Starting Pitcher Chart – July 24th
by Paul Sporer
July 24, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Monday, July 24th Starter Notes
| RK | PITCHER | TM | OPP | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK | NOTE | |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Luis Castillo | SEA | at | MIN | x | x | x | 118.1 | 3.04 | 1.05 | 22% | 8th | His 3.78 ERA in the L8 is impressive given the bananas 2.5 HR, hope he reigns in the longball before a tm really takes advantage |
| 2 | Kenta Maeda | MIN | SEA | x | x | x | 42.1 | 5.10 | 1.25 | 22% | 11th | Settling into a groove since his IL return: 2.73 ERA, 1.03 WHIP, 26% K-BB | |
| 3 | Tarik Skubal | DET | SFG | x | x | x | 12 | 5.25 | 1.08 | 23% | 29th | Brutal outing at KCR & the first bump of his season; I’m undeterred espec. w/a 2-step (at MIA this wknd) | |
| 4 | Yu Darvish | SDP | PIT | x | x | x | 97 | 4.36 | 1.26 | 18% | 26th | Still a Top 50 SP despite the underwhelming output | |
| 5 | Logan Allen | CLE | KCR | x | x | x | 67.1 | 3.21 | 1.37 | 16% | 22nd | Looked fantastic at PIT and could stay hot w/KCR and at CWS this wk | |
| 6 | Jon Gray | TEX | at | HOU | x | x | x | 103.1 | 3.31 | 1.19 | 12% | 13th | He’s all over the place lately and probable charts have them running 6 so this is a 1-start at HOU… there are sits to be found if you’re nervous |
| 7 | José Berríos | TOR | at | LAD | x | x | 119.1 | 3.39 | 1.16 | 16% | 1st | It’s a 1-start wk at LAD (Ryu slated back this wk giving them 6 SPs for 6 gms) so I can find some shallow lg sits despite trusting him | |
| 8 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI | BAL | x | x | 35.1 | 3.06 | 1.05 | 17% | 9th | Big opportunity for a 2H favorite of mine w/a trip to PIT this wknd; nice to see 0 HR last time out, needs an uptick in SwStr to keep succeeding | ||
| 9 | Ross Stripling | SFG | at | DET | x | x | 51.2 | 5.92 | 1.34 | 14% | 30th | Nice QS in CIN & strong 3.86 ERA/0.87 WHIP/20% K-BB in his L16 IP give him some stream appeal | |
| 10 | Dean Kremer | BAL | at | PHI | x | x | 108.2 | 4.80 | 1.34 | 15% | 21st | Appears to have traded Ks (up 5 pts to 22%) for HRs (up 1.0 to 1.8) which makes him super volatile (8 Game Scores at 55+; 8 under 45)… feeling lucky? | |
| 11 | Graham Ashcraft | CIN | at | MIL | x | x | 93.2 | 5.77 | 1.54 | 6% | 20th | Isn’t reeling me allll the way back in w/this paltry 5% K-BB despite the 1.82 ERA/1.20 WHIP in his last 25 IP | |
| 12 | Michael Grove | LAD | TOR | x | 52 | 6.40 | 1.54 | 13% | 14th | Has looked solid in his L3 including a 14% SwStr in 2 of them; worth at least a reserve spot in deeper formats | |||
| 13 | Patrick Corbin | WSN | COL | x | 114 | 4.89 | 1.54 | 9% | 15th | CIN & SD bombs are the only blemishes in L8 and those were avoidable; always the threat of a dud, but a worthy streamer in deeper lgs | |||
| 14 | Ryan Yarbrough | KCR | at | CLE | x | 38 | 5.21 | 1.26 | 9% | 24th | CLE has cooled vL once again & Yarb is an out shy of B2B QS since coming off the IL w/9 Ks & 2 BB so I can see a deep lg Hail Mary | ||
| 15 | Ryne Nelson | ARI | STL | 106.1 | 4.82 | 1.38 | 10% | 3rd | 12 of the 20 ER in his L8 have come in 2 duds & he still has a 4.03 ERA/1.24 WHIP/15% K-BB in 45 IP sample… on my radar, but probably sitting here | ||||
| 16 | Colin Rea | MIL | CIN | 85.1 | 4.64 | 1.21 | 12% | 9th | There is some deep lg streamer potential in the right spots, this is not such a spot | ||||
| 17 | Brandon Bielak | HOU | TEX | 65 | 3.46 | 1.40 | 9% | 6th | Just 2 ER in L3 since recall (1.02 ERA), buuuutttt a meager 7% K-BB and crazy .159 BABIP says it’s just some run-hot | ||||
| 18 | Quinn Priester | PIT | at | SDP | 5.1 | 11.81 | 1.69 | 0% | 5th | Interested to see how he rebounds from a tough debut, especially in a challenging road start | |||
| 19 | Adam Wainwright | STL | at | ARI | 51.2 | 7.66 | 1.99 | 4% | 16th | Grinding for those 2 Ws (198 career) but it won’t be easy | |||
| 20 | Karl Kauffmann | COL | at | WSN | 17.2 | 10.19 | 2.04 | -2% | 22nd | No thanks |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
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Just can’t get myself to start Berrios against the Dodgers.
Likewise with Gray at Houston. No thanks!!!
Looks like we both made the right call
Berrios did OK, wish I would have benched the rotting corpse of Yu Darvish