Starting Pitcher Chart – August 19th, 2025

Katie Stratman-USA TODAY Sports

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.

These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.

Starter Notes August 19, 2025
RK PITCHER GAME 10 12 15+ IP ERA WHIP K-BB 2025 wOBA RK NOTE
1 Tarik Skubal DET v HOU x x x 152 2.42 0.87 29% 4th We were deprived the Skubal-Skenes matchup a while back and this is a great consolation matchup!
2 Hunter Brown HOU at DET x x x 143 2.45 1.00 22% 15th I really hope we get a huge duel w/both of ’em going 7+
3 Carlos Rodón NYY at TBR x x x 146 3.25 1.06 18% 25th
4 Cristopher Sánchez PHI v SEA x x x 150 2.45 1.09 20% 12th
5 Nick Pivetta SDP v SFG x x x 141 2.87 0.95 19% 22nd
6 Hunter Greene CIN at LAA x x x 65 2.47 0.93 25% 19th Didn’t miss a beat upon return w/6 scoreless, 6 Ks, and 0 BB in 85 pitches
7 Joe Ryan MIN v ATH x x x 139 2.72 0.92 23% 7th
8 Brandon Woodruff MIL at CHC x x x 39 2.06 0.74 28% 5th Only 4 IP last time out and MIL could be motivated to keep his IP in check where they can (they were up 6-0 in this case); that said, I’m not sitting him unless we get word of IP mgmt. ahead of time
9 Matthew Boyd CHC v MIL x x x 142 2.46 1.02 17% 8th
10 Edward Cabrera MIA v STL x x x 113 3.34 1.16 17% 23rd Interesting start here, coming off his first dud since 4/28; did still nab 6 Ks and reach 95 pitches despite the 5 ER (94+ pitches in ea. of L4)
11 Jacob Lopez ATH at MIN x x x 84 3.30 1.19 20% 17th Did you realize he’s the 4th SP on the Player Rater over the L30? The key is the 24 IP scoreless streak he’s still in the midst of heading into this start
12 Merrill Kelly 켈리 TEX at KCR x x x 144 3.36 1.09 16% 25th KCR sneaky deece the L30, sitting 3rd in wOBA, but that’s not enough to scare me off this start… maybe just consider it if you thought they were a weak team to pick on for DFS
13 Max Scherzer TOR at PIT x x x 54 3.83 1.07 19% 29th Let’s ride this wave as long as we can, I love that he’s dealing of late (2.42 ERA in L4)
14 David Peterson NYM at WSN x x x 136 3.30 1.28 12% 21st This season has lived on the tightrope all yr so I’m never surprised when he gets bombed out and yet I gotta run him back out there for this matchup in most spots; his extreme GB lean helps him succeed w/lesser skills
15 Seth Lugo KCR v TEX x 131 3.77 1.24 12% 26th Good stream spot from a matchup perspective, but he’s coming off 2 straight duds and 3 straight under 5 IP; additionally, he has 2+ BB in 5 straight incl. 4 BB 3x! Be careful.
16 Shane Smith CHW at ATL x 101 4.01 1.28 12% 16th Back up to 5 IP in his L2 incl. 92 pitches last time out, but W probability remains very low
17 Eduardo Rodriguez ARI v CLE x 110 5.40 1.64 13% 26th L9 encapsulate his volatility: 5 starts 0-2 ER; 3 starts 5+ ER (incl. an 8-ball); your standings & risk tolerance should determine your interest here
18 Michael McGreevy STL at MIA x 51 4.41 1.22 10% 12th 1 ER away from 3 straight QS, but seeing the rookie reach 6 IP consistently (L3 and 4 of 5) is encouraging
19 Tomoyuki Sugano BAL at BOS x 126 4.13 1.28 9% 2nd Haven’t written ol’ Cygano up in a while – 3.27 ERA/1.21 WHIP in L6 w/that signature 9% K-BB; he’s been their W merchant w/10, but I’m still always nervous w/him
20 Tanner Bibee CLE at ARI W 136 4.54 1.29 14% 1st Sure, he could be good, but he’s more likely to give a 5 IP/4 ER; he has 5 of his L6 so as a Ws dart, I don’t mind throwing him
21 Emmet Sheehan LAD at COL W 35 3.86 1.23 16% 28th It’s not that he can’t drop a gem, but rather that I’m going chasing the W and anything better is icing on the cake
22 Shane Baz TBR v NYY 135 4.93 1.33 16% 4th 2 BB in ea. of his L7 along w/a 1.2 HR9 has led to a 6.55 ERA/1.56 WHIP despite a solid 17% K-BB… I just can’t trust him in anything but the cushiest spots
23 Mitch Keller PIT v TOR 141 4.13 1.27 12% 3rd I made the adjustment on Keller when he was rolling for a while, but he’s turned sour again like he seemingly always does – 7.70 ERA/1.98 WHIP/7% K-BB in L5 undercutting a lot of the good work from his F20
24 Walker Buehler BOS v BAL 106 5.43 1.55 6% 17th Don’t be drawn in by the decent 3.69 ERA over his L7 as a 1.49 WHIP and 1% K-BB make him impossible to trust
25 Jake Irvin WSN v NYM 140 5.14 1.38 8% 6th
26 Bryce Miller SEA at PHI 48 5.73 1.54 7% 8th Can’t dive right back in off the IL, but if he gets back into form there could be some value down the stretch
27 Bryce Elder ATL v CHW 107 5.89 1.52 10% 30th
28 Kai-Wei Teng SFG at SDP 10 9.90 1.90 20th
29 Kyle Hendricks LAA v CIN 120 4.88 1.28 10% 14th
30 Austin Gomber COL v LAD 54 6.75 1.61 7% 6th

Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues

KEY x: Standard Recommendation | W: Chasing the Win





Paul is the Editor of Rotographs and Content Director for OOTP Perfect Team. Follow Paul on Twitter @sporer and on Twitch at sporer.

0 Comments
Oldest
Newest Most Voted
Inline Feedbacks
View all comments