, and I could use some RP for WHIP, ERA ratios. Do you think he’s dropable?