Starting Pitcher Chart – August 28th
by Paul Sporer
August 28, 2023
Daily SP Chart archive
The chart includes their season performance, their opponent’s wOBA versus the pitcher’s handedness over the last 30 days, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s basically a risky stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more value focusing on roto.
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Starter Notes August 28,2023
| RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | wOBA RK L30/Season | NOTE |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 1 | Kevin Gausman | TOR v WSN | x | x | x | 150.1 | 3.23 | 1.16 | 25% | 22nd/24th | |
| 2 | Kenta Maeda | MIN v CLE | x | x | x | 74.2 | 4.22 | 1.17 | 22% | 24th/21st | Unfortunately couldn’t pull a W in B2B starts v. DET, but he’s an easy start this wk even w/at TEX this wknd |
| 3 | Bryan Woo | SEA v OAK | x | x | x | 59 | 4.58 | 1.22 | 18% | 14th/29th | Solid return (4 IP/1 ER) but was limited to 65 pitches, should be able to get 5 IP here even if they only add 10-15 pitches to his count |
| 4 | Zac Gallen | ARI at LAD | x | x | x | 168 | 3.11 | 1.06 | 22% | 13th/3rd | |
| 5 | Blake Snell | SDP at STL | x | x | x | 142 | 2.73 | 1.27 | 18% | 20th/16th | |
| 6 | Bobby Miller | LAD v ARI | x | x | x | 81.2 | 3.86 | 1.16 | 15% | 23rd/9th | This Miller-Abbott-Grayson rookie trio have likely been gamechangers in a lot of leagues |
| 7 | Andrew Abbott | CIN at SFG | x | x | x | 85.1 | 3.16 | 1.17 | 18% | 16th/25th | Control volatility usually decides his outing: 3, 5, 0, 0, 4 BB/36, 25, 62, 52, 41 Game Scores over his L5 |
| 8 | Grayson Rodriguez | BAL v CHW | x | x | x | 87 | 5.38 | 1.43 | 15% | 26th/30th | |
| 9 | Jon Gray | TEX at NYM | x | x | x | 131.2 | 3.76 | 1.23 | 12% | 19th/15th | |
| 10 | Lucas Giolito | LAA at PHI | x | x | 148 | 4.32 | 1.27 | 17% | 2nd/8th | Keep tabs on Chase Silseth news bc if he can’t go, Gio has a chance to get at OAK on the wknd | |
| 11 | Wade Miley | MIL at CHC | x | x | 87.2 | 3.18 | 1.17 | 9% | 21st/18th | He just gets the job done… at CHC/v. PHI isn’t easy, but I’m riding w/him in a lot of spots | |
| 12 | Chris Sale | BOS v HOU | x | x | 73 | 4.68 | 1.14 | 23% | 1st/3rd | 2nd straight v. HOU, but that enticing at KCR on the wknd makes him a viable weekly lineup start | |
| 13 | Reese Olson | DET v NYY | x | x | 68 | 5.29 | 1.25 | 17% | 28th/27th | One of those chase streamers with 2 good matchups (at CHW this wknd), but very high risk | |
| 14 | Jameson Taillon | CHC v MIL | x | 115.2 | 5.60 | 1.35 | 14% | 25th/25th | |||
| 15 | Cristian Javier | HOU at BOS | x | 127.1 | 4.52 | 1.26 | 13% | 7th/5th | Didn’t kill ya and grabbed a W v. BOS, but didn’t inspire a ton of confidence for a rematch (no 2-start, either) | ||
| 16 | Taijuan Walker | PHI v LAA | x | 136.2 | 4.02 | 1.29 | 10% | 29th/11th | |||
| 17 | Josiah Gray | WSN at TOR | x | 135.2 | 3.85 | 1.44 | 9% | 27th/14th | I can’t get that excited about 6 IP of 1-hit ball when it comes w/5 BB | ||
| 18 | Luis Severino | NYY at DET | x | 74.1 | 7.26 | 1.75 | 9% | 9th/28th | Yeah it was 6+ IP of 1-hit ball, but 2 Ks (in fairness, WSN is tough to K) so the confidence hasn’t risen all that much (at HOU this wknd) | ||
| 19 | Zack Greinke | KCR v PIT | x | 114.2 | 5.34 | 1.25 | 13% | 10th/22nd | It might be 3-5 decent IP, but there is still plenty of risk and probably no 2-start | ||
| 20 | Johan Oviedo | PIT at KCR | x | 145.1 | 4.46 | 1.33 | 11% | 5th/26th | |||
| 21 | Xzavion Curry | CLE at MIN | x | 77 | 3.51 | 1.22 | 10% | 8th/7th | There’s some chase upside for a 2-step, but I’m probably focusing more on 2024 Curry if he can flash some more swing-and-miss | ||
| 22 | Michael Kopech | CHW v BAL | 120 | 4.95 | 1.49 | 8% | 17th/17th | Put up a Josiah Gray with 4 IP of 1-hit ball but 4 BB | |||
| 23 | Bryce Elder | ATL at COL | 143.1 | 3.39 | 1.20 | 9% | 18th/16th | Looking much better in his L2 allowing just 3 H in 12.3 IP v. the 2 NY tms, but at COL/at LAD is quite literally the worst 2-step you can dream up | |||
| 24 | Adrián Martínez | OAK at SEA | 34.2 | 5.71 | 1.44 | 12% | 3rd/13th | ||||
| 25 | Kyle Harrison | SFG v CIN | 3.1 | 5.40 | 1.80 | 25% | 18th/17th | I like him long-term, but I just don’t trust him w/that command (or lack severe thereof) | |||
| 26 | Austin Gomber | COL v ATL | 136.1 | 5.48 | 1.47 | 8% | 5th/1st | #NeverGomber | |||
| 27 | Tylor Megill | NYM v TEX | 91 | 5.54 | 1.73 | 7% | 15th/2nd | ||||
| 28 | Adam Wainwright | STL v SDP | 77.1 | 8.61 | 1.99 | 4% | 21st/19th |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
Aaron Civale?
Never mind smh