Starting Pitcher Chart – July 20th

July 20, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Thursday, July 20th Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Spencer Strider	ATL		ARI	x	x	x	104.2	3.44	1.09	31%	15th	The nastiest stuff (Strider) and best command (Kirby) will be on display Thursday
2	George Kirby	SEA		MIN	x	x	x	107.2	3.09	1.04	19%	13th	Just such brilliant command… if he cultivates a true bat misser, he’s an ace
3	Corbin Burnes	MIL	at	PHI	x	x	x	107.1	3.94	1.14	14%	22nd	Inching closer to his 2022 self with 3.49 ERA, 1.01 WHIP, and 19% K-BB in his L9 starts
4	Blake Snell	SDP	at	TOR	x	x	x	98	2.85	1.22	20%	19th	Leads the NL in H9 and total BB (52) & he’s absolutely on fire lately: 0.62 ERA, 0.97 WHIP, 29% K-BB in 58 IP
5	Zac Gallen	ARI	at	ATL	x	x	x	118.1	3.04	1.05	22%	1st	Don’t love throwing anyone in ATL but I’m not sitting Gallen
6	Pablo López	MIN	at	SEA	x	x	x	111	3.89	1.09	24%	19th	Pummeled at OAK outta nowhere but I’m not concerned and still think he’s better than this ERA
7	Tyler Glasnow	TBR		BAL	x	x	x	41.2	4.10	1.22	27%	10th	The makings of a 2H heater? 2.42 ERA, 1.09 WHIP, 35% K-BB in his L22 innings
8	Marcus Stroman	CHC		STL	x	x	x	112.2	2.96	1.11	13%	4th	Not sure the .251 BABIP and 8% HR/FB are going to hold all yr, but it’s hard to find the sit spots
9	J.P. France	HOU	at	OAK	x	x	x	66.1	3.26	1.21	10%	27th	Doesn’t have the K rate to feel super comfortable w/him but I’m still streaming him in great spots like this
10	Michael Lorenzen	DET	at	KCR	x	x	x	87	4.03	1.14	13%	30th	A Coors dud is the only blip in his 2.60 ERA, 1.25 WHIP, 14% K-BB over the L5 starts
11	Andrew Abbott	CIN		SFG		x	x	41.2	2.38	1.03	21%	21st	I probably put him too high at 42 in my SP rankings bc I do worry about the 1.5 HR in Cincy
12	Chris Bassitt	TOR		SDP		x	x	109.2	4.19	1.23	14%	8th	I can see a sit here in shallower lgs, but he’s tough to time w/a 3.84 ERA, 1.19 WHIP, 16% K-BB v. >.500 tms (SD is sub-.500, but still a strong lineup)
13	Taijuan Walker	PHI		MIL		x	x	96.1	4.02	1.25	12%	23rd	Seems like his heater has cooled (1.69 ERA in 48 IP; 6 ER and 8 BB in his L12 IP)
14	José Quintana	NYM		CHW		x	x	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	#N/A	22nd	Season debut; has a 3.90 ERA/3.98 SIERA the last 2 yrs (229 IP) and I’d use that as my guide
15	Alex Cobb	SFG	at	CIN			x	89.2	2.91	1.34	17%	6th	CIN has cooled (.272 wOBA vR in L14 days), but I’m still not dying to run his 9.7 H9 in Great American
16	Michael Kopech	CHW	at	NYM			x	86	4.08	1.36	13%	9th	Hard to trust right with a 14% BB rate and it’s twice that over his L4 starts
17	Kyle Gibson	BAL	at	TBR			x	109.2	4.60	1.31	12%	14th	He’s always a high risk stream bc he can dominate a good tm or flop against a low tier one
18	Steven Matz	STL	at	CHC			x	71.2	4.65	1.51	14%	14th	Instantly reminded folks why he’s so dangerous as a fantasy pitcher (4.3 IP/4 ER/4 BB last time out)
19	Zack Greinke	KCR		DET				92.2	5.44	1.29	13%	25th	Is the upside worth the relatively high chance at a dud (5+ ER)?
20	Hogan Harris	OAK		HOU				43	6.07	1.40	9%	10th	Thought he was putting some things together, but he’s off the radar for now

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

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