Starting Pitcher Chart – August 19th, 2025

The chart includes their performance for 2025, their opponent’s wOBA rank versus the pitcher’s handedness from this year so far, my general start/sit recommendation for 10-team, 12-team, and 15-team (or more) leagues, and then a note about them. Obviously, there are league sizes beyond those three so it’s essentially a shallow, medium, deep. If a pitcher only has an “x” in 15-team, it doesn’t mean there’s no potential use in 10s and 12s, but it’s a much riskier stream for those spots.
These are general recommendations, and your league situation will carry more weight whether you are protecting ratios or chasing counting numbers. This is for standard 5×5 roto leagues. The thresholds for H2H starts are generally lower, especially in points leagues so I thought there would be more valuable focusing on roto.
RK | PITCHER | GAME | 10 | 12 | 15+ | IP | ERA | WHIP | K-BB | 2025 wOBA RK | NOTE |
---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|---|
1 | Tarik Skubal | DET v HOU | x | x | x | 152 | 2.42 | 0.87 | 29% | 4th | We were deprived the Skubal-Skenes matchup a while back and this is a great consolation matchup! |
2 | Hunter Brown | HOU at DET | x | x | x | 143 | 2.45 | 1.00 | 22% | 15th | I really hope we get a huge duel w/both of ’em going 7+ |
3 | Carlos Rodón | NYY at TBR | x | x | x | 146 | 3.25 | 1.06 | 18% | 25th | |
4 | Cristopher Sánchez | PHI v SEA | x | x | x | 150 | 2.45 | 1.09 | 20% | 12th | |
5 | Nick Pivetta | SDP v SFG | x | x | x | 141 | 2.87 | 0.95 | 19% | 22nd | |
6 | Hunter Greene | CIN at LAA | x | x | x | 65 | 2.47 | 0.93 | 25% | 19th | Didn’t miss a beat upon return w/6 scoreless, 6 Ks, and 0 BB in 85 pitches |
7 | Joe Ryan | MIN v ATH | x | x | x | 139 | 2.72 | 0.92 | 23% | 7th | |
8 | Brandon Woodruff | MIL at CHC | x | x | x | 39 | 2.06 | 0.74 | 28% | 5th | Only 4 IP last time out and MIL could be motivated to keep his IP in check where they can (they were up 6-0 in this case); that said, I’m not sitting him unless we get word of IP mgmt. ahead of time |
9 | Matthew Boyd | CHC v MIL | x | x | x | 142 | 2.46 | 1.02 | 17% | 8th | |
10 | Edward Cabrera | MIA v STL | x | x | x | 113 | 3.34 | 1.16 | 17% | 23rd | Interesting start here, coming off his first dud since 4/28; did still nab 6 Ks and reach 95 pitches despite the 5 ER (94+ pitches in ea. of L4) |
11 | Jacob Lopez | ATH at MIN | x | x | x | 84 | 3.30 | 1.19 | 20% | 17th | Did you realize he’s the 4th SP on the Player Rater over the L30? The key is the 24 IP scoreless streak he’s still in the midst of heading into this start |
12 | Merrill Kelly 켈리 | TEX at KCR | x | x | x | 144 | 3.36 | 1.09 | 16% | 25th | KCR sneaky deece the L30, sitting 3rd in wOBA, but that’s not enough to scare me off this start… maybe just consider it if you thought they were a weak team to pick on for DFS |
13 | Max Scherzer | TOR at PIT | x | x | x | 54 | 3.83 | 1.07 | 19% | 29th | Let’s ride this wave as long as we can, I love that he’s dealing of late (2.42 ERA in L4) |
14 | David Peterson | NYM at WSN | x | x | x | 136 | 3.30 | 1.28 | 12% | 21st | This season has lived on the tightrope all yr so I’m never surprised when he gets bombed out and yet I gotta run him back out there for this matchup in most spots; his extreme GB lean helps him succeed w/lesser skills |
15 | Seth Lugo | KCR v TEX | x | 131 | 3.77 | 1.24 | 12% | 26th | Good stream spot from a matchup perspective, but he’s coming off 2 straight duds and 3 straight under 5 IP; additionally, he has 2+ BB in 5 straight incl. 4 BB 3x! Be careful. | ||
16 | Shane Smith | CHW at ATL | x | 101 | 4.01 | 1.28 | 12% | 16th | Back up to 5 IP in his L2 incl. 92 pitches last time out, but W probability remains very low | ||
17 | Eduardo Rodriguez | ARI v CLE | x | 110 | 5.40 | 1.64 | 13% | 26th | L9 encapsulate his volatility: 5 starts 0-2 ER; 3 starts 5+ ER (incl. an 8-ball); your standings & risk tolerance should determine your interest here | ||
18 | Michael McGreevy | STL at MIA | x | 51 | 4.41 | 1.22 | 10% | 12th | 1 ER away from 3 straight QS, but seeing the rookie reach 6 IP consistently (L3 and 4 of 5) is encouraging | ||
19 | Tomoyuki Sugano | BAL at BOS | x | 126 | 4.13 | 1.28 | 9% | 2nd | Haven’t written ol’ Cygano up in a while – 3.27 ERA/1.21 WHIP in L6 w/that signature 9% K-BB; he’s been their W merchant w/10, but I’m still always nervous w/him | ||
20 | Tanner Bibee | CLE at ARI | W | 136 | 4.54 | 1.29 | 14% | 1st | Sure, he could be good, but he’s more likely to give a 5 IP/4 ER; he has 5 of his L6 so as a Ws dart, I don’t mind throwing him | ||
21 | Emmet Sheehan | LAD at COL | W | 35 | 3.86 | 1.23 | 16% | 28th | It’s not that he can’t drop a gem, but rather that I’m going chasing the W and anything better is icing on the cake | ||
22 | Shane Baz | TBR v NYY | 135 | 4.93 | 1.33 | 16% | 4th | 2 BB in ea. of his L7 along w/a 1.2 HR9 has led to a 6.55 ERA/1.56 WHIP despite a solid 17% K-BB… I just can’t trust him in anything but the cushiest spots | |||
23 | Mitch Keller | PIT v TOR | 141 | 4.13 | 1.27 | 12% | 3rd | I made the adjustment on Keller when he was rolling for a while, but he’s turned sour again like he seemingly always does – 7.70 ERA/1.98 WHIP/7% K-BB in L5 undercutting a lot of the good work from his F20 | |||
24 | Walker Buehler | BOS v BAL | 106 | 5.43 | 1.55 | 6% | 17th | Don’t be drawn in by the decent 3.69 ERA over his L7 as a 1.49 WHIP and 1% K-BB make him impossible to trust | |||
25 | Jake Irvin | WSN v NYM | 140 | 5.14 | 1.38 | 8% | 6th | ||||
26 | Bryce Miller | SEA at PHI | 48 | 5.73 | 1.54 | 7% | 8th | Can’t dive right back in off the IL, but if he gets back into form there could be some value down the stretch | |||
27 | Bryce Elder | ATL v CHW | 107 | 5.89 | 1.52 | 10% | 30th | ||||
28 | Kai-Wei Teng | SFG at SDP | 10 | 9.90 | 1.90 | 20th | |||||
29 | Kyle Hendricks | LAA v CIN | 120 | 4.88 | 1.28 | 10% | 14th | ||||
30 | Austin Gomber | COL v LAD | 54 | 6.75 | 1.61 | 7% | 6th |
Recommendations for Roto 5×5 Leagues
KEY x: Standard Recommendation | W: Chasing the Win