Starting Pitcher Chart – August 4th

August 4, 2023

The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.

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Friday, August 4th, Starter Notes

RK	PITCHER	TM		OPP	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	wOBA RK	NOTE
1	Aaron Nola	PHI		KCR	x	x	x	138	4.43	1.12	19%	23rd	KCR & WSN back to back should help him pull his ERA down toward 4.00
2	Hunter Brown	HOU	at	NYY	x	x	x	111.1	4.12	1.30	19%	28th	Sputtered through an ugly 5.92 ERA in July while maintaining his 19% K-BB… it was mostly the .429 BABIP
3	Luis Castillo	SEA	at	LAA	x	x	x	131.1	2.88	1.01	22%	12th	Never leaves the lineup
4	Reid Detmers	LAA		SEA	x	x	x	101.1	4.35	1.29	20%	23rd	Schedule has been unkind in 3 of his L4 w/a trips to LAD and TOR and a visit from HOU
5	James Paxton	BOS		TOR	x	x	x	70	3.34	1.07	21%	3rd	Looks like the Big Maple we know and love, a lineup mainstay while healthy
6	Jesús Luzardo	MIA	at	TEX	x	x	x	125	3.38	1.18	22%	17th	One meltdown inning v. DET, not running away from him even heading to TEX
7	Bailey Ober	MIN		ARI	x	x	x	98.2	3.19	1.04	20%	20th	Rough start at KCR last time out & 5 HR in his L3 has fueled a downturn, but I’m keeping him in the lineup
8	Yu Darvish	SDP		LAD	x	x	x	107.1	4.53	1.29	18%	2nd	That dud v. PIT was brutal, but love the 7 IP/0 ER rebound
9	Bobby Miller	LAD	at	SDP	x	x	x	59.2	4.37	1.19	17%	9th	I’m willing to trust the rookie flamethrower, even in a tough environment
10	Merrill Kelly 켈리	ARI	at	MIN	x	x	x	106	3.23	1.16	16%	5th	There are some skips to be found here if you’re playing it cautiously, starting in most spots though
11	Logan Allen	CLE		CHW		x	x	80.1	3.70	1.37	15%	24th	4 HR in his L2, think I’m still starting him in several spots
12	Jordan Montgomery	TEX		MIA		x	x	121	3.42	1.25	14%	4th	It’s not a total stayaway despite MIA’s surge, though I do understand skipping the 1st start in TEX
13	Graham Ashcraft	CIN		WSN			x	105	5.31	1.50	7%	18th	He can’t keep getting away w/this!!! How is this 8% K-BB generating a 1.75 ERA/1.19 WHIP in his L6?
14	Max Fried	ATL	at	CHC			x	26	2.08	1.08	18%	15th	Returning after 3 mos. so I’m likely skipping in many spots just to see how he does
15	Dean Kremer	BAL		NYM			x	119.2	4.66	1.34	15%	6th	Still a bit too volatile for me chase him, but I can see sooome deep lg starts
16	Mike Clevinger	CHW	at	CLE			x	67.2	3.59	1.29	10%	10th	5 scoreless v. CLE in his IL return and a 1.76 ERA in the 3 before his injury
17	Colin Rea	MIL		PIT			x	96.1	4.76	1.20	13%	21st	Probably too inconsistent to stream in many spots because he doesn’t have any schedule trend to follow
18	Zack Littell	TBR	at	DET			x	29.2	4.85	1.48	19%	29th	11 Ks and 0 BB in L3 outings (10 IP)… 82 pitches in the last one — is this actually working for TBR?
19	Kyle Hendricks	CHC		ATL				77.1	3.49	1.06	12%	3rd	I’ve sat better starters against ATL
20	Reese Olson	DET		TBR				49.2	4.71	1.13	18%	22nd	Has allowed 8 H and 6 ER in the first inning of his L3 starts
21	Alek Manoah	TOR	at	BOS				76.2	5.87	1.79	4%	8th	1:1 BB/K (12 apiece) in his L3… he’s not fixed
22	David Peterson	NYM	at	BAL				62.1	5.92	1.62	15%	6th	Hasn’t reached 25 pitches since his last start on July 8th
23	Jordan Lyles	KCR	at	PHI				112.2	6.15	1.29	10%	27th	No thanks
24	Quinn Priester	PIT	at	MIL				15.2	9.19	1.72	3%	24th	Pass
25	Adam Wainwright	STL		COL				62.2	7.18	1.90	3%	25th	No thanks
26	Patrick Corbin	WSN	at	CIN				126	5.07	1.53	9%	7th	No thanks
27	Chris Flexen 플렉센	COL	at	STL				45.2	8.08	1.93	4%	7th	No thanks
28	Luis Severino	NYY		HOU				57.2	7.49	1.84	9%	13th	Hard pass right now

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