Starting Pitcher Chart – August 1st, 2025

August 1, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

WOW! How about today?! That was amazing.

Please forgive me for a commentary-free board tonight, I’m writing up today’s crazyyyy deadline though I unfortunately drew the short straw with the AL as I think the NL had the way more compelling moves from a fantasy perspective (keep an eye on Jakob Marsee in Miami!). The starter market wasn’t that crazy, but I still want to get my rankings updated very soon because while the movement might’ve been minimal at the top, there was plenty in the middle and low tiers.

Trade Deadline Coverage: AL by me | NL by Jeff

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Starter Notes August 1, 2025

RK	PITCHER	GAME	10	12	15+	IP	ERA	WHIP	K-BB	2025 wOBA RK
1	Joe Ryan	MIN at CLE	x	x	x	121	2.82	0.92	24%	27th
2	Nick Pivetta	SDP v STL	x	x	x	121	2.81	0.99	21%	14th
3	Logan Gilbert	SEA v TEX	x	x	x	72	3.36	1.00	30%	25th
4	Hunter Brown	HOU at BOS	x	x	x	124	2.54	1.00	23%	12th
5	Carlos Rodón	NYY at MIA	x	x	x	130	3.18	1.05	19%	24th
6	Robbie Ray	SFG at NYM	x	x	x	129	2.93	1.14	16%	18th
7	Kevin Gausman	TOR v KCR	x	x	x	122	3.82	1.10	17%	28th
8	Ranger Suárez	PHI v DET	x	x	x	93	2.59	1.17	16%	6th
9	Jack Flaherty	DET at PHI	x	x	x	109	4.51	1.28	20%	8th
10	Trevor Rogers	BAL at CHC	x	x	x	48	1.49	0.79	15%	5th
11	David Peterson	NYM v SFG	x	x	x	121	2.83	1.25	12%	28th
12	Gavin Williams	CLE v MIN		x	x	110	3.51	1.37	10%	20th
13	Shane Baz	TBR v LAD		x	x	119	4.61	1.30	14%	3rd
14	Brady Singer	CIN v ATL		x	x	109	4.60	1.33	12%	17th
15	Jacob Lopez	ATH v ARI		x	x	65	4.29	1.34	18%	10th
16	Clayton Kershaw	LAD at TBR		x	x	59	3.62	1.29	8%	21st
17	Janson Junk	MIA v NYY			x	60	3.28	1.08	16%	2nd
18	Cade Horton	CHC v BAL			x	68	3.67	1.31	10%	15th
19	Matthew Liberatore	STL at SDP			x	104	4.04	1.27	13%	15th
20	Tyler Anderson	LAA v CHW			x	112	4.41	1.41	9%	12th
21	Jack Leiter	TEX at SEA			x	92	4.09	1.32	10%	10th
22	Jose Quintana	MIL at WSN			x	82	3.50	1.34	6%	16th
23	Michael Wacha	KCR at TOR			x	117	3.53	1.22	11%	6th
24	Anthony DeSclafani	ARI at ATH				23	3.86	1.07	19%	9th
25	Shane Smith	CHW at LAA				86	4.26	1.30	12%	19th
26	Andrew Heaney	PIT at COL				107	4.79	1.27	9%	25th
27	Mitchell Parker	WSN v MIL				113	4.91	1.41	6%	11th
28	Bryce Elder	ATL at CIN				87	6.29	1.61	10%	11th
29	Antonio Senzatela	COL v PIT				102	6.68	1.84	4%	29th
30	Cooper Criswell	BOS v HOU				10	5.06	1.78	4%	18th

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues |

KEY
x: Standard Recommendation |
W: Chasing the Win

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JimmyMember since 2019

4 months ago

I don’t think I can possibly sit Rogers with the run he’s been on (and it looks like the wind is blowing in), but I can’t help but feel like I’m going to get burned. He’s definitely better than last year, but this largely feels like smoke and mirrors.

Paul SporerFanGraphs Staff

Reply to Jimmy

Yeah I fully respect CHC and have sat plenty of guys against them, but I love where Roger is at these days and I’ve put full trust in him right now :crosses fingers: