Starting Pitcher Chart – July 25th, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
Check out my new SP rankings here!
Let me know if you have questions about anyone either in the comments here or on the rankings page.
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Nick Pivetta | SDP at STL | x | x | x | 115 | 2.81 | 1.00 | 21% | 12th | I was a skeptic until late in draft season, though I still wasn’t able to land him in my big leagues |
| 2 | Nathan Eovaldi | TEX v ATL | x | x | x | 91 | 1.58 | 0.85 | 23% | 18th | |
| 3 | Logan Webb | SFG v NYM | x | x | x | 131 | 3.08 | 1.21 | 20% | 6th | |
| 4 | Bryan Woo | SEA at LAA | x | x | x | 120 | 2.91 | 0.94 | 20% | 16th | LAA and MIA both playing a lot better than their season-long numbers suggest, but neither doing well enough to reconsider guys like Woo/Peralta |
| 5 | Freddy Peralta | MIL v MIA | x | x | x | 116 | 2.85 | 1.08 | 17% | 14th | |
| 6 | MacKenzie Gore | WSN at MIN | x | x | x | 112 | 3.59 | 1.27 | 22% | 12th | Gore, however, is coming off an 8 ER outing and gets the #1 tm vL in the L30 which feels a bit scary and yet I find myself slotting him in with confidence; anyone can have a dud and he’s only had 2 on the yr |
| 7 | Ryne Nelson | ARI at PIT | x | x | x | 84 | 3.52 | 1.06 | 13% | 29th | |
| 8 | Shota Imanaga | CHC at CHW | x | x | x | 75 | 2.40 | 0.92 | 12% | 14th | I keep doubting his ERA bc of that HR rate and yet he just keeps stringing gems together; just 1 HR in his L3, too (1.35 ERA in 20 IP) |
| 9 | Zack Littell | TBR at CIN | x | x | x | 122 | 3.53 | 1.09 | 14% | 9th | Quietly fantastic for the majority of the season: 3.00 ERA/1.07 WHIP in his L17 starts, though the 13% & 1.6 HR/9 have made it tough to completely trust him throughout the run |
| 10 | José Berríos | TOR at DET | x | x | x | 121 | 3.87 | 1.26 | 12% | 15th | |
| 11 | Gavin Williams | CLE at KCR | x | x | x | 104 | 3.54 | 1.38 | 11% | 27th | Best start of the yr broke up a string of 10 straight multi-BB gms |
| 12 | Zebby Matthews | MIN v WSN | x | x | x | 23 | 6.26 | 1.61 | 21% | 23rd | Couldn’t survive Coors but I’m not going to hold it against him too much back at home in a solid matchup |
| 13 | Dean Kremer | BAL v COL | x | x | 115 | 4.06 | 1.25 | 13% | 26th | Dealing w/B2B 7 IP gems and gets the Rockies away from Coors | |
| 14 | Michael Wacha | KCR v CLE | x | x | 112 | 3.62 | 1.24 | 11% | 28th | ||
| 15 | Brayan Bello | BOS v LAD | x | x | 97 | 3.23 | 1.27 | 9% | 3rd | Held up in Wrigley running his streak to 11 straight of 0-3 ER (2.86 ERA/1.07 WHIP/14% K-BB); let’s play the hot hand against a cooled LAD lineup | |
| 16 | Clay Holmes | NYM at SFG | W | x | 108 | 3.48 | 1.27 | 9% | 21st | Hasn’t reached 6 IP in any of his L7 w/a 1% K-BB in that span! Mostly chasing the W, not that it’s an easy spot at SFG, just that I’d rather go for that than bank on ratios/Ks | |
| 17 | Will Warren | NYY v PHI | x | 99 | 4.91 | 1.44 | 16% | 11th | Count me as a Warren fan, but multiple BB in his L6 gives him a total of 18 in 30 IP (13%) and has been key to this lull: 5.10 ERA/1.70 WHIP in L6 | ||
| 18 | Nick Martinez | CIN v TBR | x | 116 | 4.73 | 1.22 | 11% | 5th | Major volatility lately w/Game Scores ranging from 80 to 12 in is L8 making him more of a coinf flip in this tough spot | ||
| 19 | José Soriano | LAA v SEA | x | 120 | 3.83 | 1.43 | 9% | 7th | The highs run pretty high, but the lows are equally punishing making him tough to trust, especially w/low W upside | ||
| 20 | Ryan Gusto | HOU v ATH | x | 76 | 4.46 | 1.42 | 15% | 13th | |||
| 21 | Emmet Sheehan | LAD at BOS | x | 16 | 4.41 | 1.35 | 16% | 10th | I’d say it’s a Wins chase if he was getting an opener, but in a standard start spot I’m tentatively throwing him in deep lgs given this matchup (1st in L30) | ||
| 22 | Mike Burrows | PIT v ARI | 46 | 4.70 | 1.41 | 14% | 1st | ||||
| 23 | Taijuan Walker | PHI at NYY | 62 | 3.75 | 1.38 | 10% | 2nd | ||||
| 24 | Kyle Freeland | COL at BAL | 95 | 5.19 | 1.53 | 11% | 27th | ||||
| 25 | Jeffrey Springs | ATH at HOU | 114 | 4.18 | 1.22 | 11% | 1st | ||||
| 26 | Cal Quantrill | MIA at MIL | 87 | 5.24 | 1.37 | 12% | 22nd | ||||
| 27 | Adrian Houser | CHW v CHC | 62 | 1.89 | 1.23 | 10% | 4th | ||||
| 28 | Keider Montero | DET v TOR | 69 | 4.28 | 1.38 | 8% | 8th | ||||
| 29 | Miles Mikolas | STL v SDP | 97 | 5.20 | 1.30 | 11% | 24th | ||||
| 30 | Joey Wentz | ATL at TEX | 41 | 5.71 | 1.61 | 7% | 29th |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues |
KEY
x: Standard Recommendation |
W: Chasing the Win
Sorry to message again and spam the group, but I’m really torn on this trade. (Although the fact that it’s still on the table probably means it benefits the other party.)
Hey Paul — you seem to believe in Zebby? His numbers are kind of all over the place.
I’m in a dynasty points league and just got offered Zebby and Nootbaar in exchange for Ian Happ. The offer comes from the first-place team; I’m currently in second, but two games and about 1,000 points behind. Given their ages/upside (Noot 27), it feels like I should accept the trade. But I also really hate the idea of giving up Happ, who’s only 30 and just so solid.
It’s a points league with a weekly SP cap, so having strong starting pitchers is really valuable in my opinion.
No worries asking twice!!
I think this is a pretty fair deal and I’d lean toward taking it if you don’t think you can fully close the gap b/w 1st & 2nd. Noot’s health issues are persistent (including being hurt rn), but he can reasonably emulate Happ’s production when he is healthy. And I’m still all the way in on Zebby. He’s been up and down and may remain inconsistent a bit this yr, but I still believe that he can be a must-start guy. So all in all, I’m taking the deal!