Starting Pitcher Chart – July 11th, 2025
by Paul Sporer
July 11, 2025
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
Enjoy the All-Star break. I’ll finally have an updated SP ranking as we enter the second half.
Starter Notes July 11, 2025
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Paul Skenes | PIT at MIN | x | x | x | 111 | 2.03 | 0.92 | 20% | 23rd | Looking to put a nice cap on his brilliant 1H |
| 2 | Joe Ryan | MIN v PIT | x | x | x | 98 | 2.75 | 0.87 | 23% | 29th | I hope this lives up to the billing with 12+ total IP and 20+ Ks |
| 3 | Logan Webb | SFG v LAD | x | x | x | 120 | 2.62 | 1.16 | 22% | 2nd | |
| 4 | Ranger Suárez | PHI at SDP | x | x | x | 77 | 1.99 | 1.03 | 18% | 20th | |
| 5 | Ryne Nelson | ARI at LAA | x | x | x | 74 | 3.39 | 0.98 | 15% | 19th | Blazing hot right now and keeping the ball in the yard at 0.7 HR9 on the yr; LAA will challenge that w/2nd-most HRs vR |
| 6 | Chase Burns | CIN v COL | x | x | x | 5 | 13.50 | 2.44 | 20% | 25th | It’ll take time to shave his ERA down after that mega dud, but the Rockies can accelerate the process! |
| 7 | Carlos Rodón | NYY v CHC | x | x | x | 111 | 3.30 | 1.03 | 19% | 6th | Rebounded well from that mega-dud at BOS: 1 ER in 4.7 at PHI w/7 Ks, but also 4 BB |
| 8 | Edward Cabrera | MIA at BAL | x | x | x | 71 | 3.41 | 1.28 | 15% | 12th | Always makes me nervous as a dud seems to be perpetually lurking around the corner, but can’t argue w/1.75 ERA in L4 incl. just 1 BB in the L2 which helped go 7 IP in both; still too much talent not to take a shot that he’s figured something out |
| 9 | Grant Holmes | ATL at STL | x | x | x | 96 | 3.47 | 1.24 | 17% | 8th | Staying hot since the 15-K gm with a 1.62 ERA, buuutt the 1.44 WHIP looms overhead as he’s somehow avoided the pain of his 14% BB and .315 BABIP; while he will regress if he doesn’t fix that BB%, I’m still starting him here |
| 10 | Gavin Williams | CLE at CHW | x | x | x | 86 | 3.86 | 1.46 | 9% | 30th | Still just a team streamer, but this is an obvious start | Missed that CLE/CHW got rained out last night. Logan Allen is a 1-x consideration for the matchup only and Jonathan Cannon is similar for CHW, just slightly behind Allen w/a worse supporting team |
| 11 | Joe Boyle | TBR at BOS | x | x | x | 5 | 0.40 | 28% | 15th | The IP mgmt. plan is to open Rasmussen and let Boyle follow so he becomes really compelling w/a heightened W opportunity | |
| 12 | DET v SEA | x | x | x | 116 | 2.02 | 0.81 | 31% | 11th | Skubes going today — auto-start, of course & he’s #1 ahead of Skenes | |
|
| 13 | Michael Wacha | KCR v NYM | x | x | x | 101 | 3.83 | 1.29 | 11% | 5th | |
| 14 | Luis Castillo | SEA at DET | x | x | x | 103 | 3.31 | 1.22 | 13% | 7th | |
| 15 | Matthew Liberatore | STL v ATL | W | x | x | 97 | 3.70 | 1.18 | 15% | 22nd | Results rebounded after 12 ER In 2 starts w/a 2.25 ERA and 1.17 WHIP in 4 starts, but with an 8% K-BB! That’s terrible. Y’all know I’m a huge fan, but we have to be careful here. Far from a must-start |
| 16 | Quinn Priester | MIL v WSN | x | x | 82 | 3.59 | 1.27 | 10% | 22nd | ||
| 17 | Kodai Senga | NYM at KCR | x | x | 73 | 1.47 | 1.11 | 13% | 28th | Slated to return here from a hamstring injury and I lean toward starting in a lot of spots | |
| 18 | Shane Smith | CHW v CLE | x | x | 79 | 3.86 | 1.31 | 11% | 27th | ||
| 19 | Max Scherzer | TOR at ATH | W | W | 17 | 4.76 | 1.35 | 14% | 10th | His HR issue at ATH is scary so I’m focused more on a W chase here | |
| 20 | Dustin May | LAD at SFG | W | W | 89 | 4.52 | 1.32 | 12% | 20th | ||
| 21 | Hunter Dobbins | BOS v TBR | x | 59 | 4.10 | 1.26 | 11% | 6th | |||
| 22 | Dean Kremer | BAL v MIA | x | 101 | 4.53 | 1.32 | 13% | 18th | |||
| 23 | Jack Leiter | TEX at HOU | 71 | 4.29 | 1.30 | 9% | 16th | ||||
| 24 | Lance McCullers Jr. | HOU v TEX | 38 | 5.82 | 1.58 | 11% | 26th | Has 4 BB in 3 of his 4 starts since returning so I’m not dying to get him in the lineup | |||
| 25 | Mitchell Parker | WSN at MIL | 97 | 4.72 | 1.38 | 7% | 11th | ||||
| 26 | Tyler Anderson | LAA v ARI | 91 | 4.12 | 1.34 | 11% | 10th | ||||
| 27 | Luis Severino | ATH v TOR | 108 | 5.30 | 1.39 | 8% | 13th | Absolutely cannot play him at home | |||
| 28 | Germán Márquez | COL at CIN | 89 | 5.84 | 1.62 | 8% | 14th | ||||
| 29 | Chris Flexen | CHC at NYY | 32 | 0.83 | 0.86 | 7% | 4th | ||||
| 30 | Omar Cruz | SDP v PHI | 3 | 4.91 | 1.91 | 11% | 8th |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
—
KEY:
x-Standard Recommendation
W-Wins Chase (accepting lower ratios for higher W opp.)
—
KEY:
x-Standard Recommendation
W-Wins Chase (accepting lower ratios for higher W opp.)
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Skenes has a 1.95 era now over his 1st 42 career starts, truly astounding.
He’s truly amazing. Just a brilliant arm who I make it a point to watch every fifth day!!