Starting Pitcher Chart – July 29th, 2025

Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
You ever have one of those nights where all your late nights just catch up to you and you crash way earlier than normal? I usually get one of those every 4-6 weeks and the most recent one hit last night. I saw Troy Melton’s scintillating performance against the D’Backs and even A.J. Hinch’s interview in the postgame, but that’s about the last thing I remember before crashing on the couch and eventually transferring to the bed hours later. All that to say, that’s why this is massively late and my apologies to those of you who use this for waiver pickups but it should still be useful for those making lineup decisions today (though there is a doubleheader w/TOR-BAL starting in a couple hours).
Check out my new-ish SP rankings here!
I’ll run an update after the Deadline if there’s a lot of meaningful movement, otherwise it’ll be closer to mid-August.
RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Max Fried | NYY v TBR | x | x | x | 127 | 2.62 | 1.04 | 17% | 21st |
2 | Tyler Glasnow | LAD at CIN | x | x | x | 36 | 2.75 | 1.03 | 21% | 11th |
3 | Sean Manaea | NYM at SDP | x | x | x | 12 | 2.19 | 0.97 | 28% | 15th |
4 | Joe Boyle | TBR at NYY | x | x | x | 19 | 1.42 | 0.63 | 17% | 2nd |
5 | Yusei Kikuchi | LAA v TEX | x | x | x | 122 | 3.23 | 1.40 | 14% | 29th |
6 | Sonny Gray | STL v MIA | x | x | x | 116 | 4.33 | 1.19 | 23% | 13th |
7 | Lucas Giolito | BOS at MIN | x | x | x | 81 | 3.97 | 1.26 | 14% | 20th |
8 | Seth Lugo | KCR v ATL | x | x | x | 113 | 2.95 | 1.09 | 15% | 17th |
9 | Nick Lodolo | CIN v LAD | x | x | x | 122 | 3.08 | 1.04 | 18% | 4th |
10 | Casey Mize | DET v ARI | x | x | x | 92 | 3.40 | 1.28 | 15% | 1st |
11 | Jesús Luzardo | PHI at CHW | x | x | x | 114 | 4.58 | 1.43 | 19% | 12th |
12 | Quinn Priester | MIL v CHC | x | x | x | 101 | 3.28 | 1.20 | 12% | 4th |
13 | Eric Lauer 라우어 | TOR at BAL | x | x | x | 69 | 2.61 | 0.93 | 20% | 26th |
14 | Michael Soroka | WSN at HOU | x | x | x | 78 | 4.85 | 1.13 | 18% | 18th |
15 | Patrick Corbin | TEX at LAA | x | x | 104 | 3.78 | 1.27 | 13% | 20th | |
16 | Logan Allen로건 | CLE v COL | x | x | 101 | 4.16 | 1.37 | 9% | 25th | |
17 | Brandon Pfaadt | ARI at DET | x | 111 | 4.76 | 1.26 | 15% | 16th | ||
18 | Cade Povich | BAL v TOR | x | 64 | 5.15 | 1.50 | 16% | 7th | ||
19 | Bailey Falter | PIT at SFG | x | 108 | 3.82 | 1.18 | 8% | 28th | ||
20 | Sandy Alcantara | MIA at STL | x | 104 | 6.66 | 1.43 | 8% | 14th | ||
21 | Justin Verlander | SFG v PIT | x | 84 | 4.70 | 1.49 | 10% | 29th | ||
22 | Colin Rea | CHC at MIL | 102 | 4.06 | 1.27 | 11% | 21st | |||
23 | Jonathan Cannon | CHW v PHI | 88 | 4.48 | 1.40 | 11% | 8th | |||
24 | Logan Evans | SEA at ATH | 59 | 3.64 | 1.40 | 9% | 9th | |||
25 | Ryan Bergert | SDP v NYM | 31 | 2.84 | 1.14 | 12% | 5th | |||
26 | Luis Severino | ATH v SEA | 125 | 4.95 | 1.35 | 9% | 10th | |||
27 | Charlie Morton | BAL v TOR | 95 | 5.48 | 1.54 | 12% | 6th | |||
28 | Tanner Gordon | COL at CLE | 23 | 3.13 | 1.30 | 7% | 27th | |||
29 | Pierson Ohl | MIN v BOS | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | #N/A | 12th | |||
30 | Erick Fedde 페디 | ATL at KCR | 101 | 5.22 | 1.50 | 4% | 28th | |||
31 | Easton Lucas | TOR at BAL | 21 | 5.82 | 1.43 | 13% | 26th | |||
32 | Jason Alexander | HOU v WSN | 21 | 8.14 | 1.90 | 2% | 23rd |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues |
KEY
x: Play him! | W: Chasing the Win
What has happened to Sonny Gray recently?
I’m so nervous to start him all of a sudden.
Ditto, yet I am just rolling Kikuchi at the same time with no reservations. Also Boyle….what a weird turn the last ~10 days have been
That said, everything looks mostly OK under the hood. 3.02 FIP and 3.09 SIERA. Career high K/BB. Stuff+ looks right in line with his career. Velo’s down 1 mph from last year, which isn’t ideal. I think we have to keep rolling with him. Maybe tipping his pitches somehow in the last 2 starts?